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Mornar vs Jedinstvo Result & Analysis

Date: 17/08/2024
Time: 18:00
Final 1-2
Mornar
Mornar
Vs
51%
30%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Jedinstvo
Jedinstvo
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

šŸŽÆ 1. Model Analysis

Mornar wināœ— Miss
50.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawāœ— Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo wināœ“ Hit
19.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MornarMornar

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W10W21W11D01L21W01L03L22DH·RUD12/05A·BUD18/05H·JEZ25/05H·DIN11/07A·DIN18/07A·RAD25/07H·RAD31/07H·OTR04/08A·PAK07/08H·PAK13/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.001.440.621.141.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.211.041.380.691.001.45
vs Weaker (6)1.670.831.670.331.671.33
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L11D34L02L42W21W31W00D12L01LA·SUT21/04H·ARS27/04H·MOR04/05A·BUD12/05H·PET18/05A·MLA25/05A·MLA31/05H·MLA04/06A·ARS04/08H·BOK11/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.471.271.331.131.60
vs Stronger (13)0.921.850.831.671.002.00
vs Similar (14)1.431.211.621.251.171.17
vs Weaker (3)1.331.001.000.001.501.50
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Mornar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.3%
Under 1.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.4%
Under 2.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.5%
Under 3.5
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.0%
No
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
12.1%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
5.2%
1-2 āœ“
4.9%
Mornar goals ↓
Jedinstvo goals →
01234
012%7.4%3.4%0.9%0.2%
114%14%4.9%1.3%0.3%
211%8.8%3.5%0.9%0.2%
35.2%4.2%1.7%0.4%0.1%
41.9%1.5%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mornar goals (down), columns = Jedinstvo goals (across).

šŸ’Ŗ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

šŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.36
Petrovac
1.67
Sutjeska
1.42
Dečić
1.33
Bokelj
1.22
Mornar
1.22
Arsenal Tivat
1.21
Jedinstvo
1.19
Jezero
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
0.97
Lovćen
0.50
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Mornar is 0.03 points better than Jedinstvo in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.19).

āš”ļø Attack

Goals scored / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.50
Petrovac
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.25
Otrant-Olympic
1.19
Sutjeska
1.11
Mornar
1.11
Jezero
0.97
Arsenal Tivat
0.95
Dečić
0.94
Bokelj
0.86
Lovćen
0.00
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Mornar is 0.14 goals worse than Jedinstvo in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.25).

šŸ›”ļø Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Buducnost Podgorica
0.81
Dečić
0.86
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.00
Petrovac
1.03
Sutjeska
1.06
Jezero
1.16
Arsenal Tivat
1.24
Bokelj
1.39
Otrant-Olympic
1.47
Mornar
1.47
Jedinstvo
1.61
Lovćen
2.00
Mornar is 0.14 goals better than Jedinstvo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.61).

ā±ļø Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

šŸŽ² 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

šŸ”€ 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

šŸ„… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

āš–ļø 7. Handicap

ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MornarMornar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D20W01L00D10W01L00D11DH·RUD12/05A·BUD18/05H·JEZ25/05H·DIN11/07A·DIN18/07A·RAD25/07H·RAD31/07H·OTR04/08A·PAK07/08H·PAK13/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.370.690.310.500.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.460.380.620.380.270.36
vs Weaker (6)1.170.331.000.001.330.67
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L23L00D22D21W11D00D00D00DA·SUT21/04H·ARS27/04H·MOR04/05A·BUD12/05H·PET18/05A·MLA25/05A·MLA31/05H·MLA04/06A·ARS04/08H·BOK11/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.770.600.800.470.73
vs Stronger (13)0.310.850.501.000.140.71
vs Similar (14)0.710.710.750.750.670.67
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Mornar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mornar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MornarMornar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W01L10W01L11D00D03L11DH·RUD12/05A·BUD18/05H·JEZ25/05H·DIN11/07A·DIN18/07A·RAD25/07H·RAD31/07H·OTR04/08A·PAK07/08H·PAK13/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.750.310.641.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.750.670.770.310.731.09
vs Weaker (6)0.500.500.670.330.330.67
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W11D02L20W00D20W00D12L01LA·SUT21/04H·ARS27/04H·MOR04/05A·BUD12/05H·PET18/05A·MLA25/05A·MLA31/05H·MLA04/06A·ARS04/08H·BOK11/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.670.530.670.87
vs Stronger (13)0.621.000.330.670.861.29
vs Similar (14)0.710.500.880.500.500.50
vs Weaker (3)0.670.331.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Mornar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mornar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ”„ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.5%-------āœ“ Hit

šŸ’° 14. Squad value

šŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
Mornar's squad is €3m more valuable than Jedinstvo's (€4m vs €1m).

āš”ļø Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Mornar and Jedinstvo have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Mornar and Jedinstvo have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

šŸ›”ļø Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
JED (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Mornar's defence is €1m more valuable than Jedinstvo's (€2m vs €1m).

šŸ¤ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
MOR wins
3
Draws
2
JED wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mornar vs Jedinstvo · H/A from MOR
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24AJedinstvo Vs MOR3-4
09/03/24HMOR Vs Jedinstvo0-0
05/11/23AJedinstvo Vs MOR1-1
26/08/23HMOR Vs Jedinstvo4-3
29/04/23AJedinstvo Vs MOR3-1
04/03/23HMOR Vs Jedinstvo1-0
30/10/22AJedinstvo Vs MOR1-0
20/08/22HMOR Vs Jedinstvo2-2

MornarMornar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/08/24HMOR Vs Paks2-2
07/08/24APaks Vs MOR3-0
04/08/24HMOR Vs Otrant-Olympic0-1
31/07/24HMOR Vs Radnicki 19232-1
25/07/24ARadnicki 1923 Vs MOR1-0
18/07/24ADinamo Tbilisi Vs MOR1-1
11/07/24HMOR Vs Dinamo Tbilisi2-1
25/05/24HMOR Vs Jezero1-0
18/05/24ABuducnost Podgorica Vs MOR0-1
12/05/24HMOR Vs Rudar (Montenegro)3-0

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/24HJED Vs Bokelj0-1
04/08/24AArsenal Tivat Vs JED2-1
04/06/24HJED Vs Mladost LjeŔkopolje0-0
31/05/24AMladost LjeŔkopolje Vs JED1-3
25/05/24AMladost DG Vs JED1-2
18/05/24HJED Vs Petrovac4-2
12/05/24ABuducnost Podgorica Vs JED2-0
04/05/24HJED Vs Mornar3-4
27/04/24HJED Vs Arsenal Tivat1-1
21/04/24ASutjeska Vs JED3-1

šŸ“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Mornar
Mornar
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD1.70
HomeWWWLD1.96
AwayWWDLL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%56%36%
AVG goals2.142.002.28
Over 1.5 %54%48%60%
Over 2.5 %36%36%36%
Over 3.5 %18%12%24%
Scored1.201.321.08
Conceded0.940.681.20
BTTS44%40%48%
Clean Sheet42%44%40%
Corners8.5011.006.00
Cards5.003.007.00
Jedinstvo
Jedinstvo
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.06
HomeDLWDL1.24
AwayLLWWL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%32%20%
AVG goals2.882.683.08
Over 1.5 %76%64%88%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.301.281.32
Conceded1.581.401.76
BTTS62%56%68%
Clean Sheet18%28%8%
Corners---
Cards---

šŸ† 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3685
72%
2.4
9029+61
3.3
89%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.50.8
-
2PetrovacPetrovac3660
47%
1.7
5037+13
2.4
67%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.0
-
3SutjeskaSutjeska3651
39%
1.4
4038+2
2.2
75%
33%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
4DečićDečić3648
28%
1.3
3431+3
1.8
58%
22%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.90.9
-
5Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3846
29%
1.2
3647-11
2.2
66%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.2
-
6JezeroJezero3845
29%
1.2
3744-7
2.1
63%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.2
-
7MornarMornar3644
33%
1.2
4053-13
2.6
83%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.5
-
8BokeljBokelj3644
36%
1.2
3150-19
2.2
64%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.4
-
9JedinstvoJedinstvo3643
31%
1.2
4558-13
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
10Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3635
25%
1.0
4353-10
2.7
67%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11LovćenLovćen21
0%
0.5
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
12Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)20
0%
0.0
02-2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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