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Mondercange vs Fola Esch Result & Analysis

Date: 04/05/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Mondercange
Mondercange
Vs
39%
26%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fola Esch
Fola Esch
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mondercange win✗ Miss
39.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch win✓ Hit
34.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MondercangeMondercange

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D24L10W12L11D04L02L02L04L05LA·SWI16/02H·US 23/02H·AS 02/03A·BET09/03H·VIC16/03A·FC 30/03H·ROD06/04A·WIL13/04H·RAC18/04A·UNA27/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.802.370.672.270.932.47
vs Stronger (9)0.892.330.402.001.502.75
vs Similar (21)0.762.380.802.400.732.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Fola EschFola Esch

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L14L03L03L12L02L02L02L42W03LH·ROD16/02A·WIL23/02H·RAC02/03A·UNA08/03A·US 16/03H·F9130/03A·US 06/04H·PRO13/04A·UNI18/04H·SWI27/04
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.802.570.502.251.142.93
vs Stronger (12)0.832.830.432.141.403.80
vs Similar (17)0.712.410.382.381.002.44
vs Weaker (1)2.002.002.002.00--
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Mondercange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.8%
Under 2.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.5%
Under 3.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.0%
No
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
0-1 ✓
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
Mondercange goals ↓
Fola Esch goals →
01234
05.6%5.7%5.1%2.5%0.9%
16.2%12%8.1%4.0%1.5%
25.8%8.7%6.5%3.2%1.2%
33.1%4.6%3.5%1.7%0.6%
41.2%1.9%1.4%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mondercange goals (down), columns = Fola Esch goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Atert Bissen
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.60
UNA Strassen
2.00
F91 Dudelange
1.90
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.90
Progres Niederkorn
1.83
Swift Hesperange
1.80
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.77
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Union Titus Petange
1.37
US Hostert
1.27
Victoria Rosport
1.13
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Wiltz
0.97
Rodange 91
0.97
Bettembourg
0.74
Fola Esch
0.43
Mondercange
0.40
Mondercange is 0.03 points worse than Fola Esch in terms of average points per game (0.40 vs 0.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Differdange 03
2.30
F91 Dudelange
2.23
UNA Strassen
2.07
Swift Hesperange
1.87
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.77
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.67
US Hostert
1.67
Union Titus Petange
1.37
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.37
Rodange 91
1.33
Wiltz
1.23
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Atert Bissen
1.00
Victoria Rosport
0.97
Bettembourg
0.94
Mondercange
0.70
Fola Esch
0.60
Mondercange is 0.10 goals better than Fola Esch in terms of goals scored per game (0.70 vs 0.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Atert Bissen
0.00
FC Differdange 03
0.23
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
0.73
UNA Strassen
0.77
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Progres Niederkorn
1.00
Union Titus Petange
1.07
F91 Dudelange
1.13
Swift Hesperange
1.13
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.30
Victoria Rosport
1.50
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.60
Bettembourg
1.94
Wiltz
2.00
Rodange 91
2.07
US Hostert
2.30
Mondercange
2.47
Fola Esch
2.60
Mondercange is 0.13 goals better than Fola Esch in terms of goals conceded per game (2.47 vs 2.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MondercangeMondercange

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Fola EschFola Esch

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MondercangeMondercange

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (34)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Fola EschFola Esch

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (33)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Mondercange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Progres Niederkorn
10.8
FC Differdange 03
10.0
F91 Dudelange
9.3
Swift Hesperange
8.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.5
Fola Esch
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
8.8
Progres Niederkorn
7.5
Fola Esch
7.0
Swift Hesperange
5.8
F91 Dudelange
5.1
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
48.0
Swift Hesperange
31.5
Progres Niederkorn
29.0
F91 Dudelange
17.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MondercangeMondercange

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D21W10W11D00D02L01L01L04L01LA·SWI16/02H·US 23/02H·AS 02/03A·BET09/03H·VIC16/03A·FC 30/03H·ROD06/04A·WIL13/04H·RAC18/04A·UNA27/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.970.531.000.330.93
vs Stronger (9)0.440.890.200.800.751.00
vs Similar (21)0.431.000.701.100.180.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Fola EschFola Esch

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L03L01L10W01L00D01L21W01LH·ROD16/02A·WIL23/02H·RAC02/03A·UNA08/03A·US 16/03H·F9130/03A·US 06/04H·PRO13/04A·UNI18/04H·SWI27/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.970.271.000.470.93
vs Stronger (11)0.451.090.331.000.601.20
vs Similar (18)0.280.940.121.120.400.80
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Mondercange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mondercange over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MondercangeMondercange

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D03L00D01L11D02L01L01L00D04LA·SWI16/02H·US 23/02H·AS 02/03A·BET09/03H·VIC16/03A·FC 30/03H·ROD06/04A·WIL13/04H·RAC18/04A·UNA27/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.400.131.270.601.53
vs Stronger (9)0.441.440.201.200.751.75
vs Similar (21)0.331.380.101.300.551.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Fola EschFola Esch

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L13L00D02L02L01L02L01L21W02LH·ROD16/02A·WIL23/02H·RAC02/03A·UNA08/03A·US 16/03H·F9130/03A·US 06/04H·PRO13/04A·UNI18/04H·SWI27/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.700.201.200.602.20
vs Stronger (11)0.361.730.001.000.802.60
vs Similar (18)0.391.670.251.250.502.00
vs Weaker (1)1.002.001.002.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Mondercange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mondercange over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
WIL (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
MON wins
1
Draws
2
FE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mondercange vs Fola Esch · H/A from MON
DateH/AGameScore
24/11/24AFola Esch Vs MON1-0
05/05/24HMON Vs Fola Esch2-1
26/11/23AFola Esch Vs MON2-2
26/02/23AFola Esch Vs MON2-0
28/08/22HMON Vs Fola Esch3-0

MondercangeMondercange

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25AUNA Strassen Vs MON5-0
18/04/25HMON Vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg0-4
13/04/25AWiltz Vs MON2-0
06/04/25HMON Vs Rodange 910-2
30/03/25AFC Differdange 03 Vs MON4-0
16/03/25HMON Vs Victoria Rosport1-1
09/03/25ABettembourg Vs MON2-1
02/03/25HMON Vs AS Jeunesse Esch1-0
23/02/25HMON Vs US Hostert2-4
16/02/25ASwift Hesperange Vs MON0-0

Fola EschFola Esch

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25HFE Vs Swift Hesperange0-3
18/04/25AUnion Titus Petange Vs FE2-4
13/04/25HFE Vs Progres Niederkorn0-2
06/04/25AUS Mondorf-les-bains Vs FE2-0
30/03/25HFE Vs F91 Dudelange0-2
16/03/25AUS Hostert Vs FE2-1
08/03/25AUNA Strassen Vs FE3-0
02/03/25HFE Vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg0-3
23/02/25AWiltz Vs FE4-1
16/02/25HFE Vs Rodange 911-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mondercange
Mondercange
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.62
HomeLWDLL0.80
AwayDLLLL0.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%20%8%
AVG goals3.122.963.28
Over 1.5 %90%92%88%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored0.900.840.96
Conceded2.222.122.32
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet8%8%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Fola Esch
Fola Esch
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL0.78
HomeLLLLL0.88
AwayLLLLW0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%23%21%
AVG goals3.162.583.79
Over 1.5 %78%69%88%
Over 2.5 %62%50%75%
Over 3.5 %42%31%54%
Scored0.880.691.08
Conceded2.281.882.71
BTTS46%31%62%
Clean Sheet16%23%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033078
83%
2.6
697+62
2.5
70%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.30.2
-
2UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3060
60%
2.0
6223+39
2.8
77%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.8
-
3F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3057
57%
1.9
6734+33
3.4
90%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.1
-
4Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3057
57%
1.9
5022+28
2.4
67%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.70.7
-
5Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3055
53%
1.8
5430+24
2.8
73%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
6Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3054
53%
1.8
5634+22
3.0
80%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.1
-
7US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3053
53%
1.8
5339+14
3.1
90%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.81.3
-
8AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3042
37%
1.4
4148-7
3.0
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.6
-
9Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3041
37%
1.4
4132+9
2.4
60%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
10US HostertUS Hostert3038
37%
1.3
5069-19
4.0
93%
83%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.72.3
-
11Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3034
27%
1.1
2945-16
2.5
80%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.5
-
12WiltzWiltz3130
26%
1.0
3862-24
3.2
84%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
13Rodange 91Rodange 913029
23%
1.0
4062-22
3.4
87%
60%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
14BettembourgBettembourg3123
23%
0.7
2960-31
2.9
77%
65%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
15Fola EschFola Esch3013
13%
0.4
1878-60
3.2
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.6
-
16MondercangeMondercange3012
10%
0.4
2174-53
3.2
87%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.5
-
17Atert BissenAtert Bissen13
100%
3.0
10+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.0
-
18Jeunesse CanachJeunesse Canach11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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