Neftchi Baku vs Zira Result & Analysis

The match between Neftchi Baku and Zira is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win chances sit at 33% and 39% respectively, while a draw is 29%. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly high scoring game, yet the most probable total is two goals, with a 26% chance of that outcome. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.7% probability. Neftchi Baku, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.71 conceded, while Zira, on the road, averages 1.5 for and 1.5 against. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 74.9% and Under 3.5 goals at 73.2%. Neftchi Baku has recently recovered from a loss, whereas Zira is riding a three-game winning streak. The model’s selection points to an away victory, with the 1-1 scoreline as the most probable result.

The 0-0 draw stunned everyone, as the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick for an away win, failed to materialise. Neftchi Baku, after a recent loss, had been on a winning streak, while Zira entered the match on a three-game run. The model had given the away side a 39% chance of triumph, yet the outcome was a stalemate. The model’s other selections also fell short: the Over 1.5 goal pick, with a 74.9% probability, missed, whereas the Under 3.5 goal pick, at 73.2%, hit. In short, the predicted outcome and both ancillary picks were incorrect.