MTK Budapest are the clear favorites, the model giving them a 71% chance of winning, a 19% chance of a draw and only a 10% chance for Mezokovesd-zsory to come away with a victory. The 71% home-win probability is driven by MTK’s strong home form and the opponent’s struggle on the road, where Mezokovesd-zsory averages 2.0 goals scored but concedes 1.67 against stronger teams. The expected total of 3.1 goals points to a lively match, yet the most likely total is 2 goals, with a 22% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for MTK, a 12.2% chance. The model’s picks reflect this dominance: Away under 3.5 goals (99.2%), Under 7.5 (98.6%), Home +2 handicap (97.0%), Under 6.5 (96.1%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.6%), Home over 0.5 goals (90.2%) and Home or Draw (90.0%). The only pick that missed was Under 5.5, at 90.6%. MTK’s home scoring and conceding figures against stronger opposition underline why the model leans so heavily toward a decisive home win.
Results analysis
The win extends MTK Budapest’s recent form, turning a draw into a decisive victory. The model’s favourite was a Home win, with a 71% probability, and it proved correct as MTK triumphed 5-1. The predicted 2-0 scoreline was not reached, but the outcome matched expectations. The model’s selections largely hit: Away under 3.5 goals (99.2%) came through, as did Under 7.5 (98.6%), Home +2 handicap (97.0%), Under 6.5 (96.1%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.6%), Home over 0.5 goals (90.2%) and Home or Draw (90.0%). Only Under 5.5 (90.6%) missed, reflecting the high-scoring affair. Overall, the model’s predictions were largely accurate.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
MTK Budapest win✓ Hit
71.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory win✗ Miss
10.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
MTK Budapest
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.60
2.47
1.67
1.60
1.53
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
2.33
1.50
2.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
2.15
1.46
2.62
1.62
1.69
1.31
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Mezokovesd-zsory) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mezokovesd-zsory
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.17
1.60
0.87
1.60
1.47
vs Stronger (5)
1.80
1.60
1.50
1.50
2.00
1.67
vs Similar (25)
1.56
1.08
1.62
0.77
1.50
1.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.9%
Under 2.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.5%
Under 3.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.4%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
MTK Budapest goals ↓
Mezokovesd-zsory goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
2.7%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
1
9.7%
8.9%
3.2%
0.8%
0.2%
2
12%
9.4%
3.7%
0.9%
0.2%
3
9.4%
7.3%
2.8%
0.7%
0.1%
4
5.5%
4.3%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MTK Budapest goals (down), columns = Mezokovesd-zsory goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Paks
2.67
ESMTK
2.50
Iváncsa
2.40
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.40
MTK Budapest
2.40
Karcag SE
2.40
Kaposvar
2.33
III. Kerületi TUE
2.33
Pécsi MFC
2.33
Budaörs
2.33
Pápai Perutz
2.33
Érdi VSE
2.33
Ferencvarosi TC
2.33
Gyori ETO FC
2.33
Nagykanizsai ULE
2.33
Gödöllő
2.25
Ujpest
2.25
Fehérvár FC
2.25
Sárvári
2.00
Zalaszentgrót
2.00
SC Sopron
2.00
Mezőörs
2.00
BKV Előre
2.00
Haladás VSE
2.00
DEAC
2.00
Kelen
2.00
Füzesabony
2.00
Hódmezővásárhely
2.00
Putnok VSE
2.00
Eger
2.00
Szolnoki MAV FC
2.00
FC Hatvan
2.00
Dorogi FC
2.00
Puskas Academy
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Soroksar
2.00
Tarpa
1.75
Tiszafuredi VSE
1.75
MTE 1904
1.75
Kisvarda FC
1.75
Tatabánya
1.50
Balatonfüredi
1.50
Móri SE
1.50
Cigand SE
1.50
Mátészalka
1.50
Monostorpályi
1.50
Majosi
1.50
Salgótarjáni BTC
1.50
Tiszaújváros
1.50
Koroncó
1.50
Újfehértó
1.50
Veszprém
1.50
KSE Csesztreg
1.50
Jászfényszarui
1.50
Nagyatádi
1.50
Martfűi LSE
1.50
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.50
Mezőmegyer
1.50
Dunaharaszti MTK
1.50
Karancslapujtő
1.50
Kecskeméti TE
1.50
BVSC
1.50
Szeged 2011
1.50
MVSC
1.50
Mohácsi TE
1.50
Tiszaföldvár
1.50
Jánoshalmi
1.50
Szekszárd
1.50
Monori Se
1.33
Gyirmot SE
1.33
Nyiregyhaza
1.25
Ajka
1.00
Vasas
1.00
Bonyhád Völgység
1.00
Kazincbarcikai
1.00
Körmendi
0.98
Lajoskomárom
0.98
Szepetnek
0.98
Bordány
0.98
TFSE Budapest
0.98
Ráckeve VAFC
0.98
Sárrétudvari
0.98
Ménfőcsanak
0.98
Dunaujvaros FC
0.98
Mohora
0.98
Kapuvari SE
0.98
Vecsés
0.98
Dombovari LK
0.98
Koppanymonostori SE
0.98
Főnix
0.98
Építők
0.98
Balatonlelle SE
0.98
Csepel
0.98
Bajai
0.98
Szarvaskend
0.98
Ózd Sajóvölgye
0.98
Sajóbábony Vegyész
0.98
Mezoberenyi LE
0.98
Moragyi SE
0.98
Villány
0.98
Cso-Ki Sport
0.98
Vásárosnamény
0.98
Hajdúszoboszlói SE
0.98
Paszto SK
0.98
Patak FC
0.98
Kiskőrös
0.98
Gyulaháza
0.98
Kiskunfelegyhaza
0.98
Ujperint SE
0.98
Solti FC
0.98
Tatai
0.98
Mezőfalva
0.98
Rákóczifalva
0.98
Marshall-Andornaktalya
0.98
Devecser
0.98
Dunakeszi VSE
0.98
Issimo
0.98
Dombóvári
0.98
Celldomolki VSE
0.98
Makó
0.98
Nyirmeggyes SK
0.98
Toponár
0.98
Hevesi LSC
0.98
Mezőkeresztes
0.98
Bőny
0.98
Csenger
0.98
Komlói Bányász SK
0.98
Mezőtúri
0.98
Martely SK
0.98
Airnergy FC
0.98
Soproni FAC
0.98
Jamina
0.98
Hodoscsepanyi SE
0.98
Balatonalmádi
0.67
Szentlőrinc SE
0.50
PTE-PEAC
0.50
Diosgyori VTK
0.50
Szajol
0.00
Sárbogárd
0.00
Nyergesújfalu
0.00
Király SZE
0.00
Bicskei
0.00
Tihany
0.00
Pénzügyőr
0.00
Sárisápi Bányász
0.00
Gyulai Termál
0.00
Siofok
0.00
Komárom
0.00
Gárdony
0.00
Teskánd
0.00
Sándorfalva
0.00
Sényő Carnifex
0.00
Pilisi LK
0.00
Unione
0.00
Gyöngyös
0.00
Zalalövő
0.00
REAC
0.00
Budafoki LC
0.00
Bekescsaba 1912
0.00
Szegedi VSE
0.00
Gyógyfürdő Harkányi
0.00
Úrkút
0.00
Nagybajomi AC
0.00
Dunaföldvár
0.00
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Csakvar
0.00
Dabas
0.00
Tállya
0.00
Hajdúsámsoni
0.00
OMTK-Ule
0.00
MTK Budapest is 0.40 points better than Mezokovesd-zsory in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Mezőörs
8.00
Tiszakecske FC
6.33
Tiszafuredi VSE
6.25
Szekszárd
6.00
Pécsi MFC
4.33
SC Sopron
4.20
Kaposvar
4.00
Tiszaújváros
4.00
Iváncsa
4.00
Gyori ETO FC
4.00
Majosi
3.50
Dunaharaszti MTK
3.50
Puskas Academy
3.33
MTE 1904
3.25
Karcag SE
3.20
Zalaszentgrót
3.00
Koroncó
3.00
Pápai Perutz
3.00
Szolnoki MAV FC
3.00
Budapest Honved
3.00
MVSC
3.00
Jánoshalmi
3.00
BKV Előre
2.67
FC Hatvan
2.67
Mátészalka
2.50
Monostorpályi
2.50
KSE Csesztreg
2.50
Jászfényszarui
2.50
Ferencvarosi TC
2.50
Ujpest
2.50
Ajka
2.50
Paks
2.50
Mezőmegyer
2.50
Soroksar
2.50
MTK Budapest
2.40
Haladás VSE
2.33
Budaörs
2.33
Putnok VSE
2.33
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.20
Tatabánya
2.00
Szentlőrinc SE
2.00
III. Kerületi TUE
2.00
Tihany
2.00
Teskánd
2.00
Hódmezővásárhely
2.00
Sándorfalva
2.00
Nagyatádi
2.00
Martfűi LSE
2.00
Dorogi FC
2.00
Debreceni VSC
2.00
Úrkút
2.00
Nagybajomi AC
2.00
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Fehérvár FC
2.00
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Tiszaföldvár
2.00
Tarpa
1.75
ESMTK
1.75
Gödöllő
1.75
Kisvarda FC
1.75
DEAC
1.67
Kelen
1.67
Eger
1.67
Érdi VSE
1.67
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Körmendi
1.57
Lajoskomárom
1.57
Szepetnek
1.57
Bordány
1.57
TFSE Budapest
1.57
Ráckeve VAFC
1.57
Sárrétudvari
1.57
Ménfőcsanak
1.57
Dunaujvaros FC
1.57
Mohora
1.57
Kapuvari SE
1.57
Vecsés
1.57
Dombovari LK
1.57
Koppanymonostori SE
1.57
Főnix
1.57
Építők
1.57
Balatonlelle SE
1.57
Csepel
1.57
Bajai
1.57
Szarvaskend
1.57
Ózd Sajóvölgye
1.57
Sajóbábony Vegyész
1.57
Mezoberenyi LE
1.57
Moragyi SE
1.57
Villány
1.57
Cso-Ki Sport
1.57
Vásárosnamény
1.57
Hajdúszoboszlói SE
1.57
Paszto SK
1.57
Patak FC
1.57
Kiskőrös
1.57
Gyulaháza
1.57
Kiskunfelegyhaza
1.57
Ujperint SE
1.57
Solti FC
1.57
Tatai
1.57
Mezőfalva
1.57
Rákóczifalva
1.57
Marshall-Andornaktalya
1.57
Devecser
1.57
Dunakeszi VSE
1.57
Issimo
1.57
Dombóvári
1.57
Celldomolki VSE
1.57
Makó
1.57
Nyirmeggyes SK
1.57
Toponár
1.57
Hevesi LSC
1.57
Mezőkeresztes
1.57
Bőny
1.57
Csenger
1.57
Komlói Bányász SK
1.57
Mezőtúri
1.57
Martely SK
1.57
Airnergy FC
1.57
Soproni FAC
1.57
Jamina
1.57
Hodoscsepanyi SE
1.57
Balatonfüredi
1.50
Móri SE
1.50
Cigand SE
1.50
Újfehértó
1.50
Diosgyori VTK
1.50
Karancslapujtő
1.50
Mohácsi TE
1.50
Füzesabony
1.33
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.33
Nyiregyhaza
1.25
Sárbogárd
1.00
Bicskei
1.00
Gyulai Termál
1.00
Veszprém
1.00
Monori Se
1.00
Pilisi LK
1.00
Unione
1.00
Vasas
1.00
Gyógyfürdő Harkányi
1.00
BVSC
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Hajdúsámsoni
1.00
OMTK-Ule
1.00
Sárvári
0.67
Salgótarjáni BTC
0.50
PTE-PEAC
0.50
Szajol
0.00
Nyergesújfalu
0.00
Király SZE
0.00
Pénzügyőr
0.00
Sárisápi Bányász
0.00
Siofok
0.00
Komárom
0.00
Gárdony
0.00
Sényő Carnifex
0.00
Balatonalmádi
0.00
Gyöngyös
0.00
Zalalövő
0.00
REAC
0.00
Budafoki LC
0.00
Bekescsaba 1912
0.00
Szegedi VSE
0.00
Bonyhád Völgység
0.00
Dunaföldvár
0.00
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Dabas
0.00
Tállya
0.00
MTK Budapest is 1.07 goals better than Mezokovesd-zsory in terms of goals scored per game (2.40 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zalaszentgrót
0.00
Bonyhád Völgység
0.00
Kisvarda FC
0.25
III. Kerületi TUE
0.33
Érdi VSE
0.33
Karcag SE
0.40
Balatonfüredi
0.50
Cigand SE
0.50
Salgótarjáni BTC
0.50
Debreceni VSC
0.50
Paks
0.50
Kecskeméti TE
0.50
BVSC
0.50
Soroksar
0.50
Dorogi FC
0.60
Sárvári
0.67
DEAC
0.67
Füzesabony
0.67
ESMTK
0.75
Ujpest
0.75
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.80
Kaposvar
1.00
Mátészalka
1.00
Mezőörs
1.00
Király SZE
1.00
Tiszafuredi VSE
1.00
Tiszaújváros
1.00
Pénzügyőr
1.00
Sárisápi Bányász
1.00
Veszprém
1.00
Komárom
1.00
Gárdony
1.00
Hódmezővásárhely
1.00
PTE-PEAC
1.00
Szolnoki MAV FC
1.00
Zalalövő
1.00
Iváncsa
1.00
MTK Budapest
1.00
Puskas Academy
1.00
Vasas
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.00
Tiszaföldvár
1.00
Szekszárd
1.00
Ferencvarosi TC
1.17
SC Sopron
1.20
Gödöllő
1.25
Fehérvár FC
1.25
Pécsi MFC
1.33
Pápai Perutz
1.33
Monori Se
1.33
Balatonalmádi
1.33
FC Hatvan
1.33
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.33
Gyirmot SE
1.33
Tatabánya
1.50
Tarpa
1.50
Nagyatádi
1.50
Martfűi LSE
1.50
Nyiregyhaza
1.50
Jánoshalmi
1.50
BKV Előre
1.67
Budaörs
1.67
Gyori ETO FC
1.67
Sárbogárd
2.00
Monostorpályi
2.00
Majosi
2.00
Gyulai Termál
2.00
Koroncó
2.00
Újfehértó
2.00
MTE 1904
2.00
KSE Csesztreg
2.00
Kelen
2.00
Jászfényszarui
2.00
Putnok VSE
2.00
Eger
2.00
Sényő Carnifex
2.00
Gyöngyös
2.00
REAC
2.00
Diosgyori VTK
2.00
Szegedi VSE
2.00
Dunaföldvár
2.00
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Szeged 2011
2.00
Dabas
2.00
MVSC
2.00
Hajdúsámsoni
2.00
Szentlőrinc SE
2.50
Móri SE
2.50
Ajka
2.50
Dunaharaszti MTK
2.50
Karancslapujtő
2.50
Mohácsi TE
2.50
Körmendi
2.75
Lajoskomárom
2.75
Szepetnek
2.75
Bordány
2.75
TFSE Budapest
2.75
Ráckeve VAFC
2.75
Sárrétudvari
2.75
Ménfőcsanak
2.75
Dunaujvaros FC
2.75
Mohora
2.75
Kapuvari SE
2.75
Vecsés
2.75
Dombovari LK
2.75
Koppanymonostori SE
2.75
Főnix
2.75
Építők
2.75
Balatonlelle SE
2.75
Csepel
2.75
Bajai
2.75
Szarvaskend
2.75
Ózd Sajóvölgye
2.75
Sajóbábony Vegyész
2.75
Mezoberenyi LE
2.75
Moragyi SE
2.75
Villány
2.75
Cso-Ki Sport
2.75
Vásárosnamény
2.75
Hajdúszoboszlói SE
2.75
Paszto SK
2.75
Patak FC
2.75
Kiskőrös
2.75
Gyulaháza
2.75
Kiskunfelegyhaza
2.75
Ujperint SE
2.75
Solti FC
2.75
Tatai
2.75
Mezőfalva
2.75
Rákóczifalva
2.75
Marshall-Andornaktalya
2.75
Devecser
2.75
Dunakeszi VSE
2.75
Issimo
2.75
Dombóvári
2.75
Celldomolki VSE
2.75
Makó
2.75
Nyirmeggyes SK
2.75
Toponár
2.75
Hevesi LSC
2.75
Mezőkeresztes
2.75
Bőny
2.75
Csenger
2.75
Komlói Bányász SK
2.75
Mezőtúri
2.75
Martely SK
2.75
Airnergy FC
2.75
Soproni FAC
2.75
Jamina
2.75
Hodoscsepanyi SE
2.75
Nyergesújfalu
3.00
Bicskei
3.00
Haladás VSE
3.00
Tihany
3.00
Siofok
3.00
Pilisi LK
3.00
Unione
3.00
Budapest Honved
3.00
Budafoki LC
3.00
Mezőmegyer
3.00
Nagybajomi AC
3.00
Csakvar
3.00
Tállya
3.00
Szajol
4.00
Sándorfalva
4.00
Bekescsaba 1912
4.00
Úrkút
4.00
Kozarmisleny FC
4.00
OMTK-Ule
4.00
Gyógyfürdő Harkányi
5.00
Teskánd
9.00
MTK Budapest is 0.33 goals better than Mezokovesd-zsory in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
MTK Budapest or Draw✓ Hit
90.0%
Avg Implied -
71%
19%
10%
covers MTK Budapest + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest or Mezokovesd-zsory✓ Hit
81.3%
Avg Implied -
71%
19%
10%
covers MTK Budapest + Mezokovesd-zsory
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Mezokovesd-zsory✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
71%
19%
10%
covers Draw + Mezokovesd-zsory
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.2%
Under
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
67.5%
Under
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
41.0%
Under
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
20.6%
Under
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
54.0%
Under
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
18.3%
Under
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to MTK Budapest, so a minus line means MTK Budapest give that many goals of a start and Mezokovesd-zsory receive them. At -1, MTK Budapest must win by two or more to land; a one-goal MTK Budapest win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (MTK Budapest)Actual: MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest -2
27.5%
Draw -2
21.3%
Mezokovesd-zsory +2
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (MTK Budapest)Actual: MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest -1
48.9%
Draw -1
22.4%
Mezokovesd-zsory +1
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (MTK Budapest)Actual: MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest +1
90.0%
Draw +1
6.9%
Mezokovesd-zsory -1
3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (MTK Budapest)Actual: MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest +2
97.0%
Draw +2
2.4%
Mezokovesd-zsory -2
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
MTK Budapest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.93
0.87
1.07
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.77
1.00
0.92
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Mezokovesd-zsory) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mezokovesd-zsory
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.43
1.00
0.33
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
0.80
1.00
0.50
1.33
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.36
1.00
0.31
0.33
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
MTK Budapest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.67
1.60
0.60
1.00
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
1.50
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.35
0.69
1.62
0.69
1.08
0.69
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Mezokovesd-zsory) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mezokovesd-zsory
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
0.60
0.53
1.07
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.72
0.62
0.46
1.17
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
MTK Budapest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rajmund Molnár50%
Gábor Jurek33%
Ádin Molnár29%
István Átrok27%
Zalán Kerezsi25%
Péter Törőcsik20%
István Bognár14%
Róbert Polievka13%
Adrian Zeljković10%
Hunor Németh10%
Benedek Varju7%
Krisztián Németh5%
Mihály Kata5%
Artúr Horváth5%
Tamás Kádár0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
János Szépe0%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Jakub Plšek0%
Marin Jurina0%
Krisztián Hegyi0%
Vilius Armalas0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Viktor Vitályos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mihály Kata35%
Patrik Kovács30%
Rajmund Molnár25%
Jakub Plšek21%
Krisztián Németh21%
Ilia Beriashvili18%
Benedek Varju14%
István Bognár14%
Hunor Németh14%
János Szépe13%
Vilius Armalas12%
Ádin Molnár12%
Marin Jurina11%
Adrian Zeljković10%
Zalán Kerezsi10%
Artúr Horváth10%
Tamás Kádár8%
Viktor Vitályos8%
István Átrok5%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Róbert Polievka0%
Péter Törőcsik0%
Krisztián Hegyi0%
Gábor Jurek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
István Bognár36%
Krisztián Németh16%
Patrik Kovács15%
Jakub Plšek14%
Róbert Polievka13%
Vilius Armalas12%
Ádin Molnár12%
Gábor Jurek11%
Marin Jurina11%
István Átrok9%
Benedek Varju7%
Artúr Horváth5%
Hunor Németh5%
Tamás Kádár0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
János Szépe0%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Mihály Kata0%
Péter Törőcsik0%
Krisztián Hegyi0%
Rajmund Molnár0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Zalán Kerezsi0%
Viktor Vitályos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rajmund Molnár75%
Marin Jurina21%
Ádin Molnár21%
Zalán Kerezsi15%
István Bognár14%
Vilius Armalas12%
István Átrok9%
Róbert Polievka7%
Hunor Németh5%
Tamás Kádár0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
János Szépe0%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Krisztián Németh0%
Jakub Plšek0%
Péter Törőcsik0%
Krisztián Hegyi0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Artúr Horváth0%
Gábor Jurek0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Viktor Vitályos0%
Mezokovesd-zsory · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
József Szalai20%
Aleksandr Karnitskiy17%
Stefan Dražić14%
Benjámin Cseke11%
Lukács Bőle9%
Ilia Beriashvili6%
Kevin Kállai6%
Gábor Molnár5%
Ádám Kovácsik0%
Jairo Samperio0%
Roland Ugrai0%
Donát Szivacski0%
Gergő Nagy0%
Róbert Pillár0%
Tamás Cseri0%
Sándor Vajda0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
David Babunski0%
Andrej Lukić0%
Marko Brtan0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Christian Gomis0%
Zsolt Kojnok0%
Szabolcs Szilágyi0%
Máté Szolgai0%
Erik Kocs-Washburn0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kevin Kállai38%
Christian Gomis38%
Zsolt Kojnok36%
Andrej Lukić30%
Máté Szolgai23%
Benjámin Cseke22%
Sándor Vajda20%
Ilia Beriashvili19%
Gábor Molnár11%
Lukács Bőle9%
Marko Brtan8%
József Szalai7%
Tamás Cseri5%
Ádám Kovácsik0%
Jairo Samperio0%
Roland Ugrai0%
Donát Szivacski0%
Gergő Nagy0%
Róbert Pillár0%
Stefan Dražić0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
David Babunski0%
Aleksandr Karnitskiy0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Szabolcs Szilágyi0%
Erik Kocs-Washburn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukács Bőle18%
Stefan Dražić14%
Zsolt Kojnok9%
Máté Szolgai8%
Róbert Pillár6%
Gábor Molnár5%
Ádám Kovácsik0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Jairo Samperio0%
Roland Ugrai0%
Donát Szivacski0%
Gergő Nagy0%
Tamás Cseri0%
Sándor Vajda0%
Benjámin Cseke0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
David Babunski0%
Andrej Lukić0%
Aleksandr Karnitskiy0%
Marko Brtan0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Christian Gomis0%
József Szalai0%
Szabolcs Szilágyi0%
Erik Kocs-Washburn0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
József Szalai20%
Stefan Dražić19%
Gábor Molnár16%
David Babunski9%
Tamás Cseri5%
Ádám Kovácsik0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Jairo Samperio0%
Roland Ugrai0%
Donát Szivacski0%
Lukács Bőle0%
Gergő Nagy0%
Róbert Pillár0%
Sándor Vajda0%
Benjámin Cseke0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
Andrej Lukić0%
Aleksandr Karnitskiy0%
Marko Brtan0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Christian Gomis0%
Zsolt Kojnok0%
Szabolcs Szilágyi0%
Máté Szolgai0%
Erik Kocs-Washburn0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
MTK Budapest's squad is €9m more valuable than Mezokovesd-zsory's (€11m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
MTK Budapest's attack is €1m more valuable than Mezokovesd-zsory's (€2m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
MTK Budapest's midfield is €4m more valuable than Mezokovesd-zsory's (€4m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
MTK Budapest's defence is €4m more valuable than Mezokovesd-zsory's (€5m vs €1m).
Hungary: NB I 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
Hungary: NB II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →