PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Nikarm vs Lernayin Artsakh Result & Analysis

Date: 21/04/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 0-2
Nikarm
Nikarm
Vs
15%
18%
67%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Nikarm win✗ Miss
15.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh win✓ Hit
66.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

NikarmNikarm

Last 10 – goals for & against
110-1105L011L06L13L27L08L24L41W06L10WH·ARA08/11A·ARA11/11A·LER22/02H·BAN03/03A·PYU09/03H·GAN15/03H·ARA29/03A·ONO06/04H·BKM11/04A·MIK16/04
Avg total
6.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
5.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.144.331.274.091.004.60
vs Stronger (9)0.445.110.504.750.405.40
vs Similar (10)1.804.201.833.831.754.75
vs Weaker (2)1.001.501.003.001.000.00
Clean sheet %5% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D01L20W11D60W30W61W10W13L30WH·ARA07/11A·NOA12/11H·NOA27/11A·BAN03/12H·NIK22/02H·PYU03/03H·ONO16/03A·GAN29/03A·BKM04/04H·MIK11/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.332.071.070.931.60
vs Stronger (14)1.071.571.431.430.711.71
vs Similar (14)1.931.072.570.861.291.29
vs Weaker (2)1.501.503.000.000.003.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikarm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%2%06%115%219%320%416%522%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.7%
Under 1.5
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
76.7%
Under 2.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.4%
Under 3.5
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.8%
No
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.6%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
6.9%
0-2 ✓
6.6%
0-3
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-3
5.1%
Nikarm goals ↓
Lernayin Artsakh goals →
01234
02.4%4.2%6.6%6.0%4.1%
11.7%6.9%8.6%7.8%5.4%
21.5%4.1%5.6%5.1%3.5%
30.7%1.8%2.4%2.2%1.5%
40.2%0.6%0.8%0.7%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nikarm goals (down), columns = Lernayin Artsakh goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Gandzasar
2.64
BKMA II
2.25
Syunik
2.22
Lernayin Artsakh
2.07
Banants II
1.50
Andranik
1.46
Noah II
1.39
Ararat-Armenia II
1.39
Alashkert II
1.32
Shirak II
1.18
Ararat II
1.14
Pyunik II
1.07
Mika
0.61
Onor
0.59
Nikarm
0.43
Nikarm is 1.64 points worse than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of average points per game (0.43 vs 2.07).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.89
Gandzasar
2.46
Lernayin Artsakh
2.21
Syunik
2.19
Noah II
1.89
Ararat II
1.86
Banants II
1.82
Pyunik II
1.79
Ararat-Armenia II
1.71
Alashkert II
1.64
Shirak II
1.46
Andranik
1.32
Nikarm
0.96
Onor
0.85
Mika
0.75
Nikarm is 1.25 goals worse than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of goals scored per game (0.96 vs 2.21).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Gandzasar
0.61
Syunik
0.89
Lernayin Artsakh
0.96
BKMA II
1.11
Banants II
1.21
Noah II
1.36
Andranik
1.46
Ararat-Armenia II
1.46
Ararat II
1.68
Alashkert II
1.75
Shirak II
1.79
Pyunik II
2.04
Mika
2.14
Onor
3.04
Nikarm
4.36
Nikarm is 3.39 goals worse than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of goals conceded per game (4.36 vs 0.96).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NikarmNikarm

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
70-700D01L02L07L02L02L14L00D20W04LH·SYU30/10A·ALA03/11H·ARA08/11A·ARA11/11A·LER22/02H·BAN03/03A·PYU09/03H·ARA29/03A·ONO06/04H·BKM11/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.780.501.600.502.00
vs Stronger (7)0.001.860.001.330.002.25
vs Similar (10)0.801.900.672.001.001.75
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D00D11D20W10W00D02L10WH·ALA31/10A·ARA03/11H·ARA07/11H·NOA27/11A·BAN03/12H·NIK22/02H·PYU03/03A·GAN29/03A·BKM04/04H·MIK11/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.730.530.270.60
vs Stronger (15)0.530.670.880.620.140.71
vs Similar (13)0.460.540.500.500.430.57
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikarm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nikarm over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NikarmNikarm

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L13L03L04L04L11D13L24L21W02LH·SYU30/10A·ALA03/11H·ARA08/11A·ARA11/11A·LER22/02H·BAN03/03A·PYU09/03H·ARA29/03A·ONO06/04H·BKM11/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.722.560.902.100.503.12
vs Stronger (7)0.432.860.672.330.253.25
vs Similar (10)1.002.301.171.830.753.00
vs Weaker (1)0.003.000.003.00--
Clean sheet %6% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D00D20W00D40W20W10W11D20WH·ALA31/10A·ARA03/11H·ARA07/11H·NOA27/11A·BAN03/12H·NIK22/02H·PYU03/03A·GAN29/03A·BKM04/04H·MIK11/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.930.600.401.07
vs Stronger (15)0.470.930.380.880.571.00
vs Similar (13)0.850.621.500.330.290.86
vs Weaker (2)1.001.502.000.000.003.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikarm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nikarm over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.576.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (25)
€3m
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (8)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
NIK wins
0
Draws
1
LA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nikarm vs Lernayin Artsakh · H/A from NIK
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/24ALernayin Artsakh Vs NIK6-0

NikarmNikarm

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/24AMika Vs NIK0-1
11/04/24HNIK Vs BKMA II0-6
06/04/24AOnor Vs NIK1-4
29/03/24HNIK Vs Ararat II2-4
15/03/24HNIK Vs Gandzasar0-8
09/03/24APyunik II Vs NIK7-2
03/03/24HNIK Vs Banants II1-3
22/02/24ALernayin Artsakh Vs NIK6-0
11/11/23AArarat II Vs NIK11-0
08/11/23HNIK Vs Ararat-Armenia II0-5

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/24HLA Vs Mika3-0
04/04/24ABKMA II Vs LA3-1
29/03/24AGandzasar Vs LA0-1
16/03/24HLA Vs Onor6-1
03/03/24HLA Vs Pyunik II3-0
22/02/24HLA Vs Nikarm6-0
03/12/23ABanants II Vs LA1-1
27/11/23HLA Vs Noah II2-0
12/11/23ANoah II Vs LA1-0
07/11/23HLA Vs Ararat II0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nikarm
Nikarm
Armenia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW0.57
HomeLLLLL0.55
AwayLLLWW0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%18%20%
AVG goals5.485.365.60
Over 1.5 %86%82%90%
Over 2.5 %81%82%80%
Over 3.5 %81%82%80%
Scored1.141.271.00
Conceded4.334.094.60
BTTS52%55%50%
Clean Sheet5%0%10%
Corners---
Cards---
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.04
HomeWWWWW1.16
AwayDLDWL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals2.522.802.24
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %44%48%40%
Over 3.5 %22%28%16%
Scored1.061.360.76
Conceded1.461.441.48
BTTS34%28%40%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GandzasarGandzasar2874
86%
2.6
6917+52
3.1
82%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.50.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II2863
71%
2.2
8131+50
4.0
93%
79%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.91.1
-
3SyunikSyunik2760
70%
2.2
5924+35
3.1
70%
52%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.20.9
-
4Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2858
64%
2.1
6227+35
3.2
86%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5Banants IIBanants II2842
36%
1.5
5134+17
3.0
75%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
6AndranikAndranik2841
43%
1.5
3741-4
2.8
75%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.5
-
7Noah IINoah II2839
39%
1.4
5338+15
3.2
79%
50%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
8Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II2839
39%
1.4
4841+7
3.2
82%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9Alashkert IIAlashkert II2837
36%
1.3
4649-3
3.4
75%
71%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
10Shirak IIShirak II2833
36%
1.2
4150-9
3.2
71%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
11Ararat IIArarat II2832
32%
1.1
5247+5
3.5
79%
71%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
12Pyunik IIPyunik II2830
32%
1.1
5057-7
3.8
82%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
13MikaMika2817
14%
0.6
2160-39
2.9
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
14OnorOnor2716
15%
0.6
2382-59
3.9
78%
67%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.0
-
15NikarmNikarm2812
14%
0.4
27122-95
5.3
86%
79%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.4
-
Armenia: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

← all matches