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Milsami Orhei vs CSF Bălți Result & Analysis

Date: 15/03/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 0-0
Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Vs
55%
26%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Milsami Orhei are the clear favourites, with a 55% chance of triumph, while a draw sits at 26% and CSF Bălți a 19% chance of victory. The model expects 2.6 goals on average, with the most likely total of two goals. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 12.5% probability. Milsami, playing at home against a weaker side, typically nets 2.17 goals and concedes just one, whereas CSF Bălți, on the road against a stronger opponent, averages 0.67 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. The suggested picks are Over 1.5 goals at 74.8% and Under 3.5 goals at 73.1%. The recent form shows Milsami coming off a draw, whereas CSF Bălți has endured three straight defeats. The match shape points to a competitive contest with Milsami likely to edge out a win.

Results analysis

The 0-0 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, Milsami Orhei, who had been on a shaky run of two losses and a draw before this match. The model had tipped a home win with a 55% probability, but that call was wrong. The final result was a stalemate, and the model’s prediction of a home win did not materialise. The model’s other selections were mixed: the Over 1.5 goal pick, at 74.8%, missed, while the Under 3.5 goal pick, at 73.1%, hit. The match ended in a goalless draw, leaving the model’s overall assessment off the mark.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milsami Orhei win✗ Miss
54.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți win✗ Miss
19.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D21W03L50W10W12L20W00D12L00DH·PET24/09H·CSF28/09H·ZIM05/10A·POL18/10H·SHE26/10H·PET02/11A·DAC08/11H·SPA23/11A·CSF30/11H·ZIM07/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.101.561.061.641.14
vs Stronger (6)0.500.670.670.670.330.67
vs Similar (11)1.091.451.431.290.501.75
vs Weaker (13)2.541.002.171.002.861.00
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W12L00D20W02L21W13L13L21W01LH·POL21/09A·MIL28/09A·PET04/10H·DAC18/10A·SPA25/10A·SHE02/11H·ZIM09/11A·POL22/11H·MIL30/11H·SHE08/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.631.251.560.931.71
vs Stronger (20)0.701.800.731.730.671.89
vs Similar (10)1.901.302.401.201.401.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.7%
Under 2.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.9%
Under 3.5
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
0-0 ✓
8.4%
3-0
6.0%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
Milsami Orhei goals ↓
CSF Bălți goals →
01234
08.4%5.5%3.1%0.9%0.2%
111%13%5.2%1.6%0.4%
211%9.7%4.5%1.4%0.3%
36.0%5.5%2.5%0.8%0.2%
42.5%2.3%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Milsami Orhei goals (down), columns = CSF Bălți goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petrocub
2.35
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.06
Zimbru
2.00
Sireți
1.85
Oguzsport
1.50
Milsami Orhei
1.48
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.19
Politehnica UTM
1.13
Iskra
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Dacia-Buiucani
0.52
FCM Ungheni
0.50
FC Stăuceni
0.45
Făleşti
0.00
Univer Comrat
0.00
Milsami Orhei is 0.29 points better than CSF Bălți in terms of average points per game (1.48 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FCM Ungheni
2.50
Oguzsport
2.50
Zimbru
2.26
Petrocub
2.06
Univer Comrat
2.00
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.84
Sireți
1.69
Milsami Orhei
1.52
Politehnica UTM
1.42
Floreşti
1.38
Iskra
1.00
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.97
Dacia-Buiucani
0.97
FC Stăuceni
0.91
Făleşti
0.00
Milsami Orhei is 0.52 goals better than CSF Bălți in terms of goals scored per game (1.52 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petrocub
0.55
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.71
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Zimbru
1.03
Sireți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.23
Iskra
1.25
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.42
Dacia-Buiucani
1.90
FC Stăuceni
2.09
Politehnica UTM
2.19
Spartanii Selemet
2.45
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Făleşti
3.00
Univer Comrat
3.00
Oguzsport
3.50
Milsami Orhei is 0.19 goals better than CSF Bălți in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 1.42).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D03L40W10W01L00D00D11D00DH·PET24/09H·CSF28/09H·ZIM05/10A·POL18/10H·SHE26/10H·PET02/11A·DAC08/11H·SPA23/11A·CSF30/11H·ZIM07/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.500.880.440.860.57
vs Stronger (6)0.500.330.670.330.330.33
vs Similar (11)0.450.550.570.570.250.50
vs Weaker (13)1.380.541.330.331.430.71
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D10W02L21W00D01L11D00DH·POL21/09A·MIL28/09A·PET04/10H·DAC18/10A·SPA25/10A·SHE02/11H·ZIM09/11A·POL22/11H·MIL30/11H·SHE08/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.570.500.380.360.79
vs Stronger (20)0.400.500.360.270.440.78
vs Similar (10)0.500.700.800.600.200.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W00D10W00D11D20W00D01L00DH·PET24/09H·CSF28/09H·ZIM05/10A·POL18/10H·SHE26/10H·PET02/11A·DAC08/11H·SPA23/11A·CSF30/11H·ZIM07/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.600.690.620.790.57
vs Stronger (6)0.000.330.000.330.000.33
vs Similar (11)0.640.910.860.710.251.25
vs Weaker (13)1.150.460.830.671.430.29
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W12L00D10W00D00D13L12L10W01LH·POL21/09A·MIL28/09A·PET04/10H·DAC18/10A·SPA25/10A·SHE02/11H·ZIM09/11A·POL22/11H·MIL30/11H·SHE08/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.070.751.190.570.93
vs Stronger (20)0.301.300.361.450.221.11
vs Similar (10)1.400.601.600.601.200.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
PU (13)
€1m
SIR (7)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
Milsami Orhei's squad is €3m more valuable than CSF Bălți's (€3m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
PU (2)
€0m
SIR (2)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Milsami Orhei and CSF Bălți have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SIR (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
PU (4)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Milsami Orhei and CSF Bălți have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
PU (7)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
Milsami Orhei's defence is €1m more valuable than CSF Bălți's (€2m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
MO wins
2
Draws
2
CB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Milsami Orhei vs CSF Bălți · H/A from MO
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25ACSF Bălți Vs MO2-1
28/09/25HMO Vs CSF Bălți2-1
03/08/25ACSF Bălți Vs MO3-3
03/05/25HMO Vs CSF Bălți5-0
29/03/25ACSF Bălți Vs MO0-2
19/10/24ACSF Bălți Vs MO0-0
18/08/24HMO Vs CSF Bălți0-2
27/04/24HMO Vs CSF Bălți3-0

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26HMO Vs Zimbru0-0
30/11/25ACSF Bălți Vs MO2-1
23/11/25HMO Vs Spartanii Selemet0-0
08/11/25ADacia-Buiucani Vs MO0-2
02/11/25HMO Vs Petrocub1-2
26/10/25HMO Vs Sheriff Tiraspol1-0
18/10/25APolitehnica UTM Vs MO0-5
05/10/25HMO Vs Zimbru0-3
28/09/25HMO Vs CSF Bălți2-1
24/09/25HMO Vs Petrocub1-1

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26HCB Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-1
30/11/25HCB Vs Milsami Orhei2-1
22/11/25APolitehnica UTM Vs CB3-1
09/11/25HCB Vs Zimbru1-3
02/11/25ASheriff Tiraspol Vs CB1-2
25/10/25ASpartanii Selemet Vs CB2-0
18/10/25HCB Vs Dacia-Buiucani2-0
04/10/25APetrocub Vs CB0-0
28/09/25AMilsami Orhei Vs CB2-1
21/09/25HCB Vs Politehnica UTM3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLD1.76
HomeLWLDD2.00
AwayLWWWL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%60%40%
AVG goals3.063.242.88
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %32%40%24%
Scored2.022.241.80
Conceded1.041.001.08
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet36%40%32%
Corners---
Cards---
CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.22
HomeWWLWL1.44
AwayLDLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.602.522.68
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %48%44%52%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.181.361.00
Conceded1.421.161.68
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetrocubPetrocub3173
71%
2.4
6417+47
2.6
81%
48%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.10.5
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol3164
65%
2.1
5722+35
2.5
68%
48%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.80.7
-
3ZimbruZimbru3162
58%
2.0
7032+38
3.3
87%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.31.0
-
4Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei3146
42%
1.5
4738+9
2.7
77%
65%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.51.2
-
5CSF BălțiCSF Bălți3137
32%
1.2
3144-13
2.4
71%
42%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.4
-
6Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM3135
32%
1.1
4468-24
3.6
94%
71%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
7Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet3329
24%
0.9
3281-49
3.4
85%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.5
-
8SirețiSireți1324
54%
1.8
2214+8
2.8
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.71.1
-
9FloreştiFloreşti1317
31%
1.3
1817+1
2.7
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
10Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani3116
13%
0.5
3059-29
2.9
81%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.9
-
11IskraIskra1213
25%
1.1
1215-3
2.2
75%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
12FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni115
0%
0.5
1023-13
3.0
64%
45%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
13OguzsportOguzsport23
50%
1.5
57-2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.5
-
14Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni21
0%
0.5
56-1
5.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.0
-
16Univer ComratUniver Comrat10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
17FăleştiFăleşti10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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