This opponent (Reims) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reims
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.93
1.19
0.81
1.14
1.07
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.00
1.33
0.33
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (14)
1.07
0.79
0.86
0.86
1.29
0.71
vs Weaker (10)
1.40
1.10
1.50
1.00
1.25
1.25
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Montpellier) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.9%
Under 1.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.5%
Under 2.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
13.7%
Under 3.5
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.3%
No
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.3%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.7%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.6%
Montpellier goals ↓
Reims goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
11%
5.6%
1.7%
0.4%
1
14%
15%
6.0%
1.8%
0.4%
2
8.0%
7.2%
3.2%
1.0%
0.2%
3
2.9%
2.6%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Montpellier goals (down), columns = Reims goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.39
Lille
1.97
Lyon
1.89
Saint Etienne
1.74
Marseille
1.61
Montpellier
1.55
Nice
1.47
Reims
1.45
Nimes
1.39
Rennes
1.37
Strasbourg
1.29
Nantes
1.26
Angers
1.21
Bordeaux
1.08
Amiens
1.00
Toulouse
1.00
Monaco
0.95
Dijon
0.89
Caen
0.87
Guingamp
0.71
Montpellier is 0.11 points better than Reims in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 1.45).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.76
Lyon
1.84
Lille
1.79
Marseille
1.58
Saint Etienne
1.55
Strasbourg
1.53
Nimes
1.50
Rennes
1.45
Montpellier
1.39
Nantes
1.26
Angers
1.16
Reims
1.03
Monaco
1.00
Toulouse
0.92
Bordeaux
0.89
Amiens
0.82
Dijon
0.82
Nice
0.79
Caen
0.76
Guingamp
0.74
Montpellier is 0.37 goals better than Reims in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lille
0.87
Nice
0.92
Paris Saint Germain
0.92
Saint Etienne
1.08
Bordeaux
1.11
Montpellier
1.11
Reims
1.11
Lyon
1.24
Nantes
1.26
Strasbourg
1.26
Angers
1.29
Amiens
1.37
Marseille
1.37
Rennes
1.37
Caen
1.42
Monaco
1.50
Toulouse
1.50
Nimes
1.53
Dijon
1.58
Guingamp
1.79
Montpellier and Reims are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Montpellier
For 4.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 15.0 · Total 30.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Reims
For 4.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 14.7 · Total 28.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Montpellier
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.6
8.8
3.7
4.0
3.3
26.9
26.8
27.1
vs Stronger (21)
9.1
9.9
8.3
4.0
4.8
3.0
26.8
27.8
25.6
vs Similar (21)
8.9
8.0
9.4
3.1
2.5
3.5
25.8
24.8
26.4
vs Weaker (8)
7.1
6.6
8.0
4.4
4.8
3.7
30.5
27.8
35.0
% over line
34%
29%
38%
52%
58%
46%
88%
79%
96%
% under line
66%
71%
62%
48%
42%
54%
12%
21%
4%
This opponent (Reims) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reims
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.8
10.4
3.1
3.0
3.3
27.8
27.2
28.6
vs Stronger (6)
9.2
7.0
11.3
2.5
3.3
1.7
24.8
25.0
24.7
vs Similar (21)
10.8
10.7
10.9
3.5
3.2
3.8
29.0
27.2
30.8
vs Weaker (23)
9.7
9.8
9.7
3.0
2.8
3.3
28.4
28.8
28.0
% over line
54%
50%
58%
38%
31%
46%
88%
85%
92%
% under line
46%
50%
42%
62%
69%
54%
12%
15%
8%
This opponent (Montpellier) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paris Saint Germain
10.9
Guingamp
10.5
Saint Etienne
10.4
Nantes
10.2
Dijon
10.2
Reims
10.1
Nice
10.0
Lyon
10.0
Marseille
10.0
Rennes
9.9
Monaco
9.8
Amiens
9.5
Angers
9.5
Toulouse
9.5
Strasbourg
9.4
Caen
9.3
Bordeaux
9.3
Nimes
9.3
Lille
8.9
Montpellier
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nimes
4.6
Toulouse
4.4
Rennes
4.3
Caen
4.1
Nice
4.1
Monaco
4.1
Strasbourg
4.0
Nantes
4.0
Lyon
4.0
Marseille
3.9
Bordeaux
3.8
Guingamp
3.7
Montpellier
3.7
Paris Saint Germain
3.7
Dijon
3.6
Saint Etienne
3.6
Lille
3.5
Angers
3.5
Reims
3.1
Amiens
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reims
27.8
Toulouse
27.8
Monaco
27.4
Montpellier
26.9
Dijon
26.7
Caen
26.6
Bordeaux
26.6
Nimes
26.4
Amiens
26.3
Nice
26.1
Strasbourg
25.9
Marseille
25.8
Rennes
25.8
Guingamp
25.7
Nantes
25.5
Lyon
25.3
Lille
25.1
Saint Etienne
25.1
Paris Saint Germain
24.1
Angers
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.1%
Under 9.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.7%
Under 3.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.9%
Under 21.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Montpellier
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.37
0.43
0.36
0.38
0.38
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
0.54
0.29
0.43
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.25
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.12
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.20
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Reims) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reims
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.47
0.62
0.38
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.50
0.67
0.50
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Montpellier) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Montpellier over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montpellier over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montpellier over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Montpellier
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
0.93
0.43
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (13)
0.77
0.62
1.14
0.57
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.50
0.75
0.00
0.88
0.75
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.60
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Reims) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reims
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.56
0.44
0.64
0.50
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.50
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (14)
0.71
0.36
0.43
0.43
1.00
0.29
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.60
0.83
0.50
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Montpellier) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Montpellier over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montpellier over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montpellier over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Montpellier · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yael Mouanga33%
Nicolas Pays25%
Yanis Issoufou25%
Julien Laporte0%
Théo Sainte-Luce0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Simon Ngapandouetnbu0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Naoufel El Hannach0%
Noah Vidal0%
Hichem Abderrebi0%
Laciné Megnan-Pave0%
Daryll Benlahlou0%
Gregory Ayem0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daylam Meddah67%
Yael Mouanga67%
Naoufel El Hannach33%
Gregory Ayem33%
Théo Sainte-Luce25%
Nordan Mukiele25%
Laciné Megnan-Pave25%
Julien Laporte0%
Simon Ngapandouetnbu0%
Nicolas Pays0%
Yanis Issoufou0%
Noah Vidal0%
Hichem Abderrebi0%
Daryll Benlahlou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Théo Sainte-Luce25%
Laciné Megnan-Pave25%
Julien Laporte0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Simon Ngapandouetnbu0%
Nicolas Pays0%
Yael Mouanga0%
Yanis Issoufou0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Naoufel El Hannach0%
Noah Vidal0%
Hichem Abderrebi0%
Daryll Benlahlou0%
Gregory Ayem0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Laciné Megnan-Pave50%
Julien Laporte0%
Théo Sainte-Luce0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Simon Ngapandouetnbu0%
Nicolas Pays0%
Yael Mouanga0%
Yanis Issoufou0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Naoufel El Hannach0%
Noah Vidal0%
Hichem Abderrebi0%
Daryll Benlahlou0%
Gregory Ayem0%
Reims · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Quentin Paris33%
Youssef El Kachati25%
Sambou Soumano25%
Samuel Kotto25%
Yaya Fofana25%
Ange Tia25%
Mohamed Daramy0%
Theo Leoni0%
Tom Hülsmann0%
Daouda Guindo0%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon0%
Jean Mambuku0%
Amine Kashi0%
John Otomewo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daouda Guindo50%
Quentin Paris33%
Youssef El Kachati25%
Samuel Kotto25%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon25%
Mohamed Daramy0%
Sambou Soumano0%
Theo Leoni0%
Tom Hülsmann0%
Yaya Fofana0%
Ange Tia0%
Jean Mambuku0%
Amine Kashi0%
John Otomewo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daouda Guindo75%
Amine Kashi33%
Mohamed Daramy0%
Youssef El Kachati0%
Sambou Soumano0%
Theo Leoni0%
Tom Hülsmann0%
Samuel Kotto0%
Yaya Fofana0%
Ange Tia0%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon0%
Quentin Paris0%
Jean Mambuku0%
John Otomewo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yaya Fofana25%
Mohamed Daramy0%
Youssef El Kachati0%
Sambou Soumano0%
Theo Leoni0%
Tom Hülsmann0%
Daouda Guindo0%
Samuel Kotto0%
Ange Tia0%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon0%
Quentin Paris0%
Jean Mambuku0%
Amine Kashi0%
John Otomewo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
REI (30)
€72m
MON (24)
€29m
GUI (20)
€11m
DIJ (20)
€5m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
Montpellier's squad is €43m less valuable than Reims's (€29m vs €72m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
MON (9)
€11m
GUI (4)
€3m
CAE (8)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
Montpellier's attack is €27m less valuable than Reims's (€11m vs €38m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
NIC (9)
€31m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
ANG (3)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
DIJ (6)
€2m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
Montpellier's midfield is €7m less valuable than Reims's (€6m vs €13m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
NAN (10)
€34m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
MON (10)
€12m
AMI (8)
€4m
GUI (8)
€3m
CAE (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
Montpellier's defence is €9m less valuable than Reims's (€12m vs €21m).
France: Ligue 1 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →
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Paris Saint Germain
Lille
Lyon
Saint Etienne
Marseille
Nice
Nimes
Rennes
Strasbourg
Nantes
Angers
Bordeaux
Amiens
Toulouse
Monaco
Dijon
Caen
Guingamp