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Modena vs Mantova Result & Analysis

Date: 01/02/2025
Time: 16:15
Final 3-1
Modena
Modena
Vs
43%
29%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mantova
Mantova
Italy: Serie B
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Modena win✓ Hit
43.1%
Avg Implied 52.9% · @ 1.77
Edge
-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.46
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mantova win✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied 20.0% · @ 4.68
Edge
+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ModenaModena

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D11D10W10W33D00D02L11D22DA·COS22/11A·MAN30/11H·SAL07/12A·REG14/12H·PIS21/12A·BRE26/12H·SUD29/12A·PAL12/01H·FRO18/01A·CRE26/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.171.211.001.001.31
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.171.211.331.081.001.33
vs Weaker (4)1.251.001.001.001.331.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MantovaMantova

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D00D23L22D31W11D02L22D21W22DA·CAT23/11H·MOD30/11H·PIS07/12A·SUD14/12H·FRO21/12A·SPE26/12H·REG29/12A·COS12/01A·CIT18/01H·SAM25/01
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.221.351.271.001.171.67
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (19)1.161.371.111.001.201.70
vs Weaker (3)2.001.332.001.002.002.00
Clean sheet %22% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.7%
@ 2.07+0.3%
Under 2.5
54.3%
@ 1.72-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
4.9%
Modena goals ↓
Mantova goals →
01234
09.4%7.7%4.9%1.8%0.5%
110%14%6.9%2.5%0.7%
28.2%8.9%4.9%1.8%0.5%
33.8%4.2%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.4%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Modena goals (down), columns = Mantova goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sassuolo
2.16
Pisa
1.95
Spezia
1.74
Cremonese
1.62
Juve Stabia
1.49
Catanzaro
1.37
Cesena
1.36
Palermo
1.33
Bari
1.26
Sudtirol
1.21
Modena
1.18
Carrarese
1.18
Reggiana
1.16
Mantova
1.16
Brescia
1.13
Frosinone
1.13
Sampdoria
1.13
Salernitana
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Cosenza
0.89
Modena is 0.03 points better than Mantova in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.16).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sassuolo
2.05
Cremonese
1.64
Pisa
1.63
Spezia
1.55
Palermo
1.33
Sudtirol
1.32
Catanzaro
1.29
Modena
1.26
Mantova
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Brescia
1.11
Reggiana
1.11
Juve Stabia
1.10
Bari
1.08
Carrarese
1.03
Sampdoria
1.03
Frosinone
0.97
Salernitana
0.95
Cosenza
0.84
Cittadella
0.82
Modena is 0.03 goals better than Mantova in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.88
Pisa
0.97
Sassuolo
1.00
Bari
1.05
Juve Stabia
1.10
Palermo
1.13
Cremonese
1.14
Catanzaro
1.20
Cesena
1.23
Salernitana
1.26
Sampdoria
1.26
Brescia
1.26
Carrarese
1.29
Frosinone
1.32
Modena
1.32
Reggiana
1.37
Cittadella
1.42
Cosenza
1.47
Mantova
1.47
Sudtirol
1.50
Modena is 0.16 goals better than Mantova in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Mantova
62%
Cremonese
60%
Catanzaro
55%
Sassuolo
52%
Salernitana
52%
Juve Stabia
52%
Bari
51%
Spezia
50%
Palermo
49%
Carrarese
49%
Cosenza
49%
Cesena
49%
Modena
48%
Sampdoria
48%
Frosinone
47%
Brescia
46%
Pisa
46%
Cittadella
45%
Reggiana
44%
Sudtirol
44%
Modena is 13.4 percentage points worse than Mantova in terms of average possession (48% vs 62%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ModenaModena

For 4.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

170351128922453226245611081317495861111A·CREH·FROA·PALH·SUDA·BREH·PISA·REGH·SALA·MANA·COS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

100212122553244211343233410546275A·CREH·FROA·PALH·SUDA·BREH·PISA·REGH·SALA·MANA·COS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 16.8 · Total 27.9

⚠️ Fouls

38010159178201123131671820187151616101025262834292538223220A·CREH·FROA·PALH·SUDA·BREH·PISA·REGH·SALA·MANA·COS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MantovaMantova

For 3.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

110122643153818536365383876119891111H·SAMA·CITA·COSH·REGA·SPEH·FROA·SUDH·PISH·MODA·CAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.9

🟨 Cards

90143215536345241443635568996579H·SAMA·CITA·COSH·REGA·SPEH·FROA·SUDH·PISH·MODA·CAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 22.2 · Total 36.6

⚠️ Fouls

43017269161922102816222219102810241616152143254138384138343236H·SAMA·CITA·COSH·REGA·SPEH·FROA·SUDH·PISH·MODA·CAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ModenaModena

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.29.45.55.85.129.029.029.0
vs Stronger (5)9.25.511.73.82.54.723.625.022.7
vs Similar (39)9.69.99.25.86.45.230.129.730.4
vs Weaker (6)7.87.08.74.84.75.026.727.326.0
% over line46%50%42%86%83%88%94%100%88%
% under line54%50%58%14%17%12%6%0%12%
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MantovaMantova

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (23)8.57.89.15.95.95.936.037.834.3
vs Stronger (1)9.0-9.03.0-3.025.0-25.0
vs Similar (19)8.78.19.36.36.36.236.739.034.6
vs Weaker (3)6.76.57.04.74.06.035.332.541.0
% over line39%36%42%91%91%92%100%100%100%
% under line61%64%58%9%9%8%0%0%0%
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Cosenza
10.5
Juve Stabia
10.5
Palermo
10.5
Spezia
9.9
Bari
9.6
Frosinone
9.6
Salernitana
9.5
Brescia
9.5
Sassuolo
9.4
Cremonese
9.4
Cesena
9.4
Modena
9.3
Catanzaro
9.1
Carrarese
9.0
Cittadella
9.0
Sampdoria
8.8
Sudtirol
8.7
Mantova
8.5
Reggiana
8.4
Pisa
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.5
Juve Stabia
6.2
Spezia
6.1
Reggiana
6.1
Mantova
5.9
Bari
5.6
Sampdoria
5.6
Modena
5.5
Pisa
5.4
Cittadella
5.4
Brescia
5.3
Catanzaro
5.3
Cremonese
5.2
Sudtirol
5.1
Carrarese
4.9
Palermo
4.8
Salernitana
4.8
Cesena
4.8
Frosinone
4.7
Sassuolo
4.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Mantova
36.0
Spezia
33.8
Juve Stabia
33.2
Cittadella
31.2
Reggiana
31.2
Sudtirol
30.7
Bari
30.1
Sampdoria
29.9
Cosenza
29.6
Brescia
29.4
Cesena
29.0
Modena
29.0
Palermo
28.7
Carrarese
28.6
Catanzaro
28.6
Cremonese
28.5
Pisa
28.2
Frosinone
27.6
Salernitana
26.8
Sassuolo
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.9%
Under 9.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.3%
Under 3.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
96.9%
Under 21.5
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ModenaModena

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D10W00D21W00D01L10W21WA·COS22/11A·MAN30/11H·SAL07/12A·REG14/12H·PIS21/12A·BRE26/12H·SUD29/12A·PAL12/01H·FRO18/01A·CRE26/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.570.500.750.62
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.670.620.670.580.670.67
vs Weaker (4)1.000.250.000.001.330.33
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MantovaMantova

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D12L11D30W10W01L12L10W02LA·CAT23/11H·MOD30/11H·PIS07/12A·SUD14/12H·FRO21/12A·SPE26/12H·REG29/12A·COS12/01A·CIT18/01H·SAM25/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.480.610.550.450.420.75
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (19)0.420.630.440.560.400.70
vs Weaker (3)1.000.671.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %61% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Modena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ModenaModena

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D00D10W12L00D01L01L01LA·COS22/11A·MAN30/11H·SAL07/12A·REG14/12H·PIS21/12A·BRE26/12H·SUD29/12A·PAL12/01H·FRO18/01A·CRE26/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.640.500.250.69
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.500.580.670.500.330.67
vs Weaker (4)0.250.751.001.000.000.67
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MantovaMantova

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D11D11D01L01L01L10W11D20WA·CAT23/11H·MOD30/11H·PIS07/12A·SUD14/12H·FRO21/12A·SPE26/12H·REG29/12A·COS12/01A·CIT18/01H·SAM25/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.740.740.730.550.750.92
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.740.740.670.440.801.00
vs Weaker (3)1.000.671.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %35% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Modena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls98.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls96.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls92.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards92.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls85.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards81.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners80.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners70.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Modena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Antonio Palumbo25%
Pedro Mendes19%
Ettore Gliozzi17%
Giuseppe Caso17%
Gady Beyuku15%
Fabio Abiuso12%
Grégoire Defrel12%
Simone Santoro11%
Alessandro Di Pardo8%
Kleis Bozhanaj7%
Cristian Cauz4%
Alessandro Dellavalle4%
Mattia Caldara4%
Riyad Idrissi3%
Luca Magnino3%
Matteo Cotali3%
Fabio Gerli3%
Giovanni Zaro3%
Stipe Vulikić0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Riccardo Gagno0%
Antonio Pergreffi0%
Eric Botteghin0%
Edoardo Duca0%
Fabio Ponsi0%
Issiaka Kamate0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Antonio Pergreffi43%
Simone Santoro31%
Antonio Palumbo31%
Giovanni Zaro25%
Gady Beyuku23%
Edoardo Duca22%
Luca Magnino20%
Matteo Cotali19%
Thomas Battistella19%
Stipe Vulikić17%
Ettore Gliozzi17%
Cristian Cauz16%
Alessandro Dellavalle16%
Mattia Caldara15%
Fabio Gerli11%
Riyad Idrissi10%
Issiaka Kamate10%
Grégoire Defrel8%
Alessandro Di Pardo8%
Giuseppe Caso7%
Fabio Abiuso6%
Kleis Bozhanaj4%
Riccardo Gagno3%
Eric Botteghin0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Fabio Ponsi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Palumbo25%
Grégoire Defrel15%
Giuseppe Caso10%
Fabio Gerli9%
Alessandro Di Pardo8%
Kleis Bozhanaj7%
Fabio Abiuso6%
Giovanni Zaro6%
Edoardo Duca6%
Ettore Gliozzi4%
Cristian Cauz4%
Thomas Battistella4%
Mattia Caldara0%
Stipe Vulikić0%
Riccardo Gagno0%
Simone Santoro0%
Luca Magnino0%
Antonio Pergreffi0%
Eric Botteghin0%
Matteo Cotali0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Fabio Ponsi0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Issiaka Kamate0%
Riyad Idrissi0%
Gady Beyuku0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pedro Mendes19%
Antonio Palumbo17%
Issiaka Kamate10%
Kleis Bozhanaj7%
Giuseppe Caso7%
Ettore Gliozzi4%
Alessandro Dellavalle4%
Grégoire Defrel4%
Luca Magnino3%
Simone Santoro3%
Giovanni Zaro3%
Mattia Caldara0%
Stipe Vulikić0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Riccardo Gagno0%
Cristian Cauz0%
Antonio Pergreffi0%
Fabio Gerli0%
Eric Botteghin0%
Alessandro Di Pardo0%
Matteo Cotali0%
Edoardo Duca0%
Fabio Ponsi0%
Fabio Abiuso0%
Riyad Idrissi0%
Gady Beyuku0%
Mantova
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leonardo Mancuso23%
Davide Bragantini17%
Nicolò Radaelli15%
Alessandro Debenedetti14%
Alex Redolfi11%
Fabrizio Brignani10%
Matteo Solini9%
Francesco Ruocco9%
Mattia Aramu8%
Tommaso Maggioni7%
Francesco Galuppini6%
Simone Trimboli6%
Davis Mensah6%
Antonio Fiori6%
Salvatore Burrai4%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Marco Festa0%
Stefano Cella0%
Erik Panizzi0%
Mattia Muroni0%
Cristiano Bani0%
David Wieser0%
Federico Artioli0%
Simone Giordano0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Salvatore Burrai46%
Matteo Solini36%
Mattia Muroni33%
Nicolò Radaelli25%
Fabrizio Brignani24%
Stefano Cella23%
Simone Trimboli22%
Alex Redolfi21%
Erik Panizzi17%
Federico Artioli17%
Simone Giordano17%
Cristiano Bani15%
Sebastien De Maio14%
Antonio Fiori14%
Mattia Aramu12%
Davis Mensah11%
Francesco Galuppini9%
Marco Festa8%
Leonardo Mancuso8%
David Wieser7%
Davide Bragantini6%
Tommaso Maggioni3%
Alessandro Debenedetti3%
Francesco Ruocco0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Davis Mensah17%
Antonio Fiori14%
Mattia Aramu12%
Salvatore Burrai11%
David Wieser10%
Nicolò Radaelli10%
Francesco Ruocco9%
Francesco Galuppini9%
Federico Artioli8%
Davide Bragantini6%
Cristiano Bani4%
Fabrizio Brignani3%
Tommaso Maggioni3%
Simone Trimboli3%
Leonardo Mancuso3%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Marco Festa0%
Stefano Cella0%
Erik Panizzi0%
Mattia Muroni0%
Alex Redolfi0%
Matteo Solini0%
Simone Giordano0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
Alessandro Debenedetti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Leonardo Mancuso15%
Francesco Galuppini14%
Antonio Fiori8%
Mattia Aramu8%
Fabrizio Brignani7%
Simone Trimboli6%
Nicolò Radaelli5%
Stefano Cella5%
Salvatore Burrai4%
Tommaso Maggioni3%
Davide Bragantini3%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Marco Festa0%
Erik Panizzi0%
Mattia Muroni0%
Davis Mensah0%
Alex Redolfi0%
Matteo Solini0%
Cristiano Bani0%
Francesco Ruocco0%
David Wieser0%
Federico Artioli0%
Simone Giordano0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
Alessandro Debenedetti0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAS (38)
€194m
FRO (33)
€84m
PIS (36)
€71m
PAL (27)
€54m
CRE (30)
€49m
SAM (27)
€37m
MOD (28)
€31m
CES (32)
€28m
MAN (32)
€24m
SUD (27)
€21m
CAT (30)
€21m
CAR (22)
€15m
JS (33)
€13m
SPE (34)
€11m
REG (27)
€8m
BAR (22)
€8m
Modena's squad is €6m more valuable than Mantova's (€31m vs €24m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAS (12)
€90m
FRO (8)
€34m
PIS (13)
€24m
PAL (7)
€23m
SAM (7)
€14m
CRE (7)
€12m
MAN (12)
€12m
CAT (15)
€12m
CES (10)
€10m
MOD (9)
€7m
CAR (5)
€5m
SPE (10)
€3m
SUD (5)
€3m
JS (8)
€2m
BAR (6)
€2m
REG (6)
€1m
Modena's attack is €4m less valuable than Mantova's (€7m vs €12m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAS (9)
€53m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
CRE (10)
€15m
PAL (7)
€12m
MOD (9)
€11m
SUD (10)
€11m
SAM (6)
€7m
MAN (10)
€6m
CES (9)
€5m
JS (11)
€5m
SPE (11)
€4m
BAR (6)
€3m
CAR (7)
€2m
REG (9)
€2m
CAT (2)
€2m
Modena's midfield is €5m more valuable than Mantova's (€11m vs €6m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAS (17)
€52m
FRO (14)
€24m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
PAL (13)
€19m
SAM (14)
€17m
MOD (10)
€12m
CES (13)
€12m
CAT (13)
€8m
SUD (12)
€8m
CAR (10)
€8m
MAN (10)
€7m
JS (14)
€6m
REG (12)
€4m
SPE (13)
€4m
BAR (10)
€3m
Modena's defence is €6m more valuable than Mantova's (€12m vs €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
MOD wins
1
Draws
0
MAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Modena vs Mantova · H/A from MOD
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/24AMantova Vs MOD0-0

ModenaModena

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/01/25ACremonese Vs MOD2-2
18/01/25HMOD Vs Frosinone1-1
12/01/25APalermo Vs MOD2-0
29/12/24HMOD Vs Sudtirol0-0
26/12/24ABrescia Vs MOD3-3
21/12/24HMOD Vs Pisa1-0
14/12/24AReggiana Vs MOD0-1
07/12/24HMOD Vs Salernitana1-1
30/11/24AMantova Vs MOD0-0
22/11/24ACosenza Vs MOD1-1

MantovaMantova

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/01/25HMAN Vs Sampdoria2-2
18/01/25ACittadella Vs MAN1-2
12/01/25ACosenza Vs MAN2-2
29/12/24HMAN Vs Reggiana0-2
26/12/24ASpezia Vs MAN1-1
21/12/24HMAN Vs Frosinone3-1
14/12/24ASudtirol Vs MAN2-2
07/12/24HMAN Vs Pisa2-3
30/11/24HMAN Vs Modena0-0
23/11/24ACatanzaro Vs MAN2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Modena
Modena
Italy: Serie B
Recent: 2 Wins / 7 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDD1.10
HomeWDWDD1.29
AwayDWDLD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%29%12%
AVG goals2.502.252.73
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %30%21%38%
Scored1.161.171.15
Conceded1.341.081.58
BTTS60%54%65%
Clean Sheet24%33%15%
Corners9.329.219.42
Cards5.465.835.12
Mantova
Mantova
Italy: Serie B
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWD1.22
HomeDLWLD1.73
AwayDDDDW0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%45%8%
AVG goals2.572.272.83
Over 1.5 %65%55%75%
Over 2.5 %43%36%50%
Over 3.5 %39%36%42%
Scored1.221.271.17
Conceded1.351.001.67
BTTS57%45%67%
Clean Sheet22%45%0%
Corners8.487.829.08
Cards5.915.915.92

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SassuoloSassuolo3882
66%
2.2
7838+40
3.1
82%
50%
29%
8.6
29%
4.2
61%
25.7
74%
194
9053522.11.0
52%
2PisaPisa3874
58%
1.9
6237+25
2.6
71%
55%
29%
8.1
29%
4.7
86%
28.1
87%
71
2426221.61.0
46%
3SpeziaSpezia4273
45%
1.7
6537+28
2.4
74%
43%
26%
9.1
45%
5.9
90%
35.0
98%
11
3441.50.9
50%
4CremoneseCremonese4268
43%
1.6
6948+21
2.8
76%
57%
36%
8.8
40%
5.2
67%
31.4
98%
49
1215221.61.1
60%
5Juve StabiaJuve Stabia4161
39%
1.5
4545+0
2.2
71%
49%
15%
9.4
49%
5.3
80%
34.8
100%
13
2561.11.1
52%
6CatanzaroCatanzaro4156
29%
1.4
5349+4
2.5
71%
46%
32%
8.8
41%
4.9
73%
28.9
93%
21
12281.31.2
55%
7CesenaCesena3953
36%
1.4
4648-2
2.4
72%
38%
15%
8.5
38%
5.4
87%
29.8
100%
28
105121.21.2
49%
8PalermoPalermo3952
36%
1.3
5244+8
2.5
72%
46%
21%
10.7
62%
4.7
77%
29.6
92%
54
2312191.31.1
49%
9BariBari3848
26%
1.3
4140+1
2.1
68%
34%
18%
9.5
50%
5.3
84%
30.2
92%
8
2331.11.1
51%
10SudtirolSudtirol3846
32%
1.2
5057-7
2.8
82%
58%
26%
9.6
45%
4.9
68%
30.5
89%
21
31181.31.5
44%
11ModenaModena3845
26%
1.2
4850-2
2.6
76%
50%
29%
8.8
42%
5.3
82%
28.1
84%
31
711121.31.3
48%
12CarrareseCarrarese3845
29%
1.2
3949-10
2.3
66%
45%
24%
9.4
47%
5.1
79%
28.3
89%
15
5281.01.3
49%
13MantovaMantova3844
26%
1.2
4756-9
2.7
74%
53%
37%
8.5
38%
5.5
87%
34.9
97%
24
12671.21.5
62%
14SampdoriaSampdoria3944
23%
1.1
4049-9
2.3
59%
38%
23%
9.0
51%
5.7
87%
31.0
97%
37
147171.01.3
48%
15ReggianaReggiana3844
29%
1.2
4252-10
2.5
76%
47%
24%
8.4
39%
5.9
87%
31.4
100%
8
1241.11.4
44%
16BresciaBrescia3843
24%
1.1
4248-6
2.4
68%
42%
21%
9.2
42%
5.3
79%
29.1
92%
0
0001.11.3
46%
17FrosinoneFrosinone3843
24%
1.1
3750-13
2.3
76%
42%
16%
9.1
39%
5.1
81%
31.3
97%
84
3427241.01.3
47%
18SalernitanaSalernitana3942
28%
1.1
3749-12
2.2
67%
36%
18%
8.4
39%
4.7
67%
30.6
100%
0
0000.91.3
52%
19CittadellaCittadella3840
26%
1.1
3154-23
2.2
58%
42%
21%
8.7
34%
5.2
84%
32.8
97%
0
0000.81.4
45%
20CosenzaCosenza3834
18%
0.9
3256-24
2.3
66%
42%
24%
9.8
53%
6.0
92%
29.7
87%
0
0000.81.5
49%
Italy: Serie B 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches