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Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani Result & Analysis

Date: 12/07/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 0-1
Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Vs
46%
30%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dacia-Buiucani
Dacia-Buiucani
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Milsami Orhei a 46% win probability against Dacia-Buiucani in the Moldova: Super Liga on 2026-07-12, with 30% for the draw and 24% for Dacia-Buiucani. The model estimates around 2.3 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.0%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (80%).

Results analysis

Milsami Orhei finished 0-1 against Dacia-Buiucani (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 46% home win, 30% draw and 24% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (80%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milsami Orhei win✗ Miss
45.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani win✓ Hit
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D02L10W13L13L01L03L21W00D05LH·CSF15/03A·PET21/03H·DAC04/04A·SHE11/04A·ZIM18/04A·CSF26/04H·PET02/05A·DAC09/05H·SHE17/05A·PET04/07
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.501.201.071.471.93
vs Stronger (13)0.851.921.141.290.502.67
vs Similar (4)0.502.000.001.501.002.50
vs Weaker (13)2.080.921.670.672.431.14
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dacia-Buiucani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L02L01L12L12L03L12L12L00D30WA·ZIM14/03A·SHE20/03A·MIL04/04H·CSF11/04H·PET18/04H·ZIM25/04H·SHE03/05H·MIL09/05A·CSF17/05H·SIR05/07
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.931.002.060.861.79
vs Stronger (21)0.762.140.752.170.782.11
vs Similar (9)1.331.441.751.751.001.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.3%
Under 1.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.5%
Under 2.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.5%
No
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
0-1 ✓
8.0%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.3%
Milsami Orhei goals ↓
Dacia-Buiucani goals →
01234
011%8.0%4.3%1.3%0.3%
112%14%5.9%1.8%0.4%
29.4%8.8%4.1%1.3%0.3%
34.3%4.0%1.9%0.6%0.1%
41.5%1.4%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Milsami Orhei goals (down), columns = Dacia-Buiucani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.14
Zimbru
1.86
Dacia-Buiucani
1.71
Petrocub
1.57
Politehnica UTM
1.57
Milsami Orhei
0.86
Sireți
0.71
CSF Bălți
0.29
Milsami Orhei is 0.86 points worse than Dacia-Buiucani in terms of average points per game (0.86 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zimbru
2.43
Politehnica UTM
2.14
Petrocub
2.00
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.57
Milsami Orhei
1.00
Sireți
0.86
CSF Bălți
0.71
Milsami Orhei is 0.57 goals worse than Dacia-Buiucani in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.86
Petrocub
1.14
Politehnica UTM
1.14
Zimbru
1.29
Sireți
1.43
Dacia-Buiucani
1.71
Milsami Orhei
2.00
CSF Bălți
3.14
Milsami Orhei is 0.29 goals worse than Dacia-Buiucani in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D11D01L00D00D21W00D02LH·CSF15/03A·PET21/03H·DAC04/04A·SHE11/04A·ZIM18/04A·CSF26/04H·PET02/05A·DAC09/05H·SHE17/05A·PET04/07
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.530.400.870.93
vs Stronger (13)0.380.540.430.140.331.00
vs Similar (4)0.251.250.001.500.501.00
vs Weaker (13)1.150.620.830.331.430.86
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Dacia-Buiucani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L00D00D01L01L11D12L00D20WA·ZIM14/03A·SHE20/03A·MIL04/04H·CSF11/04H·PET18/04H·ZIM25/04H·SHE03/05H·MIL09/05A·CSF17/05H·SIR05/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.440.560.360.86
vs Stronger (21)0.380.810.330.750.440.89
vs Similar (9)0.440.440.750.000.200.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dacia-Buiucani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

Head-to-head

Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani · H/A from MO
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26ADacia-Buiucani Vs MO1-2
04/04/26HMO Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-0
08/11/25ADacia-Buiucani Vs MO0-2
13/09/25HMO Vs Dacia-Buiucani3-2
19/07/25ADacia-Buiucani Vs MO1-2
09/11/24ADacia-Buiucani Vs MO1-1
14/09/24HMO Vs Dacia-Buiucani7-0
18/05/24HMO Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-1

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/26APetrocub Vs MO5-0
17/05/26HMO Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-0
09/05/26ADacia-Buiucani Vs MO1-2
02/05/26HMO Vs Petrocub0-3
26/04/26ACSF Bălți Vs MO1-0
18/04/26AZimbru Vs MO3-1
11/04/26ASheriff Tiraspol Vs MO3-1
04/04/26HMO Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-0
21/03/26APetrocub Vs MO2-0
15/03/26HMO Vs CSF Bălți0-0

Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/07/26HDAC Vs Sireți3-0
17/05/26ACSF Bălți Vs DAC0-0
09/05/26HDAC Vs Milsami Orhei1-2
03/05/26HDAC Vs Sheriff Tiraspol1-2
25/04/26HDAC Vs Zimbru0-3
18/04/26HDAC Vs Petrocub1-2
11/04/26HDAC Vs CSF Bălți1-2
04/04/26AMilsami Orhei Vs DAC1-0
20/03/26ASheriff Tiraspol Vs DAC2-0
14/03/26AZimbru Vs DAC3-2

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDL1.58
HomeDDWLD1.92
AwayLLLWL1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%35%
AVG goals2.802.583.00
Over 1.5 %78%71%85%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored1.621.711.54
Conceded1.180.881.46
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet34%46%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Dacia-Buiucani
Dacia-Buiucani
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.14
HomeLLLLW1.15
AwayLLLLD1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%30%
AVG goals2.943.072.78
Over 1.5 %80%89%70%
Over 2.5 %62%67%57%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.581.631.52
Conceded1.361.441.26
BTTS42%44%39%
Clean Sheet32%30%35%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol715
57%
2.1
146+8
2.9
57%
43%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.00.9
-
2ZimbruZimbru713
57%
1.9
179+8
3.7
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.41.3
-
3Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani712
57%
1.7
1112-1
3.3
71%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
4Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM711
43%
1.6
158+7
3.3
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.1
-
5PetrocubPetrocub711
43%
1.6
148+6
3.1
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.01.1
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei76
14%
0.9
714-7
3.0
71%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.02.0
-
7SirețiSireți75
0%
0.7
610-4
2.3
86%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
8CSF BălțiCSF Bălți72
0%
0.3
522-17
3.9
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.1
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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