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Mura vs Koper Result & Analysis

Date: 16/03/2023
Time: 16:30
Final 1-2
Mura
Mura
Vs
39%
29%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mura win✗ Miss
39.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Koper win✓ Hit
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MuraMura

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D01L12L00D22D00D21W11DH·GOR13/11A·KOP30/11A·OLI08/12H·NK 12/12A·CEL11/02A·RAD18/02H·TAB21/02A·BRA25/02H·MAR05/03A·GOR10/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.131.791.141.061.12
vs Stronger (11)1.271.731.801.400.832.00
vs Similar (19)1.470.791.781.001.200.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D00D51W10W01L22D12L01L00D01LA·CEL13/11H·MUR30/11H·TAB07/12A·BRA10/12H·MAR12/02A·GOR18/02H·RAD21/02H·OLI25/02A·NK 04/03H·CEL11/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.250.931.271.001.230.85
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.821.000.561.111.120.88
vs Weaker (11)1.910.822.330.831.400.80
Clean sheet %32% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.5%
Under 1.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.8%
Under 2.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.0%
No
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.1%
1-2 ✓
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.6%
Mura goals ↓
Koper goals →
01234
09.1%8.1%5.6%2.2%0.7%
19.3%14%7.6%3.0%0.9%
27.1%8.5%5.1%2.0%0.6%
33.2%3.8%2.3%0.9%0.3%
41.1%1.3%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mura goals (down), columns = Koper goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.03
Aluminij
2.00
Celje
1.86
Maribor
1.72
Mura
1.44
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.39
Radomlje
1.22
Bravo
1.00
Gorica
0.74
Tabor Sežana
0.67
Mura is 0.06 points better than Koper in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
2.00
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.67
Celje
1.47
Mura
1.39
NK Domzale
1.39
Koper
1.28
Radomlje
0.97
Bravo
0.92
Gorica
0.87
Tabor Sežana
0.81
Mura is 0.11 goals better than Koper in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.28).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celje
0.94
Aluminij
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.08
Koper
1.11
Bravo
1.14
NK Domzale
1.17
Maribor
1.19
Mura
1.25
Radomlje
1.47
Gorica
1.61
Tabor Sežana
1.75
Mura is 0.14 goals worse than Koper in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
59%
Koper
52%
Maribor
51%
Bravo
50%
Mura
50%
Celje
49%
Tabor Sežana
47%
NK Domzale
47%
Gorica
47%
Mura is 2.1 percentage points worse than Koper in terms of average possession (50% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MuraMura

For 4.6 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

1608797555324322746538151610865910511A·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TABA·CELH·NK A·OLIA·KOPH·GORA·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

90254122432241114422914745156A·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TABA·CELH·NK A·OLIA·KOPH·GORA·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 14.4 · Total 27.3

⚠️ Fouls

3601218111951912161917111012121414181015930302428362124282824A·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TABA·CELH·NK A·OLIA·KOPH·GORA·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KoperKoper

For 3.7 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

130441446310295581641831851013111091094H·CELA·NK H·OLIA·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TABH·MURA·CELH·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

601222214212112123233436322155H·CELA·NK H·OLIA·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TABH·MURA·CELH·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 10.2 · Total 22.9

⚠️ Fouls

31051214171310158167129641414139191217312323232110282231H·CELA·NK H·OLIA·GORH·MARA·BRAH·TABH·MURA·CELH·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MuraMura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (30)10.39.510.92.43.11.826.125.326.8
vs Stronger (11)10.116.09.23.21.84.327.130.026.7
vs Similar (19)10.48.613.52.03.90.325.124.427.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line61%50%70%37%50%25%93%83%100%
% under line39%50%30%63%50%75%7%17%0%
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (28)9.16.911.92.32.12.523.121.625.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)10.37.013.02.92.33.622.921.823.8
vs Weaker (11)6.46.85.01.31.70.823.421.531.0
% over line50%33%71%29%20%38%71%62%83%
% under line50%67%29%71%80%62%29%38%17%
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
10.3
Olimpija Ljubljana
10.2
Gorica
9.9
Celje
9.8
Tabor Sežana
9.1
Koper
9.1
Maribor
9.0
Bravo
8.6
NK Domzale
8.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.9
NK Domzale
4.9
Celje
4.7
Mura
4.6
Maribor
4.4
Koper
4.0
Gorica
3.6
Tabor Sežana
3.6
Bravo
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bravo
27.5
NK Domzale
27.5
Olimpija Ljubljana
27.3
Mura
26.1
Maribor
25.9
Celje
25.5
Gorica
25.4
Koper
23.1
Tabor Sežana
21.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.3%
Under 9.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
69.9%
Under 3.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.2%
Under 21.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MuraMura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D01L01L00D02L00D21W00DH·GOR13/11A·KOP30/11A·OLI08/12H·NK 12/12A·CEL11/02A·RAD18/02H·TAB21/02A·BRA25/02H·MAR05/03A·GOR10/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.640.710.560.38
vs Stronger (11)0.730.641.000.600.500.67
vs Similar (19)0.530.470.440.780.600.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W10W01L21W01L00D00D00DA·CEL13/11H·MUR30/11H·TAB07/12A·BRA10/12H·MAR12/02A·GOR18/02H·RAD21/02H·OLI25/02A·NK 04/03H·CEL11/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.540.500.470.530.620.46
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.470.590.220.670.750.50
vs Weaker (11)0.640.360.830.330.400.40
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MuraMura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D00D11D00D20W00D00D11DH·GOR13/11A·KOP30/11A·OLI08/12H·NK 12/12A·CEL11/02A·RAD18/02H·TAB21/02A·BRA25/02H·MAR05/03A·GOR10/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.601.140.430.500.75
vs Stronger (11)0.551.090.800.800.331.33
vs Similar (19)0.950.321.330.220.600.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D31W00D00D01L11D01L00D01LA·CEL13/11H·MUR30/11H·TAB07/12A·BRA10/12H·MAR12/02A·GOR18/02H·RAD21/02H·OLI25/02A·NK 04/03H·CEL11/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.430.800.470.620.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.350.410.330.440.380.38
vs Weaker (11)1.270.451.500.501.000.40
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls91.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards85.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls83.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls71.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
TS (17)
€2m
Mura's squad is €3m less valuable than Koper's (€5m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
Mura's attack is €2m less valuable than Koper's (€2m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
Mura's midfield is €1m less valuable than Koper's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
TS (8)
€1m
Mura and Koper have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
MUR wins
1
Draws
0
KOP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mura vs Koper · H/A from MUR
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/22AKoper Vs MUR0-0
11/09/22HMUR Vs Koper2-1

MuraMura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/23AGorica Vs MUR1-1
05/03/23HMUR Vs Maribor2-1
25/02/23ABravo Vs MUR0-0
21/02/23HMUR Vs Tabor Sežana2-2
18/02/23ARadomlje Vs MUR0-0
11/02/23ACelje Vs MUR2-1
12/12/22HMUR Vs NK Domzale0-1
08/12/22AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs MUR0-0
30/11/22AKoper Vs MUR0-0
13/11/22HMUR Vs Gorica2-0

KoperKoper

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/23HKOP Vs Celje0-1
04/03/23ANK Domzale Vs KOP0-0
25/02/23HKOP Vs Olimpija Ljubljana0-1
21/02/23HKOP Vs Radomlje1-2
18/02/23AGorica Vs KOP2-2
12/02/23HKOP Vs Maribor0-1
10/12/22ABravo Vs KOP0-1
07/12/22HKOP Vs Tabor Sežana5-1
30/11/22HKOP Vs Mura0-0
13/11/22ACelje Vs KOP1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWD1.53
HomeWWLDW1.93
AwayDLDDD1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%57%19%
AVG goals2.532.932.19
Over 1.5 %67%71%62%
Over 2.5 %50%64%38%
Over 3.5 %30%36%25%
Scored1.401.791.06
Conceded1.131.141.12
BTTS53%57%50%
Clean Sheet37%29%44%
Corners10.289.5010.90
Cards4.565.503.62
Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDL1.43
HomeWLLLL1.20
AwayLDWDD1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%33%46%
AVG goals2.182.272.08
Over 1.5 %64%67%62%
Over 2.5 %36%33%38%
Over 3.5 %14%13%15%
Scored1.251.271.23
Conceded0.931.000.85
BTTS43%40%46%
Clean Sheet32%20%46%
Corners9.066.8911.86
Cards4.003.444.71

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3673
64%
2.0
6039+21
2.8
67%
44%
25%
9.1
43%
4.4
57%
27.5
87%
12
6151.71.1
59%
2CeljeCelje3667
53%
1.9
5334+19
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.7
43%
4.2
61%
24.6
78%
14
7161.50.9
49%
3MariborMaribor3662
50%
1.7
7043+27
3.1
83%
58%
39%
8.9
35%
4.3
52%
25.0
73%
10
5231.91.2
51%
4NK DomzaleNK Domzale3652
36%
1.4
5042+8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
7.7
17%
5.1
78%
28.1
91%
0
0001.41.2
47%
5MuraMura3652
36%
1.4
5045+5
2.6
69%
53%
31%
10.6
57%
4.5
61%
26.3
91%
5
2121.41.2
50%
6KoperKoper3650
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.1
52%
3.8
52%
24.0
78%
8
3231.31.1
52%
7RadomljeRadomlje3644
28%
1.2
3553-18
2.4
78%
44%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.5
-
8BravoBravo3636
25%
1.0
3341-8
2.1
58%
31%
14%
8.7
35%
3.9
57%
27.5
83%
4
1120.91.1
50%
9GoricaGorica3828
13%
0.7
3361-28
2.5
74%
37%
24%
9.4
52%
4.1
56%
26.2
79%
0
0000.91.6
47%
10Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3624
8%
0.7
2963-34
2.6
72%
44%
31%
9.3
38%
3.2
33%
22.2
67%
2
1110.81.8
47%
11AluminijAluminij24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.5
50%
6.0
100%
33.5
100%
4
2122.01.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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