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Mura vs Koper Result & Analysis

Date: 08/12/2024
Time: 16:30
Final 1-3
Mura
Mura
Vs
33%
32%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Mura win✗ Miss
33.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Koper win✓ Hit
34.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MuraMura

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W00D00D01L34L11D12L42W01L01LH·PRI14/09A·KOP22/09A·NAF28/09H·NK 05/10A·CEL19/10H·MAR26/10A·BRA03/11A·RAD10/11H·OLI24/11A·PRI30/11
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.471.291.141.251.75
vs Stronger (13)0.771.850.831.170.712.43
vs Similar (17)1.651.181.621.121.671.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D10W10W34L32W21W40W01L11DA·MAR15/09H·MUR22/09H·RAD29/09A·OLI06/10H·PRI19/10H·BRA27/10A·NAF03/11H·NK 09/11A·CEL23/11H·MAR30/11
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.101.601.001.131.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.111.331.221.001.001.67
vs Weaker (12)1.750.752.171.001.330.50
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.6%
Under 1.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.3%
Under 2.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.1%
Under 3.5
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.7%
No
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.0%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
11.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
Mura goals ↓
Koper goals →
01234
013%11%6.9%2.5%0.7%
111%15%7.3%2.6%0.7%
26.6%7.1%3.9%1.4%0.4%
32.3%2.5%1.4%0.5%0.1%
40.6%0.7%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mura goals (down), columns = Koper goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.06
Maribor
1.86
Koper
1.83
Celje
1.69
Bravo
1.53
Triglav
1.50
Primorje
1.19
Radomlje
0.97
Mura
0.97
NK Domzale
0.84
Nafta
0.78
Mura is 0.86 points worse than Koper in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.83).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.11
Triglav
2.00
Maribor
1.78
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.75
Koper
1.67
Bravo
1.44
Primorje
1.14
NK Domzale
1.05
Radomlje
1.03
Mura
1.03
Nafta
0.92
Mura is 0.64 goals worse than Koper in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.67).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.56
Maribor
0.89
Koper
0.97
Bravo
1.22
Celje
1.42
Mura
1.42
Primorje
1.69
NK Domzale
1.84
Nafta
1.92
Radomlje
1.92
Triglav
2.50
Mura is 0.44 goals worse than Koper in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 0.97).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MuraMura

For 2.0 · Against 8.0 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1002810H·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 3.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

3033H·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 8.0 · Total 17.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

1709817H·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KoperKoper

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MuraMura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.810.713.31.21.31.120.621.619.4
vs Stronger (21)10.69.712.31.41.81.019.719.819.3
vs Similar (29)13.412.714.01.00.91.221.925.019.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line81%78%86%18%20%16%44%67%14%
% under line19%22%14%82%80%84%56%33%86%
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.29.11.10.81.526.123.627.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)8.69.08.31.30.81.725.321.827.3
vs Weaker (17)11.310.012.00.90.81.029.031.028.0
% over line60%50%67%18%8%27%79%80%78%
% under line40%50%33%82%92%73%21%20%22%
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Celje
9.8
Bravo
9.6
NK Domzale
9.6
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.6
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Maribor
4.7
NK Domzale
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.6
Celje
4.2
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
26.4
Maribor
25.2
Koper
24.9
Olimpija Ljubljana
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Celje
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.2%
Under 9.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.0%
Under 3.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.1%
Under 21.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MuraMura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D00D10W10W01L20W00D01LH·PRI14/09A·KOP22/09A·NAF28/09H·NK 05/10A·CEL19/10H·MAR26/10A·BRA03/11A·RAD10/11H·OLI24/11A·PRI30/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.640.570.500.44
vs Stronger (13)0.540.460.830.330.290.57
vs Similar (17)0.590.530.500.750.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D10W13L21W20W20W01L01LA·MAR15/09H·MUR22/09H·RAD29/09A·OLI06/10H·PRI19/10H·BRA27/10A·NAF03/11H·NK 09/11A·CEL23/11H·MAR30/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.600.600.470.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.440.720.330.670.560.78
vs Weaker (12)0.670.331.000.500.330.17
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MuraMura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D00D01L24L01L11D22D01L00DH·PRI14/09A·KOP22/09A·NAF28/09H·NK 05/10A·CEL19/10H·MAR26/10A·BRA03/11A·RAD10/11H·OLI24/11A·PRI30/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.970.640.570.751.31
vs Stronger (13)0.231.380.000.830.431.86
vs Similar (17)1.060.651.120.381.000.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W00D21W11D01L20W00D10WA·MAR15/09H·MUR22/09H·RAD29/09A·OLI06/10H·PRI19/10H·BRA27/10A·NAF03/11H·NK 09/11A·CEL23/11H·MAR30/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.531.000.400.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.670.610.890.330.440.89
vs Weaker (12)1.080.421.170.501.000.33
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls83.8%--------
Under 3.582.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards77.4%--------
Over 2.5 cards77.2%--------
Over 21.5 fouls71.1%--------
Under 11.5 corners70.6%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
PRI (10)
€1m
Mura's squad is €3m less valuable than Koper's (€5m vs €8m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (3)
€0m
Mura's attack is €2m less valuable than Koper's (€2m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
Mura's midfield is €1m less valuable than Koper's (€1m vs €2m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (5)
€0m
Mura and Koper have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
MUR wins
4
Draws
2
KOP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mura vs Koper · H/A from MUR
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24AKoper Vs MUR0-0
14/04/24HMUR Vs Koper1-1
23/03/24AKoper Vs MUR2-1
22/10/23HMUR Vs Koper2-2
14/08/23AKoper Vs MUR1-3
20/05/23AKoper Vs MUR1-2
16/03/23HMUR Vs Koper1-2
30/11/22AKoper Vs MUR0-0

MuraMura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/24APrimorje Vs MUR1-0
24/11/24HMUR Vs Olimpija Ljubljana0-1
10/11/24ARadomlje Vs MUR2-4
03/11/24ABravo Vs MUR2-1
26/10/24HMUR Vs Maribor1-1
19/10/24ACelje Vs MUR4-3
05/10/24HMUR Vs NK Domzale0-1
28/09/24ANafta Vs MUR0-0
22/09/24AKoper Vs MUR0-0
14/09/24HMUR Vs Primorje4-0

KoperKoper

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/24HKOP Vs Maribor1-1
23/11/24ACelje Vs KOP1-0
09/11/24HKOP Vs NK Domzale4-0
03/11/24ANafta Vs KOP1-2
27/10/24HKOP Vs Bravo3-2
19/10/24HKOP Vs Primorje3-4
06/10/24AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs KOP0-1
29/09/24HKOP Vs Radomlje1-0
22/09/24HKOP Vs Mura0-0
15/09/24AMaribor Vs KOP2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLL1.16
HomeWWLDL1.24
AwayDLLWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%32%28%
AVG goals2.502.242.76
Over 1.5 %68%64%72%
Over 2.5 %42%36%48%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.101.081.12
Conceded1.401.161.64
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners11.8110.6713.29
Cards3.753.564.00
Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD1.44
HomeWLWWD1.46
AwayWLWWL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals2.582.832.35
Over 1.5 %70%71%69%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %26%33%19%
Scored1.421.621.23
Conceded1.161.211.12
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet30%29%31%
Corners9.139.179.11
Cards3.803.174.22

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3674
58%
2.1
6320+43
2.3
75%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6151.80.6
-
2MariborMaribor3667
53%
1.9
6432+32
2.7
83%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.80.9
-
3KoperKoper3666
53%
1.8
6035+25
2.6
69%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.71.0
-
4CeljeCelje3661
47%
1.7
7651+25
3.5
81%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7162.11.4
-
5BravoBravo3655
39%
1.5
5244+8
2.7
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.2
-
6PrimorjePrimorje3643
31%
1.2
4161-20
2.8
83%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
7MuraMura3635
25%
1.0
3751-14
2.4
67%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.4
-
8RadomljeRadomlje3635
28%
1.0
3769-32
2.9
75%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.9
-
9NK DomzaleNK Domzale3832
21%
0.8
4070-30
2.9
74%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
10NaftaNafta3628
17%
0.8
3369-36
2.8
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
11TriglavTriglav23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.02.5
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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