MTK Budapest are poised to lift a home win, with a 54% chance versus 24% for a draw and 23% for a Kisvarda FC victory. The model projects an average of 3.2 goals, centring on a 3-goal total that carries a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.8% chance. MTK’s home form shows 1.92 goals scored and 1.42 conceded against similar opposition, while Kisvarda FC, on the road, averages 1.18 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. The model’s selections include an Away under 2.5 HT goals pick at 98.5% with a 4% edge, an Under 7.5 at 98.2%, an Away under 3.5 goals at 96.3% with a 6% edge, an Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.0% with a 4% edge, an Under 6.5 at 95.4% with a 5% edge, a Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.7% with a 2% edge, a Home under 2.5 2H goals at 92.2% with a 3% edge, and an Away under 1.5 HT goals at 90.9% with a 5% edge. Both sides have recently drawn their last matches, hinting at a tightly contested fixture.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
MTK Budapest win
53.9%
Avg Implied 46.3% · @ 1.98
Edge
+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
2.02
Dafabet
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Draw
23.6%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.54
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.70
Pinnacle
3.65
Betano
3.65
10Bet
3.60
Unibet
3.60
Kisvarda FC win
22.5%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.28
Edge
-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.55
1xBet
3.36
Betano
3.35
Superbet
3.35
Dafabet
3.35
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
MTK Budapest
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.90
2.00
1.60
1.33
2.20
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
3.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (25)
1.68
1.84
1.92
1.42
1.46
2.23
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.33
3.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.47
1.24
1.18
1.00
1.85
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.43
1.00
1.20
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.26
1.48
1.33
1.17
1.18
1.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.2%
@ 1.18+5.0%
Under 1.5
15.8%
@ 4.48-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.19
Unibet
1.18
Under
Bet365
5.00
Pinnacle
4.55
Superbet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.5%
@ 1.59+3.9%
Under 2.5
37.5%
@ 2.26-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Betfair
1.60
Betano
1.60
Under
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Pinnacle
2.28
Superbet
2.25
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.3%
@ 2.48+2.8%
Under 3.5
59.7%
@ 1.49-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Unibet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Both teams to score
Yes
62.2%
@ 1.53+1.8%
No
37.8%
@ 2.33-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Superbet
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Bet365
1.53
No
William Hil
2.40
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.37
Superbet
2.35
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%@ 6.63+4.2%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.60+4.0%
2-0
7.9%@ 10.12+3.6%
1-0
6.9%@ 8.70+1.9%
3-1
6.4%@ 12.42+2.9%
1-2
6.0%@ 10.29+1.8%
2-2
6.0%@ 10.51+1.9%
3-0
5.2%@ 16.03+2.5%
MTK Budapest goals ↓
Kisvarda FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
3.9%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
1
6.9%
11%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
2
7.9%
9.7%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
3
5.2%
6.4%
4.0%
1.6%
0.5%
4
2.6%
3.2%
2.0%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MTK Budapest goals (down), columns = Kisvarda FC goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.00
Puskas Academy
2.00
Ujpest
1.67
Gyori ETO FC
1.50
MTK Budapest
1.50
Paks
1.33
Vasas
1.33
Budapest Honved
1.20
Nyiregyhaza
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.50
MTK Budapest is 0.50 points better than Kisvarda FC in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
2.17
Ujpest
2.17
MTK Budapest
2.17
Gyori ETO FC
1.83
Vasas
1.67
Puskas Academy
1.67
Ferencvarosi TC
1.60
Budapest Honved
1.60
Kisvarda FC
1.17
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Nyiregyhaza
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.83
MTK Budapest is 1.00 goals better than Kisvarda FC in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.17
Vasas
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.33
Puskas Academy
1.33
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.60
Ujpest
1.67
MTK Budapest
1.67
Nyiregyhaza
1.67
Paks
2.17
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50
MTK Budapest is 0.33 goals worse than Kisvarda FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
58%
Debreceni VSC
55%
Gyori ETO FC
53%
Budapest Honved
52%
Ujpest
51%
Nyiregyhaza
51%
Paks
50%
MTK Budapest
50%
Zalaegerszegi TE
49%
Puskas Academy
45%
Vasas
43%
Kisvarda FC
42%
MTK Budapest is 8.0 percentage points better than Kisvarda FC in terms of average possession (50% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
MTK Budapest
For 3.7 · Against 6.8 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 13.8 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kisvarda FC
For 4.8 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 11.5 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
MTK Budapest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
9.2
11.8
3.0
2.9
3.0
24.7
24.6
24.8
vs Stronger (5)
11.5
10.7
14.0
2.6
4.0
0.5
25.5
25.0
27.0
vs Similar (41)
10.3
8.9
11.6
3.3
3.0
3.5
24.6
24.5
24.7
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
44%
76%
46%
42%
50%
71%
72%
71%
% under line
40%
56%
24%
54%
58%
50%
29%
28%
29%
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.4
9.0
2.5
2.8
2.2
24.5
23.8
25.4
vs Stronger (7)
11.0
11.5
10.0
3.7
3.6
4.0
26.2
25.8
27.0
vs Similar (42)
9.6
10.1
8.8
2.4
2.7
2.0
24.1
23.3
25.1
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
67%
54%
32%
33%
30%
65%
61%
69%
% under line
39%
33%
46%
68%
67%
70%
35%
39%
31%
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Nyiregyhaza
11.0
Paks
10.4
Gyori ETO FC
10.0
Debreceni VSC
9.9
Ujpest
9.9
Kisvarda FC
9.9
MTK Budapest
9.8
Puskas Academy
9.7
Ferencvarosi TC
9.7
Budapest Honved
9.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
8.9
Vasas
4.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nyiregyhaza
6.0
Paks
5.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.1
Debreceni VSC
5.1
Ujpest
5.0
Puskas Academy
4.8
Gyori ETO FC
4.8
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
MTK Budapest
4.4
Budapest Honved
4.1
Kisvarda FC
4.1
Vasas
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Nyiregyhaza
32.0
Paks
28.6
Ferencvarosi TC
27.9
Debreceni VSC
27.8
Puskas Academy
27.7
Ujpest
26.2
Gyori ETO FC
24.9
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.8
MTK Budapest
24.6
Kisvarda FC
24.1
Vasas
23.0
Budapest Honved
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.5%
@ 1.68-11.6%
Under 9.5
56.5%
@ 2.05+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Unibet
1.61
Under
Unibet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.3%
Under 3.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.9%
Under 21.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
MTK Budapest or Draw
77.5%
Avg Implied 72.4% · @ 1.28
Edge
+5.1%
54%
24%
23%
covers MTK Budapest + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
MTK Budapest or Kisvarda FC
76.4%
Avg Implied 74.9% · @ 1.24
Edge
+1.5%
54%
24%
23%
covers MTK Budapest + Kisvarda FC
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Draw or Kisvarda FC
46.1%
Avg Implied 52.7% · @ 1.75
Edge
-6.6%
54%
24%
23%
covers Draw + Kisvarda FC
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.82
SBO
1.80
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.75
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5
Over
86.3%
@ 1.14+5.2%
Under
13.7%
@ 4.91-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.00
Superbet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.75
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5
Over
59.1%
@ 1.77+6.8%
Under
40.9%
@ 1.94-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Under
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5
Over
32.0%
@ 3.39+4.8%
Under
68.0%
@ 1.27-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.67
10Bet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Unibet
3.35
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
MTK Budapest over/under 3.5
Over
14.1%
@ 7.05+0.8%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.07-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.00
Betano
6.60
1xBet
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5
Over
71.0%
@ 1.29-0.9%
Under
29.0%
@ 3.29+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Betano
3.30
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5
Over
35.1%
@ 2.42-3.2%
Under
64.9%
@ 1.50+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.43
1xBet
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Under
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5
Over
12.9%
@ 5.56-3.8%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.11+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.85
1xBet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Kisvarda FC over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
@ 13.25-3.5%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.02+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to MTK Budapest, so a minus line means MTK Budapest give that many goals of a start and Kisvarda FC receive them. At -1, MTK Budapest must win by two or more to land; a one-goal MTK Budapest win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (MTK Budapest)
MTK Budapest -2
15.7%
@ 6.69+2.3%
Draw -2
16.6%
@ 5.47+0.3%
Kisvarda FC +2
67.7%
@ 1.27-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.10
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Unibet
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Draw
Marathonbet
6.00
Superbet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Away
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.23
Handicap -1 (MTK Budapest)
MTK Budapest -1
32.3%
@ 3.40+6.1%
Draw -1
21.6%
@ 3.87-1.5%
Kisvarda FC +1
46.1%
@ 1.76-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.96
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.75
Away
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.79
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Betfair
1.73
Handicap +1 (MTK Budapest)
MTK Budapest +1
77.5%
@ 1.28+7.9%
Draw +1
13.0%
@ 5.18-4.2%
Kisvarda FC -1
9.5%
@ 6.76-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Superbet
5.15
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Away
Marathonbet
7.10
Unibet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.20
Handicap +2 (MTK Budapest)
MTK Budapest +2
90.5%
@ 1.09+6.4%
Draw +2
6.4%
@ 9.25-3.5%
Kisvarda FC -2
3.0%
@ 15.50-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
8.50
Away
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
MTK Budapest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.67
0.93
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.80
0.58
0.83
0.69
0.77
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.83
0.47
0.71
0.38
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.29
0.40
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.70
0.50
0.58
0.45
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.5%
@ 1.27+0.1%
Under 0.5
27.5%
@ 3.34-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Under
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
William Hil
3.40
Superbet
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.6%
@ 2.33-3.1%
Under 1.5
63.4%
@ 1.54+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.40
Betano
2.40
Betfair
2.38
Unibet
2.33
Marathonbet
2.33
Under
Superbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
William Hil
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.2%
@ 5.29-2.3%
Under 2.5
84.8%
@ 1.12+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.45
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 HT
Over
57.0%
@ 1.72+3.1%
Under
43.0%
@ 2.01-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.06
Superbet
2.02
Betano
2.00
Unibet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.9%
@ 4.54-2.4%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.16+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
Betano
4.50
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Superbet
4.35
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.5%
@ 12.00-3.3%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.02+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.1%
@ 2.11-8.9%
Under
64.9%
@ 1.65+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.14
Betano
2.12
Marathonbet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.3%
@ 6.60-4.7%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.07+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
10Bet
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
@ 20.00-3.4%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
MTK Budapest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.07
1.33
0.67
0.73
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.04
1.04
1.33
0.58
0.77
1.46
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.76
0.47
0.62
0.85
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.14
0.60
0.20
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.78
0.83
0.58
0.73
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
83.5%
@ 1.15+3.1%
Under 0.5
16.5%
@ 4.73-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.80
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.4%
@ 1.80-2.2%
Under 1.5
50.6%
@ 1.92+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.84
William Hil
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Under
Betano
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.4%
@ 3.43-5.5%
Under 2.5
78.6%
@ 1.26+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.45
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Under
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 2H
Over
64.6%
@ 1.49+2.3%
Under
35.4%
@ 2.46-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.55
10Bet
2.45
1xBet
2.42
Superbet
2.42
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 2H
Over
27.0%
@ 3.30-1.0%
Under
73.0%
@ 1.28+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
10Bet
3.30
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.1%
@ 8.43-3.9%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.04+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.20
Superbet
8.60
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.2%
@ 1.76-7.4%
Under
54.8%
@ 1.95+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.91
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.2%
@ 4.76-6.2%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.15+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
@ 12.33-4.8%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
Under 7.5
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.8%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+3.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+3.3%
Under 6.5
95.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+1.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.9%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+3.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
+4.7%
Home +2 handicap
90.5%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
Superbet
1.09
-
-
-
+6.4%
Under 5.5
89.2%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
+0.8%
Over 19.5 fouls
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.1%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
+3.8%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.8%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
+6.2%
Home over 0.5 goals
86.3%
1.14
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.12
+5.2%
Home under 3.5 goals
85.9%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
-0.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.8%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
+2.3%
Over 1.5
84.2%
1.18
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.19
Unibet
1.18
+5.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.5%
1.15
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
+3.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.1%
1.16
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
+2.4%
Over 2.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
78.7%
1.39
Unibet
1.46
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.34
-
-
+13.0%
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.6%
1.26
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.23
+5.5%
Under 4.5
77.6%
1.17
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.14
-1.1%
Home or Draw
77.5%
1.28
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+5.1%
Home +1 handicap
77.5%
1.28
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
+7.9%
Over 21.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.4%
1.24
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
+1.5%
Under 5.5 cards
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
73.0%
1.28
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
+1.0%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.5%
1.27
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
+0.1%
Away over 0.5 goals
71.0%
1.29
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
-0.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
MTK Budapest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gábor Jurek75%
Zalán Kerezsi75%
István Bognár33%
Milán Klausz33%
Stipe Radić0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
György Komáromi0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Vilius Armalas0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Krisztián László0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stipe Radić33%
Krisztián László33%
György Komáromi25%
Gábor Jurek25%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Benedek Varju0%
István Bognár0%
Mihály Kata0%
Vilius Armalas0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Zalán Kerezsi0%
Milán Klausz0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
István Bognár67%
Zalán Kerezsi50%
György Komáromi25%
Gábor Jurek25%
Stipe Radić0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Vilius Armalas0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Milán Klausz0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Krisztián László0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gábor Jurek50%
Milán Klausz33%
Zalán Kerezsi25%
Stipe Radić0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
György Komáromi0%
Benedek Varju0%
István Bognár0%
Mihály Kata0%
Vilius Armalas0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Krisztián László0%
Kisvarda FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christián Herc60%
Ákos Ésik25%
Marko Matanović20%
Jasmin Mešanović0%
Tonislav Yordanov0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Anatoliy Nuriev0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Levente Szőr0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Gennadiy Szikszai0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun50%
Dominik Soltész40%
Anatoliy Nuriev33%
Levente Szőr33%
Gennadiy Szikszai33%
Marko Matanović20%
Bogdan Melnyk20%
Jasmin Mešanović0%
Tonislav Yordanov0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Christián Herc0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Ákos Ésik0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Soltész40%
Jasmin Mešanović25%
Marko Matanović20%
Tonislav Yordanov0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Christián Herc0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Anatoliy Nuriev0%
Levente Szőr0%
Ákos Ésik0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Gennadiy Szikszai0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tonislav Yordanov50%
Christián Herc20%
Bogdan Melnyk20%
Jasmin Mešanović0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Anatoliy Nuriev0%
Marko Matanović0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Levente Szőr0%
Ákos Ésik0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Gennadiy Szikszai0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
MTK Budapest's squad is €5m more valuable than Kisvarda FC's (€11m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
MTK Budapest and Kisvarda FC have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
MTK Budapest's midfield is €2m more valuable than Kisvarda FC's (€4m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
MTK Budapest's defence is €2m more valuable than Kisvarda FC's (€5m vs €2m).
Hungary: NB I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Puskas Academy
Ujpest
Ferencvarosi TC
Gyori ETO FC
Vasas
Paks
Nyiregyhaza
Budapest Honved
Debreceni VSC
Zalaegerszegi TE