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Millwall vs Swansea Result & Analysis

Date: 26/04/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Millwall
Millwall
Vs
39%
32%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Referee: B Speedie

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Millwall win✓ Hit
39.3%
Avg Implied 41.4% · @ 2.29
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.8%
Avg Implied 29.9% · @ 3.17
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Swansea win✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.31
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L21W02L10W01L21W10W10W14L31WH·BRI04/03A·WAT08/03A·LEE12/03H·STO15/03A·SUN29/03H·POR05/04A·SHE08/04H·MID12/04A·BLA18/04H·NOR21/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.131.140.860.941.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.971.171.000.920.941.38
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L02L22D10W30W10W10W21WA·PRE04/03H·MID08/03A·WAT12/03H·BUR15/03A·LEE29/03H·DER05/04H·PLY09/04A·SUN12/04H·HUL18/04A·QPR21/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.501.531.200.931.80
vs Stronger (4)2.002.252.503.501.501.00
vs Similar (26)1.121.381.380.850.851.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.2%
Under 1.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.0%
@ 2.37-3.0%
Under 2.5
63.0%
@ 1.58+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.6%
Under 3.5
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.9%
No
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.7%
1-0 ✓
12.2%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
Millwall goals ↓
Swansea goals →
01234
013%9.9%5.5%1.8%0.4%
112%15%6.6%2.1%0.5%
28.1%7.9%3.9%1.3%0.3%
33.2%3.1%1.5%0.5%0.1%
41.0%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Millwall goals (down), columns = Swansea goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
Millwall is 0.11 points better than Swansea in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
Millwall is 0.09 goals worse than Swansea in terms of goals scored per game (1.02 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
Millwall is 0.15 goals better than Swansea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
Millwall is 15.6 percentage points worse than Swansea in terms of average possession (42% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MillwallMillwall

For 4.7 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

150546824411114167534411469146151571271510H·NORA·BLAH·MIDA·SHEH·PORA·SUNH·STOA·LEEA·WATH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.6

🟨 Cards

70131114342514111477010H·NORA·BLAH·MIDA·SHEH·PORA·SUNH·STOA·LEEA·WATH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 9.7 · Total 23.1

⚠️ Fouls

3301092082110185201313148131277751119283123332721191416H·NORA·BLAH·MIDA·SHEH·PORA·SUNH·STOA·LEEA·WATH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SwanseaSwansea

For 3.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 7.7

🚩 Corners

11035471431434544615616811547987117A·QPRH·HULA·SUNH·PLYH·DERA·LEEH·BURA·WATH·MIDA·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

701123322243123112552271520A·QPRH·HULA·SUNH·PLYH·DERA·LEEH·BURA·WATH·MIDA·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.6 · Total 25.6

⚠️ Fouls

360171915151613111271216131212316161271236302923192924192819A·QPRH·HULA·SUNH·PLYH·DERA·LEEH·BURA·WATH·MIDA·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.010.42.82.82.824.525.423.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (48)10.210.010.42.93.12.824.525.423.7
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.0----
% over line60%64%57%40%33%46%73%77%70%
% under line40%36%43%60%67%54%27%23%30%
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.010.33.53.63.423.523.923.2
vs Stronger (4)5.84.57.05.04.06.026.524.029.0
vs Similar (44)10.09.410.63.43.73.123.223.922.5
vs Weaker (2)11.0-11.01.50.03.025.0-25.0
% over line45%43%46%58%60%56%66%74%58%
% under line55%57%54%42%40%44%34%26%42%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.5
Sheffield Weds
11.2
QPR
10.8
Luton
10.8
Portsmouth
10.7
Millwall
10.5
Hull
10.5
Sheffield United
10.5
Leeds
10.4
Oxford
10.3
Derby
10.3
Stoke
10.3
West Brom
10.2
Norwich
10.1
Middlesbrough
10.0
Plymouth
10.0
Blackburn
10.0
Watford
9.9
Bristol City
9.8
Sunderland
9.8
Swansea
9.7
Cardiff
9.4
Burnley
9.3
Preston
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.5
Watford
4.5
Portsmouth
4.3
Stoke
4.1
Luton
4.0
Blackburn
3.9
Preston
3.9
Sheffield Weds
3.9
Norwich
3.9
Burnley
3.9
West Brom
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
QPR
3.8
Swansea
3.8
Oxford
3.7
Leeds
3.6
Coventry
3.6
Hull
3.6
Bristol City
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Cardiff
3.6
Derby
3.3
Plymouth
3.3
Millwall
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Portsmouth
24.5
Luton
24.2
Preston
24.1
Millwall
24.0
Swansea
23.7
Sheffield Weds
23.6
Blackburn
23.5
Sunderland
23.4
QPR
23.3
Burnley
23.0
Watford
22.9
Leeds
22.9
Plymouth
22.7
Norwich
22.5
Cardiff
22.3
Hull
22.2
Sheffield United
21.8
Stoke
21.6
Coventry
21.6
Bristol City
21.5
Derby
21.4
Middlesbrough
21.3
West Brom
21.3
Oxford
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.1%
Under 9.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.1%
Under 3.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
64.2%
Under 21.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L00D01L00D10W00D12L21WH·BRI04/03A·WAT08/03A·LEE12/03H·STO15/03A·SUN29/03H·POR05/04A·SHE08/04H·MID12/04A·BLA18/04H·NOR21/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.570.360.380.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.450.620.540.380.380.81
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L02L01L00D30W00D00D10WA·PRE04/03H·MID08/03A·WAT12/03H·BUR15/03A·LEE29/03H·DER05/04H·PLY09/04A·SUN12/04H·HUL18/04A·QPR21/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.601.070.600.330.60
vs Stronger (4)1.000.752.001.000.000.50
vs Similar (26)0.650.580.920.540.380.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W01L10W00D21W00D10W02L10WH·BRI04/03A·WAT08/03A·LEE12/03H·STO15/03A·SUN29/03H·POR05/04A·SHE08/04H·MID12/04A·BLA18/04H·NOR21/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.570.500.560.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.520.550.460.540.560.56
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D21W10W00D10W10W11DA·PRE04/03H·MID08/03A·WAT12/03H·BUR15/03A·LEE29/03H·DER05/04H·PLY09/04A·SUN12/04H·HUL18/04A·QPR21/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.900.470.600.601.20
vs Stronger (4)1.001.500.502.501.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.460.810.460.310.461.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.582.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls78.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards71.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mihailo Ivanović28%
Calum Scanlon25%
Josh Coburn24%
Romain Esse19%
Camiel Neghli17%
Duncan Watmore14%
Wes Harding12%
Femi Azeez8%
Casper De Norre8%
Tom Bradshaw8%
Raees Bangura-Williams8%
Jake Cooper8%
Aaron Connolly7%
Luke Cundle6%
Japhet Tanganga5%
George Honeyman4%
Ryan Wintle4%
Macaulay Langstaff3%
Joe Bryan2%
George Saville2%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Liam Roberts0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Tristan Crama0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Zak Sturge0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Raees Bangura-Williams23%
Aaron Connolly21%
Ryan Leonard19%
Japhet Tanganga19%
Joe Bryan18%
Liam Roberts17%
George Saville16%
George Honeyman16%
Romain Esse15%
Danny McNamara13%
Ryan Wintle13%
Wes Harding12%
Jake Cooper12%
Casper De Norre12%
Luke Cundle11%
Aidomo Emakhu11%
Femi Azeez11%
Shaun Hutchinson9%
Murray Wallace8%
Tristan Crama5%
Mihailo Ivanović5%
Billy Mitchell5%
Lukas Jensen2%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Macaulay Langstaff0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raees Bangura-Williams23%
George Honeyman13%
Femi Azeez13%
Tristan Crama10%
Casper De Norre10%
Aidomo Emakhu7%
Joe Bryan7%
Macaulay Langstaff6%
Billy Mitchell5%
George Saville4%
Romain Esse4%
Duncan Watmore3%
Ryan Leonard3%
Jake Cooper2%
Ryan Wintle0%
Wes Harding0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Danny McNamara0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Aaron Connolly0%
Liam Roberts0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Mihailo Ivanović0%
George Evans0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mihailo Ivanović18%
Camiel Neghli17%
Femi Azeez16%
Josh Coburn10%
Tom Bradshaw8%
Jake Cooper8%
Japhet Tanganga7%
Duncan Watmore7%
Romain Esse4%
George Honeyman2%
Casper De Norre2%
Ryan Wintle0%
Joe Bryan0%
George Saville0%
Wes Harding0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Aaron Connolly0%
Liam Roberts0%
Macaulay Langstaff0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Tristan Crama0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Zak Sturge0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
Raees Bangura-Williams0%
Swansea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Liam Cullen24%
Žan Vipotnik16%
Harry Darling13%
Myles Peart-Harris10%
Azeem Abdulai10%
Florian Bianchini8%
Ji-sung Eom8%
Matt Grimes6%
Lewis O'Brien6%
Ronald6%
Gonçalo Franco5%
Ben Cabango4%
Josh Tymon4%
Joe Allen4%
Oliver Cooper3%
Jay Fulton3%
Josh Key2%
Hannes Delcroix0%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Cyrus Christie0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Samuel Parker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Myles Peart-Harris20%
Ben Cabango19%
Liam Cullen18%
Jay Fulton18%
Hannes Delcroix17%
Matt Grimes16%
Josh Tymon15%
Gonçalo Franco14%
Lewis O'Brien12%
Joe Allen11%
Harry Darling10%
Azeem Abdulai10%
Cyrus Christie8%
Florian Bianchini8%
Josh Key6%
Ronald6%
Ji-sung Eom5%
Kyle Naughton4%
Žan Vipotnik2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Oliver Cooper0%
Samuel Parker0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ronald14%
Myles Peart-Harris13%
Josh Tymon10%
Josh Key9%
Harry Darling8%
Ji-sung Eom8%
Oliver Cooper7%
Liam Cullen7%
Gonçalo Franco5%
Joe Allen4%
Matt Grimes3%
Ben Cabango2%
Hannes Delcroix0%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Cyrus Christie0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Jay Fulton0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Lewis O'Brien0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Žan Vipotnik0%
Florian Bianchini0%
Azeem Abdulai0%
Samuel Parker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Liam Cullen11%
Harry Darling8%
Ji-sung Eom8%
Žan Vipotnik7%
Lewis O'Brien6%
Ronald6%
Azeem Abdulai5%
Myles Peart-Harris3%
Jay Fulton3%
Gonçalo Franco2%
Josh Tymon2%
Hannes Delcroix0%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Josh Key0%
Cyrus Christie0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Matt Grimes0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Joe Allen0%
Ben Cabango0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Oliver Cooper0%
Florian Bianchini0%
Samuel Parker0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
Millwall's squad is €6m less valuable than Swansea's (€85m vs €91m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
Millwall's attack is €26m less valuable than Swansea's (€30m vs €56m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
Millwall's midfield is €20m more valuable than Swansea's (€29m vs €9m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
Millwall and Swansea have a similar defence value (both €25m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
MIL wins
2
Draws
3
SWA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Millwall vs Swansea · H/A from MIL
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/24ASwansea Vs MIL0-1
04/05/24ASwansea Vs MIL0-1
30/09/23HMIL Vs Swansea0-3
14/03/23HMIL Vs Swansea2-1
16/08/22ASwansea Vs MIL2-2
05/04/22HMIL Vs Swansea0-1
15/09/21ASwansea Vs MIL0-0
10/04/21HMIL Vs Swansea0-3

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/25HMIL Vs Norwich3-1
18/04/25ABlackburn Vs MIL4-1
12/04/25HMIL Vs Middlesbrough1-0
08/04/25ASheffield United Vs MIL0-1
05/04/25HMIL Vs Portsmouth2-1
29/03/25ASunderland Vs MIL1-0
15/03/25HMIL Vs Stoke1-0
12/03/25ALeeds Vs MIL2-0
08/03/25AWatford Vs MIL1-2
04/03/25HMIL Vs Bristol City0-2

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/25AQPR Vs SWA1-2
18/04/25HSWA Vs Hull1-0
12/04/25ASunderland Vs SWA0-1
09/04/25HSWA Vs Plymouth3-0
05/04/25HSWA Vs Derby1-0
29/03/25ALeeds Vs SWA2-2
15/03/25HSWA Vs Burnley0-2
12/03/25AWatford Vs SWA1-0
08/03/25HSWA Vs Middlesbrough1-0
04/03/25APreston Vs SWA0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.50
HomeLWWWW1.67
AwayWLLWL1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%50%35%
AVG goals2.062.042.08
Over 1.5 %50%50%50%
Over 2.5 %30%33%27%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored1.061.210.92
Conceded1.000.831.15
BTTS40%38%42%
Clean Sheet38%33%42%
Corners10.2010.0010.39
Cards3.133.093.17
Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.34
HomeWLWWW1.52
AwayDLDWW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.342.282.40
Over 1.5 %60%60%60%
Over 2.5 %48%40%56%
Over 3.5 %20%16%24%
Scored1.141.320.96
Conceded1.200.961.44
BTTS40%36%44%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners9.689.0010.33
Cards3.703.913.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeedsLeeds46100
63%
2.2
9530+65
2.7
78%
46%
28%
10.1
59%
3.4
39%
22.5
61%
427
166981632.10.7
62%
2BurnleyBurnley46100
61%
2.2
6916+53
1.8
54%
33%
15%
9.1
43%
3.9
59%
23.4
63%
115
708371.50.3
57%
3Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4692
61%
2.0
6336+27
2.2
70%
35%
13%
10.6
63%
4.1
59%
22.4
57%
110
2932491.40.8
51%
4SunderlandSunderland4676
46%
1.7
5844+14
2.2
61%
43%
22%
9.7
46%
4.5
67%
23.5
65%
392
1571101251.31.0
49%
5CoventryCoventry4669
43%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
80%
52%
24%
11.6
70%
3.7
48%
21.3
43%
237
8552991.41.3
55%
6Bristol CityBristol City4668
37%
1.5
5955+4
2.5
80%
46%
20%
9.6
46%
3.7
54%
21.3
52%
66
2919181.31.2
51%
7BlackburnBlackburn4666
41%
1.4
5348+5
2.2
65%
39%
13%
9.9
61%
4.0
52%
24.1
72%
36
157141.21.0
49%
8MillwallMillwall4666
39%
1.4
4749-2
2.1
50%
30%
20%
10.3
63%
3.0
41%
24.6
72%
85
3029251.01.1
42%
9West BromWest Brom4664
33%
1.4
5747+10
2.3
72%
37%
17%
10.3
52%
3.8
52%
21.7
57%
52
1522151.21.0
54%
10MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4664
39%
1.4
6456+8
2.6
65%
46%
26%
10.1
59%
3.7
52%
21.5
57%
142
7427411.41.2
56%
11SwanseaSwansea4661
37%
1.3
5156-5
2.3
59%
46%
17%
9.5
43%
3.6
59%
23.6
65%
91
569261.11.2
58%
12Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4658
33%
1.3
6069-9
2.8
83%
52%
28%
11.1
67%
3.8
43%
23.8
67%
21
7681.31.5
48%
13NorwichNorwich4657
30%
1.2
7168+3
3.0
80%
52%
33%
10.0
54%
4.0
59%
22.7
57%
107
4631291.51.5
58%
14WatfordWatford4657
35%
1.2
5361-8
2.5
70%
57%
15%
10.2
57%
4.6
67%
23.1
63%
88
2838221.21.3
53%
15QPRQPR4656
30%
1.2
5363-10
2.5
83%
52%
22%
10.7
54%
3.8
54%
23.1
63%
71
2915271.21.4
47%
16PortsmouthPortsmouth4654
30%
1.2
5871-13
2.8
74%
61%
28%
11.1
63%
4.2
67%
24.0
63%
32
135141.31.5
45%
17OxfordOxford4653
28%
1.2
4965-16
2.5
72%
37%
24%
10.3
52%
3.7
54%
21.1
43%
20
6681.11.4
43%
18StokeStoke4651
26%
1.1
4562-17
2.3
70%
37%
24%
10.2
52%
4.0
65%
21.3
50%
79
3511321.01.3
47%
19DerbyDerby4650
28%
1.1
4856-8
2.3
65%
39%
17%
10.2
54%
3.4
46%
21.3
50%
57
2514181.01.2
43%
20PrestonPreston4650
22%
1.1
4859-11
2.3
74%
48%
22%
9.5
50%
4.0
59%
24.3
76%
43
173221.01.3
48%
21HullHull4649
26%
1.1
4454-10
2.1
65%
30%
13%
10.4
63%
3.5
46%
22.3
52%
105
2231521.01.2
50%
22LutonLuton4649
28%
1.1
4569-24
2.5
65%
43%
22%
10.8
65%
4.1
59%
24.3
72%
29
134121.01.5
45%
23PlymouthPlymouth4646
24%
1.0
5188-37
3.0
83%
61%
35%
9.5
41%
3.5
48%
23.0
67%
13
4361.11.9
42%
24CardiffCardiff4644
20%
1.0
4873-25
2.6
83%
43%
24%
9.7
48%
3.7
50%
22.9
65%
29
154101.01.6
47%
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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