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Neptūną Klaipėda vs Atmosfera Result & Analysis

Date: 08/03/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 2-0
Neptūną Klaipėda
Neptūną Klaipėda
Vs
62%
22%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Atmosfera
Atmosfera
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptūną Klaipėda win✓ Hit
61.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera win✗ Miss
16.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W22D41W31W22D50W11D30W15L52WA·GAR25/08H·PAN06/09A·ŽAL16/09H·EKR23/09A·BFA30/09H·BAB07/10H·BE121/10A·NEV28/10A·KAU04/11A·JON08/11
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.172.120.751.711.64
vs Stronger (11)1.821.271.830.831.801.80
vs Similar (12)1.830.921.670.332.001.50
vs Weaker (7)2.291.433.251.251.001.67
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Atmosfera) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtmosferaAtmosfera

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L12L22D05L23L02L14L21W02L24LH·PAN03/09A·ŠIL08/09H·NEV16/09A·DAI30/09H·GAR07/10A·BE115/10H·EKR21/10A·BFA29/10H·MIN04/11A·NEP12/11
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.372.231.272.071.472.40
vs Stronger (26)1.422.231.231.851.622.62
vs Similar (4)1.002.251.503.500.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %3% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Neptūną Klaipėda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.8%
Under 1.5
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.0%
Under 2.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.7%
Under 3.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.3%
No
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0 ✓
9.5%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
Neptūną Klaipėda goals ↓
Atmosfera goals →
01234
05.0%3.4%2.2%0.8%0.2%
17.9%10%4.8%1.7%0.4%
29.5%9.9%5.2%1.8%0.5%
36.8%7.1%3.7%1.3%0.3%
43.6%3.8%2.0%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Neptūną Klaipėda goals (down), columns = Atmosfera goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FK Trakai
2.47
Be1 NFA
2.10
Babrungas
1.90
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.90
Tauras
1.57
Nevėžis
1.57
Atmosfera
1.47
Ekranas
1.30
BFA
1.23
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.17
Hegelmann II
1.13
Panevėžys II
1.13
FA Šiauliai II
1.07
Minija
1.03
Garliava
0.77
Banga II
0.40
Neptūną Klaipėda is 0.43 points better than Atmosfera in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Trakai
2.33
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.13
Be1 NFA
1.90
Babrungas
1.87
Tauras
1.83
FA Šiauliai II
1.77
BFA
1.50
Nevėžis
1.47
Ekranas
1.40
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.30
Hegelmann II
1.23
Panevėžys II
1.23
Atmosfera
1.20
Garliava
0.97
Minija
0.93
Banga II
0.60
Neptūną Klaipėda is 0.93 goals better than Atmosfera in terms of goals scored per game (2.13 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Trakai
0.63
Be1 NFA
0.87
Babrungas
0.93
Tauras
1.03
Nevėžis
1.07
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.27
Atmosfera
1.30
Minija
1.33
Ekranas
1.60
BFA
1.60
Garliava
1.70
Panevėžys II
1.77
Hegelmann II
1.97
Kauno Žalgiris II
2.03
Banga II
2.27
FA Šiauliai II
2.30
Neptūną Klaipėda is 0.03 goals better than Atmosfera in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W11D01L20W00D50W10W10W12L21WA·GAR25/08H·PAN06/09A·ŽAL16/09H·EKR23/09A·BFA30/09H·BAB07/10H·BE121/10A·NEV28/10A·KAU04/11A·JON08/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.471.000.310.710.64
vs Stronger (11)1.000.551.170.330.800.80
vs Similar (12)0.500.330.500.170.500.50
vs Weaker (7)1.290.571.500.501.000.67
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Atmosfera) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtmosferaAtmosfera

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D12L04L11D01L04L10W00D23LH·PAN03/09A·ŠIL08/09H·NEV16/09A·DAI30/09H·GAR07/10A·BE115/10H·EKR21/10A·BFA29/10H·MIN04/11A·NEP12/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.791.210.641.140.931.27
vs Stronger (25)0.841.160.670.921.001.38
vs Similar (4)0.501.500.502.500.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %34% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Neptūną Klaipėda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D40W11D22D00D01L20W03L31WA·GAR25/08H·PAN06/09A·ŽAL16/09H·EKR23/09A·BFA30/09H·BAB07/10H·BE121/10A·NEV28/10A·KAU04/11A·JON08/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.701.120.441.001.00
vs Stronger (11)0.820.730.670.501.001.00
vs Similar (12)1.330.581.170.171.501.00
vs Weaker (7)1.000.861.750.750.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Atmosfera) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtmosferaAtmosfera

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L10W01L12L01L10W11D02L01LH·PAN03/09A·ŠIL08/09H·NEV16/09A·DAI30/09H·GAR07/10A·BE115/10H·EKR21/10A·BFA29/10H·MIN04/11A·NEP12/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.591.030.640.930.531.13
vs Stronger (25)0.601.080.580.920.621.23
vs Similar (4)0.500.751.001.000.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %31% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Neptūną Klaipėda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HI (4)
€0m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
Neptūną Klaipėda and Atmosfera have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Neptūną Klaipėda and Atmosfera have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Neptūną Klaipėda and Atmosfera have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HI (2)
€0m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
NK wins
1
Draws
0
ATM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Neptūną Klaipėda vs Atmosfera · H/A from NK
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/22HNK Vs Atmosfera4-2
06/07/22AAtmosfera Vs NK2-2

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/23AJonava Vs NK2-5
04/11/23AKauno Žalgiris II Vs NK5-1
28/10/23ANevėžis Vs NK0-3
21/10/23HNK Vs Be1 NFA1-1
07/10/23HNK Vs Babrungas5-0
30/09/23ABFA Vs NK2-2
23/09/23HNK Vs Ekranas3-1
16/09/23AŽalgiris II Vs NK1-4
06/09/23HNK Vs Panevėžys II2-2
25/08/23AGarliava Vs NK0-1

AtmosferaAtmosfera

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/22ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs ATM4-2
04/11/22HATM Vs Minija0-2
29/10/22ABFA Vs ATM1-2
21/10/22HATM Vs Ekranas1-4
15/10/22ABe1 NFA Vs ATM2-0
07/10/22HATM Vs Garliava2-3
30/09/22ADainava Vs ATM5-0
16/09/22HATM Vs Nevėžis2-2
08/09/22AŠilas Vs ATM2-1
03/09/22HATM Vs Panevėžys II1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Neptūną Klaipėda
Neptūną Klaipėda
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.80
HomeWDWWD2.16
AwayWDWLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%64%40%
AVG goals3.242.923.56
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %64%60%68%
Over 3.5 %44%36%52%
Scored2.002.121.88
Conceded1.240.801.68
BTTS60%52%68%
Clean Sheet32%48%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Atmosfera
Atmosfera
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL0.80
HomeLDLLL0.67
AwayLLLWL0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%13%27%
AVG goals3.603.333.87
Over 1.5 %87%87%87%
Over 2.5 %67%67%67%
Over 3.5 %40%40%40%
Scored1.371.271.47
Conceded2.232.072.40
BTTS67%67%67%
Clean Sheet3%0%7%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK TrakaiFK Trakai3074
80%
2.5
7019+51
3.0
73%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.6
-
2Be1 NFABe1 NFA3063
63%
2.1
5726+31
2.8
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
3BabrungasBabrungas3057
53%
1.9
5628+28
2.8
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3057
57%
1.9
6438+26
3.4
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.3
-
5TaurasTauras3047
43%
1.6
5531+24
2.9
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
6NevėžisNevėžis3047
43%
1.6
4432+12
2.5
70%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
7AtmosferaAtmosfera3044
43%
1.5
3639-3
2.5
70%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
8EkranasEkranas3039
33%
1.3
4248-6
3.0
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
9BFABFA3037
30%
1.2
4548-3
3.1
83%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
10Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3035
33%
1.2
3961-22
3.3
97%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
11Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3034
30%
1.1
3753-16
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
12Hegelmann IIHegelmann II3034
33%
1.1
3759-22
3.2
90%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
13FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3032
33%
1.1
5369-16
4.1
87%
77%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
14MinijaMinija3031
20%
1.0
2840-12
2.3
67%
37%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
15GarliavaGarliava3023
17%
0.8
2951-22
2.7
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
16Banga IIBanga II3012
7%
0.4
1868-50
2.9
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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