This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.20
1.00
1.00
0.79
1.43
vs Stronger (20)
0.80
1.20
0.90
0.90
0.70
1.50
vs Similar (10)
1.10
1.20
1.17
1.17
1.00
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.2%
Under 1.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.8%
@ 2.07-4.1%
Under 2.5
58.2%
@ 1.76+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.8%
No
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.6%
2-0
13.0%
1-1 ✓
12.1%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.0%
Nimes goals ↓
Amiens goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
5.5%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
1
15%
12%
3.8%
0.9%
0.2%
2
13%
9.1%
3.2%
0.7%
0.1%
3
7.2%
5.0%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
4
3.0%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nimes goals (down), columns = Amiens goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.52
Marseille
2.00
Rennes
1.79
Lille
1.75
Nice
1.46
Reims
1.46
Lyon
1.43
Montpellier
1.43
Monaco
1.43
Strasbourg
1.41
Angers
1.39
Nantes
1.32
Bordeaux
1.32
Stade Brestois 29
1.21
Metz
1.21
Saint Etienne
1.07
Dijon
1.07
Nimes
0.96
Amiens
0.82
Toulouse
0.46
Nimes is 0.14 points better than Amiens in terms of average points per game (0.96 vs 0.82).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.78
Monaco
1.57
Lyon
1.50
Nice
1.46
Marseille
1.46
Bordeaux
1.43
Rennes
1.36
Lille
1.25
Montpellier
1.25
Stade Brestois 29
1.21
Strasbourg
1.19
Amiens
1.11
Saint Etienne
1.04
Nimes
1.04
Nantes
1.00
Angers
1.00
Dijon
0.96
Metz
0.96
Reims
0.93
Toulouse
0.79
Nimes is 0.07 goals worse than Amiens in terms of goals scored per game (1.04 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Reims
0.75
Rennes
0.86
Paris Saint Germain
0.89
Lille
0.96
Lyon
0.96
Marseille
1.04
Nantes
1.11
Angers
1.18
Strasbourg
1.19
Bordeaux
1.21
Montpellier
1.21
Metz
1.25
Stade Brestois 29
1.32
Dijon
1.32
Nice
1.36
Nimes
1.57
Monaco
1.57
Saint Etienne
1.61
Amiens
1.79
Toulouse
2.07
Nimes is 0.21 goals better than Amiens in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.79).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Nimes
For 6.6 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 14.1 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Amiens
For 3.2 · Against 5.4 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nimes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.9
9.8
4.5
5.4
3.7
26.9
27.3
26.5
vs Stronger (37)
10.4
10.6
10.2
4.6
5.4
3.9
26.6
26.9
26.2
vs Similar (13)
8.4
8.0
8.7
4.2
5.5
3.1
27.8
28.6
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
50%
54%
66%
79%
54%
83%
87%
79%
% under line
48%
50%
46%
34%
21%
46%
17%
13%
21%
This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.7
9.0
3.4
3.2
3.5
27.0
28.5
25.4
vs Stronger (34)
9.1
9.1
9.1
3.3
3.6
3.0
26.9
28.9
24.9
vs Similar (16)
8.2
7.8
8.7
3.4
2.4
4.7
27.2
27.8
26.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
31%
50%
50%
50%
50%
90%
92%
88%
% under line
60%
69%
50%
50%
50%
50%
10%
8%
12%
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Saint Etienne
10.5
Marseille
10.3
Stade Brestois 29
10.3
Paris Saint Germain
10.3
Lyon
10.1
Monaco
9.9
Nice
9.9
Nimes
9.8
Dijon
9.8
Toulouse
9.8
Reims
9.7
Nantes
9.6
Bordeaux
9.5
Montpellier
9.5
Rennes
9.5
Metz
9.2
Lille
9.2
Angers
8.9
Amiens
8.8
Strasbourg
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nimes
4.5
Nice
4.3
Rennes
4.3
Monaco
4.3
Marseille
4.2
Bordeaux
4.1
Nantes
4.0
Lille
3.9
Toulouse
3.9
Lyon
3.9
Montpellier
3.9
Saint Etienne
3.8
Strasbourg
3.8
Dijon
3.6
Stade Brestois 29
3.4
Metz
3.4
Amiens
3.4
Paris Saint Germain
3.3
Reims
3.3
Angers
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Montpellier
27.8
Bordeaux
27.8
Monaco
27.5
Reims
27.5
Toulouse
27.3
Amiens
27.0
Nimes
26.9
Rennes
26.5
Dijon
26.4
Nantes
26.3
Marseille
26.1
Stade Brestois 29
26.0
Lille
25.8
Metz
25.7
Nice
25.4
Strasbourg
25.2
Lyon
24.7
Saint Etienne
24.6
Paris Saint Germain
24.5
Angers
23.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.7%
Under 9.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.9%
Under 3.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.7%
Under 21.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nimes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.87
0.47
0.27
0.93
vs Stronger (24)
0.62
0.75
0.92
0.50
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (6)
0.33
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.40
0.44
0.38
0.36
0.43
vs Stronger (20)
0.50
0.45
0.50
0.40
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (10)
0.20
0.30
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nimes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nimes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.80
0.73
0.40
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (24)
0.67
0.92
0.58
0.50
0.75
1.33
vs Similar (6)
1.17
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.56
0.62
0.43
1.00
vs Stronger (20)
0.30
0.75
0.40
0.50
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.90
0.83
0.83
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nimes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Nimes · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Malik Tchokounté29%
Rafiki Saïd27%
Moussa Koné17%
Nicolas Benezet10%
Pablo Pagis9%
Lys Mousset9%
Jens Jakob Thomasen9%
Guessouma Fofana8%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Lamine Fomba6%
Benoît Poulain5%
Thibault Vargas4%
Kelyan Guessoum3%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Steve Ambri0%
Ronny Labonne0%
Lucas Dias0%
Patrick Burner0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Mehdi Zerkane0%
Leon Delpech0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Nasser Djiga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lamine Fomba33%
Guessouma Fofana25%
Yassine Benrahou22%
Steve Ambri21%
Jean N'Guessan20%
Nicolas Benezet19%
Nasser Djiga19%
Kelyan Guessoum17%
Maël Durand de Gevigney16%
Ronny Labonne12%
Mehdi Zerkane11%
Malik Tchokounté11%
Patrick Burner9%
Moussa Koné8%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Axel Maraval7%
Joseph Lopy6%
Benoît Poulain5%
Jens Jakob Thomasen4%
Thibault Vargas4%
Pablo Pagis3%
Lys Mousset0%
Lucas Dias0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Leon Delpech0%
Rafiki Saïd0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mahamadou Doucouré33%
Joseph Lopy19%
Lys Mousset18%
Thibault Vargas12%
Yassine Benrahou11%
Mehdi Zerkane11%
Malik Tchokounté11%
Rafiki Saïd10%
Pablo Pagis9%
Jens Jakob Thomasen9%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Steve Ambri7%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Lamine Fomba6%
Nicolas Benezet5%
Kelyan Guessoum3%
Ronny Labonne3%
Patrick Burner3%
Benoît Poulain0%
Lucas Dias0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Moussa Koné0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Leon Delpech0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pablo Pagis22%
Elías Már Ómarsson17%
Malik Tchokounté13%
Yassine Benrahou11%
Lys Mousset9%
Moussa Koné8%
Rafiki Saïd7%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Thibault Vargas4%
Ronny Labonne3%
Benoît Poulain0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Lamine Fomba0%
Steve Ambri0%
Lucas Dias0%
Kelyan Guessoum0%
Nicolas Benezet0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Patrick Burner0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Mehdi Zerkane0%
Leon Delpech0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Amiens · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ange Chibozo33%
Yoan Koré25%
Ibou Sane22%
Yvan Ikia Dimi22%
Yanis Rafii18%
Nordine Kandil16%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba15%
Teddy Averlant15%
Ilyes Hamache13%
Rayan Lutin10%
Kylian Kaiboue9%
Antoine Leautey9%
Victor Lobry7%
Jan Mlakar7%
Aboubacar Lô4%
Siaka Bakayoko3%
Arvin Appiah0%
Thomas Monconduit0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Jérôme Roussillon0%
Skelly Alvero0%
Joseph N'Duquidi0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Mathis Touho0%
Coleen Louis0%
Nathan Talbot0%
Amine Chabane0%
Messy Mubundu0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Oscar Aïssat0%
Ilan Daf0%
Aly Traore0%
Enzo Somon0%
Ilies Abdelkrim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yoan Koré50%
Kylian Kaiboue32%
Thomas Monconduit32%
Yvan Ikia Dimi30%
Amine Chabane30%
Ibrahim Fofana26%
Skelly Alvero25%
Aboubacar Lô19%
Jan Mlakar14%
Oscar Aïssat14%
Jérôme Roussillon12%
Coleen Louis11%
Rayan Lutin10%
Yanis Rafii9%
Teddy Averlant9%
Victor Lobry7%
Nordine Kandil5%
Antoine Leautey4%
Joseph N'Duquidi4%
Ilyes Hamache3%
Siaka Bakayoko3%
Arvin Appiah0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Mathis Touho0%
Ibou Sane0%
Nathan Talbot0%
Messy Mubundu0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Ilan Daf0%
Aly Traore0%
Enzo Somon0%
Ilies Abdelkrim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nathan Talbot25%
Antoine Leautey17%
Nordine Kandil16%
Victor Lobry14%
Jérôme Roussillon12%
Skelly Alvero12%
Yanis Rafii9%
Yvan Ikia Dimi9%
Thomas Monconduit8%
Coleen Louis7%
Rayan Lutin7%
Kylian Kaiboue6%
Teddy Averlant6%
Ilyes Hamache3%
Ibrahim Fofana3%
Arvin Appiah0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Jan Mlakar0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Yoan Koré0%
Joseph N'Duquidi0%
Mathis Touho0%
Siaka Bakayoko0%
Ibou Sane0%
Amine Chabane0%
Messy Mubundu0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Oscar Aïssat0%
Ilan Daf0%
Aly Traore0%
Enzo Somon0%
Ilies Abdelkrim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Teddy Averlant24%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba15%
Ibou Sane11%
Nordine Kandil11%
Yvan Ikia Dimi9%
Jan Mlakar7%
Antoine Leautey4%
Kylian Kaiboue3%
Arvin Appiah0%
Victor Lobry0%
Thomas Monconduit0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Jérôme Roussillon0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Skelly Alvero0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Yoan Koré0%
Joseph N'Duquidi0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Rayan Lutin0%
Mathis Touho0%
Siaka Bakayoko0%
Coleen Louis0%
Nathan Talbot0%
Amine Chabane0%
Messy Mubundu0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Oscar Aïssat0%
Yanis Rafii0%
Ilan Daf0%
Aly Traore0%
Enzo Somon0%
Ilies Abdelkrim0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 1 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
Rennes
Lille
Reims
Nice
Lyon
Montpellier
Monaco
Angers
Strasbourg
Bordeaux
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
Dijon
Saint Etienne
Toulouse