This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gyori ETO FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.10
1.47
1.20
1.93
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.57
1.43
1.43
1.57
1.71
1.29
vs Weaker (15)
1.87
0.80
1.57
0.86
2.12
0.75
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.9%
No
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
0-1
6.6%
2-2 ✓
5.8%
MTK Budapest goals ↓
Gyori ETO FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
6.6%
5.1%
2.2%
0.7%
1
7.9%
13%
7.7%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.9%
8.9%
5.8%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.5%
4.5%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.3%
1.7%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MTK Budapest goals (down), columns = Gyori ETO FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.09
Puskas Academy
2.00
Paks
1.73
Gyori ETO FC
1.61
MTK Budapest
1.39
Diosgyori VTK
1.33
Ujpest
1.24
Nyiregyhaza
1.09
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.03
Debreceni VSC
1.03
Fehérvár FC
0.94
Kecskeméti TE
0.76
MTK Budapest is 0.21 points worse than Gyori ETO FC in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
1.97
Ferencvarosi TC
1.94
Puskas Academy
1.76
MTK Budapest
1.61
Debreceni VSC
1.58
Gyori ETO FC
1.48
Diosgyori VTK
1.30
Ujpest
1.15
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.06
Fehérvár FC
1.03
Kecskeméti TE
0.94
Nyiregyhaza
0.94
MTK Budapest is 0.12 goals better than Gyori ETO FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.48).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
0.94
Gyori ETO FC
1.12
Puskas Academy
1.15
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.27
Ujpest
1.33
Paks
1.42
MTK Budapest
1.42
Diosgyori VTK
1.55
Fehérvár FC
1.58
Nyiregyhaza
1.58
Kecskeméti TE
1.61
Debreceni VSC
1.79
MTK Budapest is 0.30 goals worse than Gyori ETO FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
62%
MTK Budapest
55%
Ujpest
51%
Puskas Academy
50%
Debreceni VSC
50%
Paks
48%
Kecskeméti TE
47%
Diosgyori VTK
47%
Fehérvár FC
46%
Zalaegerszegi TE
44%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
MTK Budapest
For 3.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gyori ETO FC
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
MTK Budapest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.6
9.9
2.8
2.3
3.2
22.7
23.8
21.6
vs Stronger (4)
10.0
10.0
10.0
2.5
2.7
2.0
23.7
24.5
22.0
vs Similar (41)
9.1
8.1
9.8
3.0
2.4
3.4
22.3
24.3
20.6
vs Weaker (5)
11.5
10.0
13.0
1.6
1.0
2.0
26.0
18.0
34.0
% over line
47%
33%
60%
34%
26%
41%
56%
69%
43%
% under line
53%
67%
40%
66%
74%
59%
44%
31%
57%
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gyori ETO FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (32)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paks
11.4
Debreceni VSC
10.2
Diosgyori VTK
10.1
Zalaegerszegi TE
9.9
Fehérvár FC
9.8
Ferencvarosi TC
9.5
Kecskeméti TE
9.4
MTK Budapest
9.3
Ujpest
9.3
Puskas Academy
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Puskas Academy
5.0
Paks
4.9
Fehérvár FC
4.8
Kecskeméti TE
4.7
Debreceni VSC
4.7
Ferencvarosi TC
4.5
Diosgyori VTK
4.3
Ujpest
4.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
4.1
MTK Budapest
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Paks
27.9
Puskas Academy
27.8
Debreceni VSC
26.7
Kecskeméti TE
26.2
Ferencvarosi TC
25.4
Ujpest
24.9
Diosgyori VTK
24.8
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.1
MTK Budapest
22.7
Fehérvár FC
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.9%
Under 9.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.1%
Under 3.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.5%
Under 21.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
MTK Budapest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.90
1.00
1.00
0.81
0.81
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.88
1.00
0.82
0.62
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gyori ETO FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.79
1.29
0.86
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (15)
0.87
0.47
0.71
0.57
1.00
0.38
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
MTK Budapest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.79
0.43
0.56
0.88
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.58
0.82
0.45
0.69
0.69
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gyori ETO FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
0.47
0.53
1.27
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.64
0.14
0.71
1.43
0.57
vs Weaker (15)
1.00
0.33
0.86
0.29
1.12
0.38
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
MTK Budapest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marin Jurina40%
Zsombor Gruber25%
Rajmund Molnár23%
Benedek Varju18%
Róbert Polievka17%
Viktor Hei12%
Márk Kosznovszky10%
István Bognár9%
Ilia Beriashvili8%
Krisztián Németh6%
Bence Végh5%
Tamás Kádár5%
Patrik Kovács5%
Artúr Horváth5%
Nemanja Antonov0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Zsombor Nagy0%
Dávid Bobál0%
Mihály Kata0%
Zoltán Stieber0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Ádin Molnár0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dávid Bobál40%
Mihály Kata33%
Márk Kosznovszky30%
Tamás Kádár29%
Zsombor Nagy25%
Patrik Kovács24%
Benedek Varju24%
Rajmund Molnár23%
Nemanja Antonov20%
Viktor Hei18%
Marin Jurina12%
Krisztián Németh12%
Ádin Molnár10%
István Bognár9%
Ilia Beriashvili8%
Zoltán Stieber7%
Bence Végh5%
Artúr Horváth5%
Patrik Demjén0%
Róbert Polievka0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
István Bognár23%
Artúr Horváth18%
Viktor Hei18%
Rajmund Molnár14%
Zoltán Stieber13%
Zsombor Gruber12%
Nemanja Antonov10%
Márk Kosznovszky10%
Ádin Molnár10%
Tamás Kádár10%
Patrik Kovács5%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Zsombor Nagy0%
Dávid Bobál0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Krisztián Németh0%
Marin Jurina0%
Róbert Polievka0%
Bence Végh0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rajmund Molnár32%
Marin Jurina28%
István Bognár18%
Zsombor Gruber12%
Róbert Polievka11%
Krisztián Németh6%
Tamás Kádár0%
Nemanja Antonov0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Zsombor Nagy0%
Dávid Bobál0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Zoltán Stieber0%
Viktor Hei0%
Márk Kosznovszky0%
Artúr Horváth0%
Bence Végh0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Ádin Molnár0%
Gyori ETO FC · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Željko Gavrić50%
Viktor Đukanović20%
Norbert Urblík20%
Marcell Huszár20%
Nfansu Njie20%
Samuel Petráš0%
Claudiu Bumba0%
Daniel Štefulj0%
Miljan Krpić0%
Ádám Umathum0%
Ádám Décsy0%
Márton Szép0%
Bálint Selyem0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miljan Krpić40%
Norbert Urblík40%
Márton Szép40%
Claudiu Bumba20%
Viktor Đukanović20%
Samuel Petráš0%
Daniel Štefulj0%
Željko Gavrić0%
Marcell Huszár0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Ádám Umathum0%
Ádám Décsy0%
Bálint Selyem0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Štefulj40%
Željko Gavrić25%
Samuel Petráš0%
Claudiu Bumba0%
Viktor Đukanović0%
Miljan Krpić0%
Norbert Urblík0%
Marcell Huszár0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Ádám Umathum0%
Ádám Décsy0%
Márton Szép0%
Bálint Selyem0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Željko Gavrić25%
Viktor Đukanović20%
Nfansu Njie20%
Samuel Petráš0%
Claudiu Bumba0%
Daniel Štefulj0%
Miljan Krpić0%
Norbert Urblík0%
Marcell Huszár0%
Ádám Umathum0%
Ádám Décsy0%
Márton Szép0%
Bálint Selyem0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
ZT (23)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
MTK Budapest's squad is €5m less valuable than Gyori ETO FC's (€11m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
MTK Budapest's attack is €5m less valuable than Gyori ETO FC's (€2m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
KT (2)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
MTK Budapest and Gyori ETO FC have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
ZT (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MTK Budapest and Gyori ETO FC have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Hungary: NB I 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →