Motherwell’s recent draw against St Mirren and Aberdeen’s loss to Rangers set the stage for a home-side advantage that the model rates highly. The Pythia model gives a 63% chance of a Motherwell win, 25% for a draw, and 12% for an Aberdeen victory, making the home win the clear favourite. This preference stems from Motherwell’s strong home form: they average 1.75 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded against similar opponents, while Aberdeen’s away numbers are weaker, with just 0.14 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the most likely scoreline is 1-0, a 15.6% chance. The model’s suggested picks highlight a high likelihood of a tight match: over 19.5 fouls at 88.5%, under 3.5 goals at 79.4%, over 2.5 cards at 78.7%, over 21.5 fouls at 78.1%, under 11.5 corners at 77.3%, and under 5.5 cards at 75.7%. The single edge is the under 5.5 cards pick, which the model predicts will miss.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on as Motherwell secured a 2-0 victory, extending their recent form after a draw against St Mirren. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 63% probability and the result matched the actual outcome. The most likely scoreline of 1-0 fell short, but the 2-0 result was still within the model’s expected range. The model’s selections largely came through: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 88.5%, Under 3.5 goals at 79.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 78.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 78.1%, and Under 11.5 corners at 77.3%. Only the Under 5.5 cards pick missed, with a 75.7% chance.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Motherwell win✓ Hit
62.7%
Avg Implied 58.8% · @ 1.58
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied 23.1% · @ 4.02
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen win✗ Miss
12.1%
Avg Implied 18.1% · @ 5.13
Edge
-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Motherwell
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.73
1.75
0.62
1.14
0.86
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.20
1.33
0.67
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.46
0.67
1.75
0.67
1.17
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.47
1.44
1.19
0.50
1.79
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
2.86
0.67
2.00
0.25
3.50
vs Similar (15)
0.53
1.20
0.88
1.00
0.14
1.43
vs Weaker (8)
2.38
0.75
2.80
1.00
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.5%
Under 1.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.0%
@ 1.74-12.6%
Under 2.5
59.0%
@ 2.01+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.6%
Under 3.5
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.8%
No
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.6%
2-0 ✓
14.2%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
8.1%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
Motherwell goals ↓
Aberdeen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
5.0%
1.9%
0.4%
0.1%
1
16%
11%
3.2%
0.7%
0.1%
2
14%
8.8%
2.7%
0.6%
0.1%
3
8.1%
5.0%
1.6%
0.3%
0.0%
4
3.4%
2.1%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Motherwell goals (down), columns = Aberdeen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Livingston
0.55
Arbroath
0.50
Motherwell is 0.55 points better than Aberdeen in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.05).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Livingston
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
Partick
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Dunfermline
0.75
Arbroath
0.00
Motherwell is 0.50 goals better than Aberdeen in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.05).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arbroath
0.50
Dunfermline
0.75
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Partick
1.00
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Livingston
1.97
Motherwell is 0.50 goals better than Aberdeen in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.45).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Arbroath
50%
Dunfermline
50%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Livingston
45%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Motherwell is 9.8 percentage points better than Aberdeen in terms of average possession (58% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Motherwell
For 4.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 15.2 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aberdeen
For 5.3 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 12.6 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Motherwell
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.7
9.3
3.6
3.5
3.7
25.7
26.1
25.4
vs Stronger (7)
10.0
9.8
10.3
3.9
4.2
3.3
24.9
23.2
27.0
vs Similar (40)
8.8
8.4
9.2
3.9
3.6
4.1
25.9
26.8
25.1
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
39%
30%
48%
54%
46%
62%
73%
75%
71%
% under line
61%
70%
52%
46%
54%
38%
27%
25%
29%
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.5
9.8
4.1
4.6
3.5
24.2
24.5
24.0
vs Stronger (13)
9.8
10.7
8.8
3.8
5.0
2.5
23.0
22.8
23.2
vs Similar (24)
11.0
11.7
10.2
4.8
5.2
4.4
24.8
24.2
25.4
vs Weaker (13)
10.9
12.2
10.0
2.9
2.8
3.0
24.6
27.5
22.7
% over line
57%
73%
41%
56%
69%
42%
70%
73%
68%
% under line
43%
27%
59%
44%
31%
58%
30%
27%
32%
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
10.9
Celtic
10.8
Dundee Utd
10.8
Hibernian
10.7
Aberdeen
10.7
Falkirk
10.6
Rangers
10.5
Dundee
10.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.2
Partick
10.2
Kilmarnock
10.1
Arbroath
9.8
Livingston
9.8
Dunfermline
9.7
Motherwell
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.6
Livingston
4.4
Hibernian
4.4
Motherwell
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Partick
4.2
Dundee Utd
4.1
Rangers
4.1
Falkirk
4.0
Heart Of Midlothian
4.0
Dunfermline
3.8
ST Mirren
3.7
Celtic
3.6
Dundee
3.3
Arbroath
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Livingston
25.6
Motherwell
25.2
Rangers
24.8
Kilmarnock
24.0
Falkirk
23.8
Aberdeen
23.8
Heart Of Midlothian
23.1
Hibernian
22.3
Dundee Utd
21.9
Celtic
21.5
ST Mirren
21.5
Dundee
21.3
Dunfermline
20.9
Arbroath
20.5
Partick
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.2%
Under 9.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.0%
Under 3.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
78.1%
Under 21.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Motherwell
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.23
0.62
0.31
0.50
0.14
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.60
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.17
0.75
0.25
0.50
0.08
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.62
0.50
0.21
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
1.57
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (15)
0.20
0.40
0.25
0.38
0.14
0.43
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.25
1.40
0.40
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Motherwell
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.50
1.12
0.31
0.64
0.71
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.60
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.42
0.67
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.81
0.69
0.29
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.29
0.33
1.00
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (15)
0.33
0.80
0.62
0.62
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
0.50
1.40
0.60
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Motherwell
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tawanda Maswanhise40%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos26%
Elijah Just20%
Emmanuel Longelo19%
Elliot Watt18%
Eythor Bjørgolfsson11%
Callum Slattery10%
Lukas Fadinger9%
Ibrahim Said8%
Liam Gordon6%
Johnny Koutroumbis4%
Stephen Welsh4%
Regan Charles-Cook0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Callum Hendry0%
Paul McGinn0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Calum Ward0%
Tom Sparrow0%
Oscar Priestman0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Callum Slattery26%
Elliot Watt21%
Callum Hendry19%
Liam Gordon18%
Emmanuel Longelo17%
Ibrahim Said16%
Paul McGinn12%
Elijah Just11%
Eythor Bjørgolfsson11%
Tom Sparrow11%
Sam Nicholson10%
Lukas Fadinger9%
Regan Charles-Cook8%
Stephen Welsh7%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos5%
Johnny Koutroumbis4%
Oscar Priestman4%
Stephen O'Donnell3%
Tawanda Maswanhise3%
Calum Ward3%
Jordan McGhee0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eythor Bjørgolfsson22%
Callum Slattery19%
Elijah Just17%
Emmanuel Longelo11%
Tom Sparrow11%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos11%
Elliot Watt9%
Regan Charles-Cook8%
Lukas Fadinger6%
Stephen O'Donnell6%
Tawanda Maswanhise6%
Stephen Welsh4%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Liam Gordon0%
Callum Hendry0%
Paul McGinn0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Calum Ward0%
Ibrahim Said0%
Oscar Priestman0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Elijah Just26%
Tawanda Maswanhise26%
Callum Slattery23%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos16%
Callum Hendry14%
Lukas Fadinger9%
Emmanuel Longelo6%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Elliot Watt0%
Regan Charles-Cook0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Liam Gordon0%
Paul McGinn0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Stephen Welsh0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Calum Ward0%
Ibrahim Said0%
Tom Sparrow0%
Oscar Priestman0%
Eythor Bjørgolfsson0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
Aberdeen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesper Karlsson21%
Kevin Nisbet18%
Kenan Bilalovic17%
Toyosi Olusanya12%
Aremu Afeez10%
Marko Lazetić9%
Mitchel Frame9%
Dennis Geiger8%
Adil Aouchiche8%
Liam Morrison7%
Emmanuel Gyamfi7%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen6%
Stuart Armstrong6%
Nicky Devlin6%
Topi Keskinen5%
Dante Polvara4%
Ante Palaversa0%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Tom McIntyre0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Mats Knoester0%
Graeme Shinnie0%
Per Kristian Bråtveit0%
Lyall Cameron0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Kusini Yengi0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Nicolas Milanović0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Jack Milne0%
Dylan Lobban0%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dennis Geiger42%
Tom McIntyre33%
Liam Morrison29%
Dylan Lobban28%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen25%
Mats Knoester24%
Nicky Devlin23%
Marko Lazetić21%
Graeme Shinnie21%
Adil Aouchiche20%
Emmanuel Gyamfi20%
Ante Palaversa18%
Jesper Karlsson17%
Topi Keskinen15%
Stuart Armstrong15%
Kusini Yengi14%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson12%
Leighton Clarkson12%
Nicolas Milanović11%
Aremu Afeez10%
Jack Milne10%
Mitchel Frame9%
Kevin Nisbet8%
Lyall Cameron7%
Alexander Jensen6%
Toyosi Olusanya6%
Gavin Molloy6%
Kenan Bilalovic6%
Dimitar Mitov5%
Dante Polvara4%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Per Kristian Bråtveit0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stuart Armstrong15%
Toyosi Olusanya12%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson12%
Topi Keskinen10%
Aremu Afeez10%
Mitchel Frame9%
Dennis Geiger8%
Lyall Cameron7%
Ante Palaversa6%
Graeme Shinnie5%
Marko Lazetić3%
Kevin Nisbet2%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen0%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Tom McIntyre0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Nicky Devlin0%
Mats Knoester0%
Per Kristian Bråtveit0%
Jesper Karlsson0%
Adil Aouchiche0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Kusini Yengi0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Nicolas Milanović0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Jack Milne0%
Liam Morrison0%
Emmanuel Gyamfi0%
Dylan Lobban0%
Dante Polvara0%
Kenan Bilalovic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesper Karlsson17%
Adil Aouchiche12%
Kevin Nisbet10%
Dante Polvara9%
Lyall Cameron7%
Toyosi Olusanya6%
Stuart Armstrong6%
Marko Lazetić6%
Jack Milne2%
Dennis Geiger0%
Ante Palaversa0%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen0%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Tom McIntyre0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Nicky Devlin0%
Mats Knoester0%
Graeme Shinnie0%
Per Kristian Bråtveit0%
Aremu Afeez0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Kusini Yengi0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Topi Keskinen0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Nicolas Milanović0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Liam Morrison0%
Emmanuel Gyamfi0%
Dylan Lobban0%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson0%
Mitchel Frame0%
Kenan Bilalovic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
ARB (15)
€1m
Motherwell's squad is €1m more valuable than Aberdeen's (€16m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
ARB (3)
€0m
Motherwell's attack is €6m more valuable than Aberdeen's (€10m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
Motherwell's midfield is €3m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€1m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
ARB (7)
€0m
Motherwell's defence is €2m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€5m vs €7m).
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
Hibernian
Falkirk
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Livingston
Partick
Dunfermline
Arbroath