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Mura vs NK Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: 12/12/2022
Time: 16:30
Final 0-1
Mura
Mura
Vs
42%
27%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mura win✗ Miss
42.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale win✓ Hit
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MuraMura

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-523L22D31W30W40W10W15L20W00D00DH·OLI17/09A·NK 01/10H·CEL09/10H·RAD16/10A·TAB23/10H·BRA02/11A·MAR06/11H·GOR13/11A·KOP30/11A·OLI08/12
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.171.911.091.251.25
vs Stronger (9)1.221.781.751.500.802.00
vs Similar (14)1.790.792.000.861.570.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %39% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L22D11D00D30W51W11D03L20W21WA·CEL18/09H·MUR01/10A·TAB08/10H·BRA14/10A·MAR22/10H·GOR28/10A·KOP04/11H·OLI12/11A·RAD30/11H·CEL07/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.581.261.601.301.561.22
vs Stronger (9)1.331.561.001.601.751.50
vs Similar (10)1.801.002.201.001.401.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %32% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.6%
Under 2.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.2%
Under 3.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
0-1 ✓
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
Mura goals ↓
NK Domzale goals →
01234
06.6%6.1%4.8%2.1%0.7%
17.5%13%7.6%3.4%1.1%
26.8%9.0%6.0%2.7%0.9%
33.6%4.7%3.2%1.4%0.5%
41.4%1.9%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mura goals (down), columns = NK Domzale goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.03
Aluminij
2.00
Celje
1.86
Maribor
1.72
Mura
1.44
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.39
Radomlje
1.22
Bravo
1.00
Gorica
0.74
Tabor Sežana
0.67
Mura and NK Domzale are level in average points per game (both 1.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
2.00
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.67
Celje
1.47
Mura
1.39
NK Domzale
1.39
Koper
1.28
Radomlje
0.97
Bravo
0.92
Gorica
0.87
Tabor Sežana
0.81
Mura and NK Domzale are level in goals scored per game (both 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celje
0.94
Aluminij
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.08
Koper
1.11
Bravo
1.14
NK Domzale
1.17
Maribor
1.19
Mura
1.25
Radomlje
1.47
Gorica
1.61
Tabor Sežana
1.75
Mura is 0.08 goals worse than NK Domzale in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
59%
Koper
52%
Maribor
51%
Bravo
50%
Mura
50%
Celje
49%
Tabor Sežana
47%
NK Domzale
47%
Gorica
47%
Mura is 2.6 percentage points better than NK Domzale in terms of average possession (50% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MuraMura

For 4.9 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

13027465384344669449839105117812131311A·OLIA·KOPH·GORA·MARH·TABA·CELH·ST H·NK A·ST A·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

8041114422122434412135156347834A·OLIA·KOPH·GORA·MARH·TABA·CELH·ST H·NK A·OLIH·SFÎ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.1 · Total 24.6

⚠️ Fouls

280121214141810159121016812119152428282422242324A·OLIA·KOPH·GORA·MARH·TABA·CELH·NK A·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

For 3.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

130549136245454924994899136H·CELH·OLIA·KOPH·MARA·BRAH·TABA·MURH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.8

🟨 Cards

8016513215115444376561687H·CELH·OLIA·KOPH·MARA·BRAH·TABA·MURH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 15.5 · Total 28.0

⚠️ Fouls

340111517141219925121581511122092631313427232329H·CELH·OLIA·KOPH·MARA·BRAH·TABA·MURH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MuraMura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (23)10.49.411.12.02.51.624.624.324.8
vs Stronger (9)9.8-9.82.10.03.824.8-24.8
vs Similar (14)10.99.414.51.93.90.024.324.3-
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line67%60%71%30%36%25%100%100%100%
% under line33%40%29%70%64%75%0%0%0%
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (19)8.48.28.72.43.21.628.028.627.0
vs Stronger (9)7.28.04.03.45.21.230.230.031.0
vs Similar (10)10.39.011.01.51.21.824.323.025.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line12%0%33%37%50%22%100%100%100%
% under line88%100%67%63%50%78%0%0%0%
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
10.4
Olimpija Ljubljana
10.2
Celje
9.4
Gorica
9.2
Bravo
9.0
Koper
8.9
Maribor
8.5
NK Domzale
8.4
Tabor Sežana
7.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
NK Domzale
5.8
Mura
4.6
Celje
4.5
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.4
Koper
4.1
Maribor
3.9
Gorica
3.7
Tabor Sežana
3.3
Bravo
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
28.0
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.8
Bravo
25.7
Celje
25.4
Maribor
25.0
Mura
24.6
Gorica
23.7
Koper
22.9
Tabor Sežana
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
37.0%
Under 9.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.1%
Under 3.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
74.8%
Under 21.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MuraMura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W11D01L20W40W00D13L10W00D00DH·OLI17/09A·NK 01/10H·CEL09/10H·RAD16/10A·TAB23/10H·BRA02/11A·MAR06/11H·GOR13/11A·KOP30/11A·OLI08/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.480.640.550.750.42
vs Stronger (9)0.670.560.750.500.600.60
vs Similar (14)0.710.430.570.570.860.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D10W00D10W20W11D00D00D00DA·CEL18/09H·MUR01/10A·TAB08/10H·BRA14/10A·MAR22/10H·GOR28/10A·KOP04/11H·OLI12/11A·RAD30/11H·CEL07/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.790.260.500.301.110.22
vs Stronger (9)0.670.220.200.201.250.25
vs Similar (10)0.900.300.800.401.000.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %74% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MuraMura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D30W10W00D10W02L10W00D00DH·OLI17/09A·NK 01/10H·CEL09/10H·RAD16/10A·TAB23/10H·BRA02/11A·MAR06/11H·GOR13/11A·KOP30/11A·OLI08/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.701.270.550.500.83
vs Stronger (9)0.561.221.001.000.201.40
vs Similar (14)1.070.361.430.290.710.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %52% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D01L00D20W31W00D03L20W21WA·CEL18/09H·MUR01/10A·TAB08/10H·BRA14/10A·MAR22/10H·GOR28/10A·KOP04/11H·OLI12/11A·RAD30/11H·CEL07/12
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.791.001.101.000.441.00
vs Stronger (9)0.671.330.801.400.501.25
vs Similar (10)0.900.701.400.600.400.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls86.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners83.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards81.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls74.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners74.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
TS (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
TS (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
MUR wins
1
Draws
0
ND wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mura vs NK Domzale · H/A from MUR
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/22ANK Domzale Vs MUR2-2
24/07/22HMUR Vs NK Domzale4-3

MuraMura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/12/22AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs MUR0-0
30/11/22AKoper Vs MUR0-0
13/11/22HMUR Vs Gorica2-0
06/11/22AMaribor Vs MUR5-1
02/11/22HMUR Vs Bravo1-0
23/10/22ATabor Sežana Vs MUR0-4
16/10/22HMUR Vs Radomlje3-0
09/10/22HMUR Vs Celje3-1
01/10/22ANK Domzale Vs MUR2-2
17/09/22HMUR Vs Olimpija Ljubljana2-3

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/12/22HND Vs Celje2-1
30/11/22ARadomlje Vs ND0-2
12/11/22HND Vs Olimpija Ljubljana0-3
04/11/22AKoper Vs ND1-1
28/10/22HND Vs Gorica5-1
22/10/22AMaribor Vs ND0-3
14/10/22HND Vs Bravo0-0
08/10/22ATabor Sežana Vs ND1-1
01/10/22HND Vs Mura2-2
18/09/22ACelje Vs ND2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDD1.70
HomeLWWWW2.09
AwayDWLDD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%64%25%
AVG goals2.743.002.50
Over 1.5 %70%73%67%
Over 2.5 %52%64%42%
Over 3.5 %35%36%33%
Scored1.571.911.25
Conceded1.171.091.25
BTTS52%55%50%
Clean Sheet39%36%42%
Corners10.429.4011.14
Cards4.605.403.80
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.47
HomeDDWLW1.60
AwayLDWDW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%40%33%
AVG goals2.842.902.78
Over 1.5 %79%80%78%
Over 2.5 %53%60%44%
Over 3.5 %32%40%22%
Scored1.581.601.56
Conceded1.261.301.22
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet32%20%44%
Corners8.388.208.67
Cards5.756.404.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3673
64%
2.0
6039+21
2.8
67%
44%
25%
9.1
43%
4.4
57%
27.5
87%
12
6151.71.1
59%
2CeljeCelje3667
53%
1.9
5334+19
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.7
43%
4.2
61%
24.6
78%
14
7161.50.9
49%
3MariborMaribor3662
50%
1.7
7043+27
3.1
83%
58%
39%
8.9
35%
4.3
52%
25.0
73%
10
5231.91.2
51%
4NK DomzaleNK Domzale3652
36%
1.4
5042+8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
7.7
17%
5.1
78%
28.1
91%
0
0001.41.2
47%
5MuraMura3652
36%
1.4
5045+5
2.6
69%
53%
31%
10.6
57%
4.5
61%
26.3
91%
5
2121.41.2
50%
6KoperKoper3650
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.1
52%
3.8
52%
24.0
78%
8
3231.31.1
52%
7RadomljeRadomlje3644
28%
1.2
3553-18
2.4
78%
44%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.5
-
8BravoBravo3636
25%
1.0
3341-8
2.1
58%
31%
14%
8.7
35%
3.9
57%
27.5
83%
4
1120.91.1
50%
9GoricaGorica3828
13%
0.7
3361-28
2.5
74%
37%
24%
9.4
52%
4.1
56%
26.2
79%
0
0000.91.6
47%
10Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3624
8%
0.7
2963-34
2.6
72%
44%
31%
9.3
38%
3.2
33%
22.2
67%
2
1110.81.8
47%
11AluminijAluminij24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.5
50%
6.0
100%
33.5
100%
4
2122.01.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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