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Millwall vs Stoke Result & Analysis

Date: 21/10/2025
Time: 19:45
Final 2-0
Millwall
Millwall
Vs
39%
31%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Referee: J Linington

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Millwall win✓ Hit
39.2%
Avg Implied 39.2% · @ 2.40
Edge
+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied 29.4% · @ 3.20
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied 31.4% · @ 2.99
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W21W02L11D11D10W11D04L30W21WA·SHE23/08H·COV26/08H·WRE30/08A·CHA13/09A·CRY16/09H·WAT22/09A·SWA27/09H·COV01/10H·WES04/10A·QPR18/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.331.151.151.061.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)1.101.381.151.151.061.56
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W21W03L01L10W01L11D00D11D10WA·SHE16/08A·SOU23/08H·BRA26/08H·WES30/08H·BIR13/09A·QPR20/09H·NOR27/09A·MID30/09A·BLA04/10H·WRE18/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.271.251.061.001.50
vs Stronger (3)1.003.001.000.001.004.50
vs Similar (26)1.191.121.361.211.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.2%
Under 1.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.1%
@ 2.22-4.1%
Under 2.5
61.9%
@ 1.62+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.3%
Under 3.5
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.3%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-0 ✓
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
Millwall goals ↓
Stoke goals →
01234
012%9.7%5.6%1.9%0.5%
112%15%6.7%2.2%0.6%
27.9%8.0%4.0%1.4%0.3%
33.2%3.2%1.6%0.5%0.1%
41.0%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Millwall goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Millwall is 0.55 points better than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Millwall is 0.22 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Millwall is 0.15 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Millwall is 4.2 percentage points worse than Stoke in terms of average possession (48% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MillwallMillwall

For 4.5 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

150384533467428435268781196101110771415A·QPRH·WESH·COVA·SWAH·WATA·CRYA·CHAH·WREH·COVA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

6042122221141121322236343153445A·QPRH·WESH·COVA·SWAH·WATA·CRYA·CHAH·WREH·COVA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 9.1 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

3001381789920711915618121013128161121251827202130232027A·QPRH·WESH·COVA·SWAH·WATA·CRYA·CHAH·WREH·COVA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

For 6.2 · Against 4.9 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

140646785122635355473776101313149810111013H·WREA·BLAA·MIDH·NORA·QPRH·BIRH·WESH·BRAA·SOUA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

802112335311224132223843253H·WREA·BLAA·MIDH·NORA·QPRH·BIRH·WESH·BRAA·SOUA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 8.9 · Total 18.7

⚠️ Fouls

26085955811913811117111214126101213141320212218261822H·WREA·BLAA·MIDH·NORA·QPRH·BIRH·WESH·BRAA·SOUA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.010.22.92.92.924.024.023.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (48)10.110.010.23.03.02.924.124.024.1
vs Weaker (2)9.0-9.01.00.02.020.0-20.0
% over line60%57%62%38%33%42%60%61%58%
% under line40%43%38%62%67%58%40%39%42%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.910.33.63.63.620.922.319.4
vs Stronger (7)10.811.310.32.64.31.217.219.015.3
vs Similar (42)10.09.710.33.83.64.021.522.920.1
vs Weaker (1)10.010.0-3.03.0-21.021.0-
% over line60%58%61%52%56%48%43%54%30%
% under line40%42%39%48%44%52%57%46%70%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.5
Sheffield Weds
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Stoke
10.5
Oxford
10.4
Ipswich
10.4
QPR
10.3
Sheffield United
10.2
Millwall
10.2
Norwich
10.1
Hull
10.1
Southampton
10.1
Leicester
10.1
Watford
10.1
Middlesbrough
10.0
West Brom
9.9
Derby
9.8
Blackburn
9.7
Bristol City
9.6
Preston
9.4
Wrexham
9.4
Swansea
9.3
Birmingham
9.1
Charlton
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.6
Southampton
4.2
Portsmouth
4.2
Ipswich
4.1
Norwich
3.9
Birmingham
3.9
Stoke
3.8
QPR
3.8
Blackburn
3.8
Sheffield United
3.8
Leicester
3.7
Charlton
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Preston
3.7
West Brom
3.7
Swansea
3.6
Hull
3.6
Oxford
3.6
Bristol City
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Derby
3.6
Sheffield Weds
3.5
Wrexham
3.3
Millwall
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Birmingham
24.6
Blackburn
24.1
Millwall
24.1
Southampton
23.8
Charlton
23.5
Swansea
23.5
Portsmouth
23.4
Sheffield Weds
23.2
QPR
23.0
Watford
22.9
Ipswich
22.9
Sheffield United
22.5
Preston
22.4
Norwich
22.3
Hull
21.8
Leicester
21.5
West Brom
21.3
Middlesbrough
21.3
Oxford
21.2
Derby
21.1
Coventry
21.0
Stoke
20.7
Bristol City
20.6
Wrexham
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.3%
Under 9.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.8%
Under 3.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
48.0%
Under 21.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D01L00D10W11D01L10W20WA·SHE23/08H·COV26/08H·WRE30/08A·CHA13/09A·CRY16/09H·WAT22/09A·SWA27/09H·COV01/10H·WES04/10A·QPR18/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.500.540.230.530.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.550.520.540.230.560.75
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D02L01L10W00D01L00D00D10WA·SHE16/08A·SOU23/08H·BRA26/08H·WES30/08H·BIR13/09A·QPR20/09H·NOR27/09A·MID30/09A·BLA04/10H·WRE18/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.630.500.500.210.79
vs Stronger (3)0.332.331.000.000.003.50
vs Similar (26)0.380.460.500.570.250.33
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D02L10W11D00D00D03L20W01LA·SHE23/08H·COV26/08H·WRE30/08A·CHA13/09A·CRY16/09H·WAT22/09A·SWA27/09H·COV01/10H·WES04/10A·QPR18/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.830.620.920.530.76
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.550.860.620.920.500.81
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W21W01L00D00D01L10W00D11D00DA·SHE16/08A·SOU23/08H·BRA26/08H·WES30/08H·BIR13/09A·QPR20/09H·NOR27/09A·MID30/09A·BLA04/10H·WRE18/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.630.750.560.790.71
vs Stronger (3)0.670.670.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.810.650.860.640.750.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls81.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners70.4%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Coburn29%
Femi Azeez27%
Kamarl Grant25%
Mihailo Ivanović19%
Luke Cundle12%
Ryan Leonard11%
Caleb Taylor10%
Camiel Neghli10%
Macaulay Langstaff10%
Massimo Luongo9%
Jake Cooper8%
Aidomo Emakhu6%
Tristan Crama6%
Raees Bangura-Williams6%
Derek Mazou-Sacko4%
Casper De Norre3%
Thierno Ballo3%
Zak Sturge2%
Max Crocombe0%
Joe Bryan0%
Steven Benda0%
Barry Bannan0%
Wes Harding0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Alfie Doughty0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Tom Watson0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Jack Howland0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Leonard25%
Kamarl Grant25%
Joe Bryan24%
Jake Cooper20%
Billy Mitchell20%
Thierno Ballo20%
Zak Sturge19%
Massimo Luongo18%
Tristan Crama18%
Danny McNamara18%
Tom Watson17%
Raees Bangura-Williams17%
Femi Azeez16%
Casper De Norre16%
Alfie Doughty14%
Derek Mazou-Sacko12%
Camiel Neghli8%
Josh Coburn6%
Barry Bannan6%
Macaulay Langstaff5%
Mihailo Ivanović4%
Caleb Taylor3%
Luke Cundle3%
Max Crocombe0%
Steven Benda0%
Wes Harding0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Jack Howland0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jack Howland33%
Femi Azeez19%
Alfie Doughty18%
Casper De Norre12%
Thierno Ballo11%
Tristan Crama10%
Aidomo Emakhu10%
Camiel Neghli8%
Ryan Leonard7%
Caleb Taylor7%
Mihailo Ivanović6%
Barry Bannan6%
Raees Bangura-Williams6%
Derek Mazou-Sacko4%
Billy Mitchell3%
Macaulay Langstaff2%
Jake Cooper2%
Massimo Luongo0%
Max Crocombe0%
Joe Bryan0%
Steven Benda0%
Wes Harding0%
Danny McNamara0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Luke Cundle0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Tom Watson0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Femi Azeez24%
Mihailo Ivanović19%
Aidomo Emakhu13%
Thierno Ballo11%
Josh Coburn10%
Caleb Taylor7%
Camiel Neghli4%
Casper De Norre3%
Luke Cundle3%
Macaulay Langstaff2%
Jake Cooper2%
Massimo Luongo0%
Max Crocombe0%
Joe Bryan0%
Steven Benda0%
Barry Bannan0%
Wes Harding0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Alfie Doughty0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Tristan Crama0%
Zak Sturge0%
Derek Mazou-Sacko0%
Tom Watson0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Jack Howland0%
Raees Bangura-Williams0%
Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé11%
Divin Mubama11%
Million Manhoef10%
Sam Gallagher10%
Milan Smit7%
Ben Gibson7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Ben Wilmot5%
Róbert Boženík4%
Junior Tchamadeu4%
Bosun Lawal3%
Steven​ N'Zonzi3%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ben Pearson3%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Junior Tchamadeu42%
Maksym Talovierov42%
Ben Pearson35%
Favour Fawunmi25%
Bosun Lawal23%
Sydney Agina20%
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé14%
Ashley Phillips14%
Ben Wilmot14%
Tommy Simkin12%
Divin Mubama11%
Tatsuki Seko9%
Róbert Boženík8%
Million Manhoef8%
Viktor Johansson8%
Ben Gibson7%
Steven​ N'Zonzi6%
Tomáš Rigo6%
Jun-Ho Bae4%
Aaron Cresswell4%
Sam Gallagher0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Milan Smit0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sorba Thomas21%
Jamie Donley17%
Aaron Cresswell12%
Million Manhoef8%
Lamine Cissé8%
Junior Tchamadeu8%
Milan Smit7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Eric Bocat6%
Lewis Baker6%
Viktor Johansson4%
Divin Mubama4%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Tatsuki Seko2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Divin Mubama14%
Lamine Cissé14%
Million Manhoef12%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi12%
Sorba Thomas11%
Tomáš Rigo9%
Milan Smit7%
Bosun Lawal7%
Lewis Baker6%
Róbert Boženík4%
Ben Wilmot3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Jun-Ho Bae2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Millwall's squad is €6m more valuable than Stoke's (€85m vs €79m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Millwall's attack is €5m less valuable than Stoke's (€30m vs €35m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Millwall's midfield is €18m more valuable than Stoke's (€29m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Millwall's defence is €7m less valuable than Stoke's (€25m vs €32m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
MIL wins
2
Draws
1
STK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Millwall vs Stoke · H/A from MIL
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/25HMIL Vs Stoke1-0
09/11/24AStoke Vs MIL1-1
23/12/23AStoke Vs MIL0-0
26/08/23HMIL Vs Stoke1-0
25/02/23AStoke Vs MIL0-1
30/07/22HMIL Vs Stoke2-0
19/03/22AStoke Vs MIL2-0
23/10/21HMIL Vs Stoke2-1

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25AQPR Vs MIL1-2
04/10/25HMIL Vs West Brom3-0
01/10/25HMIL Vs Coventry0-4
27/09/25ASwansea Vs MIL1-1
22/09/25HMIL Vs Watford1-0
16/09/25ACrystal Palace Vs MIL1-1
13/09/25ACharlton Vs MIL1-1
30/08/25HMIL Vs Wrexham0-2
26/08/25HMIL Vs Coventry2-1
23/08/25ASheffield United Vs MIL0-1

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25HSTK Vs Wrexham1-0
04/10/25ABlackburn Vs STK1-1
30/09/25AMiddlesbrough Vs STK0-0
27/09/25HSTK Vs Norwich1-1
20/09/25AQPR Vs STK1-0
13/09/25HSTK Vs Birmingham1-0
30/08/25HSTK Vs West Brom0-1
26/08/25HSTK Vs Bradford0-3
23/08/25ASouthampton Vs STK1-2
16/08/25ASheffield Weds Vs STK0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.60
HomeWLWLW1.75
AwayWDDDW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%54%38%
AVG goals2.162.042.27
Over 1.5 %60%54%65%
Over 2.5 %36%38%35%
Over 3.5 %16%12%19%
Scored1.061.081.04
Conceded1.100.961.23
BTTS44%29%58%
Clean Sheet34%38%31%
Corners10.069.9610.17
Cards3.063.003.12
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDW1.20
HomeLLWDW1.48
AwayWWLDD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%20%
AVG goals2.262.042.48
Over 1.5 %68%60%76%
Over 2.5 %36%32%40%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.001.040.96
Conceded1.261.001.52
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners10.119.8810.35
Cards3.853.793.91

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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