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Nikarm vs Mika Result & Analysis

Date: 22/09/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 1-3
Nikarm
Nikarm
Vs
61%
18%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mika
Mika
Armenia: First League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Nikarm win✗ Miss
61.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mika win✓ Hit
20.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

NikarmNikarm

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-818L15L64W02L01L15LH·NOA06/08A·BAN15/08H·PYU21/08A·GAN25/08H·ONO30/08A·BKM17/09
Avg total
5.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
4.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.504.172.334.330.674.00
vs Stronger (2)0.503.50--0.503.50
vs Similar (4)2.004.502.334.331.005.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MikaMika

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L05L03L11D13L13L03L11D14L30WH·BKM15/05A·GAN19/05A·ARA23/05H·WES26/05A·BAN01/08H·PYU05/08H·GAN15/08H·ONO21/08A·BKM26/08H·LER14/09
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.832.330.871.670.803.00
vs Stronger (26)0.812.350.791.710.833.08
vs Similar (4)1.002.252.001.000.672.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikarm) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%2%04%113%217%319%417%528%6+
The model estimates around 4.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.9%
Under 1.5
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
81.4%
Under 2.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.0%
Under 3.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
75.9%
No
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.3%
1-1
6.1%
3-2
5.8%
4-1
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
Nikarm goals ↓
Mika goals →
01234
01.8%1.5%1.6%0.9%0.4%
12.9%6.1%4.5%2.5%1.0%
24.7%7.7%6.3%3.4%1.4%
34.4%7.1%5.8%3.1%1.3%
43.0%4.9%4.0%2.2%0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nikarm goals (down), columns = Mika goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Gandzasar
2.64
BKMA II
2.25
Syunik
2.22
Lernayin Artsakh
2.07
Banants II
1.50
Andranik
1.46
Noah II
1.39
Ararat-Armenia II
1.39
Alashkert II
1.32
Shirak II
1.18
Ararat II
1.14
Pyunik II
1.07
Mika
0.61
Onor
0.59
Nikarm
0.43
Nikarm is 0.18 points worse than Mika in terms of average points per game (0.43 vs 0.61).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.89
Gandzasar
2.46
Lernayin Artsakh
2.21
Syunik
2.19
Noah II
1.89
Ararat II
1.86
Banants II
1.82
Pyunik II
1.79
Ararat-Armenia II
1.71
Alashkert II
1.64
Shirak II
1.46
Andranik
1.32
Nikarm
0.96
Onor
0.85
Mika
0.75
Nikarm is 0.21 goals better than Mika in terms of goals scored per game (0.96 vs 0.75).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Gandzasar
0.61
Syunik
0.89
Lernayin Artsakh
0.96
BKMA II
1.11
Banants II
1.21
Noah II
1.36
Ararat-Armenia II
1.46
Andranik
1.46
Ararat II
1.68
Alashkert II
1.75
Shirak II
1.79
Pyunik II
2.04
Mika
2.14
Onor
3.04
Nikarm
4.36
Nikarm is 2.21 goals worse than Mika in terms of goals conceded per game (4.36 vs 2.14).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NikarmNikarm

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L11D32W00D01LH·NOA06/08A·BAN15/08H·PYU21/08A·GAN25/08H·ONO30/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.801.002.670.500.50
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (4)1.002.251.002.671.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MikaMika

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D00D01L12L11D02L01L14L00DH·ALA04/05A·SYU09/05H·BKM15/05A·ARA23/05A·BAN01/08H·PYU05/08H·GAN15/08H·ONO21/08A·BKM26/08H·LER14/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.190.331.200.331.17
vs Stronger (24)0.381.250.361.210.401.30
vs Similar (3)0.000.670.001.000.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %41% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikarm) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nikarm over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NikarmNikarm

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L04L32W02L00DH·NOA06/08A·BAN15/08H·PYU21/08A·GAN25/08H·ONO30/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.802.201.331.670.003.00
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (4)1.002.251.331.670.004.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Mika) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MikaMika

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D10W02L02L01L02L01L10W00D30WH·ALA04/05A·SYU09/05H·BKM15/05A·ARA23/05A·BAN01/08H·PYU05/08H·GAN15/08H·ONO21/08A·BKM26/08H·LER14/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.781.070.930.730.581.50
vs Stronger (24)0.751.080.860.790.601.50
vs Similar (3)1.001.002.000.000.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %41% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikarm) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nikarm over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mika over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.593.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.581.4%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes75.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (25)
€3m
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (8)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
NIK wins
0
Draws
0
MIK wins

Head-to-head

Nikarm vs Mika · H/A from NIK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

NikarmNikarm

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/23ABKMA II Vs NIK5-1
30/08/23HNIK Vs Onor0-1
25/08/23AGandzasar Vs NIK2-0
21/08/23HNIK Vs Pyunik II6-4
15/08/23ABanants II Vs NIK5-1
06/08/23HNIK Vs Noah II1-8

MikaMika

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/23HMIK Vs Lernayin Artsakh3-0
26/08/23ABKMA II Vs MIK4-1
21/08/23HMIK Vs Onor1-1
15/08/23HMIK Vs Gandzasar0-3
05/08/23HMIK Vs Pyunik II1-3
01/08/23ABanants II Vs MIK3-1
26/05/23HMIK Vs West Armenia1-1
23/05/23AArarat-Armenia II Vs MIK3-0
19/05/23AGandzasar Vs MIK5-0
15/05/23HMIK Vs BKMA II0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nikarm
Nikarm
Armenia: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.50
HomeLWL1.00
AwayLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %17%33%0%
AVG goals5.676.674.67
Over 1.5 %83%67%100%
Over 2.5 %67%67%67%
Over 3.5 %67%67%67%
Scored1.502.330.67
Conceded4.174.334.00
BTTS67%67%67%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Mika
Mika
Armenia: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW0.97
HomeDLLDW1.11
AwayWLLLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%32%26%
AVG goals3.423.053.79
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %68%63%74%
Over 3.5 %45%32%58%
Scored1.031.260.79
Conceded2.391.793.00
BTTS50%58%42%
Clean Sheet13%5%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GandzasarGandzasar2874
86%
2.6
6917+52
3.1
82%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.50.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II2863
71%
2.2
8131+50
4.0
93%
79%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.91.1
-
3SyunikSyunik2760
70%
2.2
5924+35
3.1
70%
52%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.20.9
-
4Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2858
64%
2.1
6227+35
3.2
86%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5Banants IIBanants II2842
36%
1.5
5134+17
3.0
75%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
6AndranikAndranik2841
43%
1.5
3741-4
2.8
75%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.5
-
7Noah IINoah II2839
39%
1.4
5338+15
3.2
79%
50%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
8Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II2839
39%
1.4
4841+7
3.2
82%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9Alashkert IIAlashkert II2837
36%
1.3
4649-3
3.4
75%
71%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
10Shirak IIShirak II2833
36%
1.2
4150-9
3.2
71%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
11Ararat IIArarat II2832
32%
1.1
5247+5
3.5
79%
71%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
12Pyunik IIPyunik II2830
32%
1.1
5057-7
3.8
82%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
13MikaMika2817
14%
0.6
2160-39
2.9
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
14OnorOnor2716
15%
0.6
2382-59
3.9
78%
67%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.0
-
15NikarmNikarm2812
14%
0.4
27122-95
5.3
86%
79%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.4
-
Armenia: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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