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Montrose vs East Fife Result & Analysis

Date: 12/01/2019
Time: 00:00
Final 0-2
Montrose
Montrose
Vs
35%
27%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Montrose win✗ Miss
35.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
East Fife win✓ Hit
37.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W02L11D20W32W12L31W11D21WA·BRE27/10H·DUM03/11A·ARB10/11H·STR17/11A·EAS01/12H·RAI08/12A·FOR15/12H·STE22/12H·ARB29/12A·STR05/01
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.331.531.401.671.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.551.181.331.671.800.60
vs Weaker (19)1.631.421.671.221.601.60
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L01L21W24L02L33D20W10W21W12LA·DUM27/10A·ARB03/11H·RAI10/11A·AIR17/11H·MON01/12H·STR08/12A·STE15/12H·FOR22/12A·RAI29/12H·AIR05/01
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.601.471.801.401.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.351.701.401.901.301.50
vs Weaker (10)1.601.401.601.601.601.20
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.0%
Under 2.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
7.0%
0-2 ✓
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
Montrose goals ↓
East Fife goals →
01234
07.0%7.3%6.1%3.0%1.1%
17.0%13%8.5%4.1%1.5%
25.7%8.2%5.9%2.9%1.0%
32.6%3.8%2.8%1.3%0.5%
40.9%1.3%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Montrose goals (down), columns = East Fife goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arbroath
1.94
Forfar
1.75
Raith Rvs
1.67
Montrose
1.42
Airdrie United
1.33
Dumbarton
1.28
East Fife
1.28
Stranraer
1.17
Stenhousemuir
1.03
Brechin
1.00
Montrose is 0.14 points better than East Fife in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.28).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Raith Rvs
2.08
Arbroath
1.75
Dumbarton
1.67
Forfar
1.50
Airdrie United
1.42
Montrose
1.36
East Fife
1.36
Stranraer
1.25
Brechin
1.17
Stenhousemuir
0.97
Montrose and East Fife are level in goals scored per game (both 1.36).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arbroath
1.06
Airdrie United
1.22
Forfar
1.31
Raith Rvs
1.36
Montrose
1.39
East Fife
1.56
Stranraer
1.58
Dumbarton
1.67
Brechin
1.69
Stenhousemuir
1.69
Montrose is 0.17 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.56).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MontroseMontrose

For 4.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

17054429453167498445349613871117857A·STRH·ARBH·STEA·FORH·RAIA·EASH·STRA·ARBH·DUMA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

701322541232232422221575545624A·STRH·ARBH·STEA·FORH·RAIA·EASH·STRA·ARBH·DUMA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 13.3 · Total 24.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

320991213151710716128111515131981471618253217281930322223A·STRH·ARBH·STEA·FORH·RAIA·EASH·STRA·ARBH·DUMA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East FifeEast Fife

For 3.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

140551668272447636253161071496119887H·AIRA·RAIH·FORA·STEH·STRH·MONA·AIRH·RAIA·ARBA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

601143322221313321530543462H·AIRA·RAIH·FORA·STEH·STRH·MONA·AIRH·RAIA·ARBA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 9.7 · Total 21.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

2901014910119991091181571712121012924192018191922292221H·AIRA·RAIH·FORA·STEH·STRH·MONA·AIRH·RAIA·ARBA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.610.78.43.43.63.322.823.921.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (20)10.111.38.82.82.92.720.921.620.3
vs Weaker (30)9.210.38.23.84.03.724.025.522.5
% over line46%60%32%46%52%40%56%72%40%
% under line54%40%68%54%48%60%44%28%60%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.611.69.52.82.63.022.222.122.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (35)10.912.49.62.92.63.222.823.122.6
vs Weaker (15)9.810.19.42.62.82.420.820.021.7
% over line64%80%48%30%32%28%54%48%60%
% under line36%20%52%70%68%72%46%52%40%
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
11.1
Airdrie United
10.9
Stenhousemuir
10.9
Stranraer
10.7
East Fife
10.6
Raith Rvs
10.4
Arbroath
10.2
Brechin
10.1
Forfar
10.0
Montrose
9.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Forfar
3.8
Raith Rvs
3.7
Brechin
3.6
Montrose
3.4
Arbroath
3.4
Stenhousemuir
3.3
Stranraer
3.2
Airdrie United
3.2
Dumbarton
3.1
East Fife
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Brechin
23.2
Montrose
22.8
East Fife
22.2
Forfar
21.5
Arbroath
21.4
Stranraer
21.2
Raith Rvs
21.2
Airdrie United
21.1
Stenhousemuir
20.4
Dumbarton
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.9%
Under 9.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.1%
Under 3.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
58.5%
Under 21.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L00D10W11D11D20W00D20WA·BRE27/10H·DUM03/11A·ARB10/11H·STR17/11A·EAS01/12H·RAI08/12A·FOR15/12H·STE22/12H·ARB29/12A·STR05/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.670.670.730.870.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.640.730.331.171.000.20
vs Weaker (19)0.840.630.890.440.800.80
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L21W01L20W10W00D20W12LA·DUM27/10A·ARB03/11H·RAI10/11A·AIR17/11H·MON01/12H·STR08/12A·STE15/12H·FOR22/12A·RAI29/12H·AIR05/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.630.600.730.870.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.750.750.601.000.900.50
vs Weaker (10)0.700.400.600.200.800.60
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W01L11D10W21W01L11D11D01LA·BRE27/10H·DUM03/11A·ARB10/11H·STR17/11A·EAS01/12H·RAI08/12A·FOR15/12H·STE22/12H·ARB29/12A·STR05/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.670.870.670.800.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.910.451.000.500.800.40
vs Weaker (19)0.790.790.780.780.800.80
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L20W03L01L13L10W10W01L00DA·DUM27/10A·ARB03/11H·RAI10/11A·AIR17/11H·MON01/12H·STR08/12A·STE15/12H·FOR22/12A·RAI29/12H·AIR05/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.970.871.070.530.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.600.950.800.900.401.00
vs Weaker (10)0.901.001.001.400.800.60
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls73.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards70.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards70.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (15)
€1m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Montrose and East Fife have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (3)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Montrose and East Fife have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (5)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
Montrose and East Fife have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (7)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Montrose and East Fife have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
MON wins
2
Draws
3
EF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Montrose vs East Fife · H/A from MON
DateH/AGameScore
01/12/18AEast Fife Vs MON0-2
01/09/18HMON Vs East Fife0-2
09/04/16AEast Fife Vs MON3-0
06/02/16HMON Vs East Fife2-2
19/12/15AEast Fife Vs MON1-1
26/09/15HMON Vs East Fife1-4

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/01/19AStranraer Vs MON1-2
29/12/18HMON Vs Arbroath1-1
22/12/18HMON Vs Stenhousemuir3-1
15/12/18AForfar Vs MON2-1
08/12/18HMON Vs Raith Rvs3-2
01/12/18AEast Fife Vs MON0-2
17/11/18HMON Vs Stranraer1-1
10/11/18AArbroath Vs MON2-0
03/11/18HMON Vs Dumbarton1-0
27/10/18ABrechin Vs MON1-3

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/01/19HEF Vs Airdrie United1-2
29/12/18ARaith Rvs Vs EF1-2
22/12/18HEF Vs Forfar1-0
15/12/18AStenhousemuir Vs EF0-2
08/12/18HEF Vs Stranraer3-3
01/12/18HEF Vs Montrose0-2
17/11/18AAirdrie United Vs EF4-2
10/11/18HEF Vs Raith Rvs2-1
03/11/18AArbroath Vs EF1-0
27/10/18ADumbarton Vs EF4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League One
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW1.88
HomeWDWWD1.92
AwayWLWLW1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%56%56%
AVG goals2.763.042.48
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.561.641.48
Conceded1.201.401.00
BTTS48%60%36%
Clean Sheet38%28%48%
Corners9.5610.688.44
Cards3.423.563.28
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL1.30
HomeWLDWL1.52
AwayLLLWW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%32%
AVG goals3.203.682.72
Over 1.5 %88%96%80%
Over 2.5 %60%72%48%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored1.481.841.12
Conceded1.721.841.60
BTTS50%64%36%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Corners10.5811.649.52
Cards2.822.643.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArbroathArbroath3670
56%
1.9
6338+25
2.8
81%
47%
33%
10.1
58%
4.0
58%
22.0
56%
1
0001.81.1
-
2ForfarForfar3663
53%
1.8
5447+7
2.8
83%
61%
31%
9.7
47%
3.2
44%
19.8
39%
0
0001.51.3
-
3
RR
Raith Rvs
3660
44%
1.7
7549+26
3.4
94%
64%
44%
9.1
39%
3.6
47%
21.0
39%
0
0002.11.4
-
4MontroseMontrose3651
42%
1.4
4950-1
2.8
83%
47%
28%
9.2
39%
3.7
53%
22.7
50%
0
0001.41.4
-
5Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3648
39%
1.3
5144+7
2.6
67%
50%
25%
10.9
69%
2.9
36%
21.2
44%
0
0001.41.2
-
6DumbartonDumbarton3646
33%
1.3
6060+0
3.3
89%
67%
42%
9.9
56%
3.0
36%
20.6
42%
0
0001.71.7
-
7East FifeEast Fife3646
36%
1.3
4956-7
2.9
86%
53%
28%
10.3
56%
2.8
36%
19.6
31%
0
0001.41.6
-
8StranraerStranraer3642
31%
1.2
4557-12
2.8
86%
56%
25%
10.6
58%
3.1
44%
20.1
36%
0
0001.21.6
-
9StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3637
28%
1.0
3561-26
2.7
83%
44%
19%
11.2
75%
3.5
39%
20.2
28%
0
0001.01.7
-
10BrechinBrechin3636
25%
1.0
4261-19
2.9
81%
56%
31%
10.0
53%
3.8
56%
22.9
58%
0
0001.21.7
-
Scotland: League One 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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