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Milsami Orhei vs Petrocub Result & Analysis

Date: 24/09/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 1-1
Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Vs
42%
26%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petrocub
Petrocub
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milsami Orhei win✗ Miss
42.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petrocub win✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W33D32W12L03L41W11D12L32W41WH·BUD31/07A·CSF03/08H·VIR07/08A·ZIM10/08A·VIR14/08H·POL17/08A·SHE24/08A·PET31/08H·DAC13/09A·SPA20/09
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.072.690.851.651.24
vs Stronger (6)0.671.000.501.000.751.00
vs Similar (11)1.731.273.000.800.671.67
vs Weaker (13)3.080.923.170.833.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L21W14L20W10W11D50W21W02L20WH·SAB24/07H·DAC27/07A·SAB31/07A·SPA03/08A·CSF09/08A·ZIM16/08A·POL23/08H·MIL31/08A·SHE14/09A·DAC20/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.231.500.931.621.50
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (17)1.061.761.251.000.892.44
vs Weaker (11)2.550.452.200.802.830.17
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.0%
Under 1.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.9%
Under 2.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.5%
Under 3.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.0%
No
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
Milsami Orhei goals ↓
Petrocub goals →
01234
05.8%5.5%4.6%2.2%0.8%
16.7%12%7.7%3.6%1.3%
26.4%9.0%6.3%3.0%1.0%
33.5%5.0%3.5%1.6%0.6%
41.5%2.1%1.4%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Milsami Orhei goals (down), columns = Petrocub goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petrocub
2.35
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.06
Zimbru
2.00
Sireți
1.85
Oguzsport
1.50
Milsami Orhei
1.48
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.19
Politehnica UTM
1.13
Iskra
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Dacia-Buiucani
0.52
FCM Ungheni
0.50
FC Stăuceni
0.45
Făleşti
0.00
Univer Comrat
0.00
Milsami Orhei is 0.87 points worse than Petrocub in terms of average points per game (1.48 vs 2.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FCM Ungheni
2.50
Oguzsport
2.50
Zimbru
2.26
Petrocub
2.06
Univer Comrat
2.00
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.84
Sireți
1.69
Milsami Orhei
1.52
Politehnica UTM
1.42
Floreşti
1.38
Iskra
1.00
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.97
Dacia-Buiucani
0.97
FC Stăuceni
0.91
Făleşti
0.00
Milsami Orhei is 0.55 goals worse than Petrocub in terms of goals scored per game (1.52 vs 2.06).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petrocub
0.55
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.71
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Zimbru
1.03
Sireți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.23
Iskra
1.25
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.42
Dacia-Buiucani
1.90
FC Stăuceni
2.09
Politehnica UTM
2.19
Spartanii Selemet
2.45
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Făleşti
3.00
Univer Comrat
3.00
Oguzsport
3.50
Milsami Orhei is 0.68 goals worse than Petrocub in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 0.55).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D03L10W11D00D41W11D01L11D31WH·BUD31/07A·CSF03/08H·VIR07/08A·ZIM10/08A·VIR14/08H·POL17/08A·SHE24/08A·PET31/08H·DAC13/09A·SPA20/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.471.310.230.590.65
vs Stronger (6)0.330.500.500.500.250.50
vs Similar (11)0.640.361.200.000.170.67
vs Weaker (13)1.380.541.670.331.140.71
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrocubPetrocub

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D14L20W00D10W20W10W02L20WH·SAB24/07H·DAC27/07A·SAB31/07A·SPA03/08A·CSF09/08A·ZIM16/08A·POL23/08H·MIL31/08A·SHE14/09A·DAC20/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.530.710.211.000.81
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (17)0.530.760.620.120.441.33
vs Weaker (11)1.550.181.000.402.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W30W22D01L03L00D00D11D21W10WH·BUD31/07A·CSF03/08H·VIR07/08A·ZIM10/08A·VIR14/08H·POL17/08A·SHE24/08A·PET31/08H·DAC13/09A·SPA20/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.601.380.621.060.59
vs Stronger (6)0.330.500.000.500.500.50
vs Similar (11)1.090.911.800.800.501.00
vs Weaker (13)1.690.381.500.501.860.29
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrocubPetrocub

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W00D00D10W01L30W11D00D00DH·SAB24/07H·DAC27/07A·SAB31/07A·SPA03/08A·CSF09/08A·ZIM16/08A·POL23/08H·MIL31/08A·SHE14/09A·DAC20/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.790.710.620.69
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (17)0.531.000.620.880.441.11
vs Weaker (11)1.000.271.200.400.830.17
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Petrocub · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Mudrac20%
Teodor Lungu20%
Ion Borș20%
Sergiu Plătică17%
Ion Jardan0%
Vladimir Ambros0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dan Pușcaș0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Teodor Lungu60%
Ion Jardan50%
Dumitru Demian33%
Dan Pușcaș20%
Ion Borș20%
Vladimir Ambros17%
Sergiu Plătică0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dan Pușcaș20%
Vladimir Ambros17%
Ion Jardan0%
Sergiu Plătică0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Ion Borș0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergiu Plătică17%
Ion Jardan0%
Vladimir Ambros0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dan Pușcaș0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Ion Borș0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
PU (13)
€1m
SIR (7)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
Milsami Orhei's squad is €2m less valuable than Petrocub's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
PU (2)
€0m
SIR (2)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Milsami Orhei's attack is €1m less valuable than Petrocub's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SIR (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
PU (4)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Milsami Orhei and Petrocub have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
PU (7)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
Milsami Orhei and Petrocub have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
MO wins
2
Draws
5
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Milsami Orhei vs Petrocub · H/A from MO
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/25APetrocub Vs MO2-1
26/04/25APetrocub Vs MO2-0
16/03/25HMO Vs Petrocub5-1
30/10/24HMO Vs Petrocub0-2
28/09/24APetrocub Vs MO2-1
11/05/24HMO Vs Petrocub1-1
06/04/24APetrocub Vs MO3-0
28/10/23HMO Vs Petrocub1-1

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25ASpartanii Selemet Vs MO1-4
13/09/25HMO Vs Dacia-Buiucani3-2
31/08/25APetrocub Vs MO2-1
24/08/25ASheriff Tiraspol Vs MO1-1
17/08/25HMO Vs Politehnica UTM4-1
14/08/25AVirtus Vs MO3-0
10/08/25AZimbru Vs MO2-1
07/08/25HMO Vs Virtus3-2
03/08/25ACSF Bălți Vs MO3-3
31/07/25HMO Vs Buducnost Podgorica2-1

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25ADacia-Buiucani Vs PET0-2
14/09/25ASheriff Tiraspol Vs PET2-0
31/08/25HPET Vs Milsami Orhei2-1
23/08/25APolitehnica UTM Vs PET0-5
16/08/25AZimbru Vs PET1-1
09/08/25ACSF Bălți Vs PET0-1
03/08/25ASpartanii Selemet Vs PET0-2
31/07/25ASabah FA Vs PET4-1
27/07/25HPET Vs Dacia-Buiucani2-1
24/07/25HPET Vs Sabah FA0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.66
HomeWWWWW2.00
AwayLLDLW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%58%35%
AVG goals3.143.332.96
Over 1.5 %86%92%81%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %34%42%27%
Scored2.002.381.65
Conceded1.140.961.31
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet30%38%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Petrocub
Petrocub
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.46
HomeWDLWW1.80
AwayWDWLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%52%28%
AVG goals2.602.442.76
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %48%56%40%
Over 3.5 %24%12%36%
Scored1.401.401.40
Conceded1.201.041.36
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet36%36%36%
Corners7.576.509.00
Cards4.303.804.80

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetrocubPetrocub3173
71%
2.4
6417+47
2.6
81%
48%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.10.5
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol3164
65%
2.1
5722+35
2.5
68%
48%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.80.7
-
3ZimbruZimbru3162
58%
2.0
7032+38
3.3
87%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.31.0
-
4Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei3146
42%
1.5
4738+9
2.7
77%
65%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.51.2
-
5CSF BălțiCSF Bălți3137
32%
1.2
3144-13
2.4
71%
42%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.4
-
6Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM3135
32%
1.1
4468-24
3.6
94%
71%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
7Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet3329
24%
0.9
3281-49
3.4
85%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.5
-
8SirețiSireți1324
54%
1.8
2214+8
2.8
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.71.1
-
9FloreştiFloreşti1317
31%
1.3
1817+1
2.7
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
10Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani3116
13%
0.5
3059-29
2.9
81%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.9
-
11IskraIskra1213
25%
1.1
1215-3
2.2
75%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
12FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni115
0%
0.5
1023-13
3.0
64%
45%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
13OguzsportOguzsport23
50%
1.5
57-2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.5
-
14Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni21
0%
0.5
56-1
5.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.0
-
16Univer ComratUniver Comrat10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
17FăleştiFăleşti10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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