This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.05
1.47
1.50
1.60
0.56
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.30
1.70
1.67
1.83
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
1.22
1.25
1.25
0.40
1.20
Clean sheet %
11% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.6%
Under 1.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
33.3%
Under 2.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.9%
Under 3.5
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.2%
No
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.0%
0-0
14.3%
1-1 ✓
14.1%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.2%
Mirandes goals ↓
Almeria goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
9.0%
4.1%
1.1%
0.2%
1
15%
14%
5.1%
1.3%
0.3%
2
10%
8.0%
3.2%
0.8%
0.2%
3
4.2%
3.3%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.3%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mirandes goals (down), columns = Almeria goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Alaves
1.79
Leganes
1.76
Gimnastic
1.69
Girona
1.57
Cordoba
1.55
Alcorcon
1.52
Zaragoza
1.52
Osasuna
1.52
Oviedo
1.40
Numancia
1.36
Elche
1.36
Tenerife
1.31
Huesca
1.31
Lugo
1.29
Mirandes
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Mallorca
1.17
Almeria
1.14
Ponferradina
1.12
Llagostera
1.05
Albacete
0.93
Ath Bilbao B
0.76
Mirandes is 0.10 points better than Almeria in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Cordoba
1.40
Leganes
1.40
Numancia
1.36
Gimnastic
1.36
Mirandes
1.31
Oviedo
1.24
Zaragoza
1.19
Alaves
1.17
Huesca
1.14
Alcorcon
1.14
Valladolid
1.12
Osasuna
1.12
Girona
1.10
Tenerife
1.07
Llagostera
1.05
Lugo
1.05
Almeria
1.05
Elche
0.95
Ponferradina
0.93
Albacete
0.93
Mallorca
0.93
Ath Bilbao B
0.83
Mirandes is 0.26 goals better than Almeria in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.05).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Girona
0.67
Leganes
0.81
Alaves
0.83
Osasuna
0.95
Gimnastic
0.98
Alcorcon
1.05
Zaragoza
1.05
Mallorca
1.07
Tenerife
1.10
Elche
1.10
Huesca
1.17
Lugo
1.19
Numancia
1.21
Oviedo
1.21
Almeria
1.21
Valladolid
1.24
Cordoba
1.24
Llagostera
1.29
Ponferradina
1.29
Mirandes
1.33
Ath Bilbao B
1.40
Albacete
1.45
Mirandes is 0.12 goals worse than Almeria in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Mirandes
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Almeria
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Mirandes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Not collected for this league yet.
🟨 Total Cards
Not collected for this league yet.
⚠️ Total Fouls
Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mirandes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.74
0.26
0.89
0.11
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.33
0.86
0.14
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
79% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.74
0.60
0.70
0.33
0.78
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.70
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (9)
0.33
0.78
0.50
0.75
0.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
42% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mirandes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mirandes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.79
0.95
0.56
0.78
1.00
1.10
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.87
1.13
0.43
1.00
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
32% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.58
0.74
0.90
0.90
0.22
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.70
1.00
1.00
1.17
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (9)
0.44
0.44
0.75
0.50
0.20
0.40
Clean sheet %
42% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Mirandes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mirandes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mirandes · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Carlos Fernández37%
Unax Del Cura31%
Javier Hernández29%
Pablo López Gómez25%
Adrián Pica25%
Gonzalo Petit21%
Nikola Maraš14%
Rafael Bauzà11%
Ismael Barea9%
Iker Varela6%
Fernando Medrano6%
Álex Cardero6%
Alberto Mari5%
Salim El Jebari3%
Mickaël Malsa0%
Sergio Postigo0%
Martín Pascual0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Juan Gutiérrez0%
Juan Palomares0%
Pablo Pérez0%
Igor Nikić0%
Marino Illescas0%
Adrián Pica0%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda0%
Diego Sia0%
Selvi Clúa0%
Siren Diao0%
Jorge Cabello0%
Thiago Helguera0%
Iker Cordoba0%
Ali Houary0%
Aarón Martín0%
Toni Tamarit0%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda0%
Julen Martinez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Juan Gutiérrez36%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda33%
Javier Hernández33%
Rafael Bauzà32%
Iker Cordoba30%
Fernando Medrano30%
Nikola Maraš29%
Marino Illescas27%
Ismael Barea27%
Martín Pascual26%
Carlos Fernández26%
Sergio Postigo25%
Adrián Pica25%
Adrián Pica25%
Álex Cardero24%
Selvi Clúa23%
Alberto Mari21%
Juan Palomares19%
Pablo Pérez19%
Hugo Novoa Ramos17%
Unax Del Cura15%
Siren Diao14%
Ali Houary13%
Iker Varela12%
Salim El Jebari9%
Jorge Cabello9%
Thiago Helguera9%
Aarón Martín6%
Toni Tamarit3%
Mickaël Malsa0%
Igor Nikić0%
Diego Sia0%
Pablo López Gómez0%
Gonzalo Petit0%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda0%
Julen Martinez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Unax Del Cura15%
Javier Hernández14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Alberto Mari11%
Hugo Novoa Ramos10%
Fernando Medrano9%
Marino Illescas9%
Martín Pascual9%
Rafael Bauzà8%
Pablo Pérez7%
Ali Houary7%
Toni Tamarit6%
Álex Cardero6%
Carlos Fernández6%
Gonzalo Petit5%
Thiago Helguera3%
Juan Gutiérrez3%
Nikola Maraš0%
Mickaël Malsa0%
Sergio Postigo0%
Juan Palomares0%
Igor Nikić0%
Adrián Pica0%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda0%
Iker Varela0%
Diego Sia0%
Selvi Clúa0%
Pablo López Gómez0%
Siren Diao0%
Jorge Cabello0%
Iker Cordoba0%
Ismael Barea0%
Aarón Martín0%
Adrián Pica0%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda0%
Julen Martinez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Javier Hernández33%
Pablo López Gómez25%
Unax Del Cura23%
Alberto Mari21%
Carlos Fernández14%
Siren Diao14%
Sergio Postigo12%
Martín Pascual9%
Rafael Bauzà8%
Selvi Clúa8%
Iker Varela6%
Álex Cardero6%
Nikola Maraš0%
Mickaël Malsa0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Fernando Medrano0%
Juan Gutiérrez0%
Juan Palomares0%
Pablo Pérez0%
Igor Nikić0%
Marino Illescas0%
Adrián Pica0%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda0%
Salim El Jebari0%
Diego Sia0%
Jorge Cabello0%
Thiago Helguera0%
Gonzalo Petit0%
Iker Cordoba0%
Ali Houary0%
Ismael Barea0%
Aarón Martín0%
Toni Tamarit0%
Adrián Pica0%
Etienne Eto'o Pineda0%
Julen Martinez0%
Almeria · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Federico Bonini33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrián Embarba33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Stefan Džodić0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Nicolás Melamed0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ELC (27)
€79m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
VAL (29)
€26m
ALB (27)
€18m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Mirandes's squad is €48m less valuable than Almeria's (€6m vs €54m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
ELC (13)
€34m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
LEG (11)
€14m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Mirandes's attack is €37m less valuable than Almeria's (€2m vs €38m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
ALA (8)
€22m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Mirandes's midfield is €4m less valuable than Almeria's (€1m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
GIR (9)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
LEG (10)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
ALB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Mirandes's defence is €7m less valuable than Almeria's (€4m vs €11m).
Spain: Segunda División 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Alaves
Leganes
Gimnastic
Girona
Cordoba
Osasuna
Zaragoza
Alcorcon
Oviedo
Numancia
Elche
Huesca
Tenerife
Lugo
Valladolid
Mallorca
Ponferradina
Albacete