PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Mladost Lješkopolje vs Nikšić Result & Analysis

Date: 30/10/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 2-0
Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
Vs
59%
24%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nikšić
Nikšić
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost Lješkopolje win✓ Hit
59.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nikšić win✗ Miss
16.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D22D21W32W11D01L50W10W03L20WH·IGA03/09A·NIK11/09H·GRB17/09A·ZET24/09A·BOK28/09H·KOM02/10H·OTR09/10A·MLA12/10H·BER16/10A·IGA22/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.541.151.831.501.290.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)2.001.003.001.331.500.83
vs Weaker (4)0.501.500.671.670.001.00
Clean sheet %31% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikšić) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NikšićNikšić

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L22D00D20W05L02L11D02L11D10WA·ZET03/09H·MLA11/09A·KOM18/09H·OTR24/09A·MLA28/09H·BER02/10H·IGA09/10H·BOK12/10A·GRB16/10H·ZET22/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.851.541.141.140.502.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.891.781.201.000.502.75
vs Weaker (4)0.751.001.001.500.500.50
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.2%
Under 1.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.8%
Under 2.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.5%
Under 3.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-0 ✓
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
3-0
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
Mladost Lješkopolje goals ↓
Nikšić goals →
01234
06.7%4.3%2.5%0.8%0.2%
19.9%11%4.9%1.5%0.4%
211%9.9%4.7%1.5%0.3%
36.8%6.4%3.0%1.0%0.2%
43.3%3.1%1.5%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mladost Lješkopolje goals (down), columns = Nikšić goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Mladost DG
1.74
Berane
1.62
Kom
1.56
Bokelj
1.50
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.41
Igalo
1.29
Grbalj
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
1.12
Zeta
1.09
Nikšić
0.89
Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.52 points better than Nikšić in terms of average points per game (1.41 vs 0.89).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Mladost DG
1.26
Kom
1.24
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.18
Igalo
1.09
Bokelj
1.03
Berane
1.03
Zeta
0.97
Otrant-Olympic
0.94
Nikšić
0.84
Grbalj
0.82
Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.33 goals better than Nikšić in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 0.84).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Berane
0.74
Bokelj
0.82
Grbalj
0.94
Igalo
1.03
Mladost DG
1.03
Kom
1.03
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.03
Otrant-Olympic
1.24
Zeta
1.26
Nikšić
1.63
Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.60 goals better than Nikšić in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D01L11D01L30W10W00D00DH·IGA03/09A·NIK11/09H·GRB17/09A·ZET24/09A·BOK28/09H·KOM02/10H·OTR09/10A·MLA12/10H·BER16/10A·IGA22/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.540.500.500.290.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.560.561.000.670.330.50
vs Weaker (4)0.000.500.000.330.001.00
Clean sheet %46% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikšić) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NikšićNikšić

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L10W00D10W04L00D01L01L01LH·GRB28/08A·ZET03/09H·MLA11/09A·KOM18/09H·OTR24/09A·MLA28/09H·BER02/10H·IGA09/10H·BOK12/10A·GRB16/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.750.500.500.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.250.880.500.500.001.25
vs Weaker (4)0.250.500.500.500.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W21W21W31W00D00D20W00D03L20WH·IGA03/09A·NIK11/09H·GRB17/09A·ZET24/09A·BOK28/09H·KOM02/10H·OTR09/10A·MLA12/10H·BER16/10A·IGA22/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.150.621.331.001.000.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.440.442.000.671.170.33
vs Weaker (4)0.501.000.671.330.000.00
Clean sheet %54% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikšić) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NikšićNikšić

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L12L00D10W01L02L10W01L10WH·GRB28/08A·ZET03/09H·MLA11/09A·KOM18/09H·OTR24/09A·MLA28/09H·BER02/10H·IGA09/10H·BOK12/10A·GRB16/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.580.920.670.830.501.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.621.120.750.750.501.50
vs Weaker (4)0.500.500.501.000.500.00
Clean sheet %42% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (8)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
ML wins
1
Draws
0
NIK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mladost Lješkopolje vs Nikšić · H/A from ML
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/22ANikšić Vs ML2-2

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/22AIgalo Vs ML0-2
16/10/22HML Vs Berane0-3
12/10/22AMladost DG Vs ML0-1
09/10/22HML Vs Otrant-Olympic5-0
02/10/22HML Vs Kom0-1
28/09/22ABokelj Vs ML1-1
24/09/22AZeta Vs ML2-3
17/09/22HML Vs Grbalj2-1
11/09/22ANikšić Vs ML2-2
03/09/22HML Vs Igalo2-2

NikšićNikšić

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/22HNIK Vs Zeta1-0
16/10/22AGrbalj Vs NIK1-1
12/10/22HNIK Vs Bokelj0-2
09/10/22HNIK Vs Igalo1-1
02/10/22HNIK Vs Berane0-2
28/09/22AMladost DG Vs NIK5-0
24/09/22HNIK Vs Otrant-Olympic2-0
18/09/22AKom Vs NIK0-0
11/09/22HNIK Vs Mladost Lješkopolje2-2
03/09/22AZeta Vs NIK3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.54
HomeDWLWL1.33
AwayDWDWW1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%33%43%
AVG goals2.693.332.14
Over 1.5 %69%83%57%
Over 2.5 %54%83%29%
Over 3.5 %38%50%29%
Scored1.541.831.29
Conceded1.151.500.86
BTTS46%50%43%
Clean Sheet31%17%43%
Corners---
Cards---
Nikšić
Nikšić
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDW1.00
HomeWLDLW1.57
AwayLLDLD0.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%43%0%
AVG goals2.382.292.50
Over 1.5 %77%86%67%
Over 2.5 %38%29%50%
Over 3.5 %23%14%33%
Scored0.851.140.50
Conceded1.541.142.00
BTTS46%43%50%
Clean Sheet23%29%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost DGMladost DG3459
50%
1.7
4335+8
2.3
56%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.0
-
2BeraneBerane3455
47%
1.6
3525+10
1.8
47%
21%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.7
-
3KomKom3453
44%
1.6
4235+7
2.3
62%
44%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4BokeljBokelj3451
38%
1.5
3528+7
1.9
56%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.00.8
-
5Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3448
35%
1.4
4035+5
2.2
62%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6IgaloIgalo3545
31%
1.3
3836+2
2.1
69%
40%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
7GrbaljGrbalj3440
29%
1.2
2832-4
1.8
47%
26%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
8Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3438
26%
1.1
3242-10
2.2
68%
41%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.2
-
9ZetaZeta3437
29%
1.1
3343-10
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
10NikšićNikšić1917
21%
0.9
1631-15
2.5
79%
42%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
Montenegro: Second League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

← all matches