Montrose face East Kilbride in a Scotland: League One match on August 22, 2026. East Kilbride's recent form has been impressive, unbeaten in their last 5 games with a 3-0 win over Cove Rangers. In contrast, Montrose have struggled, losing 4 consecutive games before a draw, including a 0-3 defeat to Alloa Athletic. The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.3 goals and the most likely total being 3 goals.
The model's selection is the away win, with a probability of 56%. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 10.2%. East Kilbride have been scoring an average of 2 goals away from home against weaker opponents, but conceding 1.07 goals. Montrose have been struggling to score at home, but their away form is not well-represented in this data.
The model suggests Over 1.5 goals with a probability of 85.5%, and Over 21.5 fouls with a probability of 70.4%. The home win percentage is 21%, the draw percentage is 23%, and the away win percentage is 56%.
Results analysis
The upset came as Montrose, the pre-match favourite, edged a 3-0 win over East Kilbride, overturning the model’s pick of an away victory at 56 %. The home side’s recent form, a win after a string of losses, proved decisive. The model’s call was wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.1 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.0 %, Under 7.5 hit at 97.9 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.2 %, Under 6.5 hit at 94.7 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 92.6 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 92.4 %, while Away +2 handicap missed at 91.0 %. The final score of 3-0 confirmed a home triumph.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Montrose win✓ Hit
21.5%
Avg Implied 21.1% · @ 4.32
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.75
1xBet
4.71
Marathonbet
4.65
William Hil
4.50
888Sport
4.50
Draw✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied 23.3% · @ 3.92
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.20
Dafabet
4.10
10Bet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
East Kilbride win✗ Miss
55.8%
Avg Implied 55.6% · @ 1.64
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.70
Dafabet
1.69
Superbet
1.68
888Sport
1.67
Bet365
1.67
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Montrose
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.77
1.46
1.77
1.47
1.76
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.45
1.82
1.56
1.67
1.38
1.92
vs Weaker (8)
1.50
1.62
1.25
2.00
1.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Kilbride
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.37
1.37
2.62
1.38
2.07
1.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
2.44
1.78
2.25
1.50
2.60
2.00
vs Weaker (21)
2.33
1.19
2.75
1.33
1.78
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.5%
@ 1.14+4.2%
Under 1.5
14.5%
@ 4.93-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
888Sport
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
888Sport
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.8%
@ 1.50+3.0%
Under 2.5
35.2%
@ 2.42-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.51
BetVictor
1.51
888Sport
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.55
10Bet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.42
Pinnacle
2.42
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.8%
@ 2.24+1.3%
Under 3.5
57.2%
@ 1.59-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.30
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.26
888Sport
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Under
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.60
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.4%
@ 1.53+2.9%
No
36.6%
@ 2.34-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
Betfair
1.53
No
Betfair
2.45
BetVictor
2.40
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.32
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%@ 7.76+4.3%
1-2
9.7%@ 7.80+3.8%
0-2
7.8%@ 9.35+2.9%
1-3
6.7%@ 11.21+2.7%
0-1
6.5%@ 9.26+1.6%
2-2
6.0%@ 12.12+2.3%
2-1
5.8%@ 13.13+2.3%
0-3
5.4%@ 13.41+2.0%
Montrose goals ↓
East Kilbride goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
6.5%
7.8%
5.4%
2.8%
1
3.5%
10%
9.7%
6.7%
3.5%
2
2.8%
5.8%
6.0%
4.2%
2.2%
3
1.2%
2.4%
2.5%
1.7%
0.9%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Montrose goals (down), columns = East Kilbride goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Alloa Athletic
1.28
Queen of the South
1.28
Ross County
1.25
Peterhead
1.19
Montrose
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.06
East Fife
1.00
Montrose is 0.11 points worse than East Kilbride in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.28).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.36
East Kilbride
1.36
Alloa Athletic
1.36
Queen of the South
1.36
Montrose
1.33
Peterhead
1.33
Ross County
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.14
East Fife
0.94
Montrose is 0.02 goals worse than East Kilbride in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
1.22
Airdrie United
1.44
East Kilbride
1.44
Alloa Athletic
1.44
Queen of the South
1.44
Ross County
1.47
Hamilton Academical
1.50
East Fife
1.69
Peterhead
1.78
Montrose
1.86
Montrose is 0.42 goals worse than East Kilbride in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Montrose
For 5.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
East Kilbride
For 4.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Montrose
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.0
8.7
2.7
2.7
2.7
23.6
21.8
25.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
9.0
9.5
8.4
3.1
3.4
2.9
24.6
23.3
26.0
vs Weaker (13)
8.6
7.6
9.8
1.7
1.1
2.3
20.2
17.2
24.0
% over line
34%
35%
33%
44%
33%
54%
66%
55%
78%
% under line
66%
65%
67%
56%
67%
46%
34%
45%
22%
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Kilbride
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.4
10.4
4.0
3.6
4.4
26.4
24.7
28.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
9.5
8.2
10.8
2.3
2.5
2.1
24.6
23.8
25.5
vs Weaker (32)
10.6
11.0
10.3
5.0
4.1
6.1
27.0
24.9
29.0
% over line
58%
56%
61%
60%
54%
67%
81%
78%
83%
% under line
42%
44%
39%
40%
46%
33%
19%
22%
17%
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ross County
10.9
Hamilton Academical
10.5
East Kilbride
10.4
Airdrie United
10.1
Alloa Athletic
10.0
East Fife
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.4
Peterhead
8.9
Montrose
8.5
Queen of the South
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Peterhead
5.0
Montrose
3.7
East Fife
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.2
Queen of the South
3.0
Hamilton Academical
2.7
Alloa Athletic
1.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
East Kilbride
26.4
East Fife
22.9
Montrose
22.2
Alloa Athletic
22.0
Cove Rangers
21.0
Ross County
21.0
Queen of the South
20.0
Airdrie United
20.0
Hamilton Academical
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.6%
@ 1.86-2.9%
Under 9.5
52.4%
@ 1.89+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.7%
Under 3.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.3%
Under 21.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Montrose or Draw✓ Hit
44.2%
Avg Implied 43.6% · @ 2.11
Edge
+0.6%
21%
23%
56%
covers Montrose + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.30
10Bet
2.20
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.12
Montrose or East Kilbride✓ Hit
77.2%
Avg Implied 77.3% · @ 1.19
Edge
-0.1%
21%
23%
56%
covers Montrose + East Kilbride
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Draw or East Kilbride✗ Miss
78.5%
Avg Implied 79.1% · @ 1.16
Edge
-0.6%
21%
23%
56%
covers Draw + East Kilbride
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Superbet
1.18
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Montrose over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.3%
@ 1.37+3.9%
Under
28.7%
@ 2.83-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.37
888Sport
1.36
Under
Betano
2.92
BetVictor
2.90
888Sport
2.90
10Bet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.82
Montrose over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.5%
@ 2.73+1.7%
Under
64.5%
@ 1.39-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.84
Marathonbet
2.84
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.75
888Sport
2.75
Under
Betano
1.44
BetVictor
1.40
888Sport
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Montrose over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
13.1%
@ 6.57-0.9%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.07+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
BetVictor
7.00
888Sport
7.00
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.30
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
888Sport
1.08
1xBet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Montrose over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 15.00-2.5%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
11.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
East Kilbride over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
87.6%
@ 1.09+3.2%
Under
12.4%
@ 5.93-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
888Sport
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Under
888Sport
6.50
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
6.00
East Kilbride over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
61.7%
@ 1.54+1.7%
Under
38.3%
@ 2.31-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
BetVictor
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.38
Marathonbet
2.35
10Bet
2.35
888Sport
2.30
BetVictor
2.30
East Kilbride over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
34.7%
@ 2.66-0.1%
Under
65.3%
@ 1.42+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.72
888Sport
2.70
Superbet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Under
1xBet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
East Kilbride over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.9%
@ 5.08-2.4%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.14+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
5.50
Betano
5.20
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.60
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Montrose, so a minus line means Montrose give that many goals of a start and East Kilbride receive them. At -1, Montrose must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Montrose win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Montrose)Actual: Montrose
Montrose -2
2.9%
@ 21.00-1.6%
Draw -2
6.1%
@ 13.00-1.1%
East Kilbride +2
91.0%
@ 1.06+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
1.06
Handicap -1 (Montrose)Actual: Montrose
Montrose -1
9.0%
@ 7.53-2.1%
Draw -1
12.4%
@ 5.30-3.3%
East Kilbride +1
78.5%
@ 1.15+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
6.55
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap +1 (Montrose)Actual: Montrose
Montrose +1
44.2%
@ 2.13+2.6%
Draw +1
21.4%
@ 3.80-1.9%
East Kilbride -1
34.3%
@ 2.54-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.12
Bet365
2.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.70
Away
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.55
Betfair
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
Handicap +2 (Montrose)Actual: Montrose
Montrose +2
65.7%
@ 1.43+3.1%
Draw +2
17.1%
@ 4.88-1.3%
East Kilbride -2
17.2%
@ 4.70-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Draw
Marathonbet
5.00
Bet365
4.75
Away
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Montrose
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.69
0.69
0.82
0.65
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.64
0.78
0.56
0.77
0.69
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Kilbride
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.57
1.44
0.62
1.14
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.44
0.75
0.75
0.80
0.20
vs Weaker (21)
1.52
0.62
1.67
0.58
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.4%
@ 1.23+3.6%
Under 0.5
21.6%
@ 3.67-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.80
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
43.3%
@ 2.19+1.0%
Under 1.5
56.7%
@ 1.61-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Under
William Hil
1.65
BetVictor
1.63
Pinnacle
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.5%
@ 4.71-5.1%
Under 2.5
85.5%
@ 1.15+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
Betano
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
William Hil
4.80
1xBet
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
36.3%
@ 2.29-4.1%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.55+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.37
Marathonbet
2.32
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Under
1xBet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.55
Marathonbet
1.51
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
9.6%
@ 7.87-2.2%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.05+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.00
1xBet
7.70
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 12.00-6.9%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.01+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
East Kilbride over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
65.8%
@ 1.57+6.8%
Under
34.2%
@ 2.26-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.35
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.25
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.14
East Kilbride over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
22.9%
@ 3.70-2.1%
Under
77.1%
@ 1.23+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.85
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
East Kilbride over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 9.40-2.4%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.02+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Montrose
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.10
0.77
1.08
0.65
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.68
1.18
0.78
1.11
0.62
1.23
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.88
0.75
1.00
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Kilbride
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.80
1.19
0.75
0.93
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.67
1.33
1.50
0.75
1.80
1.80
vs Weaker (21)
0.81
0.57
1.08
0.75
0.44
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.8%
Under 0.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
51.1%
Under 1.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.4%
Under 2.5
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.1%
Under
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
65.3%
Under
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
29.1%
Under
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.6%
Under
92.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.7%
1.03
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
92.6%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
91.0%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
+2.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
87.9%
1.07
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.05
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
87.6%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
888Sport
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+3.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
86.9%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
888Sport
1.08
1xBet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
+0.9%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.5%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.5%
1.14
Betano
1.17
888Sport
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
84.1%
1.14
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
78.5%
1.16
Betano
1.24
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Superbet
1.18
-0.6%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
78.5%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
+5.5%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
78.4%
1.23
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.2%
1.19
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
77.1%
1.23
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
75.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
888Sport
1.22
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.4%
1.29
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.27
-
-
-
+3.9%
-
Home over 0.5 goals
71.3%
1.37
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.37
888Sport
1.36
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (11)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Montrose and East Kilbride have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Montrose and East Kilbride have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (3)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Montrose and East Kilbride have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (7)
€1m
QOT (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Montrose and East Kilbride have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hamilton Academical
Ross County
Alloa Athletic
Peterhead
East Fife
Cove Rangers
Airdrie United
Queen of the South