This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Victoria Rosport
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.53
0.85
1.46
1.29
1.59
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
1.92
0.43
1.86
0.60
2.00
vs Similar (18)
1.50
1.28
1.33
1.00
1.58
1.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Mondercange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.0%
Under 1.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.8%
Under 2.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.1%
Under 3.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.6%
No
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.4%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.6%
Mondercange goals ↓
Victoria Rosport goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
12%
7.9%
3.1%
0.9%
1
9.8%
15%
8.0%
3.2%
0.9%
2
5.6%
6.7%
4.0%
1.6%
0.5%
3
1.9%
2.3%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mondercange goals (down), columns = Victoria Rosport goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Differdange 03
2.67
F91 Dudelange
2.67
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.40
Wiltz
2.40
Yellow Boys Weiler
2.25
The Belval Belvaux
2.25
Union Titus Petange
2.25
UNA Strassen
2.25
Progres Niederkorn
2.25
Jeunesse Junglinster
2.00
URB
2.00
Minerva Lintgen
2.00
Jeunesse Canach
2.00
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Marisca Mersch
2.00
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Daring Echternach
1.67
Alisontia Steinsel
1.50
Folschette
1.50
Schifflange
1.50
Lorentzweiler
1.50
Moutfort / Medingen
1.50
Obercorn
1.50
Blô-Weiss Medernach
1.50
Jeunesse Schieren
1.50
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.50
Syra Mensdorf
1.50
Sporting Mertzig
1.50
Ehlerange
1.50
Schengen
1.50
Olympia Christnach
1.50
Rodange 91
1.50
Fola Esch
1.50
Mondercange
1.50
Bettembourg
1.50
Swift Hesperange
1.50
Résidence Walferdange
1.50
US Rumelange
1.50
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.33
ALSS Luxembourg
1.01
Etzella Ettelbruck
1.00
Jeunesse Gilsdorf
0.00
Avenir Beggen
0.00
Kehlen
0.00
Grevenmacher
0.00
Les Aiglons Dalheim
0.00
Sandweiler
0.00
Heiderscheid / Eschdorf
0.00
Feulen
0.00
Atert Bissen
0.00
Koerich
0.00
Noertzange
0.00
Tricolore Gasperich
0.00
Sanem
0.00
Munsbach
0.00
RM Hamm Benfica
0.00
Jeunesse Biwer
0.00
Berdenia Berbourg
0.00
Norden
0.00
Mamer
0.00
Minière Lasauvage
0.00
Koeppchen
0.00
Kopstal 33
0.00
Mondercange is 0.50 points worse than Victoria Rosport in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Schengen
4.50
FC Differdange 03
4.33
Jeunesse Schieren
4.00
UNA Strassen
4.00
Progres Niederkorn
4.00
F91 Dudelange
3.50
Union Titus Petange
3.50
Mondercange
3.50
US Rumelange
3.50
US Hostert
3.33
Koerich
3.00
Sporting Mertzig
3.00
The Belval Belvaux
3.00
Ehlerange
3.00
Berdenia Berbourg
3.00
Wiltz
3.00
Yellow Boys Weiler
2.75
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.67
Moutfort / Medingen
2.50
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.40
Jeunesse Junglinster
2.33
URB
2.33
Daring Echternach
2.33
Lorentzweiler
2.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.00
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.00
Syra Mensdorf
2.00
Tricolore Gasperich
2.00
RM Hamm Benfica
2.00
Jeunesse Biwer
2.00
Fola Esch
2.00
Bettembourg
2.00
Marisca Mersch
2.00
Koeppchen
2.00
ALSS Luxembourg
1.93
Jeunesse Canach
1.67
Victoria Rosport
1.67
Alisontia Steinsel
1.50
Schifflange
1.50
Olympia Christnach
1.50
Rodange 91
1.50
Swift Hesperange
1.50
Minerva Lintgen
1.20
Folschette
1.00
Kehlen
1.00
Grevenmacher
1.00
Les Aiglons Dalheim
1.00
Blô-Weiss Medernach
1.00
Feulen
1.00
Noertzange
1.00
Sanem
1.00
Munsbach
1.00
Mamer
1.00
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.00
Kopstal 33
1.00
Obercorn
0.50
Jeunesse Gilsdorf
0.00
Avenir Beggen
0.00
Sandweiler
0.00
Heiderscheid / Eschdorf
0.00
Atert Bissen
0.00
Norden
0.00
Minière Lasauvage
0.00
Mondercange is 1.83 goals better than Victoria Rosport in terms of goals scored per game (3.50 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Differdange 03
0.33
Schifflange
0.50
Obercorn
0.50
US Mondorf-les-bains
0.50
The Belval Belvaux
0.75
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
0.80
Atert Bissen
1.00
Norden
1.00
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Victoria Rosport
1.00
Marisca Mersch
1.00
Swift Hesperange
1.00
Progres Niederkorn
1.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.00
Minière Lasauvage
1.00
UNA Strassen
1.25
Daring Echternach
1.33
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.33
Minerva Lintgen
1.40
Wiltz
1.40
Alisontia Steinsel
1.50
Jeunesse Schieren
1.50
Rodange 91
1.50
Bettembourg
1.50
US Rumelange
1.50
US Hostert
1.67
Union Titus Petange
1.75
F91 Dudelange
1.83
Avenir Beggen
2.00
Jeunesse Junglinster
2.00
URB
2.00
Grevenmacher
2.00
Lorentzweiler
2.00
Moutfort / Medingen
2.00
Feulen
2.00
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.00
Sanem
2.00
Munsbach
2.00
Fola Esch
2.00
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.00
Kopstal 33
2.00
Yellow Boys Weiler
2.25
Blô-Weiss Medernach
2.50
Syra Mensdorf
2.50
Sporting Mertzig
2.50
ALSS Luxembourg
2.71
Les Aiglons Dalheim
3.00
Heiderscheid / Eschdorf
3.00
Ehlerange
3.00
RM Hamm Benfica
3.00
Jeunesse Biwer
3.00
Schengen
3.00
Olympia Christnach
3.00
Mamer
3.00
Koeppchen
3.00
Folschette
3.50
Mondercange
3.50
Jeunesse Gilsdorf
4.00
Koerich
4.00
Noertzange
4.00
Tricolore Gasperich
4.00
Berdenia Berbourg
4.00
Kehlen
5.00
Sandweiler
5.00
Mondercange is 2.50 goals worse than Victoria Rosport in terms of goals conceded per game (3.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Mondercange or Draw✗ Miss
61.1%
Avg Implied -
29%
32%
39%
covers Mondercange + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mondercange or Victoria Rosport✓ Hit
68.4%
Avg Implied -
29%
32%
39%
covers Mondercange + Victoria Rosport
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Victoria Rosport✓ Hit
70.5%
Avg Implied -
29%
32%
39%
covers Draw + Victoria Rosport
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Mondercange over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.5%
Under
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
26.7%
Under
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.8%
Under
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
33.6%
Under
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
12.0%
Under
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Mondercange, so a minus line means Mondercange give that many goals of a start and Victoria Rosport receive them. At -1, Mondercange must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Mondercange win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Mondercange)Actual: Victoria Rosport
Mondercange -2
3.3%
Draw -2
8.2%
Victoria Rosport +2
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Mondercange)Actual: Victoria Rosport
Mondercange -1
11.5%
Draw -1
18.0%
Victoria Rosport +1
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Mondercange)Actual: Draw
Mondercange +1
61.1%
Draw +1
21.6%
Victoria Rosport -1
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Mondercange)Actual: Mondercange
Mondercange +2
82.7%
Draw +2
11.6%
Victoria Rosport -2
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mondercange
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.00
0.50
1.07
0.56
0.94
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.12
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.20
vs Similar (21)
0.38
1.00
0.55
1.09
0.20
0.90
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Victoria Rosport
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.63
0.15
0.62
0.41
0.65
vs Stronger (12)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.57
0.00
0.80
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.61
0.33
0.67
0.58
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Mondercange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mondercange over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mondercange
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.40
0.07
1.21
0.88
1.56
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.38
0.00
1.00
1.20
1.60
vs Similar (21)
0.33
1.43
0.09
1.27
0.60
1.60
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Victoria Rosport
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.90
0.69
0.85
0.88
0.94
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
1.25
0.43
1.29
0.60
1.20
vs Similar (18)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Mondercange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mondercange over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Luxembourg: National Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →