This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.87
2.00
1.31
1.29
2.50
vs Stronger (10)
1.10
2.40
1.60
2.00
0.60
2.80
vs Similar (17)
1.94
1.59
2.11
1.11
1.75
2.12
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.67
2.50
0.50
1.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
7% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (NAC Breda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.6%
Under 1.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.4%
Under 2.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.9%
Under 3.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.4%
No
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
1-0
4.5%
3-2
4.4%
NAC Breda goals ↓
Heracles goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.8%
4.0%
4.1%
2.3%
1.0%
1
4.5%
10%
7.6%
4.2%
1.8%
2
5.1%
8.5%
7.1%
3.9%
1.6%
3
3.1%
5.2%
4.4%
2.4%
1.0%
4
1.5%
2.4%
2.0%
1.1%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NAC Breda goals (down), columns = Heracles goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.44
Ajax
2.32
AZ Alkmaar
2.09
Feyenoord
1.94
Utrecht
1.59
Vitesse
1.44
Den Haag
1.38
Heerenveen
1.35
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Heracles
1.24
Excelsior
1.18
Groningen
1.12
Willem II
1.09
NAC Breda
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
Roda
0.88
Sparta Rotterdam
0.79
Twente
0.71
NAC Breda is 0.24 points worse than Heracles in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ajax
2.62
PSV Eindhoven
2.56
Feyenoord
2.24
AZ Alkmaar
2.12
Vitesse
1.85
Utrecht
1.71
Heracles
1.47
Groningen
1.47
Willem II
1.47
Heerenveen
1.41
Den Haag
1.32
Roda
1.24
PEC Zwolle
1.24
Excelsior
1.21
NAC Breda
1.21
Twente
1.09
VVV Venlo
1.03
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NAC Breda is 0.26 goals worse than Heracles in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
0.97
AZ Alkmaar
1.12
Feyenoord
1.15
PSV Eindhoven
1.15
Vitesse
1.38
Groningen
1.47
Utrecht
1.56
Den Haag
1.56
Heerenveen
1.56
PEC Zwolle
1.59
VVV Venlo
1.59
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.68
Willem II
1.85
Twente
1.85
Heracles
1.88
Roda
2.03
Sparta Rotterdam
2.21
NAC Breda is 0.21 goals better than Heracles in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
NAC Breda
For 3.7 · Against 7.2 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 13.3 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heracles
For 5.6 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
NAC Breda
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
11.3
11.1
11.5
3.7
4.8
2.7
24.4
24.5
24.4
vs Stronger (8)
12.8
11.2
14.2
4.2
4.5
4.0
25.2
24.2
26.2
vs Similar (13)
10.5
11.0
10.0
3.4
5.0
2.0
23.9
24.7
23.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
76%
70%
82%
52%
90%
18%
67%
70%
64%
% under line
24%
30%
18%
48%
10%
82%
33%
30%
36%
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.6
10.8
1.3
1.2
1.4
25.3
25.1
25.6
vs Stronger (18)
9.7
11.0
8.8
1.1
1.1
1.0
27.0
25.3
28.2
vs Similar (29)
11.7
12.0
11.2
1.4
1.1
1.7
25.5
25.0
26.2
vs Weaker (3)
14.0
11.0
17.0
1.7
1.5
2.0
18.5
25.0
12.0
% over line
71%
73%
70%
12%
8%
17%
71%
64%
80%
% under line
29%
27%
30%
88%
92%
83%
29%
36%
20%
This opponent (NAC Breda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sparta Rotterdam
12.7
PSV Eindhoven
11.6
Excelsior
11.5
NAC Breda
11.3
AZ Alkmaar
11.3
Heracles
11.2
Feyenoord
11.2
Ajax
11.2
Utrecht
10.9
Den Haag
10.7
Twente
10.5
VVV Venlo
10.4
Groningen
10.3
Vitesse
10.3
Roda
10.1
Willem II
10.0
Heerenveen
9.6
PEC Zwolle
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ajax
4.6
PSV Eindhoven
4.0
PEC Zwolle
4.0
Twente
4.0
Excelsior
3.9
Den Haag
3.9
Groningen
3.7
NAC Breda
3.7
Utrecht
3.6
Sparta Rotterdam
3.4
VVV Venlo
3.3
AZ Alkmaar
3.2
Vitesse
3.2
Heerenveen
3.1
Heracles
3.0
Feyenoord
3.0
Willem II
3.0
Roda
2.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Heerenveen
26.5
Sparta Rotterdam
26.3
Ajax
26.3
Utrecht
26.0
Twente
25.9
Vitesse
25.5
Excelsior
25.5
Heracles
25.3
AZ Alkmaar
24.9
NAC Breda
24.4
Feyenoord
24.4
Den Haag
24.1
PSV Eindhoven
24.0
Willem II
23.9
PEC Zwolle
23.5
Roda
22.8
Groningen
22.7
VVV Venlo
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.7%
Under 9.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.7%
Under 3.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
70.4%
Under 21.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NAC Breda
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.38
0.81
0.40
0.70
0.36
0.91
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.12
0.50
1.50
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (13)
0.23
0.62
0.33
0.17
0.14
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.93
0.81
0.75
0.57
1.14
vs Stronger (10)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
1.06
0.94
1.22
0.67
0.88
1.25
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (NAC Breda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NAC Breda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NAC Breda
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.62
1.10
0.80
1.60
0.45
0.64
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.62
0.75
2.25
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.77
0.83
1.17
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
24% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.93
1.19
0.56
0.71
1.36
vs Stronger (10)
1.10
1.40
1.60
1.00
0.60
1.80
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.65
0.89
0.44
0.88
0.88
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (NAC Breda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NAC Breda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
NAC Breda · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Paul Gladon50%
Moussa Soumano50%
Pepijn Reulen50%
Leo Greiml0%
Jan Van den Bergh0%
Michael Verrips0%
Rio Hillen0%
Mats Seuntjens0%
Fredrik Jensen0%
Jannes Van Hecke0%
Boyd Lucassen0%
Charles-Andreas Brym0%
Mohamed Nassoh0%
Maximilien Balard0%
Imran Nazih0%
Cherrion Valerius0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jan Van den Bergh50%
Fredrik Jensen50%
Mats Seuntjens33%
Maximilien Balard33%
Michael Verrips25%
Paul Gladon25%
Mohamed Nassoh25%
Pepijn Reulen25%
Leo Greiml0%
Rio Hillen0%
Jannes Van Hecke0%
Boyd Lucassen0%
Charles-Andreas Brym0%
Imran Nazih0%
Moussa Soumano0%
Cherrion Valerius0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mats Seuntjens33%
Jannes Van Hecke33%
Boyd Lucassen25%
Leo Greiml0%
Jan Van den Bergh0%
Michael Verrips0%
Rio Hillen0%
Paul Gladon0%
Fredrik Jensen0%
Charles-Andreas Brym0%
Mohamed Nassoh0%
Maximilien Balard0%
Imran Nazih0%
Moussa Soumano0%
Cherrion Valerius0%
Pepijn Reulen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paul Gladon50%
Mats Seuntjens33%
Leo Greiml25%
Rio Hillen25%
Charles-Andreas Brym25%
Moussa Soumano25%
Jan Van den Bergh0%
Michael Verrips0%
Fredrik Jensen0%
Jannes Van Hecke0%
Boyd Lucassen0%
Mohamed Nassoh0%
Maximilien Balard0%
Imran Nazih0%
Cherrion Valerius0%
Pepijn Reulen0%
Heracles · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tristan van Gilst100%
Jean-Paul N'Djoli75%
Mario Borac33%
Damon Mirani25%
David Vicente25%
Djevencio van der Kust25%
Sem Scheperman25%
Chafik Abbas0%
Mike te Wierik0%
Thomas Bruns0%
David Tomić0%
Fabian De Keijzer0%
Maurice Wrusch0%
Manny Rodríguez0%
Max Hauswirth0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jean-Paul N'Djoli50%
Chafik Abbas25%
Mike te Wierik25%
Damon Mirani0%
Thomas Bruns0%
David Vicente0%
David Tomić0%
Fabian De Keijzer0%
Djevencio van der Kust0%
Sem Scheperman0%
Tristan van Gilst0%
Maurice Wrusch0%
Manny Rodríguez0%
Max Hauswirth0%
Mario Borac0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Chafik Abbas50%
Djevencio van der Kust50%
Thomas Bruns25%
David Vicente25%
Tristan van Gilst25%
Jean-Paul N'Djoli25%
Max Hauswirth25%
Damon Mirani0%
Mike te Wierik0%
David Tomić0%
Fabian De Keijzer0%
Sem Scheperman0%
Maurice Wrusch0%
Manny Rodríguez0%
Mario Borac0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tristan van Gilst100%
Jean-Paul N'Djoli75%
Mario Borac33%
Chafik Abbas25%
Max Hauswirth25%
Damon Mirani0%
Mike te Wierik0%
Thomas Bruns0%
David Vicente0%
David Tomić0%
Fabian De Keijzer0%
Djevencio van der Kust0%
Sem Scheperman0%
Maurice Wrusch0%
Manny Rodríguez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
PZ (23)
€21m
EXC (24)
€16m
WI (24)
€13m
NB (23)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
VV (19)
€4m
NAC Breda's squad is €2m more valuable than Heracles's (€10m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
VV (6)
€1m
NAC Breda and Heracles have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
NB (3)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
VV (3)
€0m
NAC Breda and Heracles have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (11)
€3m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
NAC Breda and Heracles have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Vitesse
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior
Groningen
Willem II
VVV Venlo
Roda
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente