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Nikšić vs Berane Result & Analysis

Date: 02/10/2022
Time: 13:30
Final 0-2
Nikšić
Nikšić
Vs
54%
28%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Berane
Berane
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nikšić win✗ Miss
54.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Berane win✓ Hit
18.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NikšićNikšić

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L12L21W13L22D00D20W05LA·IGA17/08A·BOK21/08H·GRB28/08A·ZET03/09H·MLA11/09A·KOM18/09H·OTR24/09A·MLA28/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.752.001.000.402.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.002.172.001.000.502.75
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %25% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BeraneBerane

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D10W01L11D23L10W21WH·GRB17/08A·ZET21/08H·MLA28/08A·KOM03/09H·OTR10/09A·MLA15/09H·BOK24/09H·IGA28/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.880.881.000.600.671.33
vs Stronger (7)1.000.861.000.601.001.50
vs Similar (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikšić) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.2%
Under 1.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.9%
Under 2.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.0%
Under 3.5
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.5%
No
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.9%
Nikšić goals ↓
Berane goals →
01234
010%6.3%3.0%0.8%0.2%
113%13%4.8%1.3%0.3%
211%9.3%3.8%1.0%0.2%
36.0%4.9%2.0%0.5%0.1%
42.4%1.9%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nikšić goals (down), columns = Berane goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Mladost DG
1.74
Berane
1.62
Kom
1.56
Bokelj
1.50
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.41
Igalo
1.29
Grbalj
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
1.12
Zeta
1.09
Nikšić
0.89
Nikšić is 0.72 points worse than Berane in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Mladost DG
1.26
Kom
1.24
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.18
Igalo
1.09
Bokelj
1.03
Berane
1.03
Zeta
0.97
Otrant-Olympic
0.94
Nikšić
0.84
Grbalj
0.82
Nikšić is 0.19 goals worse than Berane in terms of goals scored per game (0.84 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Berane
0.74
Bokelj
0.82
Grbalj
0.94
Igalo
1.03
Mladost DG
1.03
Kom
1.03
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.03
Otrant-Olympic
1.24
Zeta
1.26
Nikšić
1.63
Nikšić is 0.90 goals worse than Berane in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 0.74).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NikšićNikšić

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D11D01L10W00D10W04LA·IGA17/08A·BOK21/08H·GRB28/08A·ZET03/09H·MLA11/09A·KOM18/09H·OTR24/09A·MLA28/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.751.000.330.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.330.831.000.000.001.25
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %62% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BeraneBerane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D10W00D11D11D10W10WH·GRB17/08A·ZET21/08H·MLA28/08A·KOM03/09H·OTR10/09A·MLA15/09H·BOK24/09H·IGA28/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.250.800.200.330.33
vs Stronger (7)0.710.290.800.200.500.50
vs Similar (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikšić) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nikšić over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NikšićNikšić

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L10W12L12L00D10W01LA·IGA17/08A·BOK21/08H·GRB28/08A·ZET03/09H·MLA11/09A·KOM18/09H·OTR24/09A·MLA28/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.621.001.000.670.401.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.671.331.001.000.501.50
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %38% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BeraneBerane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D01L00D12L00D11DH·GRB17/08A·ZET21/08H·MLA28/08A·KOM03/09H·OTR10/09A·MLA15/09H·BOK24/09H·IGA28/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.620.200.400.331.00
vs Stronger (7)0.290.570.200.400.501.00
vs Similar (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikšić) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nikšić over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (8)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
NIK wins
0
Draws
0
BER wins

Head-to-head

Nikšić vs Berane · H/A from NIK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

NikšićNikšić

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/22AMladost DG Vs NIK5-0
24/09/22HNIK Vs Otrant-Olympic2-0
18/09/22AKom Vs NIK0-0
11/09/22HNIK Vs Mladost Lješkopolje2-2
03/09/22AZeta Vs NIK3-1
28/08/22HNIK Vs Grbalj2-1
21/08/22ABokelj Vs NIK2-1
17/08/22AIgalo Vs NIK1-0

BeraneBerane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/22HBER Vs Igalo2-1
24/09/22HBER Vs Bokelj1-0
15/09/22AMladost DG Vs BER3-2
10/09/22HBER Vs Otrant-Olympic1-1
03/09/22AKom Vs BER1-0
28/08/22HBER Vs Mladost Lješkopolje1-0
21/08/22AZeta Vs BER0-0
17/08/22HBER Vs Grbalj0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nikšić
Nikšić
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.00
HomeWDW2.33
AwayLLLDL0.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%67%0%
AVG goals2.753.002.60
Over 1.5 %75%100%60%
Over 2.5 %62%67%60%
Over 3.5 %38%33%40%
Scored1.002.000.40
Conceded1.751.002.20
BTTS50%67%40%
Clean Sheet25%33%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Berane
Berane
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.38
HomeLWDWW2.00
AwayDLL0.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%60%0%
AVG goals1.751.602.00
Over 1.5 %38%40%33%
Over 2.5 %25%20%33%
Over 3.5 %12%0%33%
Scored0.881.000.67
Conceded0.880.601.33
BTTS38%40%33%
Clean Sheet38%40%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost DGMladost DG3459
50%
1.7
4335+8
2.3
56%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.0
-
2BeraneBerane3455
47%
1.6
3525+10
1.8
47%
21%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.7
-
3KomKom3453
44%
1.6
4235+7
2.3
62%
44%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4BokeljBokelj3451
38%
1.5
3528+7
1.9
56%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.00.8
-
5Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3448
35%
1.4
4035+5
2.2
62%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6IgaloIgalo3545
31%
1.3
3836+2
2.1
69%
40%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
7GrbaljGrbalj3440
29%
1.2
2832-4
1.8
47%
26%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
8Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3438
26%
1.1
3242-10
2.2
68%
41%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.2
-
9ZetaZeta3437
29%
1.1
3343-10
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
10NikšićNikšić1917
21%
0.9
1631-15
2.5
79%
42%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
Montenegro: Second League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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