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Murata vs Tre Penne Result & Analysis

Date: 18/05/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 1-1
Murata
Murata
Vs
30%
28%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tre Penne
Tre Penne
San-Marino: Campionato
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Murata win✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tre Penne win✗ Miss
41.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MurataMurata

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-742W01L10W10W70W30W00D21W31W01LA·JUV09/03H·VIR13/03A·TRE16/03H·COS06/04A·SAN13/04H·FIO20/04A·TRE27/04H·TRE30/04A·LA 04/05H·LA 11/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.670.801.530.601.801.00
vs Stronger (16)0.811.060.620.881.001.25
vs Similar (14)2.640.502.570.292.710.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Tre Penne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tre PenneTre Penne

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L31W21W23L12L01L30W24L11D00DH·DOM10/03A·LIB13/03H·FOL16/03A·LA 07/04A·TRE13/04H·VIR20/04H·JUV28/04A·JUV01/05A·COS04/05H·COS11/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.271.032.131.002.401.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.081.250.671.171.501.33
vs Weaker (18)3.060.893.110.893.000.89
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Murata) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.9%
Under 2.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.0%
Under 3.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
Murata goals ↓
Tre Penne goals →
01234
08.1%8.9%7.4%3.6%1.3%
17.1%13%8.9%4.4%1.6%
25.1%7.4%5.4%2.6%1.0%
32.0%3.0%2.2%1.1%0.4%
40.6%0.9%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Murata goals (down), columns = Tre Penne goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Virtus
2.63
La Fiorita
2.49
Tre Penne
1.97
Murata
1.91
Cosmos
1.86
Tre Fiori
1.81
Juvenes / Dogana
1.55
San Giovanni
1.50
Folgore
1.30
Fiorentino
1.23
Domagnano
1.13
Faetano
0.87
Libertas
0.77
San Marino Academy
0.73
Cailungo
0.47
Pennarossa
0.27
Murata is 0.06 points worse than Tre Penne in terms of average points per game (1.91 vs 1.97).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cosmos
2.37
Tre Penne
2.37
La Fiorita
2.17
Virtus
2.03
Tre Fiori
1.78
San Giovanni
1.78
Murata
1.77
Juvenes / Dogana
1.55
Faetano
1.47
Folgore
1.39
Fiorentino
1.29
San Marino Academy
1.07
Libertas
1.07
Domagnano
1.06
Pennarossa
0.60
Cailungo
0.50
Murata is 0.60 goals worse than Tre Penne in terms of goals scored per game (1.77 vs 2.37).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
La Fiorita
0.60
Virtus
0.67
Murata
0.74
Cosmos
0.94
Tre Fiori
1.00
Tre Penne
1.03
Folgore
1.15
San Giovanni
1.44
Domagnano
1.45
Juvenes / Dogana
1.64
Fiorentino
1.84
Libertas
1.87
San Marino Academy
2.47
Cailungo
2.57
Faetano
2.63
Pennarossa
3.20
Murata is 0.29 goals better than Tre Penne in terms of goals conceded per game (0.74 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MurataMurata

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Tre PenneTre Penne

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MurataMurata

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (22)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (28)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Tre Penne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tre PenneTre Penne

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)6.04.010.00.20.10.223.0-23.0
vs Stronger (2)9.08.010.04.53.06.023.0-23.0
vs Similar (18)0.00.0-0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (30)---0.00.00.0---
% over line33%0%100%2%0%4%100%-100%
% under line67%100%0%98%100%96%0%-0%
This opponent (Murata) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Cosmos
10.0
Tre Fiori
9.0
La Fiorita
7.8
Tre Penne
7.2

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tre Fiori
7.2
La Fiorita
4.5
Cosmos
4.5
Tre Penne
3.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tre Penne
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MurataMurata

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W00D10W00D50W10W00D11D20W01LA·JUV09/03H·VIR13/03A·TRE16/03H·COS06/04A·SAN13/04H·FIO20/04A·TRE27/04H·TRE30/04A·LA 04/05H·LA 11/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.330.870.201.200.47
vs Stronger (16)0.440.440.120.380.750.50
vs Similar (14)1.710.211.710.001.710.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Tre Penne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tre PenneTre Penne

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W12L11D00D20W11D01L00DH·DOM10/03A·LIB13/03H·FOL16/03A·LA 07/04A·TRE13/04H·VIR20/04H·JUV28/04A·JUV01/05A·COS04/05H·COS11/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.431.130.400.870.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.500.750.330.500.671.00
vs Weaker (18)1.330.221.670.331.000.11
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Murata) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Murata over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tre Penne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tre Penne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tre Penne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MurataMurata

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D10W20W20W00D10W11D00DA·JUV09/03H·VIR13/03A·TRE16/03H·COS06/04A·SAN13/04H·FIO20/04A·TRE27/04H·TRE30/04A·LA 04/05H·LA 11/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.670.400.600.53
vs Stronger (16)0.380.620.500.500.250.75
vs Similar (14)0.930.290.860.291.000.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Tre Penne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tre PenneTre Penne

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L31W11D11D01L01L10W13L10W00DH·DOM10/03A·LIB13/03H·FOL16/03A·LA 07/04A·TRE13/04H·VIR20/04H·JUV28/04A·JUV01/05A·COS04/05H·COS11/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.601.000.601.530.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.580.500.330.670.830.33
vs Weaker (18)1.720.671.440.562.000.78
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Murata) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Murata over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Murata over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tre Penne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tre Penne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tre Penne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
SMA (13)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
Murata and Tre Penne have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
SMA (5)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
Murata and Tre Penne have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
Murata and Tre Penne have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
Murata and Tre Penne have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
MUR wins
0
Draws
4
TP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Murata vs Tre Penne · H/A from MUR
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/24HMUR Vs Tre Penne0-2
29/10/23ATre Penne Vs MUR3-0
19/02/23ATre Penne Vs MUR2-0
08/10/22HMUR Vs Tre Penne1-4

MurataMurata

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/24HMUR Vs La Fiorita0-1
04/05/24ALa Fiorita Vs MUR1-3
30/04/24HMUR Vs Tre Fiori2-1
27/04/24ATre Fiori Vs MUR0-0
20/04/24HMUR Vs Fiorentino3-0
13/04/24ASan Marino Academy Vs MUR0-7
06/04/24HMUR Vs Cosmos1-0
16/03/24ATre Fiori Vs MUR0-1
13/03/24HMUR Vs Virtus0-1
09/03/24AJuvenes / Dogana Vs MUR2-4

Tre PenneTre Penne

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/24HTP Vs Cosmos0-0
04/05/24ACosmos Vs TP1-1
01/05/24AJuvenes / Dogana Vs TP4-2
28/04/24HTP Vs Juvenes / Dogana3-0
20/04/24HTP Vs Virtus0-1
13/04/24ATre Fiori Vs TP2-1
07/04/24ALa Fiorita Vs TP3-2
16/03/24HTP Vs Folgore2-1
13/03/24ALibertas Vs TP1-3
10/03/24HTP Vs Domagnano0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Murata
Murata
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.80
HomeLWWWL1.88
AwayWWWDW1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%60%52%
AVG goals2.802.642.96
Over 1.5 %68%64%72%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %32%28%36%
Scored1.761.801.72
Conceded1.040.841.24
BTTS38%36%40%
Clean Sheet40%40%40%
Corners---
Cards---
Tre Penne
Tre Penne
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDD2.06
HomeLWLWD1.92
AwayWLLLD2.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%60%68%
AVG goals3.523.443.60
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %70%72%68%
Over 3.5 %46%40%52%
Scored2.302.202.40
Conceded1.221.241.20
BTTS54%44%64%
Clean Sheet36%40%32%
Corners6.004.0010.00
Cards3.001.506.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1La FioritaLa Fiorita3587
80%
2.5
7621+55
2.8
74%
57%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.20.6
-
2VirtusVirtus3079
87%
2.6
6120+41
2.7
70%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.7
-
3Tre PenneTre Penne3569
60%
2.0
8336+47
3.4
89%
69%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.0
-
4MurataMurata3567
60%
1.9
6226+36
2.5
63%
49%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.7
-
5CosmosCosmos3565
54%
1.9
8333+50
3.3
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.40.9
-
6Tre FioriTre Fiori3258
53%
1.8
5732+25
2.8
72%
62%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.81.0
-
7Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana3351
48%
1.5
5154-3
3.2
76%
70%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
8San GiovanniSan Giovanni3248
47%
1.5
5746+11
3.2
88%
72%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
9FolgoreFolgore3343
36%
1.3
4638+8
2.5
70%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.2
-
10FiorentinoFiorentino3138
35%
1.2
4057-17
3.1
81%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
11DomagnanoDomagnano3135
29%
1.1
3345-12
2.5
68%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
12FaetanoFaetano3026
27%
0.9
4479-35
4.1
90%
77%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.6
-
13LibertasLibertas3023
20%
0.8
3256-24
2.9
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
14San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy3022
20%
0.7
3274-42
3.5
93%
73%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
15CailungoCailungo3014
13%
0.5
1577-62
3.1
80%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.6
-
16PennarossaPennarossa308
7%
0.3
1896-78
3.8
83%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
San-Marino: Campionato 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →

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