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Nikarm vs Lernayin Artsakh Result & Analysis

Date: 18/03/2025
Time: 11:30
Final 0-6
Nikarm
Nikarm
Vs
8%
11%
81%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Nikarm win✗ Miss
7.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
11.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh win✓ Hit
81.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

NikarmNikarm

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-623L22D13L16L14L03L03L06L05L13LA·AND28/09A·SHI04/10H·BAN11/10H·ARA17/10A·PYU22/10H·NOA29/10A·MIK04/11H·ARA15/11H·SHI21/11A·BAN12/03
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
3.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.804.770.715.070.884.50
vs Stronger (11)0.826.180.886.120.676.33
vs Similar (17)0.824.240.503.671.004.55
vs Weaker (2)0.501.50--0.501.50
Clean sheet %3% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-553W13L21W33D02L20W21W13L24L40WH·SHI20/09A·BAN24/09H·SYU17/10A·BEN24/10H·BKM29/10A·AND04/11H·ARA08/11A·PYU17/11A·NOA22/11H·MIK12/03
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.701.103.530.671.871.53
vs Stronger (10)1.701.202.001.331.571.14
vs Similar (17)2.941.244.000.601.432.14
vs Weaker (3)4.670.003.500.007.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikarm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

9%19%28%37%1%03%19%214%318%418%537%6+
The model estimates around 5.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (37%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
96.3%
Under 1.5
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
87.5%
Under 2.5
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.4%
Under 3.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.4%
No
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-3
7.5%
1-4
7.0%
1-2
6.0%
0-3
5.9%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
2-3
4.8%
Nikarm goals ↓
Lernayin Artsakh goals →
01234
01.0%2.2%4.8%5.9%5.5%
10.5%3.6%6.0%7.5%7.0%
20.5%2.0%3.8%4.8%4.4%
30.2%0.9%1.6%2.0%1.9%
40.1%0.3%0.5%0.6%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nikarm goals (down), columns = Lernayin Artsakh goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
BKMA II
2.62
Syunik
2.54
Noah II
1.92
Lernayin Artsakh
1.75
Banants II
1.58
Pyunik II
1.54
Andranik
1.42
Shirak II
1.33
Ararat II
1.21
Bentonit Ijevan
1.00
Ararat-Armenia II
0.79
Mika
0.67
Nikarm
0.04
Nikarm is 1.71 points worse than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of average points per game (0.04 vs 1.75).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
3.21
Syunik
2.67
Lernayin Artsakh
2.50
Banants II
1.96
Noah II
1.96
Pyunik II
1.96
Ararat II
1.83
Shirak II
1.79
Andranik
1.71
Bentonit Ijevan
1.58
Ararat-Armenia II
1.25
Mika
1.04
Nikarm
0.71
Nikarm is 1.79 goals worse than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 2.50).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Syunik
0.54
BKMA II
0.71
Noah II
1.21
Banants II
1.38
Lernayin Artsakh
1.42
Pyunik II
1.54
Andranik
1.67
Shirak II
1.96
Ararat II
2.00
Bentonit Ijevan
2.21
Ararat-Armenia II
2.29
Mika
2.96
Nikarm
4.29
Nikarm is 2.88 goals worse than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of goals conceded per game (4.29 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NikarmNikarm

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L12L03L02L03L01L03L04L03L13LA·AND28/09A·SHI04/10H·BAN11/10H·ARA17/10A·PYU22/10H·NOA29/10A·MIK04/11H·ARA15/11H·SHI21/11A·BAN12/03
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.332.500.312.620.352.41
vs Stronger (12)0.422.920.573.000.202.80
vs Similar (17)0.292.180.002.170.452.18
vs Weaker (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W02L01L12L01L10W01L02L03L20WH·SHI20/09A·BAN24/09H·SYU17/10A·BEN24/10H·BKM29/10A·AND04/11H·ARA08/11A·PYU17/11A·NOA22/11H·MIK12/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.601.120.310.790.93
vs Stronger (12)0.830.500.800.600.860.43
vs Similar (15)0.870.801.220.220.331.67
vs Weaker (3)2.000.001.500.003.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikarm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nikarm over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NikarmNikarm

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W10W14L11D02L00D02L02L00DA·AND28/09A·SHI04/10H·BAN11/10H·ARA17/10A·PYU22/10H·NOA29/10A·MIK04/11H·ARA15/11H·SHI21/11A·BAN12/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.472.330.462.310.472.35
vs Stronger (12)0.422.670.432.570.402.80
vs Similar (17)0.532.240.502.000.552.36
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W11D20W21W01L10W20W11D21W20WH·SHI20/09A·BAN24/09H·SYU17/10A·BEN24/10H·BKM29/10A·AND04/11H·ARA08/11A·PYU17/11A·NOA22/11H·MIK12/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.471.880.251.290.71
vs Stronger (12)0.830.500.600.201.000.71
vs Similar (15)2.000.532.560.331.170.83
vs Weaker (3)2.670.002.000.004.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikarm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nikarm over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.596.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.587.5%-------✓ Hit
Away win81.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.573.4%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes70.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (9)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
NIK wins
0
Draws
3
LA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nikarm vs Lernayin Artsakh · H/A from NIK
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/24ALernayin Artsakh Vs NIK7-0
21/04/24HNIK Vs Lernayin Artsakh0-2
22/02/24ALernayin Artsakh Vs NIK6-0

NikarmNikarm

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/25ABanants II Vs NIK3-1
21/11/24HNIK Vs Shirak II0-5
15/11/24HNIK Vs Ararat II0-6
04/11/24AMika Vs NIK3-0
29/10/24HNIK Vs Noah II0-3
22/10/24APyunik II Vs NIK4-1
17/10/24HNIK Vs Ararat-Armenia II1-6
11/10/24HNIK Vs Banants II1-3
04/10/24AShirak II Vs NIK2-2
28/09/24AAndranik Vs NIK3-2

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/25HLA Vs Mika4-0
22/11/24ANoah II Vs LA4-2
17/11/24APyunik II Vs LA3-1
08/11/24HLA Vs Ararat-Armenia II2-1
04/11/24AAndranik Vs LA0-2
29/10/24HLA Vs BKMA II0-2
24/10/24ABentonit Ijevan Vs LA3-3
17/10/24HLA Vs Syunik2-1
24/09/24ABanants II Vs LA3-1
20/09/24HLA Vs Shirak II5-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nikarm
Nikarm
Armenia: First League
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.31
HomeLLLLL0.29
AwayLDLLL0.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %10%10%10%
AVG goals5.385.525.24
Over 1.5 %90%90%90%
Over 2.5 %86%86%86%
Over 3.5 %79%76%81%
Scored0.901.000.81
Conceded4.484.524.43
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet2%0%5%
Corners---
Cards---
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.68
HomeWWLWW2.12
AwayLDWLL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%68%36%
AVG goals3.323.563.08
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %38%40%36%
Scored2.062.561.56
Conceded1.261.001.52
BTTS44%36%52%
Clean Sheet34%44%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BKMA IIBKMA II2463
83%
2.6
7717+60
3.9
92%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.20.7
-
2SyunikSyunik2461
79%
2.5
6413+51
3.2
79%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.70.5
-
3Noah IINoah II2446
58%
1.9
4729+18
3.2
79%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
-
4Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2442
54%
1.8
6034+26
3.9
92%
75%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.51.4
-
5Banants IIBanants II2438
46%
1.6
4733+14
3.3
92%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
6Pyunik IIPyunik II2437
46%
1.5
4737+10
3.5
88%
62%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
7AndranikAndranik2434
38%
1.4
4140+1
3.4
92%
71%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.71.7
-
8Shirak IIShirak II2432
33%
1.3
4347-4
3.8
92%
62%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
9Ararat IIArarat II2429
38%
1.2
4448-4
3.8
83%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
10Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan2424
25%
1.0
3853-15
3.8
100%
71%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
11Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II2419
25%
0.8
3055-25
3.5
88%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.3
-
12MikaMika2416
17%
0.7
2571-46
4.0
92%
79%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
13NikarmNikarm241
0%
0.0
17103-86
5.0
92%
88%
79%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.74.3
-
Armenia: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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