This opponent (Reims) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reims
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
0.67
1.94
0.62
1.71
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.27
0.55
1.00
0.83
1.60
0.20
vs Weaker (18)
2.22
0.78
2.67
0.56
1.78
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.7%
Under 1.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.9%
Under 2.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.5%
Under 3.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.4%
No
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0 ✓
11.2%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.4%
Nantes goals ↓
Reims goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.9%
6.4%
2.4%
0.7%
1
10%
15%
7.5%
2.9%
0.8%
2
6.9%
7.8%
4.4%
1.7%
0.5%
3
2.7%
3.1%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nantes goals (down), columns = Reims goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.39
Lille
1.97
Lyon
1.89
Saint Etienne
1.74
Marseille
1.61
Montpellier
1.55
Nice
1.47
Reims
1.45
Nimes
1.39
Rennes
1.37
Strasbourg
1.29
Nantes
1.26
Angers
1.21
Bordeaux
1.08
Amiens
1.00
Toulouse
1.00
Monaco
0.95
Dijon
0.89
Caen
0.87
Guingamp
0.71
Nantes is 0.18 points worse than Reims in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.45).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.76
Lyon
1.84
Lille
1.79
Marseille
1.58
Saint Etienne
1.55
Strasbourg
1.53
Nimes
1.50
Rennes
1.45
Montpellier
1.39
Nantes
1.26
Angers
1.16
Reims
1.03
Monaco
1.00
Toulouse
0.92
Bordeaux
0.89
Amiens
0.82
Dijon
0.82
Nice
0.79
Caen
0.76
Guingamp
0.74
Nantes is 0.24 goals better than Reims in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lille
0.87
Nice
0.92
Paris Saint Germain
0.92
Saint Etienne
1.08
Bordeaux
1.11
Montpellier
1.11
Reims
1.11
Lyon
1.24
Nantes
1.26
Strasbourg
1.26
Angers
1.29
Amiens
1.37
Marseille
1.37
Rennes
1.37
Caen
1.42
Monaco
1.50
Toulouse
1.50
Nimes
1.53
Dijon
1.58
Guingamp
1.79
Nantes is 0.16 goals worse than Reims in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Nantes
For 4.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Reims
For 4.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 0.4 · Total 1.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nantes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.0
10.6
3.8
3.5
4.0
24.1
24.0
24.2
vs Stronger (20)
11.7
10.9
12.4
3.8
3.1
4.4
23.7
23.7
23.7
vs Similar (20)
10.1
10.4
9.7
4.0
4.1
3.9
22.9
22.7
23.2
vs Weaker (10)
7.9
7.6
8.2
3.2
3.0
3.4
27.1
27.4
26.8
% over line
56%
44%
68%
50%
48%
52%
68%
72%
64%
% under line
44%
56%
32%
50%
52%
48%
32%
28%
36%
This opponent (Reims) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reims
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.0
10.4
2.6
2.3
2.8
26.2
21.5
31.0
vs Stronger (1)
4.0
4.0
-
2.0
2.0
-
21.0
21.0
-
vs Similar (17)
11.1
10.7
11.6
2.2
2.5
1.9
24.5
22.0
27.0
vs Weaker (32)
10.0
10.1
9.9
2.8
2.2
3.4
35.0
-
35.0
% over line
57%
52%
62%
28%
24%
32%
75%
50%
100%
% under line
43%
48%
38%
72%
76%
68%
25%
50%
0%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Guingamp
11.0
Saint Etienne
10.7
Paris Saint Germain
10.6
Dijon
10.5
Reims
10.4
Nantes
10.3
Monaco
10.3
Nice
10.1
Rennes
10.1
Marseille
10.1
Caen
10.0
Lyon
9.9
Toulouse
9.6
Lille
9.6
Strasbourg
9.5
Amiens
9.3
Nimes
9.1
Montpellier
9.1
Angers
9.0
Bordeaux
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nimes
5.1
Toulouse
4.7
Rennes
4.5
Nice
4.2
Angers
4.1
Strasbourg
4.1
Marseille
4.0
Lyon
3.9
Caen
3.8
Montpellier
3.8
Guingamp
3.8
Bordeaux
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
Nantes
3.8
Paris Saint Germain
3.7
Monaco
3.6
Amiens
3.6
Dijon
3.5
Lille
3.3
Reims
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Nimes
28.8
Toulouse
28.7
Monaco
26.9
Reims
26.8
Rennes
26.8
Guingamp
26.7
Lyon
26.6
Bordeaux
26.5
Marseille
26.4
Amiens
26.3
Nice
26.3
Dijon
26.2
Saint Etienne
25.8
Montpellier
25.6
Strasbourg
25.5
Caen
25.0
Lille
24.6
Angers
24.3
Nantes
24.1
Paris Saint Germain
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.6%
Under 9.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.4%
Under 3.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.6%
Under 21.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nantes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.40
0.40
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (14)
0.64
0.64
0.57
0.29
0.71
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.27
0.36
0.20
0.40
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.80
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Reims) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reims
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.30
1.06
0.19
0.64
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.18
0.50
0.17
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (18)
1.11
0.39
1.44
0.22
0.78
0.56
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nantes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nantes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.33
0.80
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
1.00
0.43
1.00
0.43
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.45
0.20
0.80
1.17
0.17
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.80
0.33
0.33
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Reims) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reims
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.37
0.88
0.44
1.07
0.29
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.36
0.50
0.67
1.20
0.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.11
0.39
1.22
0.33
1.00
0.44
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nantes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Nantes · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Killian Corredor33%
Wilitty Younoussa33%
Bahereba Guirassy25%
Maxime Dupé0%
Frédéric Guilbert0%
Mathieu Cafaro0%
Kelvin Amian0%
Ibrahima Sissoko0%
Lucas Perrin0%
Johann Lepenant0%
Dehmaine Tabibou0%
Louis Leroux0%
Bahmed Deuff0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wilitty Younoussa33%
Bahmed Deuff33%
Frédéric Guilbert25%
Mathieu Cafaro25%
Maxime Dupé0%
Kelvin Amian0%
Ibrahima Sissoko0%
Lucas Perrin0%
Killian Corredor0%
Johann Lepenant0%
Dehmaine Tabibou0%
Louis Leroux0%
Bahereba Guirassy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Wilitty Younoussa33%
Mathieu Cafaro25%
Lucas Perrin25%
Bahereba Guirassy25%
Maxime Dupé0%
Frédéric Guilbert0%
Kelvin Amian0%
Ibrahima Sissoko0%
Killian Corredor0%
Johann Lepenant0%
Dehmaine Tabibou0%
Louis Leroux0%
Bahmed Deuff0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahima Sissoko50%
Bahereba Guirassy25%
Maxime Dupé0%
Frédéric Guilbert0%
Mathieu Cafaro0%
Kelvin Amian0%
Lucas Perrin0%
Killian Corredor0%
Johann Lepenant0%
Wilitty Younoussa0%
Dehmaine Tabibou0%
Louis Leroux0%
Bahmed Deuff0%
Reims · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Quentin Paris33%
Youssef El Kachati25%
Sambou Soumano25%
Samuel Kotto25%
Yaya Fofana25%
Ange Tia25%
Mohamed Daramy0%
Theo Leoni0%
Tom Hülsmann0%
Daouda Guindo0%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon0%
Jean Mambuku0%
Amine Kashi0%
John Otomewo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daouda Guindo50%
Quentin Paris33%
Youssef El Kachati25%
Samuel Kotto25%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon25%
Mohamed Daramy0%
Sambou Soumano0%
Theo Leoni0%
Tom Hülsmann0%
Yaya Fofana0%
Ange Tia0%
Jean Mambuku0%
Amine Kashi0%
John Otomewo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daouda Guindo75%
Amine Kashi33%
Mohamed Daramy0%
Youssef El Kachati0%
Sambou Soumano0%
Theo Leoni0%
Tom Hülsmann0%
Samuel Kotto0%
Yaya Fofana0%
Ange Tia0%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon0%
Quentin Paris0%
Jean Mambuku0%
John Otomewo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yaya Fofana25%
Mohamed Daramy0%
Youssef El Kachati0%
Sambou Soumano0%
Theo Leoni0%
Tom Hülsmann0%
Daouda Guindo0%
Samuel Kotto0%
Ange Tia0%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon0%
Quentin Paris0%
Jean Mambuku0%
Amine Kashi0%
John Otomewo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
REI (30)
€72m
MON (24)
€29m
GUI (20)
€11m
DIJ (20)
€5m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
Nantes's squad is €10m more valuable than Reims's (€82m vs €72m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
MON (9)
€11m
GUI (4)
€3m
CAE (8)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
Nantes's attack is €7m less valuable than Reims's (€31m vs €38m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
NIC (9)
€31m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
ANG (3)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
DIJ (6)
€2m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
Nantes's midfield is €4m more valuable than Reims's (€16m vs €13m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
NAN (10)
€34m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
MON (10)
€12m
AMI (8)
€4m
GUI (8)
€3m
CAE (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
Nantes's defence is €13m more valuable than Reims's (€34m vs €21m).
France: Ligue 1 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →
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Paris Saint Germain
Lille
Lyon
Saint Etienne
Marseille
Montpellier
Nice
Nimes
Rennes
Strasbourg
Angers
Bordeaux
Amiens
Toulouse
Monaco
Dijon
Caen
Guingamp