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Morton vs Queen's Park Result & Analysis

Date: 11/02/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 3-2
Morton
Morton
Vs
33%
25%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Queen
Queen's Park
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morton win✓ Hit
32.9%
Avg Implied 37.4% · @ 2.47
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.55
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park win✗ Miss
42.1%
Avg Implied 36.6% · @ 2.52
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W21W11D22D22D12L01L01L12L22DH·PAR12/11A·COV19/11A·ARB03/12A·RAI23/12A·RAI23/12A·PAR07/01A·HAM14/01A·HAM14/01H·ARB28/01A·INV04/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.171.920.751.171.44
vs Stronger (5)1.401.001.000.001.671.67
vs Similar (25)1.481.202.100.901.071.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L21W52W40W41W20W60W00D03L20WA·COV04/11H·INV12/11A·RAI19/11H·HAM03/12A·ARB23/12H·PAR02/01A·COV07/01A·INV14/01A·DUN28/01H·AYR03/02
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.302.001.092.001.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)2.151.402.001.102.301.70
vs Weaker (3)1.000.672.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %35% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.6%
@ 1.67+7.6%
Under 2.5
36.4%
@ 2.12-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.4%
Under 3.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.7%
No
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
1-3
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
Morton goals ↓
Queen's Park goals →
01234
04.8%5.6%5.8%3.4%1.5%
14.8%11%8.8%5.1%2.2%
24.4%7.7%6.7%3.9%1.7%
32.2%3.9%3.4%2.0%0.9%
40.9%1.5%1.3%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Morton goals (down), columns = Queen's Park goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Airdrie United
2.25
Dundee
1.96
Queens Park
1.61
Ayr
1.61
Queen's Park
1.61
Ayr Utd
1.61
Morton
1.60
Partick
1.52
Alloa Athletic
1.50
Inverness CT
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.19
Raith Rovers
1.19
Arbroath
0.96
Hamilton Academical
0.93
Cove Rangers
0.87
Hamilton
0.86
Falkirk
0.00
Morton is 0.01 points worse than Queen's Park in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.61).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Airdrie United
2.25
Dundee
2.02
Queens Park
1.75
Queen's Park
1.75
Partick
1.73
Ayr
1.69
Ayr Utd
1.69
Morton
1.52
Alloa Athletic
1.50
Inverness CT
1.37
Raith Rvs
1.28
Raith Rovers
1.28
Cove Rangers
1.12
Falkirk
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.95
Hamilton
0.86
Arbroath
0.79
Morton is 0.23 goals worse than Queen's Park in terms of goals scored per game (1.52 vs 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Airdrie United
1.00
Dundee
1.02
Morton
1.19
Ayr
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.19
Arbroath
1.23
Inverness CT
1.29
Raith Rvs
1.36
Raith Rovers
1.36
Partick
1.38
Queens Park
1.44
Queen's Park
1.44
Hamilton Academical
1.70
Hamilton
1.75
Cove Rangers
2.19
Alloa Athletic
2.50
Falkirk
3.50
Morton is 0.25 goals better than Queen's Park in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.44).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MortonMorton

For 7.2 · Against 4.9 · Total 12.1

🚩 Corners

20016466465674869532201210111114145A·HAMA·RAIA·AYRH·RAIH·HAMA·QUEH·AYRA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.8

🟨 Cards

80311233334441244443668568A·HAMA·RAIA·AYRH·RAIH·HAMA·QUEH·AYRA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.9 · Total 25.9

⚠️ Fouls

3701287139179151819101411162092020262437242729A·HAMA·RAIA·AYRH·RAIH·HAMA·QUEH·AYRA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QueenQueen's Park

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.210.211.92.22.12.222.624.621.2
vs Stronger (7)10.010.010.03.63.73.522.422.522.3
vs Similar (43)11.410.312.32.01.92.022.725.020.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line75%58%88%30%29%31%54%67%44%
% under line25%42%12%70%71%69%46%33%56%
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (23)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (20)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queens Park
11.3
Dundee
11.1
Hamilton
10.9
Morton
10.8
Arbroath
10.7
Ayr
10.5
Airdrie United
10.5
Falkirk
10.5
Inverness CT
9.8
Partick
9.7
Cove Rangers
9.6
Raith Rvs
9.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Falkirk
4.3
Hamilton
4.1
Dundee
4.0
Raith Rvs
3.8
Cove Rangers
3.6
Arbroath
3.5
Airdrie United
3.4
Morton
3.3
Queens Park
3.3
Ayr
3.3
Partick
3.2
Inverness CT
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dundee
24.6
Hamilton
23.5
Falkirk
22.1
Arbroath
21.6
Morton
21.5
Inverness CT
21.4
Cove Rangers
21.1
Raith Rvs
20.7
Partick
20.2
Ayr
19.7
Airdrie United
18.6
Queens Park
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
67.7%
Under 9.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.0%
Under 3.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
47.9%
Under 21.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W22D22D00D01L01L10W10WH·PAR12/11A·COV19/11A·ARB03/12A·RAI23/12A·RAI23/12A·PAR07/01A·HAM14/01A·HAM14/01H·ARB28/01A·INV04/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.500.920.330.720.61
vs Stronger (5)0.600.400.000.001.000.67
vs Similar (25)0.840.521.100.400.670.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L21W40W20W10W30W00D00D00DA·COV04/11H·INV12/11A·RAI19/11H·HAM03/12A·ARB23/12H·PAR02/01A·COV07/01A·INV14/01A·DUN28/01H·AYR03/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.960.391.000.180.920.58
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.050.351.100.101.000.60
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D01L00D00D12L00D00D02L12LH·PAR12/11A·COV19/11A·ARB03/12A·RAI23/12A·RAI23/12A·PAR07/01A·HAM14/01A·HAM14/01H·ARB28/01A·INV04/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.671.000.420.440.83
vs Stronger (5)0.800.601.000.000.671.00
vs Similar (25)0.640.681.000.500.400.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W31W00D21W10W30W00D03L20WA·COV04/11H·INV12/11A·RAI19/11H·HAM03/12A·ARB23/12H·PAR02/01A·COV07/01A·INV14/01A·DUN28/01H·AYR03/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.040.911.000.911.080.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.101.050.901.001.301.10
vs Weaker (3)0.670.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards82.0%--------
Under 25.5 fouls81.3%--------
Over 8.5 corners78.2%--------
Over 2.5 cards72.6%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Morton and Queen's Park have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Morton and Queen's Park have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (7)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Morton and Queen's Park have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Morton and Queen's Park have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
MOR wins
0
Draws
0
QP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Morton vs Queen's Park · H/A from MOR
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/22AQueen's Park Vs MOR1-2

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/23AInverness CT Vs MOR2-2
28/01/23HMOR Vs Arbroath1-2
14/01/23AHamilton Academical Vs MOR1-0
14/01/23AHamilton Vs MOR1-0
07/01/23APartick Vs MOR2-1
23/12/22ARaith Rovers Vs MOR2-2
23/12/22ARaith Rvs Vs MOR2-2
03/12/22AArbroath Vs MOR1-1
19/11/22ACove Rangers Vs MOR1-2
12/11/22HMOR Vs Partick2-1

QueenQueen's Park

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/02/23HQP Vs Ayr Utd2-0
28/01/23ADundee Vs QP3-0
14/01/23AInverness CT Vs QP0-0
07/01/23ACove Rangers Vs QP0-6
02/01/23HQP Vs Partick2-0
23/12/22AArbroath Vs QP1-4
03/12/22HQP Vs Hamilton Academical4-0
19/11/22ARaith Rovers Vs QP2-5
12/11/22HQP Vs Inverness CT2-1
04/11/22ACove Rangers Vs QP2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.40
HomeWWWWL1.67
AwayDLLLD1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%28%
AVG goals2.422.522.34
Over 1.5 %70%67%72%
Over 2.5 %50%57%45%
Over 3.5 %18%24%14%
Scored1.321.711.03
Conceded1.100.811.31
BTTS56%48%62%
Clean Sheet30%43%21%
Corners11.1810.2511.88
Cards3.893.754.00
Queen
Queen's Park
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.87
HomeDWWWW2.09
AwayWWWDL1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %57%64%50%
AVG goals3.303.093.50
Over 1.5 %91%91%92%
Over 2.5 %65%64%67%
Over 3.5 %39%36%42%
Scored2.002.002.00
Conceded1.301.091.50
BTTS48%64%33%
Clean Sheet35%36%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DundeeDundee52102
56%
2.0
10553+52
3.0
79%
52%
38%
9.8
56%
3.6
38%
21.2
50%
5
1222.01.0
-
2MortonMorton5283
42%
1.6
7962+17
2.7
77%
58%
27%
11.9
81%
5.3
75%
23.4
56%
1
0001.51.2
-
3PartickPartick5279
42%
1.5
9072+18
3.1
81%
63%
42%
10.8
75%
4.1
44%
19.9
31%
3
1111.71.4
-
4Inverness CTInverness CT5275
38%
1.4
7167+4
2.7
77%
54%
23%
12.5
62%
2.4
25%
15.9
25%
1
0001.41.3
-
5
A
Ayr
3658
44%
1.6
6143+18
2.9
81%
56%
39%
10.8
58%
3.1
31%
18.9
28%
0
0001.71.2
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd3658
44%
1.6
6143+18
2.9
81%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.2
-
7Queens ParkQueens Park3658
47%
1.6
6352+11
3.2
83%
61%
39%
12.6
86%
3.0
36%
18.5
25%
0
0001.81.4
-
8QueenQueen's Park3658
47%
1.6
6352+11
3.2
83%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.4
-
9ArbroathArbroath5250
17%
1.0
4164-23
2.0
65%
27%
13%
11.8
69%
4.3
62%
20.7
50%
1
0000.81.2
-
10Cove RangersCove Rangers5245
19%
0.9
58114-56
3.3
87%
62%
37%
10.2
56%
3.8
56%
20.2
38%
0
0001.12.2
-
11Raith RoversRaith Rovers3643
31%
1.2
4649-3
2.6
78%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.4
-
12
RR
Raith Rvs
3643
31%
1.2
4649-3
2.6
78%
44%
25%
9.6
47%
4.1
61%
19.7
42%
0
0001.31.4
-
13Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical4037
22%
0.9
3868-30
2.6
68%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
14
H
Hamilton
3631
19%
0.9
3163-32
2.6
69%
42%
28%
11.3
69%
4.3
56%
22.6
56%
0
0000.91.8
-
15Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United49
75%
2.2
94+5
3.2
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
16Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic23
50%
1.5
35-2
4.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.5
-
17FalkirkFalkirk20
0%
0.0
27-5
4.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.03.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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