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Neptūną Klaipėda vs Ekranas Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 3-2
Neptūną Klaipėda
Neptūną Klaipėda
Vs
59%
24%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ekranas
Ekranas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptūną Klaipėda win✓ Hit
58.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ekranas win✗ Miss
17.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-613L10W22D01L21W20W11D50W60W15LH·FK 22/04H·GAR26/04A·MIN03/05H·BAB10/05H·TAU17/05A·NEV24/05A·BE131/05H·HEG14/06A·BAN21/06A·FK 27/06
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.332.141.002.191.62
vs Stronger (10)1.601.601.601.401.601.80
vs Similar (13)2.691.152.801.002.621.25
vs Weaker (7)2.001.292.000.502.002.33
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkranasEkranas

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W03L31W11D12L23L13L20W20WH·BE104/05A·BE107/05A·FK 11/05H·HEG19/05A·BAN25/05A·NEV28/05H·ATM02/06A·PAN09/06H·KAU16/06A·FA 22/06
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.731.791.931.751.56
vs Stronger (26)1.881.691.752.002.001.43
vs Similar (4)1.002.002.001.500.002.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Neptūną Klaipėda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.9%
Under 3.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.9%
No
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
6.6%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
5.0%
Neptūną Klaipėda goals ↓
Ekranas goals →
01234
06.6%4.3%2.6%0.8%0.2%
19.7%11%5.0%1.6%0.4%
210%9.9%4.8%1.5%0.4%
36.6%6.4%3.1%1.0%0.2%
43.2%3.1%1.5%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Neptūną Klaipėda goals (down), columns = Ekranas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FK Trakai
2.47
Be1 NFA
2.10
Babrungas
1.90
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.90
Tauras
1.57
Nevėžis
1.57
Atmosfera
1.47
Ekranas
1.30
BFA
1.23
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.17
Hegelmann II
1.13
Panevėžys II
1.13
FA Šiauliai II
1.07
Minija
1.03
Garliava
0.77
Banga II
0.40
Neptūną Klaipėda is 0.60 points better than Ekranas in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Trakai
2.33
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.13
Be1 NFA
1.90
Babrungas
1.87
Tauras
1.83
FA Šiauliai II
1.77
BFA
1.50
Nevėžis
1.47
Ekranas
1.40
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.30
Hegelmann II
1.23
Panevėžys II
1.23
Atmosfera
1.20
Garliava
0.97
Minija
0.93
Banga II
0.60
Neptūną Klaipėda is 0.73 goals better than Ekranas in terms of goals scored per game (2.13 vs 1.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Trakai
0.63
Be1 NFA
0.87
Babrungas
0.93
Tauras
1.03
Nevėžis
1.07
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.27
Atmosfera
1.30
Minija
1.33
Ekranas
1.60
BFA
1.60
Garliava
1.70
Panevėžys II
1.77
Hegelmann II
1.97
Kauno Žalgiris II
2.03
Banga II
2.27
FA Šiauliai II
2.30
Neptūną Klaipėda is 0.33 goals better than Ekranas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D10W10W01L00D20W01L20W20W12LA·EKR13/04H·GAR26/04A·MIN03/05H·BAB10/05H·TAU17/05A·NEV24/05A·BE131/05H·HEG14/06A·BAN21/06A·FK 27/06
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.501.210.290.880.69
vs Stronger (9)1.220.671.750.500.800.80
vs Similar (14)0.790.360.830.330.750.38
vs Weaker (7)1.290.571.250.001.331.33
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkranasEkranas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D10W11D02L12L00D10W10WH·BE104/05A·BE107/05A·FK 11/05H·HEG19/05A·BAN25/05A·NEV28/05H·ATM02/06A·PAN09/06H·KAU16/06A·FA 22/06
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.670.800.470.80
vs Stronger (26)0.580.690.620.770.540.62
vs Similar (4)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Neptūną Klaipėda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D12L00D21W00D10W30W40W03LA·EKR13/04H·GAR26/04A·MIN03/05H·BAB10/05H·TAU17/05A·NEV24/05A·BE131/05H·HEG14/06A·BAN21/06A·FK 27/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.731.000.501.310.94
vs Stronger (9)0.440.780.000.500.801.00
vs Similar (14)1.860.711.830.501.880.88
vs Weaker (7)0.710.710.750.500.671.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkranasEkranas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W03L21W00D10W11D13L10W10WH·BE104/05A·BE107/05A·FK 11/05H·HEG19/05A·BAN25/05A·NEV28/05H·ATM02/06A·PAN09/06H·KAU16/06A·FA 22/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.931.071.000.530.87
vs Stronger (26)0.851.001.081.080.620.92
vs Similar (4)0.500.501.000.500.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Neptūną Klaipėda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HI (4)
€0m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
Neptūną Klaipėda and Ekranas have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Neptūną Klaipėda and Ekranas have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Neptūną Klaipėda and Ekranas have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HI (2)
€0m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
5
NK wins
0
Draws
0
EKR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Neptūną Klaipėda vs Ekranas · H/A from NK
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/24AEkranas Vs NK2-4
23/09/23HNK Vs Ekranas3-1
29/04/23AEkranas Vs NK0-1
01/10/22AEkranas Vs NK1-2
28/05/22HNK Vs Ekranas4-3

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/06/24AFK Trakai Vs NK5-1
21/06/24ABanga II Vs NK0-6
14/06/24HNK Vs Hegelmann II5-0
31/05/24ABe1 NFA Vs NK1-1
24/05/24ANevėžis Vs NK0-2
17/05/24HNK Vs Tauras2-1
10/05/24HNK Vs Babrungas0-1
03/05/24AMinija Vs NK2-2
26/04/24HNK Vs Garliava1-0
22/04/24HNK Vs FK Trakai1-3

EkranasEkranas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/06/24AFA Šiauliai II Vs EKR0-2
16/06/24HEKR Vs Kauno Žalgiris II2-0
09/06/24APanevėžys II Vs EKR3-1
02/06/24HEKR Vs Atmosfera2-3
28/05/24ANevėžis Vs EKR2-1
25/05/24ABanga II Vs EKR1-1
19/05/24HEKR Vs Hegelmann II3-1
11/05/24AFK Trakai Vs EKR3-0
07/05/24ABe1 NFA Vs EKR0-1
04/05/24HEKR Vs Be1 NFA2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Neptūną Klaipėda
Neptūną Klaipėda
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.82
HomeLWLWW2.04
AwayDWDWL1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%60%44%
AVG goals3.262.923.60
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %46%40%52%
Scored2.082.082.08
Conceded1.180.841.52
BTTS56%48%64%
Clean Sheet36%48%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Ekranas
Ekranas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.36
HomeLWWLW1.38
AwayLDLLW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals3.263.173.35
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.661.501.81
Conceded1.601.671.54
BTTS62%67%58%
Clean Sheet18%17%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK TrakaiFK Trakai3074
80%
2.5
7019+51
3.0
73%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.6
-
2Be1 NFABe1 NFA3063
63%
2.1
5726+31
2.8
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
3BabrungasBabrungas3057
53%
1.9
5628+28
2.8
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3057
57%
1.9
6438+26
3.4
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.3
-
5TaurasTauras3047
43%
1.6
5531+24
2.9
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
6NevėžisNevėžis3047
43%
1.6
4432+12
2.5
70%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
7AtmosferaAtmosfera3044
43%
1.5
3639-3
2.5
70%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
8EkranasEkranas3039
33%
1.3
4248-6
3.0
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
9BFABFA3037
30%
1.2
4548-3
3.1
83%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
10Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3035
33%
1.2
3961-22
3.3
97%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
11Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3034
30%
1.1
3753-16
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
12Hegelmann IIHegelmann II3034
33%
1.1
3759-22
3.2
90%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
13FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3032
33%
1.1
5369-16
4.1
87%
77%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
14MinijaMinija3031
20%
1.0
2840-12
2.3
67%
37%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
15GarliavaGarliava3023
17%
0.8
2951-22
2.7
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
16Banga IIBanga II3012
7%
0.4
1868-50
2.9
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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