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Nafta vs Koper Result & Analysis

Date: 03/11/2024
Time: 16:30
Final 1-2
Nafta
Nafta
Vs
28%
30%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Nafta win✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Koper win✓ Hit
42.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

NaftaNafta

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L03L02L52W13L03L00D02L01L11DH·PRI10/08A·KOP17/08A·BRA26/08H·NK 30/08A·CEL15/09H·MAR22/09H·MUR28/09A·RAD04/10H·OLI19/10A·PRI26/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.401.361.431.191.38
vs Stronger (4)0.252.250.002.000.502.50
vs Similar (18)1.611.441.891.561.331.33
vs Weaker (8)1.000.880.670.671.201.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L30W30W00D02L00D10W10W34L32WA·BRA12/08H·NAF17/08A·NK 24/08H·CEL01/09A·MAR15/09H·MUR22/09H·RAD29/09A·OLI06/10H·PRI19/10H·BRA27/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.131.331.131.131.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.111.331.221.111.001.56
vs Weaker (12)1.420.831.501.171.330.50
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Nafta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.9%
Under 2.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
10.1%
1-2 ✓
8.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.0%
Nafta goals ↓
Koper goals →
01234
010%11%8.2%3.7%1.3%
18.1%14%8.7%4.0%1.4%
25.0%6.8%4.7%2.1%0.7%
31.8%2.4%1.7%0.8%0.3%
40.5%0.6%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nafta goals (down), columns = Koper goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.06
Maribor
1.86
Koper
1.83
Celje
1.69
Bravo
1.53
Triglav
1.50
Primorje
1.19
Radomlje
0.97
Mura
0.97
NK Domzale
0.84
Nafta
0.78
Nafta is 1.06 points worse than Koper in terms of average points per game (0.78 vs 1.83).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.11
Triglav
2.00
Maribor
1.78
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.75
Koper
1.67
Bravo
1.44
Primorje
1.14
NK Domzale
1.05
Radomlje
1.03
Mura
1.03
Nafta
0.92
Nafta is 0.75 goals worse than Koper in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.67).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.56
Maribor
0.89
Koper
0.97
Bravo
1.22
Celje
1.42
Mura
1.42
Primorje
1.69
NK Domzale
1.84
Nafta
1.92
Radomlje
1.92
Triglav
2.50
Nafta is 0.94 goals worse than Koper in terms of goals conceded per game (1.92 vs 0.97).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

NaftaNafta

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

KoperKoper

For 6.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 8.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

100736106A·BRAA·ALU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

4023124A·BRAA·ALU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.5 · Against 17.5 · Total 36.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

410161521203141A·BRAA·ALU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NaftaNafta

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (31)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (15)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.710.39.11.41.31.626.124.527.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)8.58.88.31.61.21.925.523.027.3
vs Weaker (19)12.813.312.01.21.31.027.427.028.0
% over line56%44%67%22%15%29%82%88%78%
% under line44%56%33%78%85%71%18%12%22%
This opponent (Nafta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Celje
9.9
Bravo
9.6
NK Domzale
9.6
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.5
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Maribor
4.7
NK Domzale
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.6
Celje
4.3
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
26.4
Maribor
25.2
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
24.6
Mura
24.2
Celje
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.6%
Under 9.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.4%
Under 3.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.1%
Under 21.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NaftaNafta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L22D01L00D00D01L01L00DH·PRI10/08A·KOP17/08A·BRA26/08H·NK 30/08A·CEL15/09H·MAR22/09H·MUR28/09A·RAD04/10H·OLI19/10A·PRI26/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.290.710.620.44
vs Stronger (4)0.000.750.000.500.001.00
vs Similar (18)0.610.670.440.890.780.44
vs Weaker (8)0.380.250.000.330.600.20
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W00D01L00D00D10W13L21WA·BRA12/08H·NAF17/08A·NK 24/08H·CEL01/09A·MAR15/09H·MUR22/09H·RAD29/09A·OLI06/10H·PRI19/10H·BRA27/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.530.670.400.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.440.780.440.780.440.78
vs Weaker (12)0.500.330.670.500.330.17
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Nafta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nafta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NaftaNafta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L01L30W12L03L00D01L00D11DH·PRI10/08A·KOP17/08A·BRA26/08H·NK 30/08A·CEL15/09H·MAR22/09H·MUR28/09A·RAD04/10H·OLI19/10A·PRI26/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.831.070.710.560.94
vs Stronger (4)0.251.500.001.500.501.50
vs Similar (18)1.000.781.440.670.560.89
vs Weaker (8)0.620.620.670.330.600.80
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W20W00D01L00D10W00D21W11DA·BRA12/08H·NAF17/08A·NK 24/08H·CEL01/09A·MAR15/09H·MUR22/09H·RAD29/09A·OLI06/10H·PRI19/10H·BRA27/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.530.800.470.730.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.670.560.780.330.560.78
vs Weaker (12)0.920.500.830.671.000.33
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Nafta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nafta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls86.5%--------
Over 2.5 cards77.5%--------
Under 3.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards77.1%--------
Over 21.5 fouls75.1%--------
Under 11.5 corners72.8%--------
Over 1.571.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
PRI (10)
€1m
Nafta's squad is €6m less valuable than Koper's (€2m vs €8m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (3)
€0m
Nafta's attack is €2m less valuable than Koper's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
Nafta's midfield is €2m less valuable than Koper's (€0m vs €2m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
PRI (5)
€0m
Nafta's defence is €2m less valuable than Koper's (€1m vs €3m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
NAF wins
0
Draws
1
KOP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nafta vs Koper · H/A from NAF
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/24AKoper Vs NAF3-0

NaftaNafta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/24APrimorje Vs NAF1-1
19/10/24HNAF Vs Olimpija Ljubljana0-1
04/10/24ARadomlje Vs NAF2-0
28/09/24HNAF Vs Mura0-0
22/09/24HNAF Vs Maribor0-3
15/09/24ACelje Vs NAF3-1
30/08/24HNAF Vs NK Domzale5-2
26/08/24ABravo Vs NAF2-0
17/08/24AKoper Vs NAF3-0
10/08/24HNAF Vs Primorje0-3

KoperKoper

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/10/24HKOP Vs Bravo3-2
19/10/24HKOP Vs Primorje3-4
06/10/24AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs KOP0-1
29/09/24HKOP Vs Radomlje1-0
22/09/24HKOP Vs Mura0-0
15/09/24AMaribor Vs KOP2-0
01/09/24HKOP Vs Celje0-0
24/08/24ANK Domzale Vs KOP0-3
17/08/24HKOP Vs Nafta3-0
12/08/24ABravo Vs KOP1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nafta
Nafta
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLD1.50
HomeLWLDL1.67
AwayLLLLD1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%46%42%
AVG goals2.682.542.81
Over 1.5 %74%67%81%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %28%29%27%
Scored1.441.461.42
Conceded1.241.081.38
BTTS42%38%46%
Clean Sheet30%46%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.42
HomeDDWLW1.42
AwayWLWLW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals2.602.812.38
Over 1.5 %70%69%71%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %26%31%21%
Scored1.381.501.25
Conceded1.221.311.12
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet30%27%33%
Corners9.7210.339.11
Cards3.943.674.22

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3674
58%
2.1
6320+43
2.3
75%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6151.80.6
-
2MariborMaribor3667
53%
1.9
6432+32
2.7
83%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.80.9
-
3KoperKoper3666
53%
1.8
6035+25
2.6
69%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.71.0
-
4CeljeCelje3661
47%
1.7
7651+25
3.5
81%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7162.11.4
-
5BravoBravo3655
39%
1.5
5244+8
2.7
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.2
-
6PrimorjePrimorje3643
31%
1.2
4161-20
2.8
83%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
7MuraMura3635
25%
1.0
3751-14
2.4
67%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.4
-
8RadomljeRadomlje3635
28%
1.0
3769-32
2.9
75%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.9
-
9NK DomzaleNK Domzale3832
21%
0.8
4070-30
2.9
74%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
10NaftaNafta3628
17%
0.8
3369-36
2.8
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
11TriglavTriglav23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.02.5
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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