MTK Budapest hosts Nyiregyhaza in a high-scoring matchup, with an expected total of 3.5 goals. The home side has been struggling lately, coming off a defeat to Puskas Academy, but they still hold a slight advantage in this encounter. The predicted outcome is a home win with a 59% probability, followed by a draw at 22% and an away win at 20%.
The most likely score is a 2-1 victory for MTK Budapest, with a 9.5% probability. At home, MTK Budapest averages 2.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against similar opponents, while Nyiregyhaza averages 1.18 goals scored and 1.91 conceded away from home.
The model's selection for the match is a home win, and the suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 87.3% and Over 21.5 fouls at 80.1%. MTK Budapest has a 59% chance of winning at home, a 22% chance of drawing, and a 20% chance of losing to Nyiregyhaza.
Results analysis
MTK Budapest’s victory over Nyiregyhaza extended their recent win streak, finishing the match 2-1 as the model’s predicted home win. The model had assigned a 58 % probability to a home win, and its call proved correct. The most likely scoreline was 2-1, matching the final result. The model’s selections performed strongly: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2 %, Under 7.5 hit at 97.3 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.0 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.0 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.3 %, Under 6.5 hit at 93.4 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 93.4 %, and Home +2 handicap hit at 91.6 %. All eight picks settled in favour of the model’s predictions.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
MTK Budapest win✓ Hit
58.5%
Avg Implied 40.8% · @ 2.25
Edge
+17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.31
888Sport
2.30
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Dafabet
2.28
Draw✗ Miss
21.5%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.43
Edge
-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.70
Pinnacle
3.59
Dafabet
3.55
Betano
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Nyiregyhaza win✗ Miss
20.0%
Avg Implied 32.5% · @ 2.83
Edge
-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.96
Dafabet
2.90
Betano
2.90
William Hil
2.90
Bet365
2.88
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
MTK Budapest
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.87
2.20
1.60
1.27
2.13
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
3.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (25)
1.76
1.80
2.17
1.42
1.38
2.15
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.33
3.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nyiregyhaza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.63
1.67
1.40
1.20
1.87
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.39
1.61
1.71
1.29
1.07
1.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.4%
@ 1.19+9.2%
Under 1.5
12.6%
@ 4.24-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
888Sport
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Under
Pinnacle
4.64
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.1%
@ 1.64+11.2%
Under 2.5
31.9%
@ 2.16-11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.67
888Sport
1.67
Unibet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.5%
@ 2.57+10.5%
Under 3.5
53.5%
@ 1.45-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.65
888Sport
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.60
Unibet
2.60
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
888Sport
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.1%
@ 1.53+4.6%
No
34.9%
@ 2.33-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
888Sport
1.53
Unibet
1.53
No
William Hil
2.40
888Sport
2.40
Betfair
2.40
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.34
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1 ✓
9.5%@ 8.21+4.2%
1-1
9.4%@ 6.29+2.4%
2-0
7.5%@ 11.58+3.8%
3-1
7.1%@ 14.58+4.1%
2-2
6.0%@ 10.43+1.9%
1-0
5.9%@ 8.97+1.0%
3-0
5.6%@ 20.40+3.5%
1-2
5.4%@ 9.11+0.6%
MTK Budapest goals ↓
Nyiregyhaza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.8%
2.9%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
1
5.9%
9.4%
5.4%
2.3%
0.7%
2
7.5%
9.5%
6.0%
2.6%
0.8%
3
5.6%
7.1%
4.5%
1.9%
0.6%
4
3.1%
4.0%
2.5%
1.1%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MTK Budapest goals (down), columns = Nyiregyhaza goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.00
Puskas Academy
2.00
Ujpest
1.67
Gyori ETO FC
1.50
MTK Budapest
1.50
Paks
1.33
Vasas
1.33
Budapest Honved
1.20
Nyiregyhaza
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.50
MTK Budapest is 0.33 points better than Nyiregyhaza in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
2.17
Ujpest
2.17
MTK Budapest
2.17
Gyori ETO FC
1.83
Vasas
1.67
Puskas Academy
1.67
Ferencvarosi TC
1.60
Budapest Honved
1.60
Kisvarda FC
1.17
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Nyiregyhaza
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.83
MTK Budapest is 1.17 goals better than Nyiregyhaza in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.17
Vasas
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.33
Puskas Academy
1.33
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.60
Ujpest
1.67
MTK Budapest
1.67
Nyiregyhaza
1.67
Paks
2.17
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50
MTK Budapest and Nyiregyhaza are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
58%
Debreceni VSC
55%
Gyori ETO FC
53%
Budapest Honved
52%
Ujpest
51%
Nyiregyhaza
51%
Paks
50%
MTK Budapest
50%
Zalaegerszegi TE
49%
Puskas Academy
45%
Vasas
43%
Kisvarda FC
42%
MTK Budapest is 1.0 percentage points worse than Nyiregyhaza in terms of average possession (50% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
MTK Budapest
For 4.5 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 13.4 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nyiregyhaza
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
MTK Budapest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.2
11.1
2.9
2.9
2.9
24.9
24.6
25.2
vs Stronger (5)
11.5
10.7
14.0
2.6
4.0
0.5
25.5
25.0
27.0
vs Similar (41)
10.0
8.9
10.9
3.2
3.0
3.4
24.8
24.5
25.1
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
57%
44%
71%
44%
42%
46%
74%
72%
76%
% under line
43%
56%
29%
56%
58%
54%
26%
28%
24%
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nyiregyhaza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paks
10.3
Ujpest
10.0
Puskas Academy
9.8
Gyori ETO FC
9.8
Debreceni VSC
9.7
Kisvarda FC
9.6
MTK Budapest
9.6
Budapest Honved
9.4
Ferencvarosi TC
9.4
Zalaegerszegi TE
9.0
Vasas
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Paks
5.1
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.1
Debreceni VSC
5.1
Vasas
5.0
Ujpest
5.0
Puskas Academy
4.8
Gyori ETO FC
4.7
Ferencvarosi TC
4.6
MTK Budapest
4.3
Budapest Honved
4.3
Kisvarda FC
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Paks
28.5
Debreceni VSC
28.0
Puskas Academy
27.5
Ferencvarosi TC
27.5
Ujpest
26.2
MTK Budapest
24.8
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.8
Gyori ETO FC
24.3
Kisvarda FC
24.0
Budapest Honved
23.3
Vasas
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.7%
@ 1.93-3.4%
Under 9.5
55.3%
@ 1.79+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.6%
Under 3.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.7%
Under 21.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
MTK Budapest or Draw✓ Hit
80.0%
Avg Implied 67.1% · @ 1.38
Edge
+12.9%
58%
22%
20%
covers MTK Budapest + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
888Sport
1.40
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
MTK Budapest or Nyiregyhaza✓ Hit
78.5%
Avg Implied 73.5% · @ 1.26
Edge
+5.0%
58%
22%
20%
covers MTK Budapest + Nyiregyhaza
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Draw or Nyiregyhaza✗ Miss
41.5%
Avg Implied 59.4% · @ 1.56
Edge
-17.9%
58%
22%
20%
covers Draw + Nyiregyhaza
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
89.4%
@ 1.19+11.6%
Under
10.6%
@ 4.15-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Under
1xBet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Pinnacle
4.08
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
65.5%
@ 1.97+18.3%
Under
34.5%
@ 1.77-18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.00
888Sport
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Betano
1.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Superbet
1.77
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
38.8%
@ 4.03+15.8%
Under
61.2%
@ 1.20-15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.20
888Sport
4.20
Pinnacle
4.02
1xBet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
888Sport
1.20
MTK Budapest over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
18.9%
@ 9.56+9.0%
Under
81.1%
@ 1.04-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
888Sport
11.00
1xBet
9.60
Superbet
8.50
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.9%
@ 1.25-2.4%
Under
28.1%
@ 3.60+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.77
Bet365
3.75
888Sport
3.60
1xBet
3.56
Marathonbet
3.56
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.2%
@ 2.25-5.0%
Under
63.8%
@ 1.58+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Bet365
2.25
888Sport
2.25
Betano
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Under
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.57
888Sport
1.57
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.6%
@ 5.06-4.8%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.13+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.15
Marathonbet
5.15
10Bet
5.00
888Sport
5.00
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Nyiregyhaza over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 12.38-3.7%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.03+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
888Sport
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to MTK Budapest, so a minus line means MTK Budapest give that many goals of a start and Nyiregyhaza receive them. At -1, MTK Budapest must win by two or more to land; a one-goal MTK Budapest win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (MTK Budapest)Actual: Nyiregyhaza
MTK Budapest -2
19.7%
@ 8.67+9.3%
Draw -2
17.7%
@ 6.47+3.8%
Nyiregyhaza +2
62.6%
@ 1.19-13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.90
Superbet
8.10
Draw
Marathonbet
6.80
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.10
Away
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap -1 (MTK Budapest)Actual: Draw
MTK Budapest -1
37.4%
@ 4.23+16.1%
Draw -1
21.1%
@ 4.12-0.7%
Nyiregyhaza +1
41.5%
@ 1.58-15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
Superbet
4.00
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Away
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.60
10Bet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.53
Handicap +1 (MTK Budapest)Actual: MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest +1
80.0%
@ 1.40+16.2%
Draw +1
11.6%
@ 4.55-8.0%
Nyiregyhaza -1
8.4%
@ 5.42-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.33
Draw
Marathonbet
4.80
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.65
10Bet
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Away
Marathonbet
5.80
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.30
Betfair
5.00
Handicap +2 (MTK Budapest)Actual: MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest +2
91.6%
@ 1.11+13.1%
Draw +2
5.7%
@ 6.77-7.2%
Nyiregyhaza -2
2.7%
@ 10.18-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.40
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.55
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
MTK Budapest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.73
0.93
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.83
0.54
0.77
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nyiregyhaza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.60
0.73
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.54
0.75
0.57
0.64
0.50
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.4%
@ 1.30+2.0%
Under 0.5
26.6%
@ 3.24-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.9%
@ 2.42-2.6%
Under 1.5
64.1%
@ 1.51+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.50
Pinnacle
2.43
Superbet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
William Hil
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.5%
@ 5.50-0.4%
Under 2.5
83.5%
@ 1.11+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.65
Betfair
5.50
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
54.7%
@ 1.83+4.2%
Under
45.3%
@ 1.87-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
10Bet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.97
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.8%
@ 5.22+0.1%
Under
82.2%
@ 1.12-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Betano
5.10
Superbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 14.00-2.0%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.01+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
35.5%
@ 2.01-10.6%
Under
64.5%
@ 1.72+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.02
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 6.23-5.7%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.09+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.70
Marathonbet
6.70
Superbet
6.00
Betano
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 17.67-3.6%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
MTK Budapest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.03
1.47
0.67
0.80
1.40
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.16
1.00
1.50
0.58
0.85
1.38
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nyiregyhaza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
1.07
0.67
0.60
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.86
0.86
1.14
0.64
0.57
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.8%
Under 0.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
54.3%
Under 1.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.7%
Under 2.5
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
63.1%
Under
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
26.2%
Under
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.8%
Under
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.5%
Under
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+13.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.8%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
89.4%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+11.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.4%
1.19
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
888Sport
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.4%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.14
10Bet
1.13
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
85.6%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
-3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.5%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.2%
1.12
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
81.1%
1.04
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-9.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
80.0%
1.38
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
888Sport
1.40
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
+12.9%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
80.0%
1.40
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.33
+16.2%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.5%
1.26
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.7%
1.27
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
-
+5.4%
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.4%
1.30
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
72.4%
1.17
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Superbet
1.17
-7.1%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.9%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
MTK Budapest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gábor Jurek75%
Zalán Kerezsi75%
István Bognár33%
Milán Klausz33%
Stipe Radić0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
György Komáromi0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Vilius Armalas0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Krisztián László0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stipe Radić33%
Krisztián László33%
György Komáromi25%
Gábor Jurek25%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Benedek Varju0%
István Bognár0%
Mihály Kata0%
Vilius Armalas0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Zalán Kerezsi0%
Milán Klausz0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
István Bognár67%
Zalán Kerezsi50%
György Komáromi25%
Gábor Jurek25%
Stipe Radić0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Vilius Armalas0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Milán Klausz0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Krisztián László0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gábor Jurek50%
Milán Klausz33%
Zalán Kerezsi25%
Stipe Radić0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
György Komáromi0%
Benedek Varju0%
István Bognár0%
Mihály Kata0%
Vilius Armalas0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Krisztián László0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
MTK Budapest's squad is €4m more valuable than Nyiregyhaza's (€11m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
MTK Budapest's attack is €1m less valuable than Nyiregyhaza's (€2m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
MTK Budapest's midfield is €3m more valuable than Nyiregyhaza's (€4m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
MTK Budapest's defence is €2m more valuable than Nyiregyhaza's (€5m vs €3m).
Hungary: NB I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Puskas Academy
Ujpest
Ferencvarosi TC
Gyori ETO FC
Vasas
Paks
Budapest Honved
Kisvarda FC
Debreceni VSC
Zalaegerszegi TE