The model favours an away win, with a 42% chance for Nancy and 29% for Nantes, 28% for a draw. The expected total is 2.6 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that is 26% likely. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.6% chance. Nantes, playing at home, has scored 1.0 goal per game and conceded 1.5 against stronger opposition, while Nancy, on the road, averages 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded against stronger sides. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%, edge 6%), Under 6.5 (98.2%, edge 3%), Over 19.5 fouls (97.2%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.1%, edge 7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%, edge 3%), and Home under 3.5 goals (96.9%, edge 7%). Nantes has come off a draw, while Nancy is on a two-game winning streak.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Nantes win
29.2%
Avg Implied 48.9% · @ 1.90
Edge
-19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.99
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Draw
28.4%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.42
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
Pinnacle
3.59
Marathonbet
3.52
1xBet
3.52
BetVictor
3.50
Nancy win
42.3%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.86
Edge
+18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.11
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.03
Betano
4.00
Unibet
3.95
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Nantes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.90
1.20
1.93
1.07
1.87
vs Stronger (14)
1.07
2.07
1.57
2.29
0.57
1.86
vs Similar (14)
0.93
1.64
0.88
1.62
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
2.50
-
-
3.00
2.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Nancy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.40
1.29
1.79
1.12
1.06
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.50
0.75
1.50
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (23)
1.13
1.43
1.11
2.11
1.14
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.9%
@ 1.26+0.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
@ 3.58-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.62
1xBet
3.62
Pinnacle
3.61
BetVictor
3.60
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.6%
@ 1.88-1.6%
Under 2.5
51.4%
@ 1.90+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.93
SBO
1.92
Pinnacle
1.92
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Under
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
10Bet
1.91
SBO
1.90
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.8%
@ 3.13-2.9%
Under 3.5
73.2%
@ 1.33+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.40
BetVictor
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.20
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Both teams to score
Yes
54.0%
@ 1.72+0.2%
No
46.0%
@ 2.00-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
BetVictor
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
No
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
10Bet
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%@ 6.25+6.4%
0-1
9.3%@ 10.51+5.1%
1-2
9.0%@ 11.98+5.2%
0-0
8.5%@ 10.04+4.0%
0-2
7.7%@ 19.07+5.3%
1-0
7.3%@ 6.91+0.8%
2-1
7.2%@ 7.83+1.5%
2-2
5.2%@ 12.94+1.8%
Nantes goals ↓
Nancy goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
9.3%
7.7%
3.7%
1.3%
1
7.3%
14%
9.0%
4.3%
1.6%
2
5.0%
7.2%
5.2%
2.5%
0.9%
3
1.9%
2.8%
2.0%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nantes goals (down), columns = Nancy goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nantes
1.92
Saint Etienne
1.75
Rodez
1.67
Reims
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Metz
1.64
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Sochaux
1.11
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Dijon
1.03
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Nantes is 0.89 points better than Nancy in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nantes
1.80
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
Metz
1.54
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Clermont Foot
1.11
Sochaux
1.05
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Dijon
0.97
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Nantes is 0.80 goals better than Nancy in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nantes
0.85
Montpellier
0.92
Metz
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Sochaux
1.47
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
Dijon
1.58
PAU
1.81
Nantes is 0.67 goals better than Nancy in terms of goals conceded per game (0.85 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Nantes
For 5.7 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 14.5 · Total 28.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nancy
For 3.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 7.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 17.2 · Total 29.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nantes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.3
9.3
4.3
4.3
4.3
26.7
25.8
27.5
vs Stronger (24)
10.2
9.5
10.9
4.6
4.6
4.6
25.5
24.2
27.1
vs Similar (24)
8.7
9.0
8.4
4.2
4.1
4.4
27.9
27.5
28.4
vs Weaker (2)
5.5
-
5.5
2.5
-
2.5
25.5
-
25.5
% over line
47%
44%
50%
66%
69%
62%
86%
80%
92%
% under line
53%
56%
50%
34%
31%
38%
14%
20%
8%
This opponent (Nancy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.2
9.3
3.7
3.5
3.9
29.1
29.0
29.2
vs Stronger (9)
8.7
9.6
7.5
5.3
5.4
5.2
31.4
32.4
30.2
vs Similar (39)
9.4
9.1
9.7
3.5
3.1
3.8
28.5
28.0
29.0
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
53%
50%
57%
48%
38%
58%
91%
95%
87%
% under line
47%
50%
43%
52%
62%
42%
9%
5%
13%
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.2
Rodez
10.0
Metz
9.5
Grenoble
9.5
PAU
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Montpellier
9.4
Nancy
9.4
Dijon
9.3
Clermont Foot
9.2
Nantes
9.2
Sochaux
9.2
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
8.6
Annecy
8.6
Boulogne
8.5
Dunkerque
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Guingamp
4.6
Nantes
4.4
Boulogne
4.4
PAU
4.4
Sochaux
4.2
Annecy
4.2
Montpellier
4.2
Reims
4.1
Rodez
4.1
Laval
4.0
Nancy
4.0
RED Star FC 93
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Metz
3.8
Clermont Foot
3.8
Grenoble
3.8
Dijon
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Montpellier
29.8
Nancy
29.1
Boulogne
28.3
Laval
28.3
Annecy
28.3
Guingamp
27.6
Dijon
27.6
Clermont Foot
26.7
Nantes
26.7
RED Star FC 93
26.7
Saint Etienne
26.3
Sochaux
26.1
Dunkerque
25.8
Grenoble
25.8
Rodez
25.7
PAU
25.6
Reims
24.6
Metz
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.7%
@ 1.73-10.9%
Under 9.5
57.3%
@ 2.00+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.96
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.4%
Under 3.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
93.3%
Under 21.5
6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Nantes or Draw
57.7%
Avg Implied 75.8% · @ 1.23
Edge
-18.1%
29%
28%
42%
covers Nantes + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Nantes or Nancy
71.6%
Avg Implied 73.6% · @ 1.27
Edge
-2.0%
29%
28%
42%
covers Nantes + Nancy
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Draw or Nancy
70.8%
Avg Implied 50.6% · @ 1.84
Edge
+20.2%
29%
28%
42%
covers Draw + Nancy
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Betano
1.88
10Bet
1.85
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Nantes over/under 0.5
Over
68.9%
@ 1.17-9.7%
Under
31.1%
@ 4.32+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Under
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.20
Nantes over/under 1.5
Over
32.6%
@ 1.91-16.2%
Under
67.4%
@ 1.82+16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.93
Unibet
1.92
10Bet
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Under
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Nantes over/under 2.5
Over
11.4%
@ 3.88-12.5%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.22+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Pinnacle
3.93
Unibet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Nantes over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
@ 8.74-7.5%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.04+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Marathonbet
8.50
1xBet
8.50
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Nancy over/under 0.5
Over
76.5%
@ 1.43+11.6%
Under
23.5%
@ 2.64-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.46
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Under
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.72
Pinnacle
2.68
10Bet
2.65
1xBet
2.64
Nancy over/under 1.5
Over
42.5%
@ 3.17+13.2%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.31-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.34
Unibet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Under
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Nancy over/under 2.5
Over
17.9%
@ 8.64+7.0%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.05-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
8.80
Marathonbet
8.80
Betfair
8.50
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Nancy over/under 3.5
Over
5.9%
@ 19.00+0.9%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.01-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Nantes, so a minus line means Nantes give that many goals of a start and Nancy receive them. At -1, Nantes must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Nantes win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Nantes)
Nantes -2
3.9%
@ 7.20-8.6%
Draw -2
8.5%
@ 5.37-8.3%
Nancy +2
87.6%
@ 1.27+16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.75
Draw
Marathonbet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Handicap -1 (Nantes)
Nantes -1
12.4%
@ 3.37-14.2%
Draw -1
16.9%
@ 3.64-7.7%
Nancy +1
70.8%
@ 1.83+21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Unibet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.72
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.40
Away
Marathonbet
1.89
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.84
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.73
Handicap +1 (Nantes)
Nantes +1
57.7%
@ 1.22-16.1%
Draw +1
21.2%
@ 5.52+4.9%
Nancy -1
21.1%
@ 9.12+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.85
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.00
Away
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Marathonbet
9.10
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
8.50
Handicap +2 (Nantes)
Nantes +2
78.9%
@ 1.05-9.8%
Draw +2
13.0%
@ 12.50+5.5%
Nancy -2
8.1%
@ 24.50+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
12.00
Away
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nantes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.67
0.80
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.07
0.71
1.29
0.43
0.86
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.50
0.62
0.38
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.50
-
-
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Nancy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.47
0.64
0.57
0.31
0.38
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.43
0.56
0.67
0.36
0.29
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.2%
@ 1.37+0.3%
Under 0.5
31.8%
@ 2.89-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
1xBet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.01
William Hil
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.89
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.8%
@ 2.71-1.4%
Under 1.5
67.2%
@ 1.41+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.82
Betano
2.82
Betfair
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
BetVictor
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.5%
@ 6.77-3.2%
Under 2.5
89.5%
@ 1.07+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.65
1xBet
6.65
William Hil
6.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nantes over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.1%
@ 1.79-7.7%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.92+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.83
Unibet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Under
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.93
10Bet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.90
Betano
1.90
Nantes over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.5%
@ 5.12-7.7%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.14+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Nantes over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.3%
@ 12.75-5.1%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Nancy over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.6%
@ 2.46+0.9%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.49-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.52
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.47
Unibet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.43
Under
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.48
Nancy over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.4%
@ 8.97+0.0%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.04-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.00
1xBet
9.50
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
Nancy over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nantes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.07
0.53
1.13
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
1.00
0.86
1.00
0.14
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.43
1.14
0.25
1.25
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Nancy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nancy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.93
0.64
1.21
0.81
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.25
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.70
1.00
0.56
1.44
0.79
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.8%
@ 1.21+4.1%
Under 0.5
19.2%
@ 3.99-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
Betano
4.05
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.5%
@ 2.04+0.8%
Under 1.5
53.5%
@ 1.71-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.12
William Hil
2.10
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Betano
2.00
Under
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
William Hil
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.6%
@ 4.29-3.1%
Under 2.5
81.4%
@ 1.19+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nantes over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.7%
@ 1.54-5.4%
Under
45.3%
@ 2.33+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Under
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.34
10Bet
2.30
Nantes over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.9%
@ 3.54-9.2%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.25+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.56
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.45
Under
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Nantes over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.2%
@ 9.10-7.0%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.03+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Nancy over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.2%
@ 2.00+4.7%
Under
48.8%
@ 1.74-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.01
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Under
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Nancy over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.3%
@ 6.25+1.6%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.08-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.80
1xBet
6.70
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Nancy over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.5%
@ 16.38-2.4%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.1%
Over 19.5 fouls
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.9%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
+7.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.8%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+7.0%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.4%
Under 5.5
95.0%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+3.3%
Away under 3.5 goals
94.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-0.9%
Over 21.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-0.0%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.14
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+7.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+3.2%
Home under 2.5 goals
88.6%
1.22
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
+12.5%
Away +2 handicap
87.6%
1.27
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
+16.8%
Under 4.5
87.5%
1.10
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
+2.6%
Over 23.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.7%
1.08
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-1.6%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.1%
1.25
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-
+9.2%
Away under 2.5 goals
82.1%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-7.0%
Over 2.5 cards
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.4%
1.19
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
+3.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.8%
1.21
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+4.1%
Under 11.5 corners
79.2%
1.36
Betano
1.36
Unibet
1.36
-
-
-
+11.5%
Home +2 handicap
78.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-
-
-
-9.8%
Away over 0.5 goals
76.5%
1.43
Pinnacle
1.46
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.42
+11.6%
Over 25.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.9%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
+0.9%
Under 3.5
73.2%
1.33
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.32
+2.9%
Under 5.5 cards
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.6%
1.27
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
-2.0%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Nantes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Killian Corredor33%
Wilitty Younoussa33%
Bahereba Guirassy25%
Maxime Dupé0%
Frédéric Guilbert0%
Mathieu Cafaro0%
Kelvin Amian0%
Ibrahima Sissoko0%
Lucas Perrin0%
Johann Lepenant0%
Dehmaine Tabibou0%
Louis Leroux0%
Bahmed Deuff0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wilitty Younoussa33%
Bahmed Deuff33%
Frédéric Guilbert25%
Mathieu Cafaro25%
Maxime Dupé0%
Kelvin Amian0%
Ibrahima Sissoko0%
Lucas Perrin0%
Killian Corredor0%
Johann Lepenant0%
Dehmaine Tabibou0%
Louis Leroux0%
Bahereba Guirassy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Wilitty Younoussa33%
Mathieu Cafaro25%
Lucas Perrin25%
Bahereba Guirassy25%
Maxime Dupé0%
Frédéric Guilbert0%
Kelvin Amian0%
Ibrahima Sissoko0%
Killian Corredor0%
Johann Lepenant0%
Dehmaine Tabibou0%
Louis Leroux0%
Bahmed Deuff0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahima Sissoko50%
Bahereba Guirassy25%
Maxime Dupé0%
Frédéric Guilbert0%
Mathieu Cafaro0%
Kelvin Amian0%
Lucas Perrin0%
Killian Corredor0%
Johann Lepenant0%
Wilitty Younoussa0%
Dehmaine Tabibou0%
Louis Leroux0%
Bahmed Deuff0%
Nancy
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brandon Bokangu50%
Nehemiah Fernandez25%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Zakaria Fdaouch0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Ilyes Housni0%
Enzo Tacafred0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nehemiah Fernandez50%
Héliohdino Tavares33%
Enzo Tacafred25%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Zakaria Fdaouch0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Brandon Bokangu0%
Ilyes Housni0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ilyes Housni50%
Zakaria Fdaouch25%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Brandon Bokangu0%
Nehemiah Fernandez0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Enzo Tacafred0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Brandon Bokangu50%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Zakaria Fdaouch0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Nehemiah Fernandez0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Ilyes Housni0%
Enzo Tacafred0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (30)
€93m
NAN (25)
€82m
REI (30)
€72m
MET (26)
€43m
MON (24)
€29m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BOU (23)
€8m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
Nantes's squad is €68m more valuable than Nancy's (€82m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
BOU (6)
€2m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
Nantes's attack is €26m more valuable than Nancy's (€31m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
BOU (6)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
Nantes's midfield is €14m more valuable than Nancy's (€16m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (10)
€34m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
BOU (11)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
DIJ (7)
€2m
Nantes's defence is €28m more valuable than Nancy's (€34m vs €6m).
France: Ligue 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Saint Etienne
Reims
Montpellier
Rodez
Annecy
Metz
RED Star FC 93
Sochaux
Dunkerque
Guingamp
PAU
Grenoble
Laval
Boulogne
Clermont Foot
Dijon