Moss vs Sogndal Result & Analysis

Date: 26/08/2026

Time: 17:00

Final 2-2

Moss

40%

23%

37%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Sogndal

Norway: 1. Division

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Moss, fresh from a narrow 1-2 loss to Bryne, faces Sogndal who entered the fixture on a 2-0 win over Sandnes ULF. The model’s most pronounced divergence from market odds lies in the Home under 2.5 half-time goals pick, boasting a 97.5% probability and an 8% edge. The overall forecast favours a Moss victory, with a 40% chance of a win, 23% for a draw, and 37% for a Sogndal win. The expected total of 3.7 goals points to a high-scoring affair, yet the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.3% probability. Moss averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.92 conceded at home against teams of similar strength, while Sogndal averages 1.83 scored and 1.83 conceded on the road versus comparable opposition. Suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.6%), Under 7.5 (96.5%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (93.6%), Under 6.5 (91.9%), Over 1.5 (89.1%), and Away under 3.5 goals (89.0%).

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Moss, was expected to win with a 40% probability, but the match finished a 2-2 draw, proving the model’s pick wrong. Moss, coming off a draw, had a recent form of DLDLL, while Sogndal, also ending in a draw, had DWLLW. The model’s selection of “Home win” was incorrect, and the final score of 2-2 confirmed a draw. All suggested picks were settled: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.6%, Under 7.5 hit at 96.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 93.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 93.0%, Under 6.5 hit at 91.9%, Over 1.5 hit at 89.1%, and Away under 3.5 goals hit at 89.0%. All probabilities are expressed as percentages.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Moss win✗ Miss

39.7%

Avg Implied 42.5% · @ 2.17

Edge

-2.7%

Best 5 market prices

888Sport

2.38

10Bet

2.38

Pinnacle

2.21

Unibet

2.16

1xBet

2.16

Draw✓ Hit

23.3%

Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.85

Edge

-0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

4.02

Betfair

4.00

1xBet

3.96

Marathonbet

3.96

BetVictor

3.90

Sogndal win✗ Miss

36.9%

Avg Implied 33.6% · @ 2.73

Edge

+3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

2.90

Dafabet

2.90

Pinnacle

2.87

Betano

2.87

Superbet

2.87

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Moss

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.1

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

1.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.33	2.07	1.92	2.15	0.88	2.00
vs Stronger (2)	1.00	3.50	1.00	5.00	1.00	2.00
vs Similar (28)	1.36	1.96	2.00	1.92	0.88	2.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	7% (-15pp vs league)

This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sogndal

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.9

Avg scored

1.4

Avg conceded

1.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.53	1.60	1.33	1.53	1.73	1.67
vs Stronger (3)	0.33	2.33	1.00	5.00	0.00	1.00
vs Similar (27)	1.67	1.52	1.36	1.29	2.00	1.77
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	17% (-5pp vs league)

This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

89.1%

@ 1.09+3.4%

Under 1.5

10.9%

@ 6.51-3.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.12

Bet365

1.11

Pinnacle

1.11

Superbet

1.10

Betfair

1.10

Under

888Sport

8.00

BetVictor

7.00

Pinnacle

6.76

Betfair

6.50

Bet365

6.50

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

71.3%

@ 1.34+2.0%

Under 2.5

28.7%

@ 3.02-2.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.40

Pinnacle

1.39

Superbet

1.38

Betano

1.38

BetVictor

1.36

Under

10Bet

3.40

888Sport

3.30

Betfair

3.20

Unibet

3.15

Pinnacle

3.00

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

50.4%

@ 1.87+0.3%

Under 3.5

49.6%

@ 1.87-0.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.00

Pinnacle

1.97

Superbet

1.95

Betano

1.93

Marathonbet

1.92

Under

10Bet

2.05

888Sport

2.05

SBO

2.01

Unibet

1.91

Betfair

1.87

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

71.7%

@ 1.33+1.9%

28.3%

@ 3.06-1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Superbet

1.37

William Hil

1.36

Bet365

1.36

Betano

1.36

1xBet

1.33

888Sport

3.40

10Bet

3.35

Unibet

3.15

Betfair

3.10

1xBet

3.04

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

9.4%@ 8.16+3.8%

2-1

8.0%@ 8.94+2.9%

1-2

7.7%@ 9.81+3.1%

2-2 ✓

7.2%@ 9.34+2.4%

3-1

5.0%@ 13.00+1.5%

1-3

4.6%@ 16.23+1.9%

3-2

4.5%@ 14.31+1.4%

2-0

4.4%@ 14.74+1.3%

Moss goals ↓

	Sogndal goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.4%	3.7%	4.1%	2.5%	1.1%
1	3.8%	9.4%	7.7%	4.6%	2.1%
2	4.4%	8.0%	7.2%	4.4%	2.0%
3	2.8%	5.0%	4.5%	2.7%	1.2%
4	1.3%	2.4%	2.1%	1.3%	0.6%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Moss goals (down), columns = Sogndal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Stabaek

2.50

Kongsvinger

2.17

hodd

2.14

Haugesund

2.14

Stromsgodset

1.86

Bryne

1.86

Lyn

1.83

Strommen

1.67

Egersund

1.57

Sogndal

1.17

ODD Ballklubb

1.14

Asane

0.83

Sandnes ULF

0.57

Raufoss

0.50

Ranheim

0.50

Moss

0.29

Moss is 0.88 points worse than Sogndal in terms of average points per game (0.29 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Stabaek

3.50

Haugesund

3.14

Lyn

3.00

Kongsvinger

2.83

Ranheim

2.50

hodd

2.43

Stromsgodset

2.14

ODD Ballklubb

2.00

Strommen

2.00

Sogndal

1.83

Egersund

1.71

Asane

1.67

Moss

1.29

Bryne

1.14

Sandnes ULF

1.14

Raufoss

1.00

Moss is 0.55 goals worse than Sogndal in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Bryne

1.00

Stabaek

1.17

Haugesund

1.57

Stromsgodset

1.57

Egersund

1.71

Kongsvinger

1.83

Strommen

1.83

Sogndal

2.00

Lyn

2.17

Moss

2.29

ODD Ballklubb

2.29

Sandnes ULF

2.29

Asane

2.33

hodd

2.86

Raufoss

3.00

Ranheim

3.33

Moss is 0.29 goals worse than Sogndal in terms of goals conceded per game (2.29 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Moss or Draw✓ Hit

63.1%

Avg Implied 65.9% · @ 1.41

Edge

-2.9%

40%

23%

37%

covers Moss + Draw

Best 5 market prices

888Sport

1.53

10Bet

1.53

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.40

Bet365

1.40

Moss or Sogndal✗ Miss

76.7%

Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.22

Edge

+0.2%

40%

23%

37%

covers Moss + Sogndal

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

1.25

BetVictor

1.25

William Hil

1.25

Betano

1.24

Superbet

1.22

Draw or Sogndal✓ Hit

60.3%

Avg Implied 57.6% · @ 1.62

Edge

+2.7%

40%

23%

37%

covers Draw + Sogndal

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.70

Bet365

1.67

William Hil

1.65

Marathonbet

1.64

1xBet

1.64

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Moss over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

84.7%

@ 1.11+1.1%

Under

15.3%

@ 5.67-1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.13

Superbet

1.12

Bet365

1.12

Betfair

1.11

888Sport

1.11

Under

888Sport

6.00

Betfair

6.00

Bet365

6.00

1xBet

5.80

BetVictor

5.75

Moss over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

56.0%

@ 1.61-1.6%

Under

44.0%

@ 2.19+1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.68

Superbet

1.64

1xBet

1.63

Marathonbet

1.63

BetVictor

1.62

Under

Betfair

2.25

888Sport

2.25

Unibet

2.23

Betano

2.20

Bet365

2.20

Moss over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

29.1%

@ 2.92-2.7%

Under

70.9%

@ 1.36+2.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

3.08

BetVictor

3.00

Bet365

3.00

Superbet

2.95

Marathonbet

2.93

Under

Unibet

1.38

Betano

1.38

Pinnacle

1.36

888Sport

1.36

Bet365

1.36

Moss over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

12.2%

@ 5.85-3.8%

Under

87.8%

@ 1.11+3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

6.50

Betfair

6.00

888Sport

5.75

Betano

5.70

1xBet

5.30

Under

1xBet

1.12

Betano

1.12

Betfair

1.11

Bet365

1.11

888Sport

1.11

Sogndal over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

83.6%

@ 1.15+3.3%

Under

16.4%

@ 4.70-3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.20

Superbet

1.18

Bet365

1.18

BetVictor

1.17

Betfair

1.14

Under

888Sport

5.50

10Bet

5.25

Betfair

5.00

Unibet

4.70

BetVictor

4.50

Sogndal over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

54.0%

@ 1.81+2.5%

Under

46.0%

@ 1.92-2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.92

Pinnacle

1.91

Betano

1.90

BetVictor

1.87

Marathonbet

1.86

Under

10Bet

2.15

888Sport

2.10

Unibet

1.98

Betfair

1.91

Pinnacle

1.89

Sogndal over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

27.2%

@ 3.59+1.4%

Under

72.8%

@ 1.25-1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

3.80

Superbet

3.80

Bet365

3.75

Betfair

3.75

Pinnacle

3.68

Under

888Sport

1.33

Unibet

1.28

Pinnacle

1.27

Betano

1.26

Bet365

1.25

Sogndal over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

11.0%

@ 7.78-1.1%

Under

89.0%

@ 1.07+1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

10.00

Betfair

8.50

Betano

7.20

1xBet

6.70

888Sport

6.50

Under

888Sport

1.10

1xBet

1.07

Betano

1.07

Bet365

1.06

Betfair

1.05

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Moss, so a minus line means Moss give that many goals of a start and Sogndal receive them. At -1, Moss must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Moss win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Moss)Actual: Sogndal

Moss -2

9.7%

@ 6.92-3.1%

Draw -2

12.1%

@ 6.15-2.4%

Sogndal +2

78.2%

@ 1.23+5.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

7.00

Bet365

7.00

Marathonbet

6.95

Unibet

6.75

Draw

Bet365

6.50

Marathonbet

6.30

Betfair

6.00

Unibet

5.80

Away

Bet365

1.25

Unibet

1.23

Betfair

1.22

Marathonbet

1.21

Handicap -1 (Moss)Actual: Sogndal

Moss -1

21.8%

@ 3.74-2.1%

Draw -1

17.9%

@ 4.36-2.6%

Sogndal +1

60.3%

@ 1.61+4.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

10Bet

4.20

Bet365

3.75

Betfair

3.60

Marathonbet

3.58

Unibet

3.55

Draw

Bet365

4.75

10Bet

4.33

Betfair

4.33

Marathonbet

4.30

Unibet

4.10

Away

Bet365

1.67

Marathonbet

1.64

Betfair

1.62

Unibet

1.61

10Bet

1.53

Handicap +1 (Moss)Actual: Moss

Moss +1

63.1%

@ 1.41-0.6%

Draw +1

17.2%

@ 4.98-0.8%

Sogndal -1

19.7%

@ 4.87+1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Unibet

1.42

Marathonbet

1.40

Bet365

1.40

Draw

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

4.85

Unibet

4.60

Away

Marathonbet

5.00

Bet365

5.00

Unibet

4.60

Handicap +2 (Moss)Actual: Moss

Moss +2

80.3%

@ 1.14+3.3%

Draw +2

11.2%

@ 6.68-1.9%

Sogndal -2

8.5%

@ 8.73-1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.17

Unibet

1.14

Marathonbet

1.10

Draw

Bet365

8.00

Unibet

7.00

Marathonbet

5.05

Away

Bet365

11.00

Unibet

9.00

Marathonbet

6.20

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Moss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.57	1.03	0.85	1.08	0.35	1.00
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	2.50	0.00	3.00	1.00	2.00
vs Similar (28)	0.57	0.93	0.92	0.92	0.31	0.94
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	40% (+18pp vs league)

This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sogndal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.1

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.70	0.63	0.73	0.27	0.67	1.00
vs Stronger (3)	0.33	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.00	1.00
vs Similar (27)	0.74	0.59	0.71	0.21	0.77	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	57% (+35pp vs league)

This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

74.3%

@ 1.18-4.2%

Under 0.5

25.7%

@ 4.30+4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.24

Superbet

1.20

BetVictor

1.18

William Hil

1.18

Bet365

1.17

Under

Bet365

5.00

Betfair

4.50

William Hil

4.40

BetVictor

4.40

10Bet

4.33

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

39.3%

@ 1.92-9.3%

Under 1.5

60.7%

@ 1.81+9.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.05

Pinnacle

1.98

Marathonbet

1.97

1xBet

1.97

William Hil

1.95

Under

10Bet

1.93

SBO

1.92

Bet365

1.91

Unibet

1.83

Pinnacle

1.83

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

15.8%

@ 3.88-8.0%

Under 2.5

84.2%

@ 1.21+8.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

4.10

Superbet

4.00

1xBet

3.98

Marathonbet

3.98

Betano

3.95

Under

Bet365

1.28

William Hil

1.22

Superbet

1.21

Betano

1.21

BetVictor

1.20

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Moss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

50.0%

@ 1.63-6.8%

Under

50.0%

@ 2.15+6.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.68

Marathonbet

1.68

Betano

1.65

Superbet

1.63

1xBet

1.59

Under

Unibet

2.23

1xBet

2.20

Pinnacle

2.17

Superbet

2.15

Betano

2.10

Moss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

15.0%

@ 4.00-8.1%

Under

85.0%

@ 1.20+8.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.20

Betano

4.00

1xBet

3.80

Under

1xBet

1.21

Betano

1.21

Marathonbet

1.18

Moss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

2.4%

@ 9.22-7.6%

Under

97.6%

@ 1.02+7.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

9.70

Betano

8.75

Under

Betano

1.04

1xBet

1.01

Sogndal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

51.9%

@ 1.77-0.6%

Under

48.1%

@ 1.95+0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.83

Superbet

1.80

Pinnacle

1.79

Marathonbet

1.76

1xBet

1.74

Under

Pinnacle

2.01

Unibet

2.00

1xBet

1.98

Marathonbet

1.93

Superbet

1.90

Sogndal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

16.7%

@ 4.77-2.6%

Under

83.3%

@ 1.14+2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.05

Betano

4.65

1xBet

4.60

Under

Betano

1.15

1xBet

1.14

Marathonbet

1.13

Sogndal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

3.4%

@ 9.75-6.2%

Under

96.6%

@ 1.03+6.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

9.75

Under

Betano

1.03

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Moss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.5

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.77	1.03	1.08	1.08	0.53	1.00
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	1.00	1.00	2.00	0.00	0.00
vs Similar (28)	0.79	1.04	1.08	1.00	0.56	1.06
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	33% (+11pp vs league)

This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sogndal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.83	0.97	0.60	1.27	1.07	0.67
vs Stronger (3)	0.00	1.33	0.00	4.00	0.00	0.00
vs Similar (27)	0.93	0.93	0.64	1.07	1.23	0.77
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	27% (+5pp vs league)

This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

82.6%

@ 1.11-1.6%

Under 0.5

17.4%

@ 5.87+1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.12

Betano

1.12

Superbet

1.11

Bet365

1.11

1xBet

1.08

Under

Bet365

6.50

1xBet

6.40

Superbet

5.55

William Hil

5.50

Betano

5.40

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

50.8%

@ 1.55-8.6%

Under 1.5

49.2%

@ 2.27+8.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.60

William Hil

1.57

Bet365

1.57

Marathonbet

1.55

Betano

1.55

Under

Unibet

2.38

Betano

2.30

1xBet

2.27

Marathonbet

2.27

William Hil

2.25

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

28.7%

@ 2.66-6.1%

Under 2.5

71.3%

@ 1.42+6.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.82

Bet365

2.75

William Hil

2.75

Marathonbet

2.69

1xBet

2.69

Under

10Bet

1.53

Betano

1.44

William Hil

1.40

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.40

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Moss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

54.9%

@ 1.41-10.5%

Under

45.1%

@ 2.67+10.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.44

1xBet

1.40

Betano

1.40

Under

Betano

2.72

1xBet

2.70

Superbet

2.60

Moss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

20.6%

@ 2.90-11.2%

Under

79.4%

@ 1.36+11.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.04

1xBet

2.85

Betano

2.82

Under

Betano

1.38

1xBet

1.36

Marathonbet

1.33

Moss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

6.1%

@ 6.75-7.6%

Under

93.9%

@ 1.07+7.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.30

Betano

6.20

Under

Betano

1.09

1xBet

1.05

Sogndal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

59.1%

@ 1.54-1.1%

Under

40.9%

@ 2.33+1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.55

Betano

1.55

1xBet

1.51

Under

1xBet

2.38

Superbet

2.30

Betano

2.30

Sogndal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

23.9%

@ 3.45-2.9%

Under

76.1%

@ 1.26+2.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.55

Betano

3.40

1xBet

3.40

Under

Betano

1.27

1xBet

1.26

Marathonbet

1.25

Sogndal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

7.0%

@ 8.50-3.9%

Under

93.0%

@ 1.03+3.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

9.50

Betano

7.50

Under

Betano

1.06

1xBet

1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals	97.6%	1.02	Betano 1.04	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+7.6%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	96.6%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.2%	✓ Hit
Under 7.5	96.5%	1.01	Betano 1.02	1xBet 1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	+1.9%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	93.9%	1.07	Betano 1.09	1xBet 1.05	-	-	-	+7.6%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	93.0%	1.03	Betano 1.06	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+3.9%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	91.9%	1.05	Betano 1.06	BetVictor 1.05	1xBet 1.05	Bet365 1.04	-	+1.4%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	89.1%	1.09	Betano 1.12	Bet365 1.11	Pinnacle 1.11	Superbet 1.10	Betfair 1.10	+3.4%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	89.0%	1.07	888Sport 1.10	1xBet 1.07	Betano 1.07	Bet365 1.06	Betfair 1.05	+1.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	87.8%	1.11	1xBet 1.12	Betano 1.12	Betfair 1.11	Bet365 1.11	888Sport 1.11	+3.8%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	85.0%	1.20	1xBet 1.21	Betano 1.21	Marathonbet 1.18	-	-	+8.1%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	84.7%	1.11	Betano 1.13	Superbet 1.12	Bet365 1.12	Betfair 1.11	888Sport 1.11	+1.1%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	84.2%	1.21	Bet365 1.28	William Hil 1.22	Superbet 1.21	Betano 1.21	BetVictor 1.20	+8.0%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	83.6%	1.15	Betano 1.20	Superbet 1.18	Bet365 1.18	BetVictor 1.17	Betfair 1.14	+3.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	83.3%	1.14	Betano 1.15	1xBet 1.14	Marathonbet 1.13	-	-	+2.6%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	83.2%	1.14	888Sport 1.20	Unibet 1.16	Pinnacle 1.15	Betano 1.15	Betfair 1.14	+1.1%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	82.6%	1.11	William Hil 1.12	Betano 1.12	Superbet 1.11	Bet365 1.11	1xBet 1.08	-1.6%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	80.3%	1.14	Bet365 1.17	Unibet 1.14	Marathonbet 1.10	-	-	+3.3%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	79.4%	1.36	Betano 1.38	1xBet 1.36	Marathonbet 1.33	-	-	+11.2%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	78.2%	1.23	Bet365 1.25	Unibet 1.23	Betfair 1.22	Marathonbet 1.21	-	+5.5%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	76.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.25	BetVictor 1.25	William Hil 1.25	Betano 1.24	Superbet 1.22	+0.2%	✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals	76.1%	1.26	Betano 1.27	1xBet 1.26	Marathonbet 1.25	-	-	+2.9%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals	74.3%	1.18	Betano 1.24	Superbet 1.20	BetVictor 1.18	William Hil 1.18	Bet365 1.17	-4.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	72.8%	1.25	888Sport 1.33	Unibet 1.28	Pinnacle 1.27	Betano 1.26	Bet365 1.25	-1.4%	✓ Hit
BTTS Yes	71.7%	1.33	Superbet 1.37	William Hil 1.36	Bet365 1.36	Betano 1.36	1xBet 1.33	+1.9%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	71.3%	1.42	10Bet 1.53	Betano 1.44	William Hil 1.40	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.40	+6.1%	✓ Hit
Over 2.5	71.3%	1.34	Bet365 1.40	Pinnacle 1.39	Superbet 1.38	Betano 1.38	BetVictor 1.36	+2.0%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	70.9%	1.36	Unibet 1.38	Betano 1.38	Pinnacle 1.36	888Sport 1.36	Bet365 1.36	+2.7%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

STA (24)

€9m

OB (25)

€9m

HAU (24)

€9m

STR (22)

€7m

BRY (21)

€6m

KON (24)

€6m

EGE (25)

€5m

SOG (19)

€4m

MOS (21)

€4m

LYN (23)

€4m

RAN (22)

€4m

HOD (20)

€3m

ASA (22)

€3m

SU (21)

€3m

RAU (17)

€2m

STR (19)

€2m

Moss and Sogndal have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

STA (9)

€5m

STR (9)

€3m

HAU (8)

€3m

KON (10)

€3m

OB (6)

€3m

BRY (6)

€2m

MOS (6)

€2m

HOD (7)

€1m

ASA (7)

€1m

RAN (6)

€1m

EGE (5)

€1m

LYN (5)

€1m

SOG (6)

€1m

SU (5)

€1m

STR (5)

€1m

RAU (4)

€0m

Moss and Sogndal have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

OB (7)

€3m

HAU (6)

€2m

STR (5)

€2m

STA (5)

€2m

LYN (9)

€2m

BRY (5)

€1m

EGE (8)

€1m

RAN (5)

€1m

SOG (5)

€1m

SU (7)

€1m

KON (3)

€1m

MOS (6)

€1m

HOD (4)

€1m

RAU (4)

€0m

ASA (4)

€0m

STR (4)

€0m

Moss and Sogndal have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

HAU (10)

€4m

OB (12)

€3m

STA (10)

€3m

BRY (10)

€2m

SOG (8)

€2m

EGE (12)

€2m

STR (8)

€2m

KON (11)

€2m

MOS (9)

€2m

ASA (11)

€2m

RAN (11)

€2m

HOD (9)

€1m

LYN (9)

€1m

RAU (9)

€1m

SU (9)

€1m

STR (10)

€1m

Moss and Sogndal have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings

MOS wins

Draws

SOG wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Moss vs Sogndal · H/A from MOS

Date	H/A	Game	Score
23/08/25	A	Sogndal Vs MOS	3-1
30/07/25	H	MOS Vs Sogndal	3-1
19/08/24	H	MOS Vs Sogndal	3-0
20/04/24	A	Sogndal Vs MOS	1-0
07/10/23	A	Sogndal Vs MOS	2-1
23/04/23	H	MOS Vs Sogndal	1-2

Moss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/08/26	A	Bryne Vs MOS	2-1
10/08/26	H	MOS Vs ODD Ballklubb	3-3
02/08/26	A	hodd Vs MOS	2-1
26/07/26	H	MOS Vs Raufoss	1-2
04/07/26	A	Egersund Vs MOS	3-0
29/11/25	A	Brattvåg Vs MOS	2-1
23/11/25	H	MOS Vs Brattvåg	2-1
08/11/25	H	MOS Vs Raufoss	1-1
01/11/25	A	Start Vs MOS	2-1
25/10/25	H	MOS Vs Aalesund	1-1

Sogndal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
16/08/26	H	SOG Vs Sandnes ULF	2-0
09/08/26	H	SOG Vs Bryne	0-2
02/08/26	A	Lyn Vs SOG	3-2
26/07/26	H	SOG Vs Ranheim	3-2
08/11/25	H	SOG Vs Ranheim	0-3
01/11/25	A	ODD Ballklubb Vs SOG	1-4
25/10/25	H	SOG Vs Egersund	0-1
22/10/25	A	Raufoss Vs SOG	1-3
18/10/25	H	SOG Vs Start	0-0
04/10/25	A	Aalesund Vs SOG	2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Moss

Norway: 1. Division

Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLLDL	1.12
Home	DDWLD	1.62
Away	LLLLL	0.65

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	46%	15%
AVG goals	3.38	3.67	3.12
Over 1.5 %	92%	92%	92%
Over 2.5 %	70%	71%	69%
Over 3.5 %	40%	50%	31%
Scored	1.46	1.96	1.00
Conceded	1.92	1.71	2.12
BTTS	70%	79%	62%
Clean Sheet	10%	12%	8%
Corners	7.00	5.00	9.00
Cards	4.50	4.00	5.00

Sogndal

Norway: 1. Division

Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWLLW	1.20
Home	LLWLW	1.08
Away	LLWWL	1.32

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	28%	40%
AVG goals	3.04	3.04	3.04
Over 1.5 %	82%	80%	84%
Over 2.5 %	58%	52%	64%
Over 3.5 %	36%	36%	36%
Scored	1.38	1.28	1.48
Conceded	1.66	1.76	1.56
BTTS	56%	52%	60%
Clean Sheet	18%	16%	20%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Stabaek	6	15	83%	2.5	21	7	+14	4.7	100%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	5	2	3	3.5	1.2	-
2	Haugesund	7	15	71%	2.1	22	11	+11	4.7	100%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	2	4	3.1	1.6	-
3	hodd	7	15	71%	2.1	17	20	-3	5.3	100%	100%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	2.4	2.9	-
4	Kongsvinger	6	13	67%	2.2	17	11	+6	4.7	83%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	1	2	2.8	1.8	-
5	Stromsgodset	7	13	57%	1.9	15	11	+4	3.7	100%	57%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	7	3	2	2	2.1	1.6	-
6	Bryne	7	13	57%	1.9	8	7	+1	2.1	86%	29%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	1	2	1.1	1.0	-
7	Lyn	6	11	50%	1.8	18	13	+5	5.2	100%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	2	1	3.0	2.2	-
8	Egersund	7	11	43%	1.6	12	12	+0	3.4	100%	71%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	1	2	1.7	1.7	-
9	Strommen	6	10	50%	1.7	12	11	+1	3.8	83%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	2.0	1.8	-
10	ODD Ballklubb	7	8	29%	1.1	14	16	-2	4.3	71%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	3	3	2.0	2.3	-
11	Sogndal	6	7	33%	1.2	11	12	-1	3.8	100%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	1.8	2.0	-
12	Asane	6	5	17%	0.8	10	14	-4	4.0	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	2	1.7	2.3	-
13	Sandnes ULF	7	4	14%	0.6	8	16	-8	3.4	86%	43%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.1	2.3	-
14	Ranheim	6	3	17%	0.5	15	20	-5	5.8	100%	100%	100%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	2.5	3.3	-
15	Raufoss	6	3	17%	0.5	6	18	-12	4.0	100%	83%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	1	1.0	3.0	-
16	Moss	7	2	0%	0.3	9	16	-7	3.6	100%	100%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	1.3	2.3	-

Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches

Moss vs Sogndal Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Moss

Sogndal

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Moss

Sogndal

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Moss

Sogndal

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Moss

Sogndal

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature