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Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Slonim Result & Analysis

Date: 04/09/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Vs
43%
27%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Slonim
Slonim
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 are the clear favorites, with a 43% chance of victory, a 27% chance of a draw and a 30% chance of Slonim winning. The model expects 2.9 goals in total, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 24%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 12.6% probability. Molodechno-DYuSSh 4, playing at home against a weaker opponent, average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Slonim, away against a stronger side, average 0.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. The only suggested pick is Over 1.5, with a 79.9% probability of hitting. The home win percentage is 43%, the draw percentage 27%, and the away win percentage 30%. The model’s selection is Over 1.5 at 79.9%.

Results analysis

The 1-1 draw surprised everyone, as the pre-match favourite was Molodechno-DYuSSh 4, picked by the model with a 43% chance of winning. The model’s call was wrong, and the match finished level. The home side, riding a four-game winning streak, could not convert its form into a victory, while Slonim, after a recent defeat, managed a respectable point. The model’s single suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, hit with a 79.9% probability, as the match produced two goals. The most likely scoreline was 1-1, matching the final result, and the expected total of 2.9 goals was exceeded by the two-goal tally.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win✗ Miss
43.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Slonim win✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-533D03L11D35L14L21W13L14L00D02LA·BAR15/05H·SHA22/05A·LID05/06H·NAF11/06A·OSI03/07H·ORS10/07A·SMO17/07H·ML 23/07H·OST14/08A·VOL27/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.142.291.142.001.142.57
vs Stronger (1)1.004.001.004.00--
vs Similar (10)1.002.101.001.801.002.40
vs Weaker (3)1.672.332.001.001.503.00
Clean sheet %14% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Slonim) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SlonimSlonim

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D04L05L01L02L20W32W13L13L03LH·LOK22/05H·BAR04/06H·SHA11/06A·LID02/07H·NAF09/07A·OSI16/07H·ORS23/07H·SMO13/08A·ML 20/08H·OST27/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.602.330.672.440.502.17
vs Stronger (13)0.312.540.382.500.202.60
vs Similar (2)2.501.003.002.002.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.9%
Under 1.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.7%
Under 2.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.3%
Under 3.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.6%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals ↓
Slonim goals →
01234
06.6%6.0%4.7%2.0%0.7%
17.6%13%7.5%3.3%1.1%
27.0%9.1%6.0%2.6%0.9%
33.7%4.9%3.2%1.4%0.5%
41.5%2.0%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals (down), columns = Slonim goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Naftan
2.21
Smorgon
2.17
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.88
ML Vitebsk
1.71
Ostrovets FC
1.67
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Volna
1.50
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.21
Orsha
1.12
Lida
1.08
Slonim
0.75
Osipovichy
0.54
Baranovichi
0.50
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 0.46 points better than Slonim in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 0.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shakhtyor Petrikov
2.88
Naftan
2.29
Smorgon
1.92
ML Vitebsk
1.88
Volna
1.83
Ostrovets FC
1.75
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Lida
1.46
Orsha
1.38
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.25
Baranovichi
1.04
Slonim
1.00
Osipovichy
0.88
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 0.25 goals better than Slonim in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Naftan
0.79
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.83
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.00
Smorgon
1.12
ML Vitebsk
1.42
Ostrovets FC
1.42
Volna
1.46
Lida
1.79
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.88
Orsha
2.17
Slonim
2.21
Osipovichy
2.21
Baranovichi
2.88
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 0.33 goals better than Slonim in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 2.21).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D01L01L02L10W01L04L00D00DA·BAR15/05H·SHA22/05A·LID05/06H·NAF11/06A·OSI03/07H·ORS10/07A·SMO17/07H·ML 23/07H·OST14/08A·VOL27/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.710.290.710.430.71
vs Stronger (1)0.004.000.004.00--
vs Similar (10)0.300.400.200.200.400.60
vs Weaker (3)0.670.671.000.000.501.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Slonim) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SlonimSlonim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L01L01L10W22D11D01L01LH·LOK22/05H·BAR04/06H·SHA11/06A·LID02/07H·NAF09/07A·OSI16/07H·ORS23/07H·SMO13/08A·ML 20/08H·OST27/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.930.330.890.171.00
vs Stronger (13)0.080.920.120.750.001.20
vs Similar (2)1.501.002.002.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L03L10W34L12L11D12L10W00D02LA·BAR15/05H·SHA22/05A·LID05/06H·NAF11/06A·OSI03/07H·ORS10/07A·SMO17/07H·ML 23/07H·OST14/08A·VOL27/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.791.570.861.290.711.86
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (10)0.701.700.801.600.601.80
vs Weaker (3)1.001.671.001.001.002.00
Clean sheet %29% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Slonim) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SlonimSlonim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D03L04L00D01L10W10W02L12L02LH·LOK22/05H·BAR04/06H·SHA11/06A·LID02/07H·NAF09/07A·OSI16/07H·ORS23/07H·SMO13/08A·ML 20/08H·OST27/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.400.331.560.331.17
vs Stronger (13)0.231.620.251.750.201.40
vs Similar (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and Slonim have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
BAR (8)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
NAF (4)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and Slonim have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
NAF (9)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and Slonim have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
BAR (9)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and Slonim have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
M4 wins
1
Draws
0
SLO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Slonim · H/A from M4
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/22ASlonim Vs M42-2

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/22AVolna Vs M42-0
14/08/22HM4 Vs Ostrovets FC0-0
23/07/22HM4 Vs ML Vitebsk1-4
17/07/22ASmorgon Vs M43-1
10/07/22HM4 Vs Orsha2-1
03/07/22AOsipovichy Vs M44-1
11/06/22HM4 Vs Naftan3-5
05/06/22ALida Vs M41-1
22/05/22HM4 Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov0-3
15/05/22ABaranovichi Vs M43-3

SlonimSlonim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/22HSLO Vs Ostrovets FC0-3
20/08/22AML Vitebsk Vs SLO3-1
13/08/22HSLO Vs Smorgon1-3
23/07/22HSLO Vs Orsha3-2
16/07/22AOsipovichy Vs SLO0-2
09/07/22HSLO Vs Naftan0-2
02/07/22ALida Vs SLO1-0
11/06/22HSLO Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov0-5
04/06/22HSLO Vs Baranovichi0-4
22/05/22HSLO Vs Lokomotiv Gomel0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL0.79
HomeLLWLD1.14
AwayDDLLL0.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%29%0%
AVG goals3.433.143.71
Over 1.5 %86%71%100%
Over 2.5 %71%71%71%
Over 3.5 %43%29%57%
Scored1.141.141.14
Conceded2.292.002.57
BTTS64%57%71%
Clean Sheet14%29%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Slonim
Slonim
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL0.53
HomeLLWLL0.56
AwayLLLWL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %13%11%17%
AVG goals2.933.112.67
Over 1.5 %80%78%83%
Over 2.5 %60%67%50%
Over 3.5 %47%56%33%
Scored0.600.670.50
Conceded2.332.442.17
BTTS27%33%17%
Clean Sheet13%11%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NaftanNaftan2453
67%
2.2
5519+36
3.1
79%
62%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.30.8
-
2SmorgonSmorgon2452
67%
2.2
4627+19
3.0
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.91.1
-
3Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov2445
54%
1.9
6920+49
3.7
79%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.8
-
4ML VitebskML Vitebsk2441
50%
1.7
4534+11
3.3
71%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6351.91.4
-
5Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC2440
46%
1.7
4234+8
3.2
83%
67%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.81.4
-
6Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel2439
42%
1.6
3924+15
2.6
71%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
7VolnaVolna2436
42%
1.5
4435+9
3.3
88%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.5
-
8Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 42429
29%
1.2
3045-15
3.1
88%
62%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.9
-
9OrshaOrsha2427
29%
1.1
3352-19
3.5
83%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
10LidaLida2426
25%
1.1
3543-8
3.2
83%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.8
-
11SlonimSlonim2418
21%
0.8
2453-29
3.2
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
-
12OsipovichyOsipovichy2413
12%
0.5
2153-32
3.1
79%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.2
-
13BaranovichiBaranovichi2412
12%
0.5
2569-44
3.9
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.9
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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