This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zalaegerszegi TE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.50
1.79
1.29
1.62
1.69
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
3.00
2.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.76
1.44
1.83
1.17
1.69
1.69
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.7%
Under 1.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.1%
Under 2.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.1%
Under 3.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.3%
No
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
0-0
4.5%
MTK Budapest goals ↓
Zalaegerszegi TE goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
4.2%
3.8%
1.9%
0.7%
1
5.6%
11%
7.2%
3.5%
1.3%
2
6.1%
9.1%
6.7%
3.3%
1.2%
3
3.8%
5.7%
4.2%
2.1%
0.8%
4
1.8%
2.6%
2.0%
1.0%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MTK Budapest goals (down), columns = Zalaegerszegi TE goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.09
Puskas Academy
2.00
Paks
1.73
Gyori ETO FC
1.61
MTK Budapest
1.39
Diosgyori VTK
1.33
Ujpest
1.24
Nyiregyhaza
1.09
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.03
Debreceni VSC
1.03
Fehérvár FC
0.94
Kecskeméti TE
0.76
MTK Budapest is 0.36 points better than Zalaegerszegi TE in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
1.97
Ferencvarosi TC
1.94
Puskas Academy
1.76
MTK Budapest
1.61
Debreceni VSC
1.58
Gyori ETO FC
1.48
Diosgyori VTK
1.30
Ujpest
1.15
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.06
Fehérvár FC
1.03
Kecskeméti TE
0.94
Nyiregyhaza
0.94
MTK Budapest is 0.55 goals better than Zalaegerszegi TE in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
0.94
Gyori ETO FC
1.12
Puskas Academy
1.15
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.27
Ujpest
1.33
Paks
1.42
MTK Budapest
1.42
Diosgyori VTK
1.55
Fehérvár FC
1.58
Nyiregyhaza
1.58
Kecskeméti TE
1.61
Debreceni VSC
1.79
MTK Budapest is 0.15 goals worse than Zalaegerszegi TE in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.27).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
62%
MTK Budapest
55%
Ujpest
51%
Puskas Academy
50%
Debreceni VSC
50%
Paks
48%
Kecskeméti TE
47%
Diosgyori VTK
47%
Fehérvár FC
46%
Zalaegerszegi TE
44%
MTK Budapest is 10.8 percentage points better than Zalaegerszegi TE in terms of average possession (55% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
MTK Budapest
For 3.9 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.4 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zalaegerszegi TE
For 4.4 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
MTK Budapest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.7
9.9
2.7
2.2
3.2
22.8
24.1
21.6
vs Stronger (4)
10.0
10.0
10.0
2.5
2.7
2.0
23.7
24.5
22.0
vs Similar (39)
9.2
8.3
9.8
3.1
2.4
3.5
22.3
24.7
20.6
vs Weaker (7)
11.5
10.0
13.0
1.1
0.7
1.5
26.0
18.0
34.0
% over line
49%
35%
60%
34%
26%
41%
58%
75%
43%
% under line
51%
65%
40%
66%
74%
59%
42%
25%
57%
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zalaegerszegi TE
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.1
10.1
3.5
3.9
3.1
24.2
24.1
24.3
vs Stronger (3)
10.0
9.0
12.0
3.0
3.5
2.0
23.5
24.0
23.0
vs Similar (43)
10.3
10.2
10.4
3.6
4.0
3.2
24.0
23.6
24.5
vs Weaker (4)
8.0
12.0
6.0
2.5
3.0
2.3
27.0
31.0
23.0
% over line
60%
55%
65%
54%
57%
52%
72%
71%
73%
% under line
40%
45%
35%
46%
43%
48%
28%
29%
27%
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paks
11.6
Diosgyori VTK
10.2
Debreceni VSC
10.1
Fehérvár FC
10.0
Zalaegerszegi TE
9.8
Kecskeméti TE
9.6
MTK Budapest
9.4
Ferencvarosi TC
9.2
Puskas Academy
9.0
Ujpest
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Puskas Academy
5.1
Paks
4.9
Debreceni VSC
4.8
Kecskeméti TE
4.7
Fehérvár FC
4.7
Ferencvarosi TC
4.5
Diosgyori VTK
4.3
Ujpest
4.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
4.2
MTK Budapest
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Puskas Academy
28.1
Paks
27.8
Debreceni VSC
26.7
Kecskeméti TE
26.6
Ferencvarosi TC
26.0
Ujpest
24.8
Diosgyori VTK
24.3
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.2
MTK Budapest
22.8
Fehérvár FC
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.3%
Under 9.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.2%
Under 3.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
69.3%
Under 21.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
MTK Budapest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.83
1.07
0.93
0.88
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.88
0.79
1.09
0.73
0.69
0.85
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zalaegerszegi TE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.79
0.57
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.64
0.83
0.50
0.62
0.77
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
MTK Budapest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.79
0.50
0.69
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.71
0.82
0.55
0.85
0.85
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zalaegerszegi TE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.83
1.00
0.71
1.12
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.04
0.80
1.00
0.67
1.08
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
MTK Budapest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marin Jurina40%
Zsombor Gruber25%
Rajmund Molnár23%
Benedek Varju18%
Róbert Polievka17%
Viktor Hei12%
Márk Kosznovszky10%
István Bognár9%
Ilia Beriashvili8%
Krisztián Németh6%
Bence Végh5%
Tamás Kádár5%
Patrik Kovács5%
Artúr Horváth5%
Nemanja Antonov0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Zsombor Nagy0%
Dávid Bobál0%
Mihály Kata0%
Zoltán Stieber0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Ádin Molnár0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dávid Bobál40%
Mihály Kata33%
Márk Kosznovszky30%
Tamás Kádár29%
Zsombor Nagy25%
Patrik Kovács24%
Benedek Varju24%
Rajmund Molnár23%
Nemanja Antonov20%
Viktor Hei18%
Marin Jurina12%
Krisztián Németh12%
Ádin Molnár10%
István Bognár9%
Ilia Beriashvili8%
Zoltán Stieber7%
Bence Végh5%
Artúr Horváth5%
Patrik Demjén0%
Róbert Polievka0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
István Bognár23%
Artúr Horváth18%
Viktor Hei18%
Rajmund Molnár14%
Zoltán Stieber13%
Zsombor Gruber12%
Nemanja Antonov10%
Márk Kosznovszky10%
Ádin Molnár10%
Tamás Kádár10%
Patrik Kovács5%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Zsombor Nagy0%
Dávid Bobál0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Krisztián Németh0%
Marin Jurina0%
Róbert Polievka0%
Bence Végh0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rajmund Molnár32%
Marin Jurina28%
István Bognár18%
Zsombor Gruber12%
Róbert Polievka11%
Krisztián Németh6%
Tamás Kádár0%
Nemanja Antonov0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Zsombor Nagy0%
Dávid Bobál0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Zoltán Stieber0%
Viktor Hei0%
Márk Kosznovszky0%
Artúr Horváth0%
Bence Végh0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Ádin Molnár0%
Zalaegerszegi TE
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gergely Mim25%
Yohan Croizet17%
Dániel Németh17%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes15%
Abel Gyorgy Krajcsovics15%
Jack Ipalibo14%
Máté Sajbán9%
Vince Tóbiás Nyíri8%
Dániel Csóka8%
Sinan Medgyes5%
Bence Kiss5%
Bence Várkonyi4%
Balázs Bakti4%
Anderson Esiti0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Kristian Fućak0%
Stefanos Evangelou0%
András Csonka0%
Bence Gundel-Takács0%
Bojan Sanković0%
Norbert Szendrei0%
Oleksandr Safronov0%
Ladislav Almási0%
Ervin Németh0%
Balázs Vogyicska0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anderson Esiti57%
Bojan Sanković29%
Stefanos Evangelou29%
Norbert Szendrei27%
András Csonka24%
Bence Kiss23%
Balázs Bakti16%
Yohan Croizet13%
Bence Várkonyi9%
Vince Tóbiás Nyíri8%
Dániel Csóka8%
Abel Gyorgy Krajcsovics8%
Oleksandr Safronov6%
Sinan Medgyes5%
Bence Gundel-Takács4%
Gergely Mim4%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes4%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Kristian Fućak0%
Máté Sajbán0%
Ladislav Almási0%
Jack Ipalibo0%
Dániel Németh0%
Ervin Németh0%
Balázs Vogyicska0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Csanád Vilmos Dénes23%
Gergely Mim21%
Norbert Szendrei14%
Balázs Bakti12%
Yohan Croizet9%
Dániel Németh8%
András Csonka6%
Sinan Medgyes5%
Stefanos Evangelou5%
Bence Kiss5%
Anderson Esiti0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Kristian Fućak0%
Máté Sajbán0%
Bence Gundel-Takács0%
Bojan Sanković0%
Dániel Csóka0%
Oleksandr Safronov0%
Ladislav Almási0%
Jack Ipalibo0%
Vince Tóbiás Nyíri0%
Bence Várkonyi0%
Ervin Németh0%
Balázs Vogyicska0%
Abel Gyorgy Krajcsovics0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ladislav Almási25%
Yohan Croizet22%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes19%
Abel Gyorgy Krajcsovics15%
Gergely Mim12%
Jack Ipalibo7%
Stefanos Evangelou5%
Norbert Szendrei5%
Máté Sajbán4%
Anderson Esiti0%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Kristian Fućak0%
Sinan Medgyes0%
Bence Kiss0%
András Csonka0%
Bence Gundel-Takács0%
Bojan Sanković0%
Dániel Csóka0%
Oleksandr Safronov0%
Vince Tóbiás Nyíri0%
Bence Várkonyi0%
Dániel Németh0%
Ervin Németh0%
Balázs Bakti0%
Balázs Vogyicska0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
ZT (23)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
MTK Budapest's squad is €5m more valuable than Zalaegerszegi TE's (€11m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
MTK Budapest and Zalaegerszegi TE have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
KT (2)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
MTK Budapest's midfield is €3m more valuable than Zalaegerszegi TE's (€4m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
ZT (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MTK Budapest's defence is €2m more valuable than Zalaegerszegi TE's (€5m vs €2m).
Hungary: NB I 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ferencvarosi TC
Puskas Academy
Paks
Gyori ETO FC
Diosgyori VTK
Ujpest
Nyiregyhaza
Debreceni VSC
Fehérvár FC
Kecskeméti TE