This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.10
0.88
0.94
0.79
1.29
vs Stronger (21)
0.86
1.10
0.73
0.82
1.00
1.40
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.11
1.20
1.20
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Mirandes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.0%
Under 1.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.2%
@ 1.89+0.4%
Under 2.5
49.8%
@ 1.88-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.2%
Under 3.5
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-0 ✓
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
Mirandes goals ↓
Amorebieta goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
6.4%
4.2%
1.6%
0.4%
1
9.5%
13%
6.7%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.4%
9.4%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.4%
4.9%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.7%
1.9%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mirandes goals (down), columns = Amorebieta goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leganes
1.76
Valladolid
1.71
Espanyol
1.65
Eibar
1.64
Oviedo
1.54
Racing Santander
1.52
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Burgos
1.40
Levante
1.40
Elche
1.40
Racing Ferrol
1.40
Tenerife
1.33
FC Cartagena
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Albacete
1.21
Eldense
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Mirandes
1.17
Amorebieta
1.07
Alcorcon
1.05
Villarreal II
1.02
FC Andorra
1.02
Mirandes is 0.10 points better than Amorebieta in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.07).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eibar
1.64
Racing Santander
1.50
Espanyol
1.35
Leganes
1.33
Oviedo
1.26
Burgos
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Albacete
1.19
Levante
1.17
Racing Ferrol
1.17
Sporting Gijon
1.16
Mirandes
1.12
Eldense
1.10
Elche
1.02
Zaragoza
1.00
Villarreal II
0.98
Tenerife
0.90
Amorebieta
0.88
FC Cartagena
0.88
Huesca
0.86
FC Andorra
0.79
Alcorcon
0.76
Mirandes is 0.24 goals better than Amorebieta in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leganes
0.64
Huesca
0.79
Valladolid
0.86
Oviedo
0.89
Espanyol
0.89
Tenerife
0.98
Sporting Gijon
0.98
Zaragoza
1.00
Levante
1.07
Elche
1.10
Eibar
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.21
Racing Ferrol
1.24
Amorebieta
1.26
FC Andorra
1.26
Alcorcon
1.26
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Eldense
1.33
Albacete
1.33
Villarreal II
1.48
Mirandes is 0.05 goals worse than Amorebieta in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
63%
Elche
58%
Valladolid
56%
Eibar
55%
Oviedo
54%
Sporting Gijon
54%
Levante
52%
Racing Ferrol
52%
Espanyol
51%
Zaragoza
50%
Villarreal II
50%
Tenerife
50%
Albacete
49%
Racing Santander
47%
Burgos
47%
Amorebieta
46%
Leganes
46%
Eldense
45%
Huesca
45%
Mirandes
45%
FC Cartagena
44%
Alcorcon
42%
Mirandes is 1.7 percentage points worse than Amorebieta in terms of average possession (45% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Mirandes
For 4.6 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Amorebieta
For 3.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 9.8 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mirandes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.4
10.5
4.0
3.9
4.2
23.7
23.4
24.0
vs Stronger (8)
11.7
13.0
10.3
5.2
5.0
5.5
28.3
28.3
28.3
vs Similar (36)
9.1
7.7
10.5
3.9
4.1
3.8
23.1
23.0
23.1
vs Weaker (6)
9.2
7.0
10.7
2.8
1.3
4.3
22.2
19.0
24.3
% over line
37%
15%
57%
56%
58%
54%
68%
75%
62%
% under line
63%
85%
43%
44%
42%
46%
32%
25%
38%
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.4
8.5
4.3
4.7
4.0
24.3
25.5
22.9
vs Stronger (32)
9.0
9.4
8.6
4.2
4.6
3.8
23.5
24.9
22.1
vs Similar (18)
8.9
9.4
8.2
4.6
4.8
4.2
25.7
26.6
24.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
46%
29%
62%
65%
58%
64%
81%
46%
% under line
62%
54%
71%
38%
35%
42%
36%
19%
54%
This opponent (Mirandes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oviedo
10.5
Racing Santander
10.1
Mirandes
10.0
Sporting Gijon
10.0
Levante
9.9
Espanyol
9.8
Burgos
9.6
Elche
9.6
Huesca
9.5
Eibar
9.5
Valladolid
9.4
Eldense
9.4
Villarreal II
9.3
Tenerife
9.2
Zaragoza
9.1
Leganes
9.0
Amorebieta
8.9
Albacete
8.9
FC Cartagena
8.9
Alcorcon
8.9
FC Andorra
8.8
Racing Ferrol
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
5.9
Espanyol
5.6
Tenerife
5.4
Valladolid
5.4
Oviedo
5.3
Leganes
5.3
Sporting Gijon
5.3
Huesca
5.2
Elche
5.1
FC Cartagena
5.0
Alcorcon
4.9
Mirandes
4.9
Zaragoza
4.9
Levante
4.9
Albacete
4.9
Villarreal II
4.8
FC Andorra
4.8
Eibar
4.8
Burgos
4.6
Amorebieta
4.4
Eldense
4.1
Racing Ferrol
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
29.6
Espanyol
28.3
Oviedo
27.1
Leganes
27.1
Elche
26.8
Valladolid
26.7
Tenerife
26.6
Eldense
26.4
Albacete
26.4
Levante
26.0
Huesca
25.6
Villarreal II
25.6
Zaragoza
25.5
Racing Ferrol
25.4
FC Cartagena
25.2
FC Andorra
25.1
Alcorcon
24.9
Amorebieta
24.3
Mirandes
24.0
Sporting Gijon
23.3
Eibar
23.2
Burgos
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
37.9%
Under 9.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.0%
Under 3.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.2%
Under 21.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mirandes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.57
0.36
0.36
0.25
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.80
0.00
0.50
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.24
0.52
0.40
0.20
0.09
0.82
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.43
0.44
0.44
0.21
0.43
vs Stronger (21)
0.29
0.43
0.36
0.45
0.20
0.40
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.44
0.60
0.40
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Mirandes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mirandes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mirandes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.93
0.71
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.71
0.90
1.00
0.45
0.45
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.44
0.50
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (21)
0.57
0.67
0.36
0.36
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.67
0.60
0.80
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Mirandes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mirandes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mirandes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mirandes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Carlos Martín28%
Gabriel Martínez22%
Javier Martón Ansó20%
Ilyas Chaira11%
Alan Godoy10%
Lautaro De León8%
Antonino La Gumina6%
Ivan Durdov5%
Sergio Barcia5%
Mathis Lachuer4%
Alejandro Barbudo Barbu4%
Pablo Tomeo3%
Juan María Alcedo3%
Jonathan Gómez3%
Alberto Reina Campos2%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán2%
Alberto Rodríguez0%
Houboulang Mendes0%
Pablo Ramón0%
David Vicente0%
Ramón Juan0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Luis López0%
Diego Moreno0%
Ruben Sanchez Saez0%
Ibrahima Kébé0%
Daniel Luna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Houboulang Mendes60%
Alberto Rodríguez40%
Alan Godoy30%
Pablo Ramón26%
Javier Martón Ansó25%
Pablo Tomeo24%
Alberto Reina Campos22%
Mathis Lachuer22%
Alejandro Barbudo Barbu21%
Gabriel Martínez20%
Antonino La Gumina19%
Ilyas Chaira18%
Juan María Alcedo17%
Jonathan Gómez16%
Lautaro De León15%
Luis López14%
Sergio Barcia12%
Diego Moreno10%
Ruben Sanchez Saez10%
Carlos Martín8%
Ramón Juan6%
Ivan Durdov5%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán5%
David Vicente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Ibrahima Kébé0%
Daniel Luna0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gabriel Martínez12%
Jonathan Gómez11%
Ilyas Chaira11%
Mathis Lachuer9%
Carlos Martín8%
Juan María Alcedo7%
Antonino La Gumina6%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán5%
Alberto Rodríguez3%
Pablo Ramón3%
Alberto Reina Campos2%
Ivan Durdov0%
Houboulang Mendes0%
David Vicente0%
Ramón Juan0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Luis López0%
Javier Martón Ansó0%
Lautaro De León0%
Alan Godoy0%
Sergio Barcia0%
Alejandro Barbudo Barbu0%
Diego Moreno0%
Ruben Sanchez Saez0%
Ibrahima Kébé0%
Pablo Tomeo0%
Daniel Luna0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Carlos Martín25%
Alan Godoy20%
Gabriel Martínez12%
Javier Martón Ansó10%
Ilyas Chaira8%
Antonino La Gumina6%
Ruben Sanchez Saez5%
Alberto Rodríguez0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Houboulang Mendes0%
Pablo Ramón0%
David Vicente0%
Ramón Juan0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Luis López0%
Lautaro De León0%
Alberto Reina Campos0%
Sergio Barcia0%
Alejandro Barbudo Barbu0%
Mathis Lachuer0%
Diego Moreno0%
Jonathan Gómez0%
Ibrahima Kébé0%
Juan María Alcedo0%
Pablo Tomeo0%
Daniel Luna0%
Amorebieta
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iker Unzueta Arregui25%
Eneko Jauregi16%
Félix Garreta13%
Manu Hernando9%
Javier Eraso9%
Ryan Edwards8%
Jon Morcillo8%
Josué Dorrio7%
Javier Avilés7%
Unai Bustinza6%
Álvaro Núñez5%
Josep Gayá5%
Rayco Rodriguez3%
Kwasi Sibo3%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Erik Morán0%
Jorge Mier0%
Daniel Lasure0%
Àlex Carbonell0%
Xabier Etxeita0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Luis Quintero0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josep Gayá33%
Unai Bustinza29%
Manu Hernando23%
Kwasi Sibo21%
Álvaro Núñez21%
Iker Seguin20%
Félix Garreta19%
Xabier Etxeita19%
Erik Morán19%
Daniel Lasure17%
Àlex Carbonell16%
Jorge Mier10%
Javier Eraso9%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca8%
Eneko Jauregi8%
Josué Dorrio7%
Javier Avilés7%
Jorge Yriarte7%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia6%
Ryan Edwards6%
Luis Quintero6%
Jon Morcillo5%
Pablo Cunat4%
Rayco Rodriguez3%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Iker Unzueta Arregui0%
Angel Troncho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Erik Morán12%
Josué Dorrio12%
Daniel Lasure7%
Rayco Rodriguez7%
Luis Quintero6%
Eneko Jauregi5%
Jon Morcillo5%
Álvaro Núñez5%
Xabier Etxeita4%
Félix Garreta3%
Kwasi Sibo0%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Jorge Mier0%
Àlex Carbonell0%
Unai Bustinza0%
Javier Eraso0%
Javier Avilés0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Iker Unzueta Arregui0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Manu Hernando0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Josep Gayá0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jürgen Locadia25%
Jon Morcillo14%
Eneko Jauregi11%
Josué Dorrio7%
Iker Unzueta Arregui5%
Javier Eraso4%
Daniel Lasure3%
Àlex Carbonell3%
Álvaro Núñez3%
Kwasi Sibo0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Erik Morán0%
Jorge Mier0%
Rayco Rodriguez0%
Unai Bustinza0%
Javier Avilés0%
Xabier Etxeita0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Manu Hernando0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Josep Gayá0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Félix Garreta0%
Luis Quintero0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →