Mladost DG vs Petrovac Result & Analysis

This match between Mladost DG and Petrovac in the Montenegro: First League on August 22nd is finely balanced, with the home side coming off a defeat to Jezero, losing 0-1, and the away side drawing 0-0 against Otrant-Olympic. The model suggests Petrovac as the favourite to win, predicting an away win with a 37% probability, closely followed by a draw at 30% and Mladost DG winning at 33%. The expected total number of goals is 2.4, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, occurring with a 14.3% probability.

Mladost DG has a record of scoring 1.25 goals and conceding 1.5 goals at home, while Petrovac has scored 0.78 goals and conceded 1 goal away from home against similar opponents. The model's selection is the under 3.5 goals, occurring with a 77.3% probability. The suggested picks also include over 1.5 goals, which has a 71% chance of occurring. Mladost DG has a 33% chance of winning, a 30% chance of drawing, and a 37% chance of losing.

The 0-0 draw stunned everyone, as the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win with a 40 % probability, failed to materialise. The match ended in a stalemate, extending both sides’ recent runs of draws. The model’s call was therefore incorrect. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.5 %, Under 6.5 hit at 98.4 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.3 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.3 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.8 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.7 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.2 %, and Under 5.5 hit at 95.4 %. The final score of 0-0 matched the model’s most likely total of 2, which had a 27 % chance.