PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Montrose vs Arbroath Result & Analysis

Date: 04/08/2018
Time: 00:00
Final 0-4
Montrose
Montrose
vs
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montrose win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arbroath win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D21W32W03L30W50W30W10W20W11DA·BER24/02H·ANN13/03H·PET17/03A·CLY24/03H·EDI31/03A·STI07/04A·COW10/04H·BER14/04A·STE21/04H·ELG28/04← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.971.871.201.600.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.861.292.001.431.711.14
vs Weaker (16)1.620.691.751.001.500.38
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W11D21W23L21W23L11D50W20W03LH·FOR10/03H·AYR14/03A·ALB17/03H·STR24/03A·ALB27/03A·ALL31/03H·RAI07/04A·EAS14/04H·AIR21/04A·QUE28/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.401.671.202.131.60
vs Stronger (10)1.701.402.171.501.001.25
vs Similar (13)1.691.461.000.602.122.00
vs Weaker (7)2.571.291.751.503.671.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arbroath
1.94
Forfar
1.75
Raith Rvs
1.67
Montrose
1.42
Airdrie United
1.33
Dumbarton
1.28
East Fife
1.28
Stranraer
1.17
Stenhousemuir
1.03
Brechin
1.00
Montrose is 0.53 points worse than Arbroath in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Raith Rvs
2.08
Arbroath
1.75
Dumbarton
1.67
Forfar
1.50
Airdrie United
1.42
Montrose
1.36
East Fife
1.36
Stranraer
1.25
Brechin
1.17
Stenhousemuir
0.97
Montrose is 0.39 goals worse than Arbroath in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arbroath
1.06
Airdrie United
1.22
Forfar
1.31
Raith Rvs
1.36
Montrose
1.39
East Fife
1.56
Stranraer
1.58
Dumbarton
1.67
Brechin
1.69
Stenhousemuir
1.69
Montrose is 0.33 goals worse than Arbroath in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.06).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MontroseMontrose

For 5.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

150154681924362233554221510911785894H·ELGA·STEH·BERA·COWA·STIH·EDIA·CLYH·PETH·ANNA·BER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

8011113223514311122121244854243H·ELGA·STEH·BERA·COWA·STIH·EDIA·CLYH·PETH·ANNA·BER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 13.5 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

320711121151771414179231271213121310918232221313219252519H·ELGA·STEH·BERA·COWA·STIH·EDIA·CLYH·PETH·ANNA·BER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArbroathArbroath

For 4.9 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

150151474722674114241410365119811156513A·QUEH·AIRA·EASH·RAIA·ALLA·ALBH·STRA·ALBH·AYRH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

70311122411322121254024544137A·QUEH·AIRA·EASH·RAIA·ALLA·ALBH·STRA·ALBH·AYRH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 9.3 · Total 19.7

⚠️ Fouls

32073117812101223910121095699111410182022322219111825A·QUEH·AIRA·EASH·RAIA·ALLA·ALBH·STRA·ALBH·AYRH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.210.77.72.22.42.122.422.622.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)8.811.16.52.42.82.221.521.121.9
vs Weaker (31)9.410.38.62.12.22.023.223.822.6
% over line42%56%28%26%33%19%56%61%50%
% under line58%44%72%74%67%81%44%39%50%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.29.810.62.22.12.220.320.220.3
vs Stronger (14)10.98.713.22.42.32.619.217.720.7
vs Similar (21)9.49.19.82.12.02.220.422.118.8
vs Weaker (15)10.612.88.52.12.12.021.620.223.0
% over line47%39%56%30%28%32%39%39%39%
% under line53%61%44%70%72%68%61%61%61%
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
11.8
Raith Rvs
11.6
East Fife
11.0
Forfar
10.9
Brechin
10.7
Airdrie United
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Arbroath
10.2
Stenhousemuir
10.2
Montrose
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Forfar
3.9
Raith Rvs
3.6
Airdrie United
3.3
Stranraer
3.3
Brechin
3.2
Montrose
3.1
Dumbarton
3.0
Arbroath
3.0
Stenhousemuir
3.0
East Fife
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Fife
23.3
Forfar
22.5
Montrose
22.4
Brechin
22.0
Stranraer
21.9
Raith Rvs
21.4
Airdrie United
21.0
Stenhousemuir
20.3
Arbroath
20.3
Dumbarton
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
65.0%
Under 9.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.7%
Under 3.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
37.4%
Under 21.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W01L03L20W10W10W10W20W01LA·BER24/02H·ANN13/03H·PET17/03A·CLY24/03H·EDI31/03A·STI07/04A·COW10/04H·BER14/04A·STE21/04H·ELG28/04← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.430.870.470.930.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.930.500.860.571.000.43
vs Weaker (16)0.880.380.880.380.880.38
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W11D20W11D22D01L20W10W01LH·FOR10/03H·AYR14/03A·ALB17/03H·STR24/03A·ALB27/03A·ALL31/03H·RAI07/04A·EAS14/04H·AIR21/04A·QUE28/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.770.870.531.001.00
vs Stronger (10)0.600.901.000.830.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.850.850.400.401.121.12
vs Weaker (7)1.570.431.250.252.000.67
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D31W00D10W40W20W00D00D10WA·BER24/02H·ANN13/03H·PET17/03A·CLY24/03H·EDI31/03A·STI07/04A·COW10/04H·BER14/04A·STE21/04H·ELG28/04← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.531.000.730.670.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.930.791.140.860.710.71
vs Weaker (16)0.750.310.880.620.620.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L10W03L10W01L10W30W10W02LH·FOR10/03H·AYR14/03A·ALB17/03H·STR24/03A·ALB27/03A·ALL31/03H·RAI07/04A·EAS14/04H·AIR21/04A·QUE28/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.630.800.671.130.60
vs Stronger (10)1.100.501.170.671.000.25
vs Similar (13)0.850.620.600.201.000.88
vs Weaker (7)1.000.860.501.251.670.33
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards89.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls87.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards78.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls77.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners76.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (15)
€1m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Montrose and Arbroath have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (3)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Montrose and Arbroath have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (5)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
Montrose and Arbroath have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (7)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Montrose and Arbroath have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
MON wins
3
Draws
3
ARB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Montrose vs Arbroath · H/A from MON
DateH/AGameScore
25/03/17AArbroath Vs MON0-1
11/02/17HMON Vs Arbroath1-3
02/01/17AArbroath Vs MON0-0
13/08/16HMON Vs Arbroath1-1
23/04/16AArbroath Vs MON0-0
02/01/16HMON Vs Arbroath0-2
17/10/15AArbroath Vs MON3-1
15/08/15HMON Vs Arbroath3-0

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/18HMON Vs Elgin1-1
21/04/18AStenhousemuir Vs MON0-2
14/04/18HMON Vs Berwick1-0
10/04/18ACowdenbeath Vs MON0-3
07/04/18AStirling Vs MON0-5
31/03/18HMON Vs Edinburgh City3-0
24/03/18AClyde Vs MON3-0
17/03/18HMON Vs Peterhead3-2
13/03/18HMON Vs Annan Athletic2-1
24/02/18ABerwick Vs MON2-2

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/18AQueens Park Vs ARB3-0
21/04/18HARB Vs Airdrie United2-0
14/04/18AEast Fife Vs ARB0-5
07/04/18HARB Vs Raith Rvs1-1
31/03/18AAlloa Vs ARB3-2
27/03/18AAlbion Rvs Vs ARB1-2
24/03/18HARB Vs Stranraer2-3
17/03/18AAlbion Rvs Vs ARB1-2
14/03/18HARB Vs Ayr1-1
10/03/18HARB Vs Forfar2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League One
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.98
HomeWWWWD1.83
AwayDLWWW2.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%54%62%
AVG goals2.623.002.27
Over 1.5 %70%79%62%
Over 2.5 %48%58%38%
Over 3.5 %28%33%23%
Scored1.561.671.46
Conceded1.061.330.81
BTTS48%62%35%
Clean Sheet48%38%58%
Corners9.1710.677.67
Cards3.083.173.00
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League One
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.68
HomeWDLDW1.44
AwayWWLWL1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%40%56%
AVG goals3.142.843.44
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %54%44%64%
Over 3.5 %34%28%40%
Scored1.861.562.16
Conceded1.281.281.28
BTTS64%64%64%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners10.199.7810.61
Cards3.032.943.11

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArbroathArbroath3670
56%
1.9
6338+25
2.8
81%
47%
33%
10.1
58%
4.0
58%
22.0
56%
1
0001.81.1
-
2ForfarForfar3663
53%
1.8
5447+7
2.8
83%
61%
31%
9.7
47%
3.2
44%
19.8
39%
0
0001.51.3
-
3
RR
Raith Rvs
3660
44%
1.7
7549+26
3.4
94%
64%
44%
9.1
39%
3.6
47%
21.0
39%
0
0002.11.4
-
4MontroseMontrose3651
42%
1.4
4950-1
2.8
83%
47%
28%
9.2
39%
3.7
53%
22.7
50%
0
0001.41.4
-
5Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3648
39%
1.3
5144+7
2.6
67%
50%
25%
10.9
69%
2.9
36%
21.2
44%
0
0001.41.2
-
6DumbartonDumbarton3646
33%
1.3
6060+0
3.3
89%
67%
42%
9.9
56%
3.0
36%
20.6
42%
0
0001.71.7
-
7East FifeEast Fife3646
36%
1.3
4956-7
2.9
86%
53%
28%
10.3
56%
2.8
36%
19.6
31%
0
0001.41.6
-
8StranraerStranraer3642
31%
1.2
4557-12
2.8
86%
56%
25%
10.6
58%
3.1
44%
20.1
36%
0
0001.21.6
-
9StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3637
28%
1.0
3561-26
2.7
83%
44%
19%
11.2
75%
3.5
39%
20.2
28%
0
0001.01.7
-
10BrechinBrechin3636
25%
1.0
4261-19
2.9
81%
56%
31%
10.0
53%
3.8
56%
22.9
58%
0
0001.21.7
-
Scotland: League One 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

← all matches