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Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs ML Vitebsk Result & Analysis

Date: 23/07/2022
Time: 12:00
Final 1-4
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Vs
35%
24%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
ML Vitebsk
ML Vitebsk
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win✗ Miss
34.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk win✓ Hit
41.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W22D00D33D03L11D35L14L21W13LH·VOL23/04A·SLO30/04H·LOK08/05A·BAR15/05H·SHA22/05A·LID05/06H·NAF11/06A·OSI03/07H·ORS10/07A·SMO17/07
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.362.361.402.001.332.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.252.381.252.251.252.50
vs Weaker (3)1.672.332.001.001.503.00
Clean sheet %9% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (ML Vitebsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ML VitebskML Vitebsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D10W10W24L04L30W22D13L22DA·SLO16/04H·LOK22/04A·BAR01/05H·SHA09/05A·LID15/05H·NAF22/05A·OSI04/06H·ORS12/06A·SMO03/07H·OST16/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.361.641.001.601.671.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (11)1.361.641.001.601.671.67
Clean sheet %45% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.9%
Under 1.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.1%
Under 2.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.4%
Under 3.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.5%
No
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.0%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
0-1
4.8%
2-0
4.3%
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals ↓
ML Vitebsk goals →
01234
04.1%4.8%5.1%3.1%1.4%
14.3%10%8.5%5.1%2.3%
24.3%7.8%7.0%4.2%1.9%
32.4%4.3%3.9%2.3%1.0%
41.0%1.8%1.6%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals (down), columns = ML Vitebsk goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Naftan
2.21
Smorgon
2.17
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.88
ML Vitebsk
1.71
Ostrovets FC
1.67
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Volna
1.50
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.21
Orsha
1.12
Lida
1.08
Slonim
0.75
Osipovichy
0.54
Baranovichi
0.50
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 0.50 points worse than ML Vitebsk in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.71).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shakhtyor Petrikov
2.88
Naftan
2.29
Smorgon
1.92
ML Vitebsk
1.88
Volna
1.83
Ostrovets FC
1.75
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Lida
1.46
Orsha
1.38
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.25
Baranovichi
1.04
Slonim
1.00
Osipovichy
0.88
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 0.62 goals worse than ML Vitebsk in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.88).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Naftan
0.79
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.83
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.00
Smorgon
1.12
ML Vitebsk
1.42
Ostrovets FC
1.42
Volna
1.46
Lida
1.79
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.88
Orsha
2.17
Slonim
2.21
Osipovichy
2.21
Baranovichi
2.88
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 0.46 goals worse than ML Vitebsk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D20W00D01L01L02L10W01LH·VOL23/04A·SLO30/04H·LOK08/05A·BAR15/05H·SHA22/05A·LID05/06H·NAF11/06A·OSI03/07H·ORS10/07A·SMO17/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.550.400.200.500.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.380.500.250.250.500.75
vs Weaker (3)0.670.671.000.000.501.00
Clean sheet %55% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (ML Vitebsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ML VitebskML Vitebsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D00D13L02L10W11D11D10WA·SLO16/04H·LOK22/04A·BAR01/05H·SHA09/05A·LID15/05H·NAF22/05A·OSI04/06H·ORS12/06A·SMO03/07H·OST16/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.820.400.600.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (11)0.550.820.400.600.671.00
Clean sheet %55% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D12L00D13L03L10W34L12L11D12LH·VOL23/04A·SLO30/04H·LOK08/05A·BAR15/05H·SHA22/05A·LID05/06H·NAF11/06A·OSI03/07H·ORS10/07A·SMO17/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.911.821.001.800.831.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.881.881.002.000.751.75
vs Weaker (3)1.001.671.001.001.002.00
Clean sheet %18% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (ML Vitebsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ML VitebskML Vitebsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W10W11D02L20W11D02L12LA·SLO16/04H·LOK22/04A·BAR01/05H·SHA09/05A·LID15/05H·NAF22/05A·OSI04/06H·ORS12/06A·SMO03/07H·OST16/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.820.820.601.001.000.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (11)0.820.820.601.001.000.67
Clean sheet %45% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ML Vitebsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4's squad is €12m less valuable than ML Vitebsk's (€1m vs €14m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
BAR (8)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
NAF (4)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4's attack is €5m less valuable than ML Vitebsk's (€0m vs €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
NAF (9)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4's midfield is €2m less valuable than ML Vitebsk's (€0m vs €3m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
BAR (9)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4's defence is €5m less valuable than ML Vitebsk's (€1m vs €5m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
M4 wins
0
Draws
0
MV wins

Head-to-head

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs ML Vitebsk · H/A from M4
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/07/22ASmorgon Vs M43-1
10/07/22HM4 Vs Orsha2-1
03/07/22AOsipovichy Vs M44-1
11/06/22HM4 Vs Naftan3-5
05/06/22ALida Vs M41-1
22/05/22HM4 Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov0-3
15/05/22ABaranovichi Vs M43-3
08/05/22HM4 Vs Lokomotiv Gomel0-0
30/04/22ASlonim Vs M42-2
23/04/22HM4 Vs Volna2-1

ML VitebskML Vitebsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/07/22HMV Vs Ostrovets FC2-2
03/07/22ASmorgon Vs MV3-1
12/06/22HMV Vs Orsha2-2
04/06/22AOsipovichy Vs MV0-3
22/05/22HMV Vs Naftan0-4
15/05/22ALida Vs MV4-2
09/05/22HMV Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov1-0
01/05/22ABaranovichi Vs MV0-1
22/04/22HMV Vs Lokomotiv Gomel0-0
16/04/22ASlonim Vs MV0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL0.91
HomeWDLLW1.40
AwayDDDLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%40%0%
AVG goals3.733.404.00
Over 1.5 %91%80%100%
Over 2.5 %82%80%83%
Over 3.5 %45%20%67%
Scored1.361.401.33
Conceded2.362.002.67
BTTS73%60%83%
Clean Sheet9%20%0%
Corners---
Cards---
ML Vitebsk
ML Vitebsk
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLD1.36
HomeDWLDD1.20
AwayWWLWL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%20%50%
AVG goals3.002.603.33
Over 1.5 %64%60%67%
Over 2.5 %64%60%67%
Over 3.5 %55%60%50%
Scored1.361.001.67
Conceded1.641.601.67
BTTS45%40%50%
Clean Sheet45%40%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NaftanNaftan2453
67%
2.2
5519+36
3.1
79%
62%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.30.8
-
2SmorgonSmorgon2452
67%
2.2
4627+19
3.0
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.91.1
-
3Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov2445
54%
1.9
6920+49
3.7
79%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.8
-
4ML VitebskML Vitebsk2441
50%
1.7
4534+11
3.3
71%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6351.91.4
-
5Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC2440
46%
1.7
4234+8
3.2
83%
67%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.81.4
-
6Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel2439
42%
1.6
3924+15
2.6
71%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
7VolnaVolna2436
42%
1.5
4435+9
3.3
88%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.5
-
8Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 42429
29%
1.2
3045-15
3.1
88%
62%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.9
-
9OrshaOrsha2427
29%
1.1
3352-19
3.5
83%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
10LidaLida2426
25%
1.1
3543-8
3.2
83%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.8
-
11SlonimSlonim2418
21%
0.8
2453-29
3.2
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
-
12OsipovichyOsipovichy2413
12%
0.5
2153-32
3.1
79%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.2
-
13BaranovichiBaranovichi2412
12%
0.5
2569-44
3.9
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.9
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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