Milsami Orhei vs Sireți Result & Analysis

Date: 01/08/2026

Time: 17:00

Final 2-2

Milsami Orhei

46%

30%

24%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Sireți

Moldova: Super Liga

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 13 Squad value 14 Games History 15 Overall Statistics 16 League Table

Match preview & prediction

In the Moldova Super Liga, Milsami Orhei hosts Sireți on August 1. The recent storyline is that both teams are coming off draws, with Milsami Orhei drawing 1-1 against Politehnica UTM and Sireți drawing 1-1 against CSF Bălți.

Milsami Orhei is the favourite to win at home, with a 46% probability, followed by a 30% draw probability, and a 24% probability of an away win. The model's selection is a home win. The expected total number of goals is 2.3, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 14% probability.

At home, Milsami Orhei scores an average of 0.6 goals against stronger opponents, conceding 1.2 goals. Away, Sireți scores an average of 1.88 goals against weaker opponents, conceding 1.5 goals.

The model's suggested picks include an Under 3.5 goal selection with an 80.3% probability and a 12% edge. The probabilities for the match result are: home win 46%, draw 30%, and away win 24%. The suggested picks are: Under 3.5 (80.3%), and the model's selection has a 46% chance of winning, a 30% chance of drawing, and a 24% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The draw between Milsami Orhei and Sireți was a surprising result, as Milsami Orhei extended their run of draws to four games. The final score of 2-2 was a fitting outcome, given the model's prediction of a most likely score of 1-1, which had a probability of 14%. The model's selection, Home win, had a pre-match probability of 46%, but ultimately failed to come through, as the model's call was incorrect. The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals also missed, with a probability of 80.3%. The model's selection of Home win had a pre-match probability of 46%, while Milsami Orhei had recently struggled at home, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in their last few games.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milsami Orhei win✗ Miss

46.3%

Avg Implied 64.3% · @ 1.40

Edge

-18.0%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

1.46

Superbet

1.43

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.42

William Hil

1.40

Draw✓ Hit

30.1%

Avg Implied 22.1% · @ 4.08

Edge

+7.9%

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

4.20

Marathonbet

4.20

Superbet

4.15

Bet365

4.10

Dafabet

4.10

Sireți win✗ Miss

23.7%

Avg Implied 13.6% · @ 6.65

Edge

+10.1%

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

7.41

Marathonbet

7.10

William Hil

7.00

Dafabet

6.60

Betfair

6.50

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Milsami Orhei

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.4

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

1.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.13	1.37	1.00	1.00	1.27	1.73
vs Stronger (5)	0.60	0.80	0.50	0.00	0.67	1.33
vs Similar (11)	0.45	2.36	0.40	1.80	0.50	2.83
vs Weaker (14)	1.86	0.79	1.50	0.75	2.33	0.83
Clean sheet %	30% (-1pp vs league)

This opponent (Sireți) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sireți

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.8

Avg scored

1.4

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.50	1.27	2.94	1.06	2.00	1.50
vs Stronger (11)	2.45	1.27	2.80	1.00	2.17	1.50
vs Similar (17)	2.71	1.35	3.30	1.10	1.86	1.71
vs Weaker (2)	1.00	0.50	0.00	1.00	2.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	27% (-5pp vs league)

This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

67.8%

@ 1.22-6.1%

Under 1.5

32.2%

@ 3.47+6.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.25

Marathonbet

1.21

1xBet

1.21

Under

1xBet

3.58

Marathonbet

3.58

Superbet

3.25

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

40.0%

@ 1.78-12.0%

Under 2.5

60.0%

@ 1.92+12.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.85

Superbet

1.85

1xBet

1.75

Betano

1.75

Marathonbet

1.75

Under

Pinnacle

1.96

Bet365

1.95

1xBet

1.94

Marathonbet

1.94

Betano

1.90

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

19.7%

@ 2.84-12.1%

Under 3.5

80.3%

@ 1.33+12.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

3.00

Pinnacle

2.81

Marathonbet

2.78

1xBet

2.78

Under

Pinnacle

1.35

1xBet

1.34

Marathonbet

1.34

Superbet

1.29

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

45.9%

@ 1.99-0.3%

54.1%

@ 1.71+0.3%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Superbet

2.07

Marathonbet

1.95

1xBet

1.95

1xBet

1.74

Marathonbet

1.71

Superbet

1.67

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

14.0%@ 7.67+8.5%

1-0

12.7%@ 6.17+5.9%

0-0

11.5%@ 10.33+7.4%

2-0

9.6%@ 6.33+3.0%

2-1

8.7%@ 8.00+3.5%

0-1

8.0%@ 13.67+4.9%

1-2

5.8%@ 18.33+3.5%

3-0

4.4%@ 9.17-0.2%

Milsami Orhei goals ↓

	Sireți goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	11%	8.0%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%
1	13%	14%	5.8%	1.8%	0.4%
2	9.6%	8.7%	4.0%	1.2%	0.3%
3	4.4%	4.0%	1.8%	0.6%	0.1%
4	1.5%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Milsami Orhei goals (down), columns = Sireți goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Sheriff Tiraspol

2.25

Zimbru

2.00

Dacia-Buiucani

1.62

Petrocub

1.38

Politehnica UTM

1.38

Milsami Orhei

1.12

Sireți

0.75

CSF Bălți

0.25

Milsami Orhei is 0.38 points better than Sireți in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 0.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Zimbru

2.62

Sheriff Tiraspol

2.25

Politehnica UTM

1.88

Petrocub

1.75

Dacia-Buiucani

1.38

Milsami Orhei

1.00

Sireți

0.75

CSF Bălți

0.62

Milsami Orhei is 0.25 goals better than Sireți in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Sheriff Tiraspol

0.75

Petrocub

1.12

Zimbru

1.12

Sireți

1.25

Politehnica UTM

1.50

Dacia-Buiucani

1.50

Milsami Orhei

1.75

CSF Bălți

3.25

Milsami Orhei is 0.50 goals worse than Sireți in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Milsami Orhei

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.8

Avg scored

0.3

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.67	0.57	0.47	0.40	0.87	0.73
vs Stronger (5)	0.60	0.40	0.50	0.00	0.67	0.67
vs Similar (11)	0.18	0.91	0.20	0.80	0.17	1.00
vs Weaker (14)	1.07	0.36	0.62	0.25	1.67	0.50
Clean sheet %	53% (+22pp vs league)

This opponent (Sireți) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sireți

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.1

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.33	0.50	1.44	0.25	1.21	0.79
vs Stronger (11)	1.36	0.82	1.00	0.40	1.67	1.17
vs Similar (17)	1.41	0.35	1.80	0.20	0.86	0.57
vs Weaker (2)	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	67% (+35pp vs league)

This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

0.0%

Under 0.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Sireți over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Sireți over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Sireți over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Milsami Orhei

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

0.3

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.47	0.80	0.53	0.60	0.40	1.00
vs Stronger (5)	0.00	0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.67
vs Similar (11)	0.27	1.45	0.20	1.00	0.33	1.83
vs Weaker (14)	0.79	0.43	0.88	0.50	0.67	0.33
Clean sheet %	47% (+15pp vs league)

This opponent (Sireți) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sireți

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.17	0.77	1.50	0.81	0.79	0.71
vs Stronger (11)	1.09	0.45	1.80	0.60	0.50	0.33
vs Similar (17)	1.29	1.00	1.50	0.90	1.00	1.14
vs Weaker (2)	0.50	0.50	0.00	1.00	1.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	43% (+12pp vs league)

This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

0.0%

Under 0.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Sireți over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Sireți over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Sireți over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 3.5	80.3%	1.33	Pinnacle 1.35	1xBet 1.34	Marathonbet 1.34	Superbet 1.29	-	+12.1%	✗ Miss

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ST (24)

€6m

PET (22)

€5m

ZIM (24)

€4m

MO (22)

€3m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ST (8)

€3m

PET (9)

€2m

ZIM (9)

€2m

MO (6)

€1m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ST (6)

€1m

ZIM (7)

€1m

MO (5)

€1m

PET (5)

€1m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ST (10)

€3m

PET (8)

€2m

MO (11)

€2m

ZIM (8)

€1m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings

MO wins

Draws

SIR wins

Head-to-head

Milsami Orhei vs Sireți · H/A from MO

Date	H/A	Game	Score
No games.

Milsami Orhei

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/07/26	A	Sheriff Tiraspol Vs MO	0-0
19/07/26	H	MO Vs CSF Bălți	2-1
12/07/26	H	MO Vs Dacia-Buiucani	0-1
04/07/26	A	Petrocub Vs MO	5-0
17/05/26	H	MO Vs Sheriff Tiraspol	0-0
09/05/26	A	Dacia-Buiucani Vs MO	1-2
02/05/26	H	MO Vs Petrocub	0-3
26/04/26	A	CSF Bălți Vs MO	1-0
18/04/26	A	Zimbru Vs MO	3-1
11/04/26	A	Sheriff Tiraspol Vs MO	3-1

Sireți

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/07/26	H	SIR Vs Petrocub	0-0
18/07/26	A	Zimbru Vs SIR	1-1
11/07/26	H	SIR Vs Politehnica UTM	1-2
05/07/26	A	Dacia-Buiucani Vs SIR	3-0
27/05/26	H	SIR Vs Floreşti	1-0
20/05/26	H	SIR Vs Iskra	1-0
16/05/26	H	SIR Vs Oguzsport	5-2
09/05/26	H	SIR Vs FC Stăuceni	4-3
05/05/26	A	Iskra Vs SIR	3-0
02/05/26	H	SIR Vs Floreşti	1-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Milsami Orhei

Moldova: Super Liga

Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLLWD	1.52
Home	WLDLW	1.84
Away	LLWLD	1.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	42%	52%	32%
AVG goals	2.72	2.52	2.92
Over 1.5 %	74%	68%	80%
Over 2.5 %	58%	56%	60%
Over 3.5 %	28%	24%	32%
Scored	1.54	1.60	1.48
Conceded	1.18	0.92	1.44
BTTS	48%	48%	48%
Clean Sheet	34%	40%	28%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Sireți

Moldova: Super Liga

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLLDD	1.97
Home	WWWLD	2.29
Away	DLLLD	1.60

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	59%	71%	47%
AVG goals	3.66	3.76	3.53
Over 1.5 %	81%	65%	100%
Over 2.5 %	59%	53%	67%
Over 3.5 %	50%	47%	53%
Scored	2.41	2.76	2.00
Conceded	1.25	1.00	1.53
BTTS	59%	53%	67%
Clean Sheet	28%	41%	13%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 16. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	8	18	62%	2.2	18	6	+12	3.0	62%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	1	3	2.2	0.8	-
2	Zimbru	8	16	62%	2.0	21	9	+12	3.8	100%	75%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	1	2.6	1.1	-
3	Dacia-Buiucani	8	13	50%	1.6	11	12	-1	2.9	62%	62%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.5	-
4	Petrocub	8	11	38%	1.4	14	9	+5	2.9	75%	62%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	1.8	1.1	-
5	Politehnica UTM	8	11	38%	1.4	15	12	+3	3.4	88%	62%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.9	1.5	-
6	Milsami Orhei	8	9	25%	1.1	8	14	-6	2.8	62%	50%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	2	1.0	1.8	-
7	Sireți	8	6	0%	0.8	6	10	-4	2.0	75%	38%	12%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	1.2	-
8	CSF Bălți	8	2	0%	0.2	5	26	-21	3.9	100%	75%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.6	3.2	-

Moldova: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

← all matches

Milsami Orhei vs Sireți Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Milsami Orhei

Sireți

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Milsami Orhei

Sireți

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Milsami Orhei

Sireți

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Milsami Orhei

Sireți

📊 15. Overall Statistics

🏆 16. League Table

A Pro feature