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Mornar vs Buducnost Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: 08/03/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 1-2
Mornar
Mornar
Vs
25%
29%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar win✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica win✓ Hit
45.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MornarMornar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W21W04L11D24L10W21W11D02LH·DEČ23/10A·BUD27/10H·SUT02/11A·ARS10/11H·BOK23/11A·PET01/12H·OTR07/12A·JEZ22/02H·JED26/02A·DEČ02/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.301.331.000.931.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.111.301.380.920.861.64
vs Weaker (3)1.331.331.001.502.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L30W11D20W41W31W31W20W51W31WH·MOR27/10A·OTR02/11H·JEZ09/11A·JED23/11A·PET27/11H·DEČ01/12H·PET07/12H·SUT22/02A·ARS26/02H·BOK02/03
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.030.632.000.622.070.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.560.751.670.671.430.86
vs Weaker (14)2.570.502.430.572.710.43
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Mornar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.8%
Under 1.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.5%
Under 2.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.5%
Under 3.5
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
10.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-2 ✓
9.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
Mornar goals ↓
Buducnost Podgorica goals →
01234
010%11%9.1%4.3%1.5%
17.6%14%9.0%4.3%1.5%
24.4%6.3%4.5%2.1%0.8%
31.4%2.1%1.5%0.7%0.2%
40.4%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mornar goals (down), columns = Buducnost Podgorica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.36
Petrovac
1.67
Sutjeska
1.42
Dečić
1.33
Bokelj
1.22
Mornar
1.22
Arsenal Tivat
1.21
Jedinstvo
1.19
Jezero
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
0.97
Lovćen
0.50
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Mornar is 1.14 points worse than Buducnost Podgorica in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 2.36).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.50
Petrovac
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.25
Otrant-Olympic
1.19
Sutjeska
1.11
Mornar
1.11
Jezero
0.97
Arsenal Tivat
0.95
Dečić
0.94
Bokelj
0.86
Lovćen
0.00
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Mornar is 1.39 goals worse than Buducnost Podgorica in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Buducnost Podgorica
0.81
Dečić
0.86
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.00
Petrovac
1.03
Sutjeska
1.06
Jezero
1.16
Arsenal Tivat
1.24
Bokelj
1.39
Otrant-Olympic
1.47
Mornar
1.47
Jedinstvo
1.61
Lovćen
2.00
Mornar is 0.67 goals worse than Buducnost Podgorica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 0.81).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MornarMornar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W02L11D01L00D00D11D00DH·DEČ23/10A·BUD27/10H·SUT02/11A·ARS10/11H·BOK23/11A·PET01/12H·OTR07/12A·JEZ22/02H·JED26/02A·DEČ02/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.570.670.530.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.370.520.690.460.070.57
vs Weaker (3)1.001.000.501.002.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W10W11D10W11D10W20W11DH·MOR27/10A·OTR02/11H·JEZ09/11A·JED23/11A·PET27/11H·DEČ01/12H·PET07/12H·SUT22/02A·ARS26/02H·BOK02/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.230.620.250.710.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.560.250.560.220.570.29
vs Weaker (14)0.790.210.710.290.860.14
Clean sheet %77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Mornar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mornar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MornarMornar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W11D02L00D23L10W21W00D02LH·DEČ23/10A·BUD27/10H·SUT02/11A·ARS10/11H·BOK23/11A·PET01/12H·OTR07/12A·JEZ22/02H·JED26/02A·DEČ02/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.670.470.731.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.740.780.690.460.791.07
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W01L10W30W21W20W10W31W20WH·MOR27/10A·OTR02/11H·JEZ09/11A·JED23/11A·PET27/11H·DEČ01/12H·PET07/12H·SUT22/02A·ARS26/02H·BOK02/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.401.380.381.360.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.000.501.110.440.860.57
vs Weaker (14)1.790.291.710.291.860.29
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Mornar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mornar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
Mornar and Buducnost Podgorica have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Mornar and Buducnost Podgorica have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Mornar and Buducnost Podgorica have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
JED (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Mornar and Buducnost Podgorica have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
MOR wins
1
Draws
4
BP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mornar vs Buducnost Podgorica · H/A from MOR
DateH/AGameScore
27/10/24ABuducnost Podgorica Vs MOR0-1
25/08/24HMOR Vs Buducnost Podgorica0-2
18/05/24ABuducnost Podgorica Vs MOR0-1
17/03/24HMOR Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-0
26/11/23ABuducnost Podgorica Vs MOR4-3
16/09/23HMOR Vs Buducnost Podgorica0-0
25/05/23HMOR Vs Buducnost Podgorica0-1
01/04/23ABuducnost Podgorica Vs MOR2-0

MornarMornar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25ADečić Vs MOR2-0
26/02/25HMOR Vs Jedinstvo1-1
22/02/25AJezero Vs MOR1-2
07/12/24HMOR Vs Otrant-Olympic1-0
01/12/24APetrovac Vs MOR4-2
23/11/24HMOR Vs Bokelj1-1
10/11/24AArsenal Tivat Vs MOR4-0
02/11/24HMOR Vs Sutjeska2-1
27/10/24ABuducnost Podgorica Vs MOR0-1
23/10/24HMOR Vs Dečić1-1

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25HBP Vs Bokelj3-1
26/02/25AArsenal Tivat Vs BP1-5
22/02/25HBP Vs Sutjeska2-0
07/12/24HBP Vs Petrovac3-1
01/12/24HBP Vs Dečić3-1
27/11/24APetrovac Vs BP1-4
23/11/24AJedinstvo Vs BP0-2
09/11/24HBP Vs Jezero1-1
02/11/24AOtrant-Olympic Vs BP0-3
27/10/24HBP Vs Mornar0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mornar
Mornar
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.64
HomeDWDWD1.96
AwayWLLWL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%56%36%
AVG goals2.442.202.68
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %18%12%24%
Scored1.281.441.12
Conceded1.160.761.56
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners8.5011.006.00
Cards5.003.007.00
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.98
HomeDWWWW2.15
AwayLWWWW1.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%65%54%
AVG goals2.923.042.79
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %38%42%33%
Scored1.982.151.79
Conceded0.940.881.00
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3685
72%
2.4
9029+61
3.3
89%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.50.8
-
2PetrovacPetrovac3660
47%
1.7
5037+13
2.4
67%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.0
-
3SutjeskaSutjeska3651
39%
1.4
4038+2
2.2
75%
33%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
4DečićDečić3648
28%
1.3
3431+3
1.8
58%
22%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.90.9
-
5Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3846
29%
1.2
3647-11
2.2
66%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.2
-
6JezeroJezero3845
29%
1.2
3744-7
2.1
63%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.2
-
7MornarMornar3644
33%
1.2
4053-13
2.6
83%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.5
-
8BokeljBokelj3644
36%
1.2
3150-19
2.2
64%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.4
-
9JedinstvoJedinstvo3643
31%
1.2
4558-13
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
10Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3635
25%
1.0
4353-10
2.7
67%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11LovćenLovćen21
0%
0.5
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
12Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)20
0%
0.0
02-2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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