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Motor Lublin vs Resovia Rzeszów Result & Analysis

Date: 25/11/2023
Time: 18:15
Final 3-2
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Vs
47%
24%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Resovia Rzeszów
Resovia Rzeszów
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Motor Lublin win✓ Hit
47.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Resovia Rzeszów win✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Motor LublinMotor Lublin

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W32W02L14L02L13L10W20W22D01LA·POL26/08H·STA03/09A·TYC17/09H·WIS23/09A·ARK29/09H·MIE08/10A·CHR20/10H·ODR29/10H·WIS05/11A·ZNI10/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.331.621.880.710.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.901.501.002.200.800.80
vs Weaker (5)1.801.002.671.330.500.50
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Resovia Rzeszów) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Resovia RzeszówResovia Rzeszów

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L04L13L11D12L20W14L12L21W01LA·GKS26/08H·NIE01/09A·GÓR18/09H·POL23/09A·STA30/09H·TYC08/10A·WIS20/10H·ARK29/10A·MIE03/11H·CHR12/11
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.531.141.141.251.88
vs Stronger (6)0.832.171.501.000.502.75
vs Similar (22)1.231.271.091.181.361.36
vs Weaker (2)2.002.501.001.003.004.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Motor Lublin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.8%
Under 1.5
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.9%
Under 2.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.2%
Under 3.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.6%
No
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.3%
3-2 ✓
4.4%
Motor Lublin goals ↓
Resovia Rzeszów goals →
01234
04.1%3.9%3.6%1.8%0.7%
15.3%10%7.0%3.5%1.3%
26.0%9.0%6.8%3.4%1.3%
33.9%5.8%4.4%2.2%0.8%
41.9%2.8%2.1%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Motor Lublin goals (down), columns = Resovia Rzeszów goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lechia Gdansk
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.82
Arka Gdynia
1.81
Motor Lublin
1.67
Górnik Łęczna
1.60
Odra Opole
1.51
Miedz Legnica
1.50
Tychy 71
1.50
Wisla Plock
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.47
Stal Rzeszów
1.41
Chrobry Głogów
1.24
Znicz Pruszków
1.24
Nieciecza
1.21
Polonia Warszawa
1.03
Resovia Rzeszów
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.68
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.47
Motor Lublin is 0.67 points better than Resovia Rzeszów in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.00
Wisla Krakow
1.82
Lechia Gdansk
1.76
Nieciecza
1.65
Arka Gdynia
1.58
Stal Rzeszów
1.56
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Motor Lublin
1.42
Wisla Plock
1.35
Tychy 71
1.26
Odra Opole
1.26
Polonia Warszawa
1.21
Resovia Rzeszów
1.15
Chrobry Głogów
1.03
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Znicz Pruszków
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.76
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.62
Motor Lublin is 0.27 goals better than Resovia Rzeszów in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Górnik Łęczna
0.83
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Odra Opole
1.03
GKS Katowice
1.03
Arka Gdynia
1.06
Miedz Legnica
1.06
Motor Lublin
1.19
Znicz Pruszków
1.29
Wisla Plock
1.35
Tychy 71
1.38
Chrobry Głogów
1.44
Polonia Warszawa
1.47
Wisla Krakow
1.47
Nieciecza
1.53
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.62
Podbeskidzie
1.74
Stal Rzeszów
1.76
Resovia Rzeszów
1.76
Motor Lublin is 0.57 goals better than Resovia Rzeszów in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.76).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Motor LublinMotor Lublin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D02L02L01L01L10W00D11D00DA·POL26/08H·STA03/09A·TYC17/09H·WIS23/09A·ARK29/09H·MIE08/10A·CHR20/10H·ODR29/10H·WIS05/11A·ZNI10/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.200.670.250.880.140.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.100.800.201.000.000.60
vs Weaker (5)0.400.400.330.670.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Resovia Rzeszów) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Resovia RzeszówResovia Rzeszów

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L03L11D01L10W01L11D10W00DA·GKS26/08H·NIE01/09A·GÓR18/09H·POL23/09A·STA30/09H·TYC08/10A·WIS20/10H·ARK29/10A·MIE03/11H·CHR12/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.860.500.500.88
vs Stronger (6)0.671.171.500.500.251.50
vs Similar (22)0.590.590.820.550.360.64
vs Weaker (2)1.500.500.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Motor Lublin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Motor Lublin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motor Lublin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motor Lublin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Motor LublinMotor Lublin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D12L01L12L00D20W11D01LA·POL26/08H·STA03/09A·TYC17/09H·WIS23/09A·ARK29/09H·MIE08/10A·CHR20/10H·ODR29/10H·WIS05/11A·ZNI10/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.671.381.000.570.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.800.700.801.200.800.20
vs Weaker (5)1.400.602.330.670.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Resovia Rzeszów) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Resovia RzeszówResovia Rzeszów

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L10W00D11D10W13L01L11D01LA·GKS26/08H·NIE01/09A·GÓR18/09H·POL23/09A·STA30/09H·TYC08/10A·WIS20/10H·ARK29/10A·MIE03/11H·CHR12/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.830.290.640.751.00
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.000.500.251.25
vs Similar (22)0.640.680.270.641.000.73
vs Weaker (2)0.502.001.001.000.003.00
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Motor Lublin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Motor Lublin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motor Lublin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motor Lublin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Motor Lublin · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Karol Czubak50%
Makan Aïko17%
Mbaye Ndiaye17%
Bartosz Bereszyński0%
Tin Plavotić0%
Ivo Rodrigues0%
Yacine Bourhane0%
Mihai Popa0%
Marek Kristián Bartoš0%
Thomas Santos0%
Florian Haxha0%
Kamil Lukoszek0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Mateusz Łęgowski0%
Paskal Meyer0%
Christopher Simon0%
Filip Luberecki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivo Rodrigues33%
Paskal Meyer33%
Tin Plavotić25%
Marek Kristián Bartoš20%
Bartosz Bereszyński17%
Makan Aïko17%
Fábio Ronaldo17%
Mbaye Ndiaye17%
Christopher Simon17%
Filip Luberecki17%
Yacine Bourhane0%
Mihai Popa0%
Thomas Santos0%
Karol Czubak0%
Florian Haxha0%
Kamil Lukoszek0%
Mateusz Łęgowski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivo Rodrigues67%
Mbaye Ndiaye33%
Bartosz Bereszyński0%
Tin Plavotić0%
Yacine Bourhane0%
Mihai Popa0%
Marek Kristián Bartoš0%
Thomas Santos0%
Karol Czubak0%
Florian Haxha0%
Kamil Lukoszek0%
Makan Aïko0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Mateusz Łęgowski0%
Paskal Meyer0%
Christopher Simon0%
Filip Luberecki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Karol Czubak67%
Mbaye Ndiaye50%
Christopher Simon17%
Bartosz Bereszyński0%
Tin Plavotić0%
Ivo Rodrigues0%
Yacine Bourhane0%
Mihai Popa0%
Marek Kristián Bartoš0%
Thomas Santos0%
Florian Haxha0%
Kamil Lukoszek0%
Makan Aïko0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Mateusz Łęgowski0%
Paskal Meyer0%
Filip Luberecki0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
ML (20)
€19m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
POD (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
ML (10)
€10m
WK (8)
€6m
WP (7)
€4m
GK (7)
€3m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
POD (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GK (10)
€6m
LG (3)
€5m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (8)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
WK (12)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
POD (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ML wins
0
Draws
0
RR wins

Head-to-head

Motor Lublin vs Resovia Rzeszów · H/A from ML
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Motor LublinMotor Lublin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/11/23AZnicz Pruszków Vs ML1-0
05/11/23HML Vs Wisla Plock2-2
29/10/23HML Vs Odra Opole2-0
20/10/23AChrobry Głogów Vs ML0-1
08/10/23HML Vs Miedz Legnica1-3
29/09/23AArka Gdynia Vs ML2-0
23/09/23HML Vs Wisla Krakow1-4
17/09/23ATychy 71 Vs ML2-0
03/09/23HML Vs Stal Rzeszów3-2
26/08/23APolonia Warszawa Vs ML0-1

Resovia RzeszówResovia Rzeszów

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/23HRR Vs Chrobry Głogów0-1
03/11/23AMiedz Legnica Vs RR1-2
29/10/23HRR Vs Arka Gdynia1-2
20/10/23AWisla Krakow Vs RR4-1
08/10/23HRR Vs Tychy 712-0
30/09/23AStal Rzeszów Vs RR2-1
23/09/23HRR Vs Polonia Warszawa1-1
18/09/23AGórnik Łęczna Vs RR3-1
01/09/23HRR Vs Nieciecza0-4
26/08/23AGKS Katowice Vs RR3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.53
HomeWLLWD1.38
AwayWLLWL1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %47%38%57%
AVG goals2.533.501.43
Over 1.5 %67%88%43%
Over 2.5 %33%62%0%
Over 3.5 %33%62%0%
Scored1.201.620.71
Conceded1.331.880.71
BTTS40%75%0%
Clean Sheet33%12%57%
Corners---
Cards---
Resovia Rzeszów
Resovia Rzeszów
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.06
HomeLDWLL1.04
AwayLLLLW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%25%28%
AVG goals2.732.423.04
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %53%46%60%
Over 3.5 %24%21%28%
Scored1.141.041.24
Conceded1.591.381.80
BTTS57%54%60%
Clean Sheet18%21%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk3468
62%
2.0
6034+26
2.8
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
22
15531.81.0
-
2Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia3665
53%
1.8
5738+19
2.6
69%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.1
-
3GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice3462
53%
1.8
6835+33
3.0
76%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3642.01.0
-
4Motor LublinMotor Lublin3660
47%
1.7
5143+8
2.6
75%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
19
10261.41.2
-
5Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna3556
40%
1.6
3529+6
1.8
54%
29%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
6Odra OpoleOdra Opole3553
43%
1.5
4436+8
2.3
69%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.31.0
-
7Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica3451
38%
1.5
5236+16
2.6
76%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.51.1
-
8Wisla PlockWisla Plock3451
41%
1.5
4646+0
2.7
82%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4361.41.4
-
9Tychy 71Tychy 713451
47%
1.5
4347-4
2.6
74%
44%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
10Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow3450
38%
1.5
6250+12
3.3
82%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
6251.81.5
-
11Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów3448
41%
1.4
5360-7
3.3
85%
74%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.8
-
12Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków3442
35%
1.2
3444-10
2.3
65%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
13Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów3442
32%
1.2
3549-14
2.5
74%
47%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.4
-
14NiecieczaNieciecza3441
29%
1.2
5652+4
3.2
82%
68%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2211.61.5
-
15Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa3435
24%
1.0
4150-9
2.7
76%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.21.5
-
16Resovia RzeszówResovia Rzeszów3434
26%
1.0
3960-21
2.9
85%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
17PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie3423
12%
0.7
2659-33
2.5
76%
53%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
18Zaglebie SosnowiecZaglebie Sosnowiec3416
6%
0.5
2155-34
2.2
62%
32%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
Poland: I Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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