The match between Mjallby AIF and Djurgardens IF is a tight affair, with no clear favourite. The model favours an away win, assigning a 39% chance to Djurgardens, 30% to Mjallby and 30% to a draw. The expected total of goals is 2.4, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.4% probability. Mjallby, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.64 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Djurgardens, on the road against a similar side, averages 1.78 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. The recent form narrative is compelling: Mjallby come off a 0-4 loss to Djurgardens after three straight defeats, while Djurgardens return from a 4-0 win over Mjallby on a two-game winning run. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.6%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.6% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.5% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.3% with a 6% edge), Under 5.5 (96.7% with a 6% edge), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.2% with a 7% edge).
Results analysis
The latest Allsvenskan clash saw Djurgårdens IF claim a 2-0 victory over Mjällby AIF, extending their three-game winning streak and confirming the model’s prediction that the away side would triumph. The model had identified the away win as the favourite with a 39% probability, and that call proved correct. The final score of 0-2 matched the actual result, and the most likely scoreline of 1-1 did not materialise. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.7%, Under 6.5 at 98.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.5%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.6%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.3%, Under 5.5 at 96.7%, and Away under 3.5 goals at 96.0%. All of these picks were settled as hits, underscoring the model’s strong performance.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Mjallby AIF win✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied 21.6% · @ 4.38
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.81
Dafabet
4.80
Betfair
4.75
Bet365
4.75
Betano
4.60
Draw✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied 23.8% · @ 3.98
Edge
+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.34
Bet365
4.20
Dafabet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Betfair
4.10
Djurgardens IF win✓ Hit
39.4%
Avg Implied 54.6% · @ 1.73
Edge
-15.2%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
2.70
Superbet
1.73
SBO
1.71
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.66
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Mjallby AIF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.23
1.56
0.88
1.57
1.64
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (21)
1.33
1.38
1.64
0.91
1.00
1.90
vs Weaker (7)
2.71
0.57
1.75
0.75
4.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Djurgardens IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.50
1.13
2.88
1.31
2.07
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
2.47
1.26
3.10
1.30
1.78
1.22
vs Weaker (11)
2.55
0.91
2.50
1.33
2.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.4%
@ 1.17-9.9%
Under 1.5
30.6%
@ 4.51+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Under
Betfair
5.00
Pinnacle
4.80
BetVictor
4.75
Unibet
4.70
Superbet
4.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.8%
@ 1.60-16.9%
Under 2.5
58.2%
@ 2.27+16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.75
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
Betfair
2.38
Marathonbet
2.33
1xBet
2.31
Betano
2.30
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
@ 2.50-16.3%
Under 3.5
78.8%
@ 1.49+16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.90
10Bet
2.60
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
Bet365
2.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.52
BetVictor
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.9%
@ 1.60-9.2%
No
51.1%
@ 2.21+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.65
Betano
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.60
No
Betfair
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%@ 7.44+8.4%
0-0
10.8%@ 13.52+7.5%
0-1
10.8%@ 8.29+5.4%
1-0
9.0%@ 14.11+5.8%
1-2
8.3%@ 7.48+2.3%
0-2 ✓
7.7%@ 8.62+2.5%
2-1
7.1%@ 12.88+3.6%
2-0
5.6%@ 24.27+3.7%
Mjallby AIF goals ↓
Djurgardens IF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
11%
7.7%
3.3%
1.0%
1
9.0%
14%
8.3%
3.5%
1.1%
2
5.6%
7.1%
4.5%
1.9%
0.6%
3
2.0%
2.5%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mjallby AIF goals (down), columns = Djurgardens IF goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.84
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Malmo FF
1.53
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.11
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
Mjallby AIF is 0.73 points worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.84).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.26
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.33
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
Mjallby AIF is 0.93 goals worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 2.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.00
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.61
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
Mjallby AIF is 0.61 goals worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
56%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Mjallby AIF is 3.4 percentage points worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of average possession (53% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Mjallby AIF
For 3.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 10.5 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Djurgardens IF
For 6.7 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 12.4 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mjallby AIF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
11.4
9.0
2.9
2.8
2.9
25.1
25.3
24.8
vs Stronger (2)
7.5
8.0
7.0
2.0
1.0
3.0
17.0
19.0
15.0
vs Similar (36)
10.2
11.6
9.1
3.0
2.8
3.2
25.5
25.8
25.3
vs Weaker (12)
10.4
11.6
9.0
2.7
3.3
2.0
25.3
25.4
25.2
% over line
52%
68%
38%
40%
44%
36%
70%
74%
67%
% under line
48%
32%
62%
60%
56%
64%
30%
26%
33%
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Djurgardens IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.1
10.6
3.9
3.8
4.0
25.4
26.1
24.6
vs Stronger (2)
8.5
7.0
10.0
2.5
3.0
2.0
21.5
18.0
25.0
vs Similar (28)
9.9
9.6
10.2
4.4
4.9
4.0
26.1
28.1
24.0
vs Weaker (20)
11.3
11.2
11.4
3.3
2.3
4.3
24.5
23.5
25.5
% over line
58%
57%
59%
58%
48%
68%
76%
74%
77%
% under line
42%
43%
41%
42%
52%
32%
24%
26%
23%
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.6
Sirius
11.1
Orgryte IS
10.7
BK Hacken
10.7
IF Brommapojkarna
10.7
Djurgardens IF
10.5
Gais
10.4
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Degerfors IF
10.3
Halmstad
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.2
IF Elfsborg
10.0
Mjallby AIF
10.0
Vasteras SK FK
9.9
Hammarby FF
9.9
Malmo FF
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.2
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Malmo FF
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Gais
3.7
Mjallby AIF
3.7
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Halmstad
3.5
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Malmo FF
25.7
Djurgardens IF
25.7
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Sirius
25.4
Degerfors IF
25.4
Vasteras SK FK
25.1
Mjallby AIF
25.0
Gais
25.0
IF Brommapojkarna
24.6
BK Hacken
24.4
Hammarby FF
24.4
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
24.1
Kalmar FF
23.6
Halmstad
23.3
Orgryte IS
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
63.6%
@ 1.64+7.2%
Under 9.5
36.4%
@ 2.13-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Unibet
1.58
Under
Betano
2.40
Superbet
2.30
Unibet
2.16
Pinnacle
2.04
1xBet
2.03
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.8%
Under 3.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.4%
Under 21.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Mjallby AIF or Draw✗ Miss
60.6%
Avg Implied 45.0% · @ 2.08
Edge
+15.6%
30%
30%
39%
covers Mjallby AIF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.27
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.17
Bet365
2.15
Mjallby AIF or Djurgardens IF✓ Hit
69.6%
Avg Implied 77.3% · @ 1.21
Edge
-7.8%
30%
30%
39%
covers Mjallby AIF + Djurgardens IF
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.30
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Draw or Djurgardens IF✓ Hit
69.9%
Avg Implied 77.7% · @ 1.21
Edge
-7.8%
30%
30%
39%
covers Draw + Djurgardens IF
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.53
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.18
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Mjallby AIF over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
66.1%
@ 1.39-1.1%
Under
33.9%
@ 2.84+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Betfair
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
888Sport
3.75
Pinnacle
2.92
Superbet
2.87
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Mjallby AIF over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.4%
@ 2.89-3.0%
Under
70.6%
@ 1.38+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.10
BetVictor
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Under
888Sport
1.62
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Mjallby AIF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.6%
@ 6.92-4.0%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.08+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
7.60
Marathonbet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
Under
888Sport
1.17
Unibet
1.13
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Mjallby AIF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 14.38-4.2%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
19.00
888Sport
12.00
Betano
11.50
Marathonbet
10.75
Under
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Djurgardens IF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.0%
@ 1.14-10.1%
Under
28.0%
@ 5.22+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.95
BetVictor
5.75
Superbet
5.65
Djurgardens IF over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
36.3%
@ 1.66-20.5%
Under
63.7%
@ 2.19+20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.38
Superbet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.37
Marathonbet
2.30
1xBet
2.28
Betano
2.27
Betfair
2.25
Djurgardens IF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 3.09-16.9%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.36+16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
5.50
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.92
Pinnacle
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Under
Marathonbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Djurgardens IF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 7.14-9.3%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.10+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
15.00
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.00
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.65
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.10
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Mjallby AIF, so a minus line means Mjallby AIF give that many goals of a start and Djurgardens IF receive them. At -1, Mjallby AIF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Mjallby AIF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Mjallby AIF)Actual: Djurgardens IF
Mjallby AIF -2
3.7%
@ 15.01-2.4%
Draw -2
8.6%
@ 9.07-1.5%
Djurgardens IF +2
87.7%
@ 1.10+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
19.00
Betfair
12.00
Unibet
11.50
Marathonbet
6.55
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
11.00
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Handicap -1 (Mjallby AIF)Actual: Djurgardens IF
Mjallby AIF -1
12.3%
@ 8.48+1.5%
Draw -1
17.9%
@ 5.72+1.9%
Djurgardens IF +1
69.9%
@ 1.25-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.90
Betfair
4.50
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.15
Unibet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Betfair
4.20
Away
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Handicap +1 (Mjallby AIF)Actual: Djurgardens IF
Mjallby AIF +1
60.6%
@ 2.12+18.5%
Draw +1
21.2%
@ 3.66-3.1%
Djurgardens IF -1
18.2%
@ 2.65-15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.19
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.70
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Away
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.75
10Bet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Unibet
2.60
Handicap +2 (Mjallby AIF)Actual: Draw
Mjallby AIF +2
81.8%
@ 1.41+18.2%
Draw +2
11.9%
@ 4.80-6.7%
Djurgardens IF -2
6.3%
@ 5.03-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Draw
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.15
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.90
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mjallby AIF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.69
0.44
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.62
0.64
0.45
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.29
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Djurgardens IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.60
1.56
0.69
0.93
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.26
0.74
1.60
0.80
0.89
0.67
vs Weaker (11)
1.27
0.36
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
64.4%
@ 1.28-8.1%
Under 0.5
35.6%
@ 3.38+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
William Hil
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.45
William Hil
3.40
1xBet
3.34
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.8%
@ 2.30-6.5%
Under 1.5
66.2%
@ 1.56+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.41
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.31
10Bet
2.30
Under
Superbet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.1%
@ 5.34-6.3%
Under 2.5
88.9%
@ 1.12+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
5.80
BetVictor
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mjallby AIF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.1%
@ 2.35-2.5%
Under
62.9%
@ 1.54+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.47
Betano
2.42
Marathonbet
2.33
1xBet
2.32
Superbet
2.30
Under
Superbet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Unibet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.54
Mjallby AIF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 7.90-3.1%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.05+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.20
10Bet
8.00
Superbet
7.60
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Mjallby AIF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 20.75-3.1%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Djurgardens IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.1%
@ 1.67-6.9%
Under
50.9%
@ 2.12+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.06
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
1xBet
2.23
Unibet
2.20
Superbet
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Djurgardens IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.9%
@ 3.89-8.9%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.21+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Betano
3.90
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Djurgardens IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 9.67-6.9%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.03+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mjallby AIF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.73
0.88
0.44
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.76
1.00
0.45
0.80
1.10
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.29
0.75
0.25
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Djurgardens IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.53
1.31
0.62
1.14
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.21
0.53
1.50
0.50
0.89
0.56
vs Weaker (11)
1.27
0.55
1.00
0.83
1.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.7%
@ 1.17-2.9%
Under 0.5
23.3%
@ 4.59+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.65
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.6%
@ 1.83-9.4%
Under 1.5
58.4%
@ 1.90+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.00
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Under
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.9%
@ 3.52-9.5%
Under 2.5
83.1%
@ 1.26+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
4.00
William Hil
3.70
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Betano
3.35
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mjallby AIF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.9%
@ 1.96-0.3%
Under
53.1%
@ 1.75+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.96
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Under
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Mjallby AIF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 5.82-3.2%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.10+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Marathonbet
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Superbet
5.60
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Mjallby AIF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 17.50-2.9%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Djurgardens IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.3%
@ 1.47-10.4%
Under
46.7%
@ 2.58+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Under
Betano
2.82
1xBet
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Superbet
2.62
Marathonbet
1.97
Djurgardens IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
18.1%
@ 2.86-14.2%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.37+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.00
10Bet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.83
1xBet
2.80
Betano
2.80
Under
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Djurgardens IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 6.97-9.1%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.07+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
7.40
1xBet
7.20
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.02
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.04
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.10
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.4%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.0%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
+12.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
90.4%
1.08
888Sport
1.17
Unibet
1.13
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
87.7%
1.10
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.3%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.3%
1.36
Marathonbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
+16.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.1%
1.21
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.1%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.37
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
+14.2%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
81.8%
1.41
Marathonbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
+18.2%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
78.8%
1.49
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.52
BetVictor
1.51
Betfair
1.50
+16.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.7%
1.17
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.9%
1.37
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Unibet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
+7.7%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
72.0%
1.14
888Sport
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betano
1.12
-10.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
70.6%
1.38
888Sport
1.62
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
+3.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mjallby AIF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elliot Stroud30%
J. Bergström28%
A. Manneh18%
A. Youssef17%
J. Kjær17%
Ludwig Thorell11%
T. Pettersson9%
Olle Lindberg9%
Á. Samuelsen8%
Villiam Granath6%
Viktor Gustafson0%
J. Gustavsson0%
Tony Miettinen0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Axel Norén0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Martin Agnarsson0%
Abdullah Iqbal0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Ludvig Tidstrand0%
T. Helge0%
M. Nielsen0%
Romeo Leandersson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tony Miettinen40%
T. Pettersson36%
Viktor Gustafson29%
J. Kjær25%
Martin Agnarsson25%
T. Helge25%
Abdullah Iqbal20%
J. Gustavsson18%
Á. Samuelsen17%
Axel Norén13%
J. Bergström11%
Romeo Leandersson8%
Ludvig Tidstrand7%
Villiam Granath6%
A. Youssef0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Elliot Stroud0%
Ludwig Thorell0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
M. Nielsen0%
A. Manneh0%
Olle Lindberg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
A. Manneh27%
Ludwig Thorell22%
M. Nielsen18%
J. Gustavsson12%
Villiam Granath12%
Elliot Stroud10%
Olle Lindberg9%
J. Kjær8%
Á. Samuelsen8%
Tony Miettinen7%
Abdullah Iqbal7%
Viktor Gustafson0%
J. Bergström0%
A. Youssef0%
T. Pettersson0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Axel Norén0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Martin Agnarsson0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Ludvig Tidstrand0%
T. Helge0%
Romeo Leandersson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Manneh45%
J. Bergström33%
Á. Samuelsen25%
Villiam Granath12%
Ludwig Thorell11%
Elliot Stroud10%
T. Pettersson9%
J. Kjær8%
Ludvig Tidstrand7%
Viktor Gustafson0%
J. Gustavsson0%
A. Youssef0%
Tony Miettinen0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Axel Norén0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Martin Agnarsson0%
Abdullah Iqbal0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
T. Helge0%
M. Nielsen0%
Romeo Leandersson0%
Olle Lindberg0%
Djurgardens IF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mikael Anderson50%
Kristian Stromland Lien47%
Patric Åslund26%
Bo Åsulv Hegland26%
J. Okkels16%
Nino Žugelj14%
Oskar Fallenius13%
M. Tenho11%
M. Marques10%
Joel Asoro8%
Hampus Finndell7%
A. Ståhl7%
P. Johansson6%
J. Rinne0%
J. Une-Larsson0%
D. Stensson0%
Leon Hien0%
M. Larsson0%
M. Siltanen0%
P. Langhoff0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Tenho28%
M. Marques20%
Leon Hien20%
M. Larsson19%
Joel Asoro17%
M. Siltanen16%
J. Une-Larsson14%
Hampus Finndell13%
A. Ståhl13%
P. Langhoff11%
Oskar Fallenius7%
P. Johansson6%
Bo Åsulv Hegland5%
J. Rinne0%
J. Okkels0%
Mikael Anderson0%
Kristian Stromland Lien0%
Nino Žugelj0%
Patric Åslund0%
D. Stensson0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bo Åsulv Hegland42%
Mikael Anderson25%
Oskar Fallenius20%
P. Johansson17%
Kristian Stromland Lien16%
M. Larsson12%
M. Marques10%
Hampus Finndell7%
A. Ståhl7%
J. Rinne6%
J. Okkels5%
Patric Åslund5%
M. Siltanen5%
Joel Asoro0%
J. Une-Larsson0%
M. Tenho0%
Nino Žugelj0%
D. Stensson0%
Leon Hien0%
P. Langhoff0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kristian Stromland Lien42%
Oskar Fallenius33%
Bo Åsulv Hegland32%
Mikael Anderson25%
Patric Åslund16%
M. Larsson6%
J. Okkels5%
J. Rinne0%
Joel Asoro0%
J. Une-Larsson0%
Hampus Finndell0%
P. Johansson0%
A. Ståhl0%
M. Tenho0%
Nino Žugelj0%
D. Stensson0%
M. Marques0%
Leon Hien0%
M. Siltanen0%
P. Langhoff0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Mjallby AIF's squad is €1m less valuable than Djurgardens IF's (€26m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Mjallby AIF and Djurgardens IF have a similar attack value (both €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
Mjallby AIF's midfield is €3m less valuable than Djurgardens IF's (€11m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Mjallby AIF's defence is €2m more valuable than Djurgardens IF's (€8m vs €6m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
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Sirius
Hammarby FF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
IFK Goteborg
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad