This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Puskas Academy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.10
1.73
1.00
1.73
1.20
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.71
1.21
1.92
1.08
1.45
1.36
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
3.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.2%
Under 2.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.9%
Under 3.5
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
MTK Budapest goals ↓
Puskas Academy goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
8.7%
8.4%
4.7%
2.0%
1
5.5%
12%
9.6%
5.4%
2.3%
2
3.8%
6.5%
5.5%
3.1%
1.3%
3
1.5%
2.5%
2.1%
1.2%
0.5%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MTK Budapest goals (down), columns = Puskas Academy goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.24
Paks
1.76
Puskas Academy
1.67
Fehérvár FC
1.64
Debreceni VSC
1.45
Diosgyori VTK
1.36
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
MTK Budapest
1.33
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Ujpest
1.12
Kisvarda FC
0.94
Mezokovesd-zsory
0.64
MTK Budapest is 0.33 points worse than Puskas Academy in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.42
Puskas Academy
1.82
Fehérvár FC
1.67
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.64
Paks
1.55
Diosgyori VTK
1.52
Debreceni VSC
1.48
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
Ujpest
1.36
MTK Budapest
1.30
Kisvarda FC
1.21
Mezokovesd-zsory
0.94
MTK Budapest is 0.52 goals worse than Puskas Academy in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.82).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
0.91
Puskas Academy
1.06
Fehérvár FC
1.21
Paks
1.27
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
Debreceni VSC
1.45
Kisvarda FC
1.67
Diosgyori VTK
1.70
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.82
MTK Budapest
1.88
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.91
Ujpest
2.03
MTK Budapest is 0.82 goals worse than Puskas Academy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
65%
Debreceni VSC
57%
Puskas Academy
52%
Diosgyori VTK
52%
Kecskeméti TE
49%
Ujpest
49%
Fehérvár FC
48%
Mezokovesd-zsory
48%
MTK Budapest
47%
Kisvarda FC
47%
Paks
45%
Zalaegerszegi TE
39%
MTK Budapest is 5.1 percentage points worse than Puskas Academy in terms of average possession (47% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
MTK Budapest
For 4.5 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 10.2 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Puskas Academy
For 4.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 12.1 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
MTK Budapest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.9
9.9
2.1
1.6
2.7
22.6
24.0
21.0
vs Stronger (3)
11.3
12.0
10.0
2.3
2.5
2.0
22.5
23.0
22.0
vs Similar (33)
9.0
8.2
9.7
2.8
2.1
3.5
22.9
25.0
20.9
vs Weaker (14)
11.5
10.0
13.0
0.6
0.3
0.9
18.0
18.0
-
% over line
52%
43%
60%
24%
16%
32%
59%
78%
38%
% under line
48%
57%
40%
76%
84%
68%
41%
22%
62%
This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Puskas Academy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.8
9.2
4.4
4.0
4.8
28.0
26.1
29.7
vs Stronger (4)
10.8
9.0
11.3
7.5
5.0
8.3
31.0
-
31.0
vs Similar (39)
8.8
8.8
8.9
4.1
3.7
4.5
27.8
25.4
30.1
vs Weaker (7)
8.7
8.7
8.8
4.4
5.3
3.8
28.0
31.0
25.0
% over line
39%
40%
38%
68%
62%
73%
82%
62%
100%
% under line
61%
60%
62%
32%
38%
27%
18%
38%
0%
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paks
11.6
Kecskeméti TE
10.4
Zalaegerszegi TE
10.3
Diosgyori VTK
10.0
Ferencvarosi TC
10.0
Kisvarda FC
9.9
Mezokovesd-zsory
9.9
Debreceni VSC
9.7
Fehérvár FC
9.5
MTK Budapest
9.4
Ujpest
9.3
Puskas Academy
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Puskas Academy
5.1
Paks
5.0
Fehérvár FC
5.0
Kecskeméti TE
4.8
Ferencvarosi TC
4.5
Ujpest
4.4
Zalaegerszegi TE
4.4
Debreceni VSC
4.3
Kisvarda FC
4.1
Mezokovesd-zsory
4.0
Diosgyori VTK
4.0
MTK Budapest
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Paks
29.4
Kecskeméti TE
28.3
Puskas Academy
28.0
Mezokovesd-zsory
26.2
Debreceni VSC
26.0
Ujpest
25.4
Ferencvarosi TC
25.1
Diosgyori VTK
24.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.2
Kisvarda FC
23.4
MTK Budapest
22.6
Fehérvár FC
21.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.6%
Under 9.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.8%
Under 3.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
77.1%
Under 21.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
MTK Budapest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.87
0.73
0.67
0.67
1.07
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.76
0.67
0.42
0.69
1.08
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Puskas Academy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
0.80
0.53
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.58
0.92
0.54
0.55
0.64
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puskas Academy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puskas Academy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puskas Academy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
MTK Budapest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.03
0.60
0.93
0.67
1.13
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.67
0.00
2.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.92
0.58
0.83
0.77
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Puskas Academy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.57
0.93
0.47
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.62
1.00
0.54
0.91
0.73
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puskas Academy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puskas Academy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puskas Academy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
MTK Budapest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rajmund Molnár33%
István Bognár25%
Krisztián Németh25%
Marin Jurina13%
Khaly Thiam12%
Zoltán Stieber12%
Nemanja Antonov12%
Viktor Hei11%
Márk Kosznovszky9%
Zsombor Nagy8%
Artúr Horváth8%
Bence Végh6%
Gergő Kocsis6%
Benedek Varju5%
Tamás Kádár0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Dániel Vadnai0%
Gergő Rácz0%
Mihály Kata0%
Nikolas Špalek0%
Richie Ennin0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Patrik Kovács0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Viktor Hei32%
Marin Jurina27%
Benedek Varju26%
Gergő Kocsis22%
Rajmund Molnár22%
Mihály Kata21%
Nikolas Špalek17%
Patrik Kovács17%
Khaly Thiam12%
Krisztián Németh12%
Bence Végh12%
Nemanja Antonov12%
István Bognár10%
Zsombor Nagy8%
Artúr Horváth8%
Tamás Kádár5%
Patrik Demjén0%
Dániel Vadnai0%
Gergő Rácz0%
Zoltán Stieber0%
Richie Ennin0%
Márk Kosznovszky0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nemanja Antonov29%
Krisztián Németh25%
István Bognár20%
Zoltán Stieber19%
Rajmund Molnár11%
Zsombor Nagy8%
Mátyás Kovács8%
Patrik Kovács8%
Bence Végh6%
Gergő Kocsis6%
Viktor Hei5%
Tamás Kádár0%
Khaly Thiam0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Dániel Vadnai0%
Gergő Rácz0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Nikolas Špalek0%
Richie Ennin0%
Marin Jurina0%
Márk Kosznovszky0%
Artúr Horváth0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Krisztián Németh19%
Patrik Kovács17%
Nemanja Antonov12%
István Bognár10%
Zsombor Nagy8%
Marin Jurina7%
Zoltán Stieber6%
Tamás Kádár0%
Khaly Thiam0%
Gergő Kocsis0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Dániel Vadnai0%
Gergő Rácz0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Nikolas Špalek0%
Richie Ennin0%
Viktor Hei0%
Márk Kosznovszky0%
Rajmund Molnár0%
Artúr Horváth0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Bence Végh0%
Puskas Academy
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zsolt Nagy37%
György Komáromi35%
Jakov Puljić27%
Lamin Colley19%
Urho Nissilä15%
Roland Szolnoki12%
Mikael Soisalo9%
Jonathan Levi9%
Artem Favorov6%
Wojciech Golla6%
Marius Corbu6%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill5%
Patrizio Stronati5%
Jakub Plšek5%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Tamás Markek0%
Bence Batik0%
Luciano Slagveer0%
Quentin Maceiras0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Ármin Pécsi0%
Bence Vekony0%
Ákos Markgráf0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lamin Colley38%
Bence Batik36%
Roland Szolnoki25%
Zsolt Nagy21%
Mikael Soisalo18%
Quentin Maceiras17%
Jakub Plšek15%
Artem Favorov12%
Wojciech Golla12%
Marius Corbu12%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill11%
Luciano Slagveer10%
Jakov Puljić9%
György Komáromi6%
Patrizio Stronati5%
Urho Nissilä0%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Tamás Markek0%
Jonathan Levi0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Ármin Pécsi0%
Bence Vekony0%
Ákos Markgráf0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bence Vekony25%
György Komáromi24%
Zsolt Nagy21%
Jakov Puljić18%
Jonathan Levi18%
Marius Corbu18%
Quentin Maceiras17%
Jakub Plšek15%
Luciano Slagveer10%
Patrizio Stronati10%
Urho Nissilä8%
Mikael Soisalo0%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Tamás Markek0%
Bence Batik0%
Roland Szolnoki0%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill0%
Wojciech Golla0%
Artem Favorov0%
Lamin Colley0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Ármin Pécsi0%
Ákos Markgráf0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
György Komáromi47%
Jonathan Levi36%
Zsombor Gruber33%
Zsolt Nagy26%
Jakov Puljić18%
Jakub Plšek10%
Lamin Colley6%
Wojciech Golla6%
Urho Nissilä0%
Mikael Soisalo0%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Tamás Markek0%
Bence Batik0%
Roland Szolnoki0%
Luciano Slagveer0%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill0%
Quentin Maceiras0%
Artem Favorov0%
Patrizio Stronati0%
Marius Corbu0%
Ármin Pécsi0%
Bence Vekony0%
Ákos Markgráf0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
MTK Budapest and Puskas Academy have a similar squad value (both €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
MTK Budapest's attack is €2m less valuable than Puskas Academy's (€2m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
KT (2)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
MTK Budapest's midfield is €2m more valuable than Puskas Academy's (€4m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
MTK Budapest and Puskas Academy have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Hungary: NB I 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
Fehérvár FC
Debreceni VSC
Kecskeméti TE
Diosgyori VTK
Zalaegerszegi TE
Ujpest
Kisvarda FC
Mezokovesd-zsory