Moss vs Strommen Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026

Time: 15:00

Final 1-2

Moss

49%

21%

30%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Strommen

Norway: 1. Division

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Moss, fresh from a 2-2 draw against Sogndal, faces a Strommen side that won 3-1 over Raufoss. The model sees a 49% chance for a home win, 21% for a draw and 30% for an away victory, making the home win the clear favourite. The expected total is 4.3 goals, with the most probable total being 6 + goals at a 27% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 2-1 for Moss, with a 7.4% chance. Moss averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.92 conceded at home against similarly ranked opponents, while Strommen averages 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded on the road. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.1%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.8%), Over 1.5 (93.5%), Under 7.5 (92.8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (92.2%), Home over 0.5 goals (91.1%) and Away under 3.5 goals (87.5%). Each pick carries its own probability, with edges noted where provided.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Strommen snatched a 2-1 victory over Moss, ending the home side’s winless run and extending the visitors’ two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was given a 49% chance, but the model’s call was wrong. Every suggested pick was a hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.1%, Over 1.5 at 93.5%, Under 7.5 at 92.8%, Home over 0.5 goals at 91.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 90.5%, and Away under 3.5 goals at 87.5%. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away win and the model’s predictions proved remarkably accurate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Moss win✗ Miss

49.3%

Avg Implied 45.0% · @ 2.04

Edge

+4.3%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

2.11

Superbet

2.10

Pinnacle

2.09

10Bet

2.05

BetVictor

2.05

Draw✗ Miss

20.6%

Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.76

Edge

-3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.96

BetVictor

3.90

Betano

3.85

1xBet

3.82

Marathonbet

3.82

Strommen win✓ Hit

30.2%

Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.00

Edge

-0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Unibet

3.15

Pinnacle

3.14

1xBet

3.11

Marathonbet

3.10

Bet365

3.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Moss

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.3

Avg scored

1.3

Avg conceded

2.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.33	2.07	1.93	2.14	0.81	2.00
vs Stronger (2)	1.00	3.50	1.00	5.00	1.00	2.00
vs Similar (28)	1.36	1.96	2.00	1.92	0.80	2.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	7% (-15pp vs league)

This opponent (Strommen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Strommen

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.8

Avg scored

2.1

Avg conceded

1.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.42	2.00	1.86	2.29	3.20	1.60
vs Stronger (1)	4.00	5.00	4.00	5.00	-	-
vs Similar (9)	1.67	1.78	1.50	1.83	2.00	1.67
vs Weaker (2)	5.00	1.50	-	-	5.00	1.50
Clean sheet %	17% (-5pp vs league)

This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 4.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (27%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

93.5%

@ 1.11+10.0%

Under 1.5

6.5%

@ 5.62-10.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.14

Betano

1.13

Bet365

1.12

Unibet

1.12

BetVictor

1.11

Under

Betfair

6.50

Bet365

6.00

Pinnacle

5.90

BetVictor

5.75

Superbet

5.60

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

80.5%

@ 1.41+15.0%

Under 2.5

19.5%

@ 2.68-15.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.46

Bet365

1.44

Unibet

1.43

Betano

1.42

10Bet

1.42

Under

Betfair

2.88

BetVictor

2.75

Pinnacle

2.72

Bet365

2.70

10Bet

2.70

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

62.6%

@ 2.08+17.6%

Under 3.5

37.4%

@ 1.70-17.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

SBO

2.19

Pinnacle

2.13

Betfair

2.10

Unibet

2.10

Bet365

2.10

Under

Betfair

1.73

Pinnacle

1.73

Marathonbet

1.72

1xBet

1.72

Betano

1.72

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

78.1%

@ 1.38+11.4%

21.9%

@ 2.77-11.4%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.40

William Hil

1.40

Betano

1.40

Superbet

1.39

1xBet

1.39

Betfair

3.00

BetVictor

2.88

Superbet

2.77

1xBet

2.77

William Hil

2.75

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

2-1

7.4%@ 8.09+1.9%

2-2

7.0%@ 9.76+2.5%

1-1

6.8%@ 7.46+0.8%

3-1

6.0%@ 12.38+2.4%

1-2 ✓

5.8%@ 10.09+1.4%

3-2

5.7%@ 14.99+2.7%

2-3

4.5%@ 18.47+2.1%

2-0

3.9%@ 12.40+0.3%

Moss goals ↓

	Strommen goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.0%	1.9%	2.4%	1.5%	0.7%
1	2.6%	6.8%	5.8%	3.7%	1.8%
2	3.9%	7.4%	7.0%	4.5%	2.1%
3	3.1%	6.0%	5.7%	3.6%	1.7%
4	1.9%	3.6%	3.4%	2.2%	1.0%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Moss goals (down), columns = Strommen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Stabaek

2.50

Kongsvinger

2.17

hodd

2.14

Haugesund

2.14

Stromsgodset

1.86

Bryne

1.86

Lyn

1.83

Strommen

1.67

Egersund

1.57

Sogndal

1.17

ODD Ballklubb

1.14

Asane

0.83

Sandnes ULF

0.57

Raufoss

0.50

Ranheim

0.50

Moss

0.29

Moss is 1.38 points worse than Strommen in terms of average points per game (0.29 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Stabaek

3.50

Haugesund

3.14

Lyn

3.00

Kongsvinger

2.83

Ranheim

2.50

hodd

2.43

Stromsgodset

2.14

ODD Ballklubb

2.00

Strommen

2.00

Sogndal

1.83

Egersund

1.71

Asane

1.67

Moss

1.29

Bryne

1.14

Sandnes ULF

1.14

Raufoss

1.00

Moss is 0.71 goals worse than Strommen in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Bryne

1.00

Stabaek

1.17

Haugesund

1.57

Stromsgodset

1.57

Egersund

1.71

Kongsvinger

1.83

Strommen

1.83

Sogndal

2.00

Lyn

2.17

Moss

2.29

ODD Ballklubb

2.29

Sandnes ULF

2.29

Asane

2.33

hodd

2.86

Raufoss

3.00

Ranheim

3.33

Moss is 0.45 goals worse than Strommen in terms of goals conceded per game (2.29 vs 1.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Moss or Draw✗ Miss

69.8%

Avg Implied 69.9% · @ 1.33

Edge

-0.0%

49%

21%

30%

covers Moss + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.39

Bet365

1.36

William Hil

1.35

Superbet

1.34

Marathonbet

1.33

Moss or Strommen✓ Hit

79.4%

Avg Implied 75.9% · @ 1.22

Edge

+3.5%

49%

21%

30%

covers Moss + Strommen

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

1.28

William Hil

1.25

Betano

1.24

Superbet

1.23

Marathonbet

1.23

Draw or Strommen✓ Hit

50.7%

Avg Implied 54.2% · @ 1.71

Edge

-3.5%

49%

21%

30%

covers Draw + Strommen

Best 5 market prices

SBO

1.78

Betano

1.75

William Hil

1.73

Bet365

1.73

Unibet

1.73

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Moss over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

91.1%

@ 1.12+7.9%

Under

8.9%

@ 5.50-7.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.14

Bet365

1.12

Superbet

1.12

10Bet

1.11

BetVictor

1.11

Under

Bet365

6.00

Betfair

6.00

1xBet

5.50

BetVictor

5.50

Superbet

5.30

Moss over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

69.5%

@ 1.65+13.0%

Under

30.5%

@ 2.14-13.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.69

Bet365

1.67

1xBet

1.65

Betano

1.65

BetVictor

1.65

Under

Betfair

2.20

Marathonbet

2.16

1xBet

2.16

Pinnacle

2.16

Betano

2.15

Moss over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

43.5%

@ 3.00+12.6%

Under

56.5%

@ 1.34-12.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

3.14

BetVictor

3.10

Bet365

3.00

Betfair

3.00

Superbet

3.00

Under

Betano

1.37

Bet365

1.36

1xBet

1.34

Superbet

1.34

Pinnacle

1.34

Moss over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

22.5%

@ 6.03+6.9%

Under

77.5%

@ 1.11-6.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

7.00

Betfair

6.00

Betano

5.80

1xBet

5.30

Under

1xBet

1.12

Betano

1.12

Betfair

1.10

Bet365

1.10

Strommen over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

85.0%

@ 1.21+8.1%

Under

15.0%

@ 4.01-8.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Unibet

1.23

Betano

1.23

Pinnacle

1.22

Bet365

1.22

1xBet

1.20

Under

Betfair

4.50

Pinnacle

4.19

BetVictor

4.10

Superbet

4.00

Bet365

4.00

Strommen over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

56.6%

@ 2.04+11.0%

Under

43.4%

@ 1.71-11.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.13

Unibet

2.12

Marathonbet

2.06

1xBet

2.06

BetVictor

2.05

Under

Betano

1.75

Superbet

1.73

Bet365

1.73

Betfair

1.73

Pinnacle

1.72

Strommen over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

29.6%

@ 4.31+8.1%

Under

70.4%

@ 1.18-8.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Unibet

4.50

Betfair

4.50

BetVictor

4.40

Bet365

4.33

1xBet

4.30

Under

Betano

1.21

Superbet

1.20

Bet365

1.20

BetVictor

1.17

Marathonbet

1.17

Strommen over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

12.5%

@ 9.50+2.6%

Under

87.5%

@ 1.05-2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

11.00

Betfair

9.50

Betano

8.00

Under

Betano

1.06

Bet365

1.05

Betfair

1.04

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Moss, so a minus line means Moss give that many goals of a start and Strommen receive them. At -1, Moss must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Moss win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Moss)Actual: Strommen

Moss -2

16.3%

@ 6.70+2.9%

Draw -2

14.6%

@ 5.75-1.0%

Strommen +2

69.1%

@ 1.26-2.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

7.50

Bet365

7.00

Marathonbet

6.20

Unibet

6.10

Draw

Bet365

6.00

Betfair

6.00

Marathonbet

5.75

Unibet

5.25

Away

Bet365

1.28

Unibet

1.28

Marathonbet

1.25

Betfair

1.22

Handicap -1 (Moss)Actual: Strommen

Moss -1

30.9%

@ 3.42+4.7%

Draw -1

18.4%

@ 4.08-3.5%

Strommen +1

50.7%

@ 1.72-1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

3.60

10Bet

3.50

Bet365

3.50

Marathonbet

3.28

Unibet

3.20

Draw

Bet365

4.33

Betfair

4.20

Marathonbet

4.05

10Bet

4.00

Unibet

3.80

Away

Unibet

1.77

Bet365

1.73

Marathonbet

1.72

10Bet

1.70

Betfair

1.67

Handicap +1 (Moss)Actual: Draw

Moss +1

69.8%

@ 1.33+2.6%

Draw +1

14.4%

@ 5.12-3.1%

Strommen -1

15.8%

@ 5.88+0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.36

Marathonbet

1.33

Unibet

1.30

Draw

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

4.95

Unibet

4.90

Away

Unibet

6.10

Bet365

6.00

Marathonbet

5.55

Handicap +2 (Moss)Actual: Moss

Moss +2

84.2%

@ 1.12+1.6%

Draw +2

9.0%

@ 9.00-1.3%

Strommen -2

6.8%

@ 13.00-0.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.12

Draw

Bet365

9.00

Away

Bet365

13.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Moss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.57	1.07	0.86	1.07	0.31	1.06
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	2.50	0.00	3.00	1.00	2.00
vs Similar (28)	0.57	0.96	0.92	0.92	0.27	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	37% (+15pp vs league)

This opponent (Strommen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Strommen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.75	1.08	0.71	1.29	0.80	0.80
vs Stronger (1)	0.00	4.00	0.00	4.00	-	-
vs Similar (9)	0.67	0.89	0.83	0.83	0.33	1.00
vs Weaker (2)	1.50	0.50	-	-	1.50	0.50
Clean sheet %	50% (+28pp vs league)

This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

78.3%

@ 1.22+2.3%

Under 0.5

21.7%

@ 3.85-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.26

BetVictor

1.22

Superbet

1.22

10Bet

1.22

Bet365

1.22

Under

BetVictor

4.00

Bet365

4.00

Betfair

4.00

William Hil

4.00

Superbet

3.85

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

42.6%

@ 2.07-2.4%

Under 1.5

57.4%

@ 1.69+2.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

SBO

2.19

Pinnacle

2.13

Betano

2.12

Betfair

2.10

1xBet

2.05

Under

Bet365

1.73

Marathonbet

1.71

1xBet

1.71

Superbet

1.70

Pinnacle

1.70

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

20.8%

@ 4.30-0.7%

Under 2.5

79.2%

@ 1.18+0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

4.60

Betfair

4.50

Bet365

4.33

Superbet

4.20

William Hil

4.20

Under

Bet365

1.20

William Hil

1.20

Betano

1.19

Superbet

1.19

Betfair

1.17

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Moss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

48.0%

@ 1.63-8.9%

Under

52.0%

@ 2.15+8.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.67

Pinnacle

1.65

Superbet

1.64

1xBet

1.60

Unibet

1.58

Under

Pinnacle

2.21

1xBet

2.20

Unibet

2.16

Superbet

2.12

Betano

2.07

Moss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

19.4%

@ 4.02-3.5%

Under

80.6%

@ 1.20+3.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.15

Betano

4.00

1xBet

3.90

Under

1xBet

1.20

Betano

1.20

Marathonbet

1.19

Moss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

2.5%

@ 8.75-8.2%

Under

97.5%

@ 1.04+8.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

8.75

Under

Betano

1.04

Strommen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

56.8%

@ 1.89+7.9%

Under

43.2%

@ 1.81-7.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.94

Unibet

1.92

Betano

1.90

Superbet

1.87

Marathonbet

1.86

Under

1xBet

1.85

Pinnacle

1.84

Superbet

1.83

Marathonbet

1.82

Betano

1.80

Strommen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over

Over

14.0%

@ 5.32-3.3%

Under

86.0%

@ 1.12+3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.55

1xBet

5.30

Betano

5.10

Under

Betano

1.13

Marathonbet

1.11

1xBet

1.11

Strommen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

2.2%

@ 10.25-6.9%

Under

97.8%

@ 1.02+6.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

10.25

Under

Betano

1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Moss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.77	1.00	1.07	1.07	0.50	0.94
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	1.00	1.00	2.00	0.00	0.00
vs Similar (28)	0.79	1.00	1.08	1.00	0.53	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	33% (+11pp vs league)

This opponent (Strommen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Strommen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.1

Avg scored

1.3

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.67	0.92	1.14	1.00	2.40	0.80
vs Stronger (1)	4.00	1.00	4.00	1.00	-	-
vs Similar (9)	1.00	0.89	0.67	1.00	1.67	0.67
vs Weaker (2)	3.50	1.00	-	-	3.50	1.00
Clean sheet %	25% (+3pp vs league)

This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

82.3%

@ 1.11-0.4%

Under 0.5

17.7%

@ 5.33+0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.13

Superbet

1.12

Bet365

1.12

William Hil

1.12

Marathonbet

1.10

Under

Bet365

6.00

Superbet

5.35

Marathonbet

5.25

1xBet

5.25

Betano

5.10

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

52.8%

@ 1.63-4.2%

Under 1.5

47.2%

@ 2.16+4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.65

1xBet

1.65

Unibet

1.64

Superbet

1.63

Bet365

1.62

Under

10Bet

2.20

Betano

2.20

Bet365

2.20

Superbet

2.15

William Hil

2.15

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

29.6%

@ 2.90-2.2%

Under 2.5

70.4%

@ 1.35+2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.00

William Hil

3.00

Superbet

2.90

Marathonbet

2.89

1xBet

2.89

Under

Betano

1.40

Superbet

1.36

Bet365

1.36

William Hil

1.35

Marathonbet

1.33

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Moss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

55.6%

@ 1.43-9.3%

Under

44.4%

@ 2.64+9.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.45

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.41

Under

1xBet

2.70

Betano

2.65

Superbet

2.57

Moss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

22.6%

@ 2.94-8.9%

Under

77.4%

@ 1.35+8.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.04

1xBet

2.90

Betano

2.87

Under

Betano

1.37

1xBet

1.35

Marathonbet

1.33

Moss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

4.9%

@ 6.95-8.3%

Under

95.1%

@ 1.06+8.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.60

Betano

6.30

Under

Betano

1.08

1xBet

1.04

Strommen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

65.2%

@ 1.60+7.3%

Under

34.8%

@ 2.20-7.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.60

Betano

1.60

1xBet

1.60

Under

1xBet

2.20

Betano

2.20

Superbet

2.20

Strommen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

28.3%

@ 3.88+4.5%

Under

71.7%

@ 1.21-4.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.10

1xBet

3.90

Betano

3.65

Under

Betano

1.24

1xBet

1.20

Marathonbet

1.19

Strommen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

9.5%

@ 8.00-2.1%

Under

90.5%

@ 1.05+2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

8.00

Under

Betano

1.05

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals	97.8%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.9%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	97.5%	1.04	Betano 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.2%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	95.1%	1.06	Betano 1.08	1xBet 1.04	-	-	-	+8.3%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	93.5%	1.11	Pinnacle 1.14	Betano 1.13	Bet365 1.12	Unibet 1.12	BetVictor 1.11	+10.0%	✓ Hit
Under 7.5	92.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-3.3%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	91.1%	1.12	Betano 1.14	Bet365 1.12	Superbet 1.12	10Bet 1.11	BetVictor 1.11	+7.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	90.5%	1.05	Betano 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.1%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	87.5%	1.05	Betano 1.06	Bet365 1.05	Betfair 1.04	-	-	-2.6%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	86.0%	1.12	Betano 1.13	Marathonbet 1.11	1xBet 1.11	-	-	+3.3%	✗ Miss
Under 6.5	85.4%	1.04	Betano 1.05	1xBet 1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-6.2%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	85.0%	1.21	Unibet 1.23	Betano 1.23	Pinnacle 1.22	Bet365 1.22	1xBet 1.20	+8.1%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	84.2%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+1.6%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	82.3%	1.11	Betano 1.13	Superbet 1.12	Bet365 1.12	William Hil 1.12	Marathonbet 1.10	-0.4%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	80.6%	1.20	1xBet 1.20	Betano 1.20	Marathonbet 1.19	-	-	+3.5%	✓ Hit
Over 2.5	80.5%	1.41	Pinnacle 1.46	Bet365 1.44	Unibet 1.43	Betano 1.42	10Bet 1.42	+15.0%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	79.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.28	William Hil 1.25	Betano 1.24	Superbet 1.23	Marathonbet 1.23	+3.5%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	79.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.20	William Hil 1.20	Betano 1.19	Superbet 1.19	Betfair 1.17	+0.7%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals	78.3%	1.22	Betano 1.26	BetVictor 1.22	Superbet 1.22	10Bet 1.22	Bet365 1.22	+2.3%	✓ Hit
BTTS Yes	78.1%	1.38	Bet365 1.40	William Hil 1.40	Betano 1.40	Superbet 1.39	1xBet 1.39	+11.4%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	77.5%	1.11	1xBet 1.12	Betano 1.12	Betfair 1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-6.9%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	77.4%	1.35	Betano 1.37	1xBet 1.35	Marathonbet 1.33	-	-	+8.9%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	73.4%	1.10	Betano 1.13	Pinnacle 1.12	Superbet 1.11	Bet365 1.11	Betfair 1.10	-11.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	71.7%	1.21	Betano 1.24	1xBet 1.20	Marathonbet 1.19	-	-	-4.5%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	70.4%	1.18	Betano 1.21	Superbet 1.20	Bet365 1.20	BetVictor 1.17	Marathonbet 1.17	-8.1%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	70.4%	1.35	Betano 1.40	Superbet 1.36	Bet365 1.36	William Hil 1.35	Marathonbet 1.33	+2.2%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

STA (24)

€9m

OB (25)

€9m

HAU (24)

€9m

STR (22)

€7m

BRY (21)

€6m

KON (24)

€6m

EGE (25)

€5m

SOG (19)

€4m

MOS (21)

€4m

LYN (23)

€4m

RAN (22)

€4m

HOD (20)

€3m

ASA (22)

€3m

SU (21)

€3m

RAU (17)

€2m

STR (19)

€2m

Moss's squad is €3m more valuable than Strommen's (€4m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

STA (9)

€5m

STR (9)

€3m

HAU (8)

€3m

KON (10)

€3m

OB (6)

€3m

BRY (6)

€2m

MOS (6)

€2m

HOD (7)

€1m

ASA (7)

€1m

RAN (6)

€1m

EGE (5)

€1m

LYN (5)

€1m

SOG (6)

€1m

SU (5)

€1m

STR (5)

€1m

RAU (4)

€0m

Moss's attack is €1m more valuable than Strommen's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

OB (7)

€3m

HAU (6)

€2m

STR (5)

€2m

STA (5)

€2m

LYN (9)

€2m

BRY (5)

€1m

EGE (8)

€1m

RAN (5)

€1m

SOG (5)

€1m

SU (7)

€1m

KON (3)

€1m

MOS (6)

€1m

HOD (4)

€1m

RAU (4)

€0m

ASA (4)

€0m

STR (4)

€0m

Moss and Strommen have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

HAU (10)

€4m

OB (12)

€3m

STA (10)

€3m

BRY (10)

€2m

SOG (8)

€2m

EGE (12)

€2m

STR (8)

€2m

KON (11)

€2m

MOS (9)

€2m

ASA (11)

€2m

RAN (11)

€2m

HOD (9)

€1m

LYN (9)

€1m

RAU (9)

€1m

SU (9)

€1m

STR (10)

€1m

Moss and Strommen have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings

MOS wins

Draws

STR wins

Head-to-head

Moss vs Strommen · H/A from MOS

Date	H/A	Game	Score
No games.

Moss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/08/26	H	MOS Vs Sogndal	2-2
15/08/26	A	Bryne Vs MOS	2-1
10/08/26	H	MOS Vs ODD Ballklubb	3-3
02/08/26	A	hodd Vs MOS	2-1
26/07/26	H	MOS Vs Raufoss	1-2
04/07/26	A	Egersund Vs MOS	3-0
29/11/25	A	Brattvåg Vs MOS	2-1
23/11/25	H	MOS Vs Brattvåg	2-1
08/11/25	H	MOS Vs Raufoss	1-1
01/11/25	A	Start Vs MOS	2-1

Strommen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/08/26	H	STR Vs Raufoss	3-1
16/08/26	A	hodd Vs STR	4-3
09/08/26	H	STR Vs Ranheim	1-4
02/08/26	A	Kongsvinger Vs STR	1-3
26/07/26	H	STR Vs ODD Ballklubb	0-0
27/08/25	H	STR Vs ODD Ballklubb	2-2
13/08/25	A	Ull/Kisa Vs STR	0-0
07/05/25	H	STR Vs Mjondalen	1-3
24/04/25	H	STR Vs Raufoss	2-1
13/04/25	A	Bjørkelangen Vs STR	1-6

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Moss

Norway: 1. Division

Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLDLD	1.12
Home	DWLDD	1.62
Away	LLLLL	0.65

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	46%	15%
AVG goals	3.42	3.75	3.12
Over 1.5 %	92%	92%	92%
Over 2.5 %	72%	75%	69%
Over 3.5 %	42%	54%	31%
Scored	1.48	2.00	1.00
Conceded	1.94	1.75	2.12
BTTS	70%	79%	62%
Clean Sheet	10%	12%	8%
Corners	7.00	5.00	9.00
Cards	4.50	4.00	5.00

Strommen

Norway: 1. Division

Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWLLW	1.50
Home	LDDLW	1.14
Away	WWDWL	2.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	42%	29%	60%
AVG goals	4.42	4.14	4.80
Over 1.5 %	83%	86%	80%
Over 2.5 %	83%	86%	80%
Over 3.5 %	75%	71%	80%
Scored	2.42	1.86	3.20
Conceded	2.00	2.29	1.60
BTTS	83%	86%	80%
Clean Sheet	17%	14%	20%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Stabaek	6	15	83%	2.5	21	7	+14	4.7	100%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	5	2	3	3.5	1.2	-
2	Haugesund	7	15	71%	2.1	22	11	+11	4.7	100%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	2	4	3.1	1.6	-
3	hodd	7	15	71%	2.1	17	20	-3	5.3	100%	100%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	2.4	2.9	-
4	Kongsvinger	6	13	67%	2.2	17	11	+6	4.7	83%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	1	2	2.8	1.8	-
5	Stromsgodset	7	13	57%	1.9	15	11	+4	3.7	100%	57%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	7	3	2	2	2.1	1.6	-
6	Bryne	7	13	57%	1.9	8	7	+1	2.1	86%	29%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	1	2	1.1	1.0	-
7	Lyn	6	11	50%	1.8	18	13	+5	5.2	100%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	2	1	3.0	2.2	-
8	Egersund	7	11	43%	1.6	12	12	+0	3.4	100%	71%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	1	2	1.7	1.7	-
9	Strommen	6	10	50%	1.7	12	11	+1	3.8	83%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	2.0	1.8	-
10	ODD Ballklubb	7	8	29%	1.1	14	16	-2	4.3	71%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	3	3	2.0	2.3	-
11	Sogndal	6	7	33%	1.2	11	12	-1	3.8	100%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	1.8	2.0	-
12	Asane	6	5	17%	0.8	10	14	-4	4.0	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	2	1.7	2.3	-
13	Sandnes ULF	7	4	14%	0.6	8	16	-8	3.4	86%	43%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.1	2.3	-
14	Ranheim	6	3	17%	0.5	15	20	-5	5.8	100%	100%	100%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	2.5	3.3	-
15	Raufoss	6	3	17%	0.5	6	18	-12	4.0	100%	83%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	1	1.0	3.0	-
16	Moss	7	2	0%	0.3	9	16	-7	3.6	100%	100%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	1.3	2.3	-

Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches

Moss vs Strommen Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Moss

Strommen

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Moss

Strommen

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Moss

Strommen

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Moss

Strommen

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature