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Mladost Lješkopolje vs Grbalj Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 2-2
Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
Vs
41%
28%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Grbalj
Grbalj
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost Lješkopolje win✗ Miss
41.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grbalj win✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-737L41W13L00D22D03L40W31W00D11DH·BOK18/05A·BER25/05H·JED31/05A·JED04/06A·IGA10/08H·RUD17/08A·KOM25/08H·LOV15/09H·IBA18/09A·MLA22/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.631.331.731.601.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.171.831.172.001.171.67
vs Weaker (18)1.671.501.441.561.891.44
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W32W20W20W13L04L02L02L11D10WA·LOV12/05H·ISK18/05A·KOM25/05H·IBA10/08A·ISK17/08H·LOV25/08A·MLA01/09H·IGA11/09A·RUD15/09H·KOM22/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.301.191.501.001.07
vs Stronger (19)1.001.471.361.550.501.38
vs Similar (5)1.201.400.502.001.671.00
vs Weaker (6)1.330.671.001.001.670.33
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.2%
Under 1.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.1%
Under 2.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.2%
Under 3.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.5%
No
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.4%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-1
7.3%
2-2 ✓
5.3%
Mladost Lješkopolje goals ↓
Grbalj goals →
01234
08.4%7.3%5.1%2.1%0.6%
19.1%14%7.4%3.0%0.9%
27.4%8.9%5.3%2.1%0.6%
33.5%4.3%2.6%1.0%0.3%
41.3%1.5%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mladost Lješkopolje goals (down), columns = Grbalj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Mladost DG
2.19
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.88
Lovćen
1.59
Igalo
1.50
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.31
Grbalj
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.03
Kom
0.88
Ibar
0.75
Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.12 points worse than Grbalj in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.16).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.75
Mladost DG
1.69
Igalo
1.62
Lovćen
1.56
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.16
Grbalj
1.03
Kom
0.88
Ibar
0.72
Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.28 goals better than Grbalj in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Mladost DG
0.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.97
Igalo
1.09
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.12
Lovćen
1.19
Grbalj
1.53
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.69
Ibar
1.69
Kom
1.69
Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.16 goals worse than Grbalj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.69 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L30W11D00D10W01L20W11D00D11DH·BOK18/05A·BER25/05H·JED31/05A·JED04/06A·IGA10/08H·RUD17/08A·KOM25/08H·LOV15/09H·IBA18/09A·MLA22/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.600.870.800.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.580.670.331.000.830.33
vs Weaker (18)0.780.440.780.780.780.11
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrbaljGrbalj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W20W10W00D00D01L00D00D10WA·LOV12/05H·ISK18/05A·KOM25/05H·IBA10/08A·ISK17/08H·LOV25/08A·MLA01/09H·IGA11/09A·RUD15/09H·KOM22/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.400.560.440.360.36
vs Stronger (19)0.420.470.550.450.250.50
vs Similar (5)0.400.200.500.000.330.33
vs Weaker (6)0.670.330.670.670.670.00
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W11D02L00D12L02L20W20W00D00DH·BOK18/05A·BER25/05H·JED31/05A·JED04/06A·IGA10/08H·RUD17/08A·KOM25/08H·LOV15/09H·IBA18/09A·MLA22/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.000.730.870.731.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.581.170.831.000.331.33
vs Weaker (18)0.830.890.670.781.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrbaljGrbalj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W22D00D10W13L04L01L02L11D00DA·LOV12/05H·ISK18/05A·KOM25/05H·IBA10/08A·ISK17/08H·LOV25/08A·MLA01/09H·IGA11/09A·RUD15/09H·KOM22/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.900.621.060.640.71
vs Stronger (19)0.581.000.821.090.250.88
vs Similar (5)0.801.200.002.001.330.67
vs Weaker (6)0.670.330.330.331.000.33
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (23)
€3m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (8)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (5)
€1m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (10)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
ML wins
3
Draws
2
GRB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mladost Lješkopolje vs Grbalj · H/A from ML
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/24HML Vs Grbalj2-1
10/03/24AGrbalj Vs ML2-1
22/10/23HML Vs Grbalj3-0
03/09/23AGrbalj Vs ML2-2
10/05/23AGrbalj Vs ML0-0
29/03/23HML Vs Grbalj0-0
05/11/22AGrbalj Vs ML2-0
17/09/22HML Vs Grbalj2-1

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24AMladost DG Vs ML1-1
18/09/24HML Vs Ibar0-0
15/09/24HML Vs Lovćen3-1
25/08/24AKom Vs ML0-4
17/08/24HML Vs Rudar (Montenegro)0-3
10/08/24AIgalo Vs ML2-2
04/06/24AJedinstvo Vs ML0-0
31/05/24HML Vs Jedinstvo1-3
25/05/24ABerane Vs ML1-4
18/05/24HML Vs Bokelj3-7

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24HGRB Vs Kom1-0
15/09/24ARudar (Montenegro) Vs GRB1-1
11/09/24HGRB Vs Igalo0-2
01/09/24AMladost DG Vs GRB2-0
25/08/24HGRB Vs Lovćen0-4
17/08/24AIskra (Montenegro) Vs GRB3-1
10/08/24HGRB Vs Ibar2-0
25/05/24AKom Vs GRB0-2
18/05/24HGRB Vs Iskra (Montenegro)3-2
12/05/24ALovćen Vs GRB1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDD1.50
HomeLLLWD1.80
AwayWDDWD1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%52%28%
AVG goals2.903.082.72
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %38%36%40%
Scored1.581.801.36
Conceded1.321.281.36
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Grbalj
Grbalj
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.40
HomeWWLLW1.64
AwayWWLLD1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%28%
AVG goals2.442.562.32
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %48%56%40%
Over 3.5 %22%32%12%
Scored1.161.241.08
Conceded1.281.321.24
BTTS54%48%60%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost DGMladost DG3270
66%
2.2
5424+30
2.4
78%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.70.8
-
2Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3260
53%
1.9
5631+25
2.7
78%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
3LovćenLovćen3251
44%
1.6
5038+12
2.8
78%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
4IgaloIgalo3248
41%
1.5
5235+17
2.7
75%
41%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
5Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3242
34%
1.3
3736+1
2.3
72%
34%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
6GrbaljGrbalj3237
28%
1.2
3349-16
2.6
81%
31%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
7Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3233
22%
1.0
4254-12
3.0
84%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
8KomKom3228
22%
0.9
2854-26
2.6
66%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
9IbarIbar3224
19%
0.8
2354-31
2.4
69%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
Montenegro: Second League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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